Irresponsible-Erosion — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$135

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

95.7%

Resolved

713

Trades

1,165

lifetime

Volume

$17.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$15

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-05

last 06-24 22:10

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 76 days

Categories

Other

71% 94% -$81

Crypto

13% 89% -$9

Politics

10% 94% -$23

Sports

4% 74% -$27

Tech

1% 75% +$6

Pop-Culture

0% 50% -$1

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-24).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 May 4-10?	40	$507	513	+513	No	+$6	05-09 08:03
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?	29	$269	274	+274	No	+$6	06-02 21:51
Will there be exactly 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from April 27 - May 3?	10	$232	237	+237	No	+$5	05-01 13:51
will tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election by 9	13	$200	202	+202	Yes	+$1	04-17 23:31
Will "The Boroughs" be the top global Netflix show this week?	14	$199	201	+201	Yes	+$2	05-31 13:24
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31?	8	$197	203	+203	No	+$6	05-30 17:21
Will G2 win IEM Cologne Major 2026?	15	$174	178	+178	No	+$4	06-18 09:11
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?	7	$132	133	+133	No	+$1	05-31 05:21
Will 100 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 8-June 14?	6	$124	125	+125	No	+$1	06-11 19:55
Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on June 20, 2026?	18	$123	127	+127	Yes	+$4	06-19 15:30
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?	8	$113	113	+113	No	+$0	04-27 07:55
Will no one dissent the April Fed decision?	22	$111	116	+116	No	+$5	04-28 07:53
us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 10 2026	6	$105	106	+106	No	+$1	06-08 13:30
Will Ken Paxton win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by between 6% and 9%?	6	$103	107	+107	No	+$4	05-23 23:50
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 7 to May 9, 2026?	5	$102	103	+103	No	+$1	05-09 03:13
Will Zelenskyy post 80-99 posts from April 24 to May 1, 2026?	4	$98	100	+100	No	+$2	05-01 13:12
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?	6	$92	95	+95	No	+$3	06-17 01:40
Will Russia enter Pokrovskoe by April 30, 2026?	5	$86	87	+87	No	+$1	04-19 10:44
Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 April 20-26?	8	$85	85	+85	No	+$0	04-26 03:51
Spread: Morocco (-2.5)	3	$84	85	+85	Brazil	+$1	06-13 08:45
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 on May 23?	4	$84	85	+85	No	+$1	05-23 22:20
will tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election by 9 12	6	$84	87	+87	No	+$3	04-15 08:35
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on May 24?	2	$83	86	+86	No	+$3	05-23 17:39
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?	4	$83	86	+86	No	+$3	06-16 16:14
Will Trump’s approval rating be between 37.5 and 37.9 on May 29, 2026?	5	$83	84	+84	No	+$1	05-27 14:18
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 30°C on June 24?	2	$82	83	+83	No	+$1	06-23 07:51
Will Keith Mitchell win the 2026 THE CJ CUP Byron Nelson?	3	$78	80	+80	No	+$2	05-23 09:47
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?	4	$76	78	+78	No	+$2	05-27 08:06
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?	4	$74	75	+75	No	+$1	06-10 08:12
Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 April 20-26?	6	$73	74	+74	No	+$0	04-24 23:32

