Gentle-Wastebasket — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$329

Unrealized P&L

-$2

Hit rate

54.0%

Resolved

185

Trades

810

lifetime

Volume

$20.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$25

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-07

last 10-26 02:43

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 73 days

Categories

Other

78% 16% -$85

Politics

13% 14% +$49

Sports

7% 10% -$404

Crypto

2% 50% +$111

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?	Yes		+75	$4	4¢	$3	-$2	05-20 20:53

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will mrbeasts latest video get between 50 and 55 million views on week 1	10	$1.8K	1,380	1,380	+0	Yes	+$411	02-11 13:05
Will MrBeast's next video get 90 million or more views on week 1?	13	$1.4K	2,634	890	+1,744	No	-$31	05-09 10:55
Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?	3	$999	970	970	+0	Yes	+$872	04-05 14:04
lib cp cor 2026 04 09 cor	3	$776	602	602	+0	Yes	+$427	04-10 02:47
US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?	4	$726	2,700	1,192	+1,508	Yes	+$537	05-31 04:04
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	3	$700	590	590	+0	No	+$478	10-26 02:43
Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?	15	$681	766	766	+0	Yes	+$396	05-09 10:47
will mrbeasts latest video get 1820 million views on day 1 938 134	10	$674	490	490	+0	Yes	+$297	02-22 13:44
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?	3	$513	597	597	+0	Yes	+$167	05-09 06:41
will mrbeasts next video get between 75 and 76 million views on day 5	13	$481	754	754	+0	Yes	+$427	03-26 04:09
will mrbeasts next video get between 28 and 32 million views on day 2	3	$411	323	323	+0	Yes	+$211	02-23 06:17
Will Donald Trump dance on May 25, 2026?	2	$401	305	305	+0	No	+$206	05-27 18:17
will mrbeasts next video get between 35pt0 and 35pt5 million views on day 4	11	$395	786	0	+786	No	-$395	02-25 07:00
Will MrBeast's video get less than 66 million views on week 1?	16	$373	1,724	807	+918	No	-$244	05-23 15:02
Will MrBeast's next video get 90 million or more views on week 1?	2	$335	278	269	+9	Yes	+$158	04-24 06:18
Will Austria win on 2026-06-17?	3	$327	240	240	+0	Yes	+$90	06-17 05:43
fifwc aut jor 2026 06 17 total 3pt5	2	$323	190	190	+0	Over	+$53	06-17 06:08
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	5	$320	1,184	0	+1,184	No	-$320	06-08 19:12
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	6	$287	4,579	4,579	+0	No	+$103	06-02 06:44
Will France win on 2026-06-16?	2	$271	210	210	+0	Yes	+$73	06-16 20:31
will mrbeasts latest video get between 70 and 71 million views on day 5	8	$238	309	309	+0	Yes	+$120	04-09 12:35
50m views on a MrBeast video in the first day by April 30?	7	$217	618	618	+0	No	-$91	04-04 21:10
will mrbeasts latest video get between 74 and 75 million views on day 6	3	$201	670	0	+670	No	-$201	04-10 04:16
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	11	$197	4,906	4,405	+501	Yes	-$20	05-29 02:59
Will Panama win on 2026-06-17?	2	$197	333	333	+0	No	-$3	06-17 22:59
us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 15 2026 671	5	$192	1,239	1,239	+0	No	-$31	06-16 06:39
will trump agree to iranian enrichment of uranium by june 30	3	$179	600	600	+0	No	-$11	06-18 01:40
will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 16 20260615224555000	5	$172	154	154	+0	No	+$118	06-17 18:09
Will MrBeast's next video get between 50 and 55 million views on day 1?	2	$170	1,053	0	+1,053	No	-$170	04-04 05:34
Will MrBeast's next video get between 61 and 62 million views on day 6?	5	$169	1,709	0	+1,709	No	-$169	05-22 04:56

