Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$5

Unrealized P&L

-$79

Hit rate

30.7%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$404

lifetime

Avg / trade

$12

Open exposure

$21

2 positions

First seen

2026-09-14

last 10-18 21:15

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Other

86% 0% -$1

Tech

10% — —

Politics

3% 50% -$1

Crypto

1% 0% -$3

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

12 active days in 12wk • peak 11 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (5) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes		+167	$40	9¢	$15	-$25	10-18 21:01
Will Elisabeth Thand Ringqvist be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	Yes		+1,608	$60	0¢	$6	-$54	10-18 20:41

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) be in the next Swedish government?	4	$114	363	363	+0	open	—	09-28 08:12
Will the Moderate Party (M) be in the next Swedish government?	3	$69	241	241	+0	open	—	09-28 08:13
Will the Left Party (V) be in the next Swedish government?	2	$66	42	42	+0	open	—	09-28 08:13
Will Elisabeth Thand Ringqvist be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	1	$60	1,608	0	+1,608	open	—	10-18 20:41
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	1	$40	167	0	+167	open	—	10-18 21:01
Will Kayleigh McEnany be the next White House Press Secretary?	1	$26	629	0	+629	open	—	10-18 21:15
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by December 31, 2026?	2	$4	23	23	+0	open	—	10-18 20:39
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	4	$4	11	11	+0	open	—	10-12 06:01
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?	2	$3	5	5	+0	open	—	10-18 20:39
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?	2	$3	5	5	+0	open	—	10-18 20:39
Will STRC hit $100 by December 31?	2	$3	6	6	+0	open	—	10-18 20:39
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	2	$3	5	5	+0	Yes	+$1	10-18 20:39
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?	2	$2	6	6	+0	open	—	10-18 20:39
Will AI solve 0 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?	2	$2	5	5	+0	open	—	10-18 20:39
ethereum above 2800 on october 1 2026	1	$2	73	0	+73	No	-$2	09-30 22:06
Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $700 in October?	2	$2	5	5	+0	Yes	-$1	10-18 20:39
Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the most votes in the 2026 Federal District Senate election?	1	$1	19	0	+19	Yes	-$1	09-30 22:08
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on October 5?	1	$1	18	0	+18	No	-$1	10-02 14:12

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-18 21:15:06	Will Kayleigh McEnany be the next White House Press Secretary?	Yes	BUY	629	4¢	$26	0x8a8e49…
10-18 21:01:08	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	167	24¢	$40	0x5a2c05…
10-18 20:41:41	Will Elisabeth Thand Ringqvist be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	Yes	BUY	1,608	4¢	$60	0x5b8464…
10-18 20:39:50	Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	23	8¢	$2	0x613dc8…
10-18 20:39:45	Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $700 in October?	No	SELL	5	4¢	$0	0x819628…
10-18 20:39:39	Will AI solve 0 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?	No	SELL	5	22¢	$1	0x94610c…
10-18 20:39:32	Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	6	25¢	$1	0x0d6606…
10-18 20:39:27	Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5	29¢	$2	0xbc7776…
10-18 20:39:23	Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?	No	SELL	5	32¢	$2	0x891344…
10-18 20:39:17	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?	No	SELL	5	39¢	$2	0x32915d…
10-18 20:39:09	Will STRC hit $100 by December 31?	No	SELL	6	26¢	$2	0x14d85c…
10-16 05:34:37	Will STRC hit $100 by December 31?	No	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x5bac59…
10-12 06:01:17	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	SELL	6	14¢	$1	0x1eb2c6…
10-09 18:37:44	Will AI solve 0 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?	No	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x3983d7…
10-06 18:30:56	Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x3a6348…
10-05 05:29:50	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?	No	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0xbd1301…
10-05 05:29:50	Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $700 in October?	No	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0x402266…
10-04 18:30:55	israel x iran ceasefire continues through october 31	No	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x294235…
10-04 18:30:53	israel x iran ceasefire continues through october 31	No	SELL	5	16¢	$1	0x52f6ff…
10-02 14:12:59	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on October 5?	Yes	BUY	18	6¢	$1	0x685f4e…
10-02 12:43:11	Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x566667…
10-02 12:42:47	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xef4176…
10-02 12:42:06	Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	23	11¢	$3	0x01296c…
09-30 22:11:14	Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?	No	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xbda913…
09-30 22:08:35	Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the most votes in the 2026 Federal District Senate election?	No	BUY	19	7¢	$1	0xf91357…
09-30 22:06:41	ethereum above 2800 on october 1 2026	Yes	BUY	73	2¢	$2	0xee4902…
09-28 08:13:17	Will the Moderate Party (M) be in the next Swedish government?	Yes	SELL	241	15¢	$37	0xd43b64…
09-28 08:13:05	Will the Left Party (V) be in the next Swedish government?	No	SELL	42	85¢	$36	0x67399f…
09-28 08:12:51	Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) be in the next Swedish government?	No	SELL	295	22¢	$66	0x57e0d7…
09-16 12:30:31	Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) be in the next Swedish government?	No	BUY	90	10¢	$9	0x1c115e…
09-16 08:04:46	Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) be in the next Swedish government?	No	SELL	68	14¢	$10	0x85f7de…
09-14 09:59:01	Will the Moderate Party (M) be in the next Swedish government?	Yes	BUY	15	15¢	$2	0xe0091f…
09-14 09:58:19	Will the Left Party (V) be in the next Swedish government?	No	BUY	42	71¢	$30	0x5d7484…
09-14 09:56:39	Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) be in the next Swedish government?	No	BUY	273	11¢	$30	0x4147f0…
09-14 09:55:48	Will the Moderate Party (M) be in the next Swedish government?	Yes	BUY	225	13¢	$30	0x4cbea2…