Misguided-Afoul — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$25

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

59.7%

Resolved

136

Trades

3,154

lifetime

Volume

$109.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$35

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-19

last 06-21 17:53

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 9 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 49% +$26

Sports

0% — —

Politics

0% 0% $-1

Other

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

38 active days in 12wk • peak 165 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 5m 1775320800	5	$1.1K	624	620	+4	open	—	04-04 16:45
btc updown 5m 1775672700	7	$1.0K	1,067	1,032	+35	open	—	04-08 18:29
btc updown 5m 1775570700	2	$950	525	519	+6	open	—	04-07 14:07
btc updown 15m 1774722600	5	$888	1,602	1,589	+14	open	—	03-28 18:40
btc updown 5m 1775322600	5	$717	435	425	+10	open	—	04-04 17:15
btc updown 5m 1775656800	7	$686	520	506	+14	open	—	04-08 14:03
btc updown 5m 1775574900	2	$685	359	357	+2	open	—	04-07 15:19
btc updown 5m 1774699800	5	$678	377	375	+2	open	—	03-28 12:15
btc updown 5m 1775414100	12	$667	616	588	+27	open	—	04-05 18:40
btc updown 5m 1775470800	2	$650	361	357	+4	open	—	04-06 10:24
btc updown 5m 1774718100	2	$646	345	344	+0	open	—	03-28 17:18
btc updown 5m 1774765200	2	$638	333	332	+0	open	—	03-29 06:25
btc updown 5m 1775397600	2	$629	339	336	+3	open	—	04-05 14:04
btc updown 5m 1775391000	2	$623	338	334	+4	open	—	04-05 12:15
btc updown 5m 1775655000	3	$623	331	329	+2	open	—	04-08 13:32
btc updown 5m 1775977500	4	$617	337	334	+3	open	—	04-12 07:10
btc updown 5m 1775989200	4	$605	390	379	+12	open	—	04-12 10:25
btc updown 5m 1775496600	8	$583	400	394	+5	open	—	04-06 17:35
btc updown 5m 1775301300	2	$582	312	310	+2	open	—	04-04 11:18
btc updown 5m 1776676500	5	$575	361	351	+9	open	—	04-20 09:19
btc updown 5m 1775313900	2	$561	289	288	+1	open	—	04-04 14:50
btc updown 5m 1775314500	3	$558	351	341	+9	open	—	04-04 15:00
btc updown 5m 1775670300	2	$557	373	360	+12	open	—	04-08 17:50
btc updown 5m 1775322000	2	$554	305	302	+3	open	—	04-04 17:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	11	$548	841	583	+258	open	—	04-30 17:25
btc updown 5m 1775387700	2	$544	288	286	+2	open	—	04-05 11:20
btc updown 5m 1775988900	4	$521	334	324	+10	open	—	04-12 10:20
btc updown 5m 1775928600	2	$516	305	300	+5	open	—	04-11 17:33
btc updown 5m 1774757700	2	$480	244	244	+0	open	—	03-29 04:20
btc updown 5m 1774969200	3	$477	289	282	+6	open	—	03-31 15:03