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-26 02:43:06	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	590	100¢	$589	0x835f98…
10-25 16:52:08	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	103	19¢	$19	0x5e9dcf…
10-25 16:51:57	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	487	19¢	$92	0x949dc5…
07-01 07:57:47	Will MrBeast's next video get between 47 and 48 million views on day 4?	Yes	BUY	1,049	1¢	$7	0x3b06a9…
06-22 05:50:08	Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	4,549	1¢	$32	0x7978b0…
06-19 09:11:16	Will MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	263	2¢	$5	0x7cceae…
06-19 02:31:58	Will Mexico vs. Korea Republic end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	300	18¢	$54	0x71cfa4…
06-19 01:37:53	Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-18?	Yes	BUY	500	20¢	$100	0x85c315…
06-18 01:41:37	Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.2–0.3%?	No	BUY	127	10¢	$13	0x65c53b…
06-18 01:40:07	will trump agree to iranian enrichment of uranium by june 30	Yes	SELL	600	14¢	$84	0xc5c8f9…
06-18 01:33:23	will trump agree to iranian enrichment of uranium by june 30	Yes	BUY	500	16¢	$79	0xe96bc2…
06-18 01:32:55	will trump agree to iranian enrichment of uranium by june 30	Yes	BUY	100	16¢	$16	0x248655…
06-17 22:59:38	Will Ghana win on 2026-06-17?	Yes	BUY	390	40¢	$156	0xdda6f2…
06-17 22:59:11	Will Panama win on 2026-06-17?	Yes	SELL	333	29¢	$97	0x78f6ec…
06-17 22:56:43	Will Panama win on 2026-06-17?	Yes	BUY	333	30¢	$100	0x198640…
06-17 20:15:10	Will England win on 2026-06-17?	No	BUY	200	22¢	$44	0x50eb39…
06-17 18:52:53	Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?	Yes	BUY	29	17¢	$5	0xb17229…
06-17 18:40:37	Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?	Yes	BUY	140	43¢	$60	0xac538f…
06-17 18:09:08	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 16 20260615224555000	No	SELL	154	94¢	$145	0xae1bee…
06-17 08:44:04	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 16 20260615224555000	No	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0x0af3b4…
06-17 08:43:49	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 16 20260615224555000	No	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0xf78a76…
06-17 08:43:29	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 16 20260615224555000	No	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0x528ef8…
06-17 08:36:25	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 16 20260615224555000	No	BUY	100	12¢	$12	0x692003…
06-17 06:08:35	fifwc aut jor 2026 06 17 total 3pt5	Over	SELL	190	99¢	$188	0x95e2b3…
06-17 06:06:05	fifwc aut jor 2026 06 17 total 3pt5	Over	BUY	190	71¢	$135	0x66c023…
06-17 05:56:59	Will Austria vs. Jordan end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	70	9¢	$6	0xf2d188…
06-17 05:50:31	Will Austria vs. Jordan end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	100	13¢	$13	0xbe8b39…
06-17 05:43:16	Will Austria win on 2026-06-17?	Yes	SELL	240	87¢	$209	0x35de10…
06-17 05:37:11	Will Austria win on 2026-06-17?	Yes	BUY	140	39¢	$55	0x3ce5b5…
06-17 05:35:38	Will Austria win on 2026-06-17?	Yes	BUY	100	64¢	$64	0x31321a…
06-16 20:31:29	Will France win on 2026-06-16?	Yes	SELL	210	82¢	$172	0xccf8fe…
06-16 20:18:07	Will France win on 2026-06-16?	Yes	BUY	210	47¢	$99	0xa8ec6e…
06-16 07:11:49	Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.2–0.3%?	No	BUY	280	7¢	$20	0x20671b…
06-16 06:39:58	Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.4–0.5%?	Yes	BUY	2,610	0¢	$5	0xc2454c…
06-16 06:39:07	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 15 2026 671	Yes	SELL	39	9¢	$4	0x3b8692…
06-16 06:21:04	Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.2–0.3%?	No	BUY	520	7¢	$37	0x8b2e18…
06-16 06:10:37	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 15 2026 671	Yes	BUY	39	40¢	$16	0x1f141d…
06-08 19:12:34	Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	141	20¢	$28	0x4dd582…
06-08 18:47:37	Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on June 8?	Yes	BUY	61	5¢	$3	0x6f88d2…
06-08 17:26:21	Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	381	22¢	$83	0xd03042…
06-08 13:33:46	Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	271	30¢	$81	0x5e96a4…
06-08 07:14:36	Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	170	31¢	$52	0x378adf…
06-08 06:14:27	Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	220	34¢	$75	0x834f34…
06-08 06:13:25	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 15 2026 671	Yes	SELL	1,200	6¢	$77	0xadbb9a…
06-07 04:27:45	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 15 2026 671	Yes	BUY	800	8¢	$64	0x22b9fc…
06-07 04:23:30	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 15 2026 671	Yes	BUY	400	8¢	$32	0x5543f9…
06-07 02:48:03	Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x8d7413…
06-06 21:06:39	Will Honduras win on 2026-06-06?	Yes	BUY	239	4¢	$9	0x4180c9…
06-06 14:34:01	Will MrBeast's next video get 64 million or more views in week 1?	Yes	BUY	32	9¢	$3	0x3169a0…
06-06 14:33:43	Will MrBeast's next video get between 63.5 and 64 million views in week 1?	No	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0x895e2b…
06-06 14:33:43	Will MrBeast's next video get between 63.5 and 64 million views in week 1?	No	BUY	14	8¢	$1	0x1f9d60…
06-06 14:33:43	Will MrBeast's next video get between 63.5 and 64 million views in week 1?	No	BUY	31	8¢	$2	0x1679eb…