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-24 22:10:43	will the announcers say header during the czechia vs mexico fifa world cup match 20260623165221713	Yes	BUY	23	99¢	$23	0x93ef14…
06-24 15:05:17	Will Ghana win Group L in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	19	96¢	$18	0xf12bb1…
06-24 15:02:46	Will Ghana win Group L in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	19	96¢	$18	0x920ddb…
06-24 13:47:19	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 24°C on June 25?	No	BUY	29	99¢	$29	0x1c1415…
06-24 13:02:05	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 34°C or higher on June 26?	No	BUY	31	99¢	$31	0x85a123…
06-24 12:16:58	Exact Score: Bosnia-Herzegovina 2 - 3 Qatar?	No	BUY	32	99¢	$32	0x7db749…
06-24 07:37:31	dota2 pr1 vsn2 2026 06 24	TEAM VISION	BUY	13	94¢	$12	0xf35d15…
06-23 23:02:25	Will Durable Goods Orders MoM be between 0% and 2% in May?	No	BUY	12	93¢	$11	0x35cb30…
06-23 22:51:14	Exact Score: Colombia 0 - 0 DR Congo?	No	BUY	22	91¢	$20	0x28ebb0…
06-23 19:25:32	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on June 24?	No	BUY	31	97¢	$30	0x435615…
06-23 18:32:14	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?	No	BUY	21	98¢	$21	0xfbfba7…
06-23 18:29:44	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?	No	BUY	22	98¢	$22	0x181ed3…
06-23 15:55:05	Exact Score: Colombia 3 - 2 DR Congo?	No	BUY	26	98¢	$25	0x2b12dd…
06-23 15:55:04	Ghana leading at halftime?	No	BUY	19	93¢	$18	0x88706a…
06-23 15:52:34	Exact Score: Panama 3 - 3 Croatia?	No	BUY	26	99¢	$26	0x032ec9…
06-23 15:50:04	Exact Score: Panama 3 - 3 Croatia?	No	BUY	28	99¢	$28	0x8ba13c…
06-23 15:17:28	aapl close above 295 on june 23 2026	Yes	BUY	30	96¢	$29	0x2c943a…
06-23 15:04:55	fifwc par aus 2026 06 25 team total away 2pt5	Under	BUY	21	95¢	$20	0x1f3888…
06-23 14:54:53	ethereum above 1700 on june 23 2026	No	BUY	31	99¢	$31	0x0a85fb…
06-23 14:19:47	Exact Score: Japan 0 - 2 Sweden?	No	BUY	33	98¢	$32	0x19c567…
06-23 14:14:47	ethereum above 1700 on june 23 2026	No	BUY	34	98¢	$33	0x7850c9…
06-23 13:24:38	Exact Score: Colombia 3 - 3 DR Congo?	No	BUY	36	99¢	$36	0x8cb3db…
06-23 12:16:58	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 18°C on June 24?	No	BUY	38	99¢	$38	0x0a87c9…
06-23 12:06:56	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 32°C on June 24?	No	BUY	28	91¢	$26	0x7ed018…
06-23 07:51:46	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 30°C on June 24?	No	BUY	40	99¢	$40	0x0e129f…
06-23 07:46:46	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 30°C on June 24?	No	BUY	43	99¢	$43	0x5ec37d…
06-23 01:01:28	will the announcers say header during the portugal vs uzbekistan fifa world cup match 20260622180548669	Yes	BUY	28	98¢	$27	0xe871c5…
06-22 20:26:08	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 32°C or higher on June 24?	No	BUY	28	88¢	$24	0xf9d74e…
06-22 20:03:32	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on June 24?	No	BUY	37	99¢	$37	0x794185…
06-22 20:01:01	Exact Score: Ecuador 1 - 3 Germany?	No	BUY	27	94¢	$25	0x38269b…
06-22 18:53:13	bitcoin above 62k on june 23 2026	Yes	BUY	28	97¢	$27	0xff2dd9…
06-22 15:34:32	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on June 24?	No	BUY	23	99¢	$23	0xa25b96…
06-22 12:43:53	Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 1 Austria?	No	BUY	18	94¢	$17	0x04aefa…
06-22 12:43:23	will bitcoin reach 67k on june 22	No	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0x7cfa9e…
06-22 12:33:52	will bitcoin dip to 63k on june 22	No	BUY	19	92¢	$17	0xc01592…
06-22 11:13:40	fifwc arg aut 2026 06 22 total 6pt5	Under	BUY	27	98¢	$26	0x1719b5…
06-22 09:38:22	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on June 22?	Yes	BUY	28	99¢	$28	0xd11699…
06-22 09:03:17	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 20 to June 22, 2026?	No	BUY	12	90¢	$11	0xaa2d2e…
06-22 08:28:16	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on June 22?	Yes	BUY	29	98¢	$29	0x496cec…
06-22 06:53:13	Exact Score: France 0 - 1 Iraq?	No	BUY	31	99¢	$31	0x06103b…
06-22 06:33:11	Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 3 Austria?	No	BUY	33	99¢	$33	0x2cb982…
06-22 06:23:11	Exact Score: France 0 - 1 Iraq?	No	BUY	34	99¢	$34	0x498f33…
06-22 05:13:08	Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 3 Austria?	No	BUY	36	99¢	$36	0xc43937…
06-22 04:43:01	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 29°C on June 23?	No	BUY	38	99¢	$38	0xb1fec2…
06-22 04:23:01	Exact Score: Any Other Score?	No	BUY	17	86¢	$15	0x2fe0e7…
06-22 01:42:53	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 32°C on June 22?	No	BUY	38	99¢	$38	0xe0f7eb…
06-22 00:42:47	Exact Score: New Zealand 1 - 2 Egypt?	No	BUY	17	90¢	$15	0x9f21a6…
06-22 00:32:47	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 39°C on June 22?	No	BUY	41	99¢	$41	0xa6fd3a…
06-21 23:12:37	bitcoin above 62k on june 22 2026	Yes	BUY	26	92¢	$24	0x715873…
06-21 22:42:34	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 30°C on June 22?	No	BUY	36	99¢	$36	0xb0913f…
06-21 22:32:32	Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 5-10%?	No	BUY	38	99¢	$38	0x63645a…
06-21 22:22:32	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 36°C on June 22?	No	BUY	41	98¢	$40	0xa8edfc…
06-21 16:49:41	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 20 to June 22, 2026?	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x1945b7…
06-21 16:47:11	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 20 to June 22, 2026?	No	BUY	21	98¢	$21	0x82c933…