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-21 17:53:19	btc updown 5m 1782064200	Up	SELL	21	36¢	$7	0xe15c4e…
06-21 17:51:32	btc updown 5m 1782064200	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x6a841d…
06-21 17:50:35	btc updown 5m 1782064200	Up	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0xc2a301…
06-18 15:51:29	btc updown 5m 1781797800	Up	SELL	18	15¢	$3	0x2faf79…
06-18 15:50:38	btc updown 5m 1781797800	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x6fa46e…
06-18 15:50:20	btc updown 5m 1781797800	Up	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x2ece69…
06-18 13:56:38	btc updown 5m 1781790900	Up	SELL	28	22¢	$6	0x409b95…
06-18 13:55:37	btc updown 5m 1781790900	Up	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0xb2b86f…
06-18 13:54:38	btc updown 5m 1781790900	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x72ff1e…
06-18 13:54:35	btc updown 5m 1781790900	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x8623de…
06-18 13:54:13	btc updown 5m 1781790600	Up	SELL	33	18¢	$6	0x66e751…
06-18 13:53:28	btc updown 5m 1781790600	Up	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0xe766e7…
06-18 13:53:20	btc updown 5m 1781790600	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x5c1994…
06-18 13:53:11	btc updown 5m 1781790600	Up	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x42c49d…
06-18 13:52:43	btc updown 5m 1781790600	Up	SELL	75	30¢	$23	0x81b63e…
06-18 13:50:38	btc updown 5m 1781790600	Up	BUY	52	48¢	$25	0x7cf187…
06-18 13:50:28	btc updown 5m 1781790600	Up	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0xccb261…
06-18 13:50:02	btc updown 5m 1781790600	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x921601…
06-18 13:49:50	btc updown 5m 1781790300	Up	SELL	29	99¢	$29	0x70e02b…
06-18 13:48:46	btc updown 5m 1781790300	Up	BUY	29	85¢	$25	0x9c44fc…
06-17 16:42:55	btc updown 5m 1781714400	Down	SELL	13	51¢	$7	0x51c51f…
06-17 16:40:29	btc updown 5m 1781714400	Down	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0xfbe394…
06-17 16:40:29	btc updown 5m 1781714400	Down	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0xd285aa…
06-17 16:17:29	btc updown 5m 1781712900	Up	SELL	20	95¢	$19	0x4f22a6…
06-17 16:16:02	btc updown 5m 1781712900	Up	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x41b383…
06-17 16:15:34	btc updown 5m 1781712900	Up	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0xcaa9ca…
06-17 16:08:46	btc updown 5m 1781712300	Down	SELL	8	77¢	$6	0x17fb13…
06-17 16:06:29	btc updown 5m 1781712300	Down	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x474811…
06-17 15:52:05	btc updown 5m 1781711400	Up	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0x4c01fc…
06-17 15:48:53	btc updown 5m 1781711100	Up	SELL	21	98¢	$20	0xa15ff8…
06-17 15:46:55	btc updown 5m 1781711100	Up	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x9bcdff…
06-17 15:45:50	btc updown 5m 1781711100	Up	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x85e2b2…
06-17 15:44:52	btc updown 5m 1781710800	Up	SELL	72	64¢	$46	0xd2126e…
06-17 15:41:56	btc updown 5m 1781710800	Up	BUY	45	56¢	$25	0xf4e930…
06-17 15:41:17	btc updown 5m 1781710800	Up	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0x664439…
06-17 15:40:23	btc updown 5m 1781710800	Up	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0xa389ba…
06-17 15:38:10	btc updown 5m 1781710500	Up	SELL	10	61¢	$6	0x4d620b…
06-17 15:36:31	btc updown 5m 1781710500	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x826a27…
06-17 15:19:41	btc updown 5m 1781709300	Up	SELL	49	21¢	$10	0x327407…
06-17 15:14:53	btc updown 5m 1781709300	Up	BUY	49	51¢	$25	0xe51b80…
06-17 15:12:05	btc updown 5m 1781709000	Down	SELL	21	12¢	$2	0x2e9c4a…
06-17 15:11:10	btc updown 5m 1781709000	Down	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0xb48e16…
06-17 14:56:55	btc updown 5m 1781708100	Up	SELL	21	18¢	$4	0x19a0d8…
06-17 14:55:44	btc updown 5m 1781708100	Up	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0x1a0cca…
06-17 14:54:26	btc updown 5m 1781707800	Up	SELL	13	99¢	$13	0xb9ab06…
06-17 14:50:47	btc updown 5m 1781707800	Up	BUY	13	77¢	$10	0xaa261b…
06-17 14:43:04	btc updown 5m 1781707200	Up	BUY	15	68¢	$10	0x89623e…
06-17 14:42:02	btc updown 5m 1781707200	Down	BUY	13	76¢	$10	0xb1e11a…
06-03 12:11:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	SELL	36	15¢	$5	0xd42bbc…
06-03 12:10:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	36	70¢	$25	0x6f5b45…
06-03 12:09:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	SELL	49	3¢	$1	0x53eb85…
06-03 12:08:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	SELL	30	4¢	$1	0x98e408…
06-03 12:05:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	32	31¢	$10	0xebf889…
06-03 12:05:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	27	37¢	$10	0xe6606d…
06-03 12:04:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x79262d…
06-03 11:53:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	SELL	20	32¢	$7	0x4cd206…
06-03 11:52:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0xdf1d6b…
06-03 05:49:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Up	SELL	27	98¢	$27	0xad141e…
06-03 05:48:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Up	BUY	27	91¢	$25	0x9b1cfb…
06-03 02:19:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	SELL	26	99¢	$26	0xc23fc8…
06-03 02:18:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	BUY	26	95¢	$25	0x7a7e4f…
06-03 02:13:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	SELL	34	34¢	$12	0x109d1e…
06-03 01:48:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	SELL	29	16¢	$5	0x29ce3e…
06-03 01:47:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	BUY	29	34¢	$10	0x501697…
06-02 19:04:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	SELL	165	3¢	$5	0x546952…
06-02 19:02:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	91	11¢	$10	0xe6e0e1…
06-02 19:01:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0xd8e8bb…
06-02 19:00:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x59b96e…
06-02 18:59:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x79e44f…
06-02 18:59:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x08b4d5…
06-02 18:52:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	SELL	78	14¢	$11	0x0e93d9…
06-02 18:52:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	78	32¢	$25	0x1c4322…
06-02 18:29:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	SELL	32	20¢	$6	0xdf9356…
06-02 18:29:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	16	64¢	$10	0xa02526…
06-02 18:28:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	32	79¢	$25	0x408b9c…
06-02 18:14:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x213b98…
06-02 18:13:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	SELL	37	37¢	$14	0x79689f…
06-02 18:12:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	37	67¢	$25	0x6e6288…
06-02 18:12:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	SELL	35	42¢	$15	0x3cff26…
06-02 18:10:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	18	57¢	$10	0x97e358…
06-02 18:10:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0x4d5884…
06-02 18:08:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	SELL	63	98¢	$62	0x8e5710…
06-02 18:07:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	29	34¢	$10	0xca0a63…
06-02 18:06:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0x893f72…
06-02 18:05:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0x4f2368…
06-02 18:03:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	SELL	51	79¢	$40	0x833976…
06-02 18:01:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0xb144d6…
06-02 17:59:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xa0815f…
06-02 17:59:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x606762…
06-02 17:59:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	SELL	53	97¢	$52	0x72ec1d…
06-02 17:57:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0x1183d8…
06-02 17:57:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	38	66¢	$25	0x03e795…
06-02 17:40:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	SELL	29	18¢	$5	0xf41f83…
06-02 17:40:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	29	34¢	$10	0xe03408…
06-02 17:33:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	SELL	48	91¢	$44	0xf8454d…
06-02 17:31:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	32	79¢	$25	0x514ef7…
06-02 17:30:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	17	66¢	$11	0xc86ee3…
06-02 17:07:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	SELL	17	26¢	$4	0xdac035…
06-02 17:07:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0x6f3e47…
06-02 17:02:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	SELL	49	94¢	$46	0x479ba5…