06-06 14:32:16	Will MrBeast's next video get between 63.5 and 64 million views in week 1?	No	BUY	15	7¢	$1	0xd3df3d…
06-06 14:31:31	Will MrBeast's next video get between 63.5 and 64 million views in week 1?	No	BUY	37	6¢	$2	0x66fa5d…
06-06 14:31:21	Will MrBeast's next video get 64 million or more views in week 1?	Yes	BUY	23	7¢	$2	0x2f547f…
06-06 14:31:06	Will MrBeast's next video get 64 million or more views in week 1?	Yes	BUY	43	7¢	$3	0xf19408…
06-06 14:31:06	Will MrBeast's next video get 64 million or more views in week 1?	Yes	BUY	23	7¢	$2	0xf0e980…
06-06 14:31:06	Will MrBeast's next video get 64 million or more views in week 1?	Yes	BUY	11	7¢	$1	0xe089e1…
06-06 14:27:33	Will MrBeast's next video get 64 million or more views in week 1?	Yes	BUY	125	14¢	$18	0xddf069…
06-06 14:27:10	Will MrBeast's next video get between 63.5 and 64 million views in week 1?	No	BUY	15	11¢	$2	0x2f158c…
06-06 14:26:37	Will MrBeast's next video get between 63.5 and 64 million views in week 1?	No	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x109945…
06-04 07:53:07	Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	1,501	1¢	$10	0xe3177f…
06-04 07:52:33	Will MrBeast's next video get between 58 and 59 million views on day 5?	Yes	BUY	100	17¢	$17	0xd810a8…
06-04 07:52:01	Will MrBeast's next video get between 58 and 59 million views on day 5?	Yes	BUY	10	17¢	$2	0xb64014…
06-04 07:52:01	Will MrBeast's next video get between 58 and 59 million views on day 5?	Yes	BUY	122	16¢	$20	0x397f36…
06-04 07:52:01	Will MrBeast's next video get between 58 and 59 million views on day 5?	Yes	BUY	35	17¢	$6	0x28d337…
06-04 07:43:06	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-04 07:30 UTC	Down	BUY	2	5¢	$0	0xd4930a…
06-04 07:43:06	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-04 07:30 UTC	Down	BUY	2	5¢	$0	0xd04e8c…
06-04 07:43:06	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-04 07:30 UTC	Down	BUY	1	5¢	$0	0x6e04c5…
06-04 07:43:06	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-04 07:30 UTC	Down	BUY	2	5¢	$0	0x4f5c75…
06-04 07:43:06	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-04 07:30 UTC	Down	BUY	3	5¢	$0	0x0e67d9…
06-04 07:43:06	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-04 07:30 UTC	Down	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x05e242…
06-04 07:43:04	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-04 07:30 UTC	Down	BUY	2	5¢	$0	0xab18c7…
06-04 07:43:04	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-04 07:30 UTC	Down	BUY	2	5¢	$0	0x92cde6…
06-04 07:43:04	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-04 07:30 UTC	Down	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x7dbaf1…
06-04 07:43:03	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-04 07:30 UTC	Down	BUY	1	5¢	$0	0xe28f59…
06-04 07:43:03	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-04 07:30 UTC	Down	BUY	1	5¢	$0	0x837f6a…
06-04 07:43:03	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-04 07:30 UTC	Down	BUY	1	5¢	$0	0x81858a…
06-04 07:43:03	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-04 07:30 UTC	Down	BUY	1	5¢	$0	0x6b6315…
06-04 07:43:03	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-04 07:30 UTC	Down	BUY	1	5¢	$0	0x3166e2…
06-04 07:43:03	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-04 07:30 UTC	Down	BUY	1	5¢	$0	0x25abf2…
06-04 07:43:03	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-04 07:30 UTC	Down	BUY	1	5¢	$0	0x172683…
06-04 07:43:03	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-04 07:30 UTC	Down	BUY	1	5¢	$0	0x1101da…
06-04 07:43:01	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-04 07:30 UTC	Down	BUY	1	5¢	$0	0xf81fd6…
06-04 07:43:01	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-04 07:30 UTC	Down	BUY	1	5¢	$0	0x69a115…
06-04 07:43:01	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-04 07:30 UTC	Down	BUY	1	5¢	$0	0x07d6d1…
06-04 07:43:00	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-04 07:30 UTC	Down	BUY	14	5¢	$1	0x596400…
06-04 07:43:00	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-04 07:30 UTC	Down	BUY	31	5¢	$2	0x4fbca6…
06-04 07:43:00	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-04 07:30 UTC	Down	BUY	2	5¢	$0	0x3e1a5d…
06-04 07:42:58	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-04 07:30 UTC	Down	BUY	7	5¢	$0	0xdfe0ee…
06-04 07:42:58	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-04 07:30 UTC	Down	BUY	2	5¢	$0	0x99b306…
06-04 07:42:58	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-04 07:30 UTC	Down	BUY	9	5¢	$0	0x86de4e…
06-04 07:27:55	Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$3	0x5a1d5d…
06-04 04:47:54	Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	30	1¢	$0	0x0dec95…
06-04 04:09:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 04:05 UTC	Down	SELL	30	99¢	$30	0x29ad44…
06-04 04:05:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 04:05 UTC	Down	BUY	15	39¢	$6	0x952f3c…
06-04 04:05:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 04:05 UTC	Down	BUY	15	39¢	$6	0x2e22ed…
06-04 04:03:54	will donald trump publicly insult benjamin netanyahu by june 30 2026	Yes	SELL	235	20¢	$47	0xd9a677…
06-04 03:41:09	will donald trump publicly insult benjamin netanyahu by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	235	21¢	$49	0x687276…
06-03 13:27:02	Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	551	2¢	$8	0x9b7007…