06-21 15:07:07	will bitcoin reach 66k on june 21	No	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0x79bc87…
06-21 15:02:07	Exact Score: Uruguay 2 - 1 Cabo Verde?	No	BUY	21	91¢	$19	0x6383fa…
06-21 14:01:43	Exact Score: Uruguay 0 - 0 Cabo Verde?	No	BUY	12	90¢	$11	0xcc65d5…
06-21 13:56:38	fifwc bel irn 2026 06 21 spread home 5pt5	IR Iran	BUY	29	99¢	$29	0x2de0ab…
06-21 13:06:16	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 36°C or higher on June 22?	No	BUY	31	99¢	$31	0x442ede…
06-21 12:46:05	Exact Score: Belgium 1 - 1 IR Iran?	No	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0xfedf40…
06-21 05:40:46	Will the highest temperature in London be 38°C on June 23?	No	BUY	18	94¢	$17	0x9955b3…
06-21 02:40:35	bitcoin above 66k on june 21 2026	No	BUY	26	98¢	$25	0xa612e3…
06-21 02:30:35	bitcoin above 66k on june 21 2026	No	BUY	28	98¢	$27	0xcf98ec…
06-21 02:21:38	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?	No	BUY	12	91¢	$11	0x6155db…
06-21 02:20:35	bra2 crb fec 2026 06 21 total 5pt5	Under	BUY	29	98¢	$28	0xd2b18f…
06-21 00:40:29	fifwc bel irn 2026 06 21 total 6pt5	Under	BUY	31	98¢	$30	0xb09fe6…
06-20 20:31:32	Will Matt Fitzpatrick win the 2026 U.S. Open?	No	BUY	24	96¢	$23	0x6db59f…
06-20 20:29:02	Will Matt Fitzpatrick win the 2026 U.S. Open?	No	BUY	24	96¢	$23	0x208c5f…
06-20 17:51:25	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 20 to June 22, 2026?	No	BUY	21	96¢	$20	0x0131d0…
06-20 16:59:52	Exact Score: Netherlands 3 - 3 Sweden?	No	BUY	29	98¢	$28	0x3d5192…
06-20 11:16:37	Exact Score: Netherlands 1 - 3 Sweden?	No	BUY	23	98¢	$23	0xbf6d0a…
06-20 09:06:08	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 18 to June 20, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0x16a91c…
06-20 07:01:26	Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-21?	No	BUY	10	89¢	$9	0x3a6854…
06-20 01:31:20	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 37°C on June 21?	No	BUY	16	93¢	$15	0xd530b5…
06-20 00:01:17	Exact Score: Netherlands 3 - 1 Sweden?	No	BUY	15	94¢	$14	0x42c864…
06-19 20:38:31	dota2 sb5 pr1 2026 06 19	Power Rangers	BUY	4	88¢	$4	0x01096e…
06-19 20:00:59	fifwc sco mar 2026 06 19 spread away 4pt5	Scotland	BUY	11	98¢	$11	0x303b46…
06-19 19:33:25	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 92-93°F on June 20?	No	BUY	4	89¢	$4	0x6a2be9…
06-19 18:58:19	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on June 21?	No	BUY	8	93¢	$7	0x12a53d…
06-19 18:53:17	Exact Score: Türkiye 2 - 3 Paraguay?	No	BUY	11	98¢	$11	0x5b573a…
06-19 18:33:14	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 36°C or higher on June 21?	No	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0xbea145…
06-19 18:25:43	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on June 20?	No	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0x8b8d68…
06-19 16:27:55	Exact Score: United States 3 - 3 Australia?	No	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x9ab85e…
06-19 15:30:41	Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on June 20, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x21e09f…
06-19 15:28:11	Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on June 20, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x7bb06d…
06-19 15:25:41	Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on June 20, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xc35e0f…
06-19 15:23:11	Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on June 20, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	97¢	$6	0xd4328c…
06-19 15:20:40	Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on June 20, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	97¢	$6	0x8cb64f…
06-19 15:18:10	Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on June 20, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	97¢	$6	0x94bf79…
06-19 15:15:40	Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on June 20, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	97¢	$6	0xe7401d…
06-19 15:13:10	Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on June 20, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	97¢	$6	0xe2f9c5…
06-19 15:10:40	Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on June 20, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	97¢	$6	0xc82f1a…
06-19 15:08:08	Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on June 20, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	97¢	$7	0x7d2222…
06-19 15:05:38	Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on June 20, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	97¢	$7	0xa12f65…
06-19 15:03:08	Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on June 20, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	97¢	$8	0x4744d8…
06-19 15:00:38	Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on June 20, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	97¢	$8	0x25e19c…
06-19 14:57:34	Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on June 20, 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	97¢	$12	0xfde771…
06-19 14:55:37	Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on June 20, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	97¢	$8	0x430a0b…
06-19 14:53:07	Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on June 20, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	97¢	$8	0x99c755…
06-19 14:50:37	Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on June 20, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	97¢	$9	0x79aec4…