Half-Fit — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$55

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

62.3%

Resolved

654

Trades

1,554

lifetime

Volume

$2.53K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-28

last 10-29 09:59

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 47 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 56% -$55

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

22 active days in 12wk • peak 36 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-05 18:00 UTC	34	$35	90	62	+28	Down	-$3	04-05 18:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	5	$34	24	24	+0	Down	+$13	09-03 07:11
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-15 06:15 UTC	13	$25	27	27	+0	Down	$0	08-15 06:25
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-05 19:10 UTC	21	$24	15	15	+0	Up	$0	04-05 19:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	4	$21	20	20	+0	Down	+$2	10-06 11:28
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-05 19:15 UTC	18	$18	16	16	+1	Up	+$1	04-05 19:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	3	$17	10	10	+0	Up	+$3	09-03 04:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	2	$16	13	13	+0	Up	+$9	09-20 14:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	3	$16	10	10	+0	Down	+$4	09-20 15:30
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-19 00:35 UTC	6	$16	15	15	+0	Down	+$0	08-19 00:37
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-19 00:55 UTC	6	$16	15	15	+0	Down	$0	08-19 00:55
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-15 06:00 UTC	5	$14	12	12	+0	Down	+$5	08-15 06:12
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-05 17:20 UTC	14	$14	11	10	+0	Up	$0	04-05 17:23
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-05 18:20 UTC	14	$14	11	10	+0	Up	+$0	04-05 18:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-19 01:10 UTC	6	$14	15	10	+5	Down	-$3	08-19 01:11
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-18 15:55 UTC	5	$14	15	10	+5	Down	+$4	08-18 15:57
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-18 10:00 UTC	4	$14	10	10	+0	Up	+$4	08-18 10:05
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 14:25 UTC	4	$13	10	10	+0	Down	+$2	08-20 14:27
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-19 01:05 UTC	5	$13	15	10	+5	Up	$0	08-19 01:06
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 16:15 UTC	4	$13	10	10	+0	Up	+$2	08-20 16:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	6	$13	13	13	+0	Up	$0	10-24 22:47
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-18 14:30 UTC	4	$13	10	10	+0	Down	+$3	08-18 14:35
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-18 16:05 UTC	7	$13	15	10	+5	Down	-$1	08-18 16:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	4	$12	10	10	+0	Up	+$1	08-20 14:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-19 06:05 UTC	4	$12	10	10	+0	Down	+$3	08-19 06:08
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-15 06:30 UTC	9	$12	22	6	+16	Up	-$1	08-15 06:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 07:40 UTC	3	$12	10	5	+5	Up	-$2	08-20 07:46
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 07:55 UTC	4	$12	10	10	+0	Up	+$2	08-20 07:58
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 08:50 UTC	4	$11	10	10	+0	Up	+$1	08-20 08:51
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-18 13:45 UTC	4	$11	15	5	+10	Up	+$0	08-18 13:46

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 09:59:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	13	8¢	$1	0xf08578…
10-29 09:57:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x696c2b…
10-29 09:56:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x02315c…
10-29 09:02:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	BUY	3	41¢	$1	0x97c1e7…
10-29 07:57:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x8aa8b2…
10-29 07:56:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x8a5998…
10-29 07:18:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Down	SELL	4	21¢	$1	0x1c6df5…
10-29 07:18:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	SELL	4	70¢	$3	0xaaa7c7…
10-29 07:17:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	BUY	4	58¢	$2	0xff26a7…
10-29 07:16:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Down	BUY	4	29¢	$1	0x2dcbff…
10-26 11:11:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	SELL	5	23¢	$1	0xf560c6…
10-26 11:10:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x5d2258…
10-26 10:41:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	SELL	5	64¢	$3	0x7cfd61…
10-26 10:41:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0x9935be…
10-26 10:41:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xdcb774…
10-26 10:30:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	SELL	5	59¢	$3	0x400345…
10-26 10:30:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x981503…
10-26 10:00:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xbb3fc5…
10-26 10:00:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Down	SELL	5	63¢	$3	0x84800f…
10-26 10:00:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x2d18f2…
10-26 09:56:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xa9e406…
10-26 09:50:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xc16f77…
10-26 09:50:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x396ad3…
10-26 09:46:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	SELL	5	52¢	$3	0x7f6769…
10-26 09:46:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	SELL	5	49¢	$2	0x06c4f0…
10-26 09:45:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xcc5235…
10-26 09:45:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xb07fe3…
10-26 06:53:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Down	SELL	5	49¢	$2	0xb239b6…
10-26 06:51:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Up	SELL	5	60¢	$3	0x57a4c1…
10-26 06:50:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xe5192c…
10-26 06:50:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x9a4f28…
10-26 04:20:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xdafbeb…
10-26 04:20:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Up	BUY	0	40¢	$0	0x71bde4…
10-26 04:08:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Up	SELL	5	79¢	$4	0xfea8aa…
10-26 04:08:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Down	SELL	5	47¢	$2	0x0bf724…
10-26 04:05:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Up	BUY	0	55¢	$0	0xeb01e6…
10-26 04:05:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x1097fa…
10-26 04:05:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0xcec1c1…
10-26 04:00:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xe122af…
10-26 03:55:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xee8433…
10-26 03:55:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x276524…
10-26 03:50:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x2c7233…
10-26 03:45:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x944606…
10-26 03:40:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xbd2f01…
10-26 03:40:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	55¢	$1	0x8dff63…
10-26 03:40:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x2b011c…
10-24 22:47:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	SELL	6	67¢	$4	0x7a5908…
10-24 22:47:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	SELL	7	32¢	$2	0xd95c48…
10-24 22:45:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	BUY	3	45¢	$1	0xff89a8…
10-24 22:45:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	BUY	3	57¢	$2	0x806543…
10-24 22:45:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	BUY	3	57¢	$2	0x0c76c5…
10-24 22:45:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	BUY	3	41¢	$1	0xa7c940…
10-24 16:18:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	SELL	3	67¢	$2	0x9dcfd2…
10-24 16:18:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	3	44¢	$1	0x2537e4…
10-24 15:38:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	SELL	4	68¢	$2	0x0e32ef…
10-24 15:37:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xb97ab4…
10-24 14:37:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$2	0x2169d9…
10-24 14:37:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x7b4176…
10-24 14:09:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	SELL	3	98¢	$3	0x3f38e5…
10-24 14:08:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	3	51¢	$2	0x9344d7…
10-24 13:44:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	SELL	4	90¢	$4	0x295d08…
10-24 13:41:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x57ba12…
10-24 13:28:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	SELL	6	25¢	$2	0x406f44…
10-24 13:28:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	20¢	$1	0xe5a18c…
10-24 13:12:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0xe704d7…
10-24 13:12:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	49¢	$2	0xb937da…
10-24 12:53:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	SELL	4	84¢	$3	0x2ae055…
10-24 12:52:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x5f5509…
10-24 12:03:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0xd36fd3…
10-24 12:03:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xc20a17…
10-24 12:03:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	BUY	3	47¢	$2	0x69e8b1…
10-24 11:36:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	SELL	6	15¢	$1	0x688355…
10-24 11:35:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	BUY	6	23¢	$1	0x5e4983…
10-20 10:27:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Up	SELL	1	24¢	$0	0x96952d…
10-20 10:24:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Up	SELL	3	13¢	$0	0xac5659…
10-20 10:24:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x81d61c…
10-20 10:23:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Up	SELL	3	42¢	$1	0x266677…
10-20 10:23:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	46¢	$1	0x55b4d1…
10-19 18:47:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	SELL	4	38¢	$2	0x2e8c1a…
10-19 18:45:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x3470a1…
10-19 18:45:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	SELL	3	33¢	$1	0x87b460…
10-19 18:45:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x087ffc…
10-19 18:45:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	SELL	4	32¢	$1	0x737803…
10-19 18:45:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	4	33¢	$1	0x823548…
10-19 18:45:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	SELL	4	31¢	$1	0xf23376…
10-19 18:45:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	4	31¢	$1	0x852239…
10-19 18:01:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	4	30¢	$1	0xa432af…
10-19 17:44:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Up	SELL	3	55¢	$2	0x581721…
10-19 17:43:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	4	35¢	$1	0xa7f099…
10-19 17:34:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Down	SELL	2	74¢	$2	0xe8f743…
10-19 17:32:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	69¢	$2	0xf6f48f…
10-19 17:32:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Up	SELL	4	23¢	$1	0xa3b459…
10-19 17:30:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xe54844…
10-19 17:21:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xeb4766…
10-19 17:19:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Down	SELL	0	28¢	$0	0xb5b237…
10-19 17:18:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Down	SELL	5	27¢	$1	0xf2cee7…
10-19 17:17:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0xa642dc…
10-19 17:16:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Up	SELL	3	47¢	$1	0xb3e7d8…
10-19 17:15:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	45¢	$1	0xa16645…
10-19 17:11:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Up	SELL	0	37¢	$0	0x03ccf9…