Stupendous-Town — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$111

Unrealized P&L

-$4

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$5.73K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$76

Open exposure

$284

1 position

First seen

2026-01-06

last 07-08 08:44

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

61% — —

Politics

34% 100% +$111

Sports

4% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

16 active days in 12wk • peak 12 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No		+300	$288	94¢	$284	$-4	07-08 08:44

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	8	$833	595	320	+275	open	—	05-25 16:50
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	3	$758	788	0	+788	open	—	06-04 03:01
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	3	$337	220	220	+0	open	—	05-23 17:58
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	1	$288	300	0	+300	open	—	07-08 08:44
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 7 20260625174256255	1	$285	300	0	+300	open	—	06-30 22:45
will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	4	$199	150	150	+0	open	—	02-19 15:07
Will Putin visit China by May 31?	6	$197	200	0	+200	open	—	05-15 15:05
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	1	$190	200	0	+200	open	—	05-15 13:11
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	1	$188	200	0	+200	open	—	07-03 20:20
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	2	$185	190	0	+190	open	—	05-23 21:26
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	2	$166	175	0	+175	open	—	03-06 18:08
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	2	$166	90	90	+0	open	—	04-10 09:20
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	1	$142	151	0	+151	open	—	05-21 17:48
president trump to attend world cup final 20260608152749044	2	$138	150	0	+150	open	—	07-04 19:26
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	2	$122	100	100	+0	open	—	02-11 19:33
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?	1	$115	120	0	+120	open	—	05-23 18:01
us strikes iran by february 25 2026	1	$100	120	0	+120	open	—	02-19 15:07
UEFA Champions League: Unbeaten Champion	1	$99	100	0	+100	open	—	05-15 13:21
us strikes iran by february 6 2026 242 933 289 312 673 611 155 294	2	$98	102	0	+102	open	—	02-05 17:01
us strikes iran by february 9 2026 113 751	1	$98	100	0	+100	open	—	02-07 15:39
us strikes iran by february 27 2026	1	$95	100	0	+100	open	—	02-26 13:36
fifwc fra swe 2026 06 30 team to advance	1	$95	100	0	+100	open	—	06-30 21:46
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	2	$93	113	113	+0	open	—	02-01 20:08
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	2	$88	51	51	+0	open	—	02-12 02:36
Will Trump speak to Elon Musk in May?	3	$87	50	50	+0	open	—	05-15 13:37
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	5	$67	177	0	+177	Yes	+$110	04-10 10:01
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	2	$66	179	179	+0	open	—	01-27 11:50
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	1	$57	57	0	+57	open	—	05-14 09:43
US x Iran peace deal before Trump visits China?	1	$51	52	0	+52	No	+$1	05-11 15:14
will alphabet be the second largest company in the world by market cap on january 31	1	$50	57	0	+57	open	—	01-16 15:18

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-08 08:44:16	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	300	96¢	$288	0x9b2deb…
07-04 19:26:10	president trump to attend world cup final 20260608152749044	Yes	BUY	16	92¢	$14	0x20deef…
07-04 19:22:08	president trump to attend world cup final 20260608152749044	Yes	BUY	134	92¢	$124	0x02686e…
07-03 20:20:52	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	200	94¢	$188	0x7285ff…
06-30 22:45:11	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 7 20260625174256255	No	BUY	300	95¢	$285	0x49ce05…
06-30 21:46:59	fifwc fra swe 2026 06 30 team to advance	France	BUY	100	95¢	$95	0xfa7ba2…
06-04 03:01:58	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	No	BUY	380	97¢	$367	0xc408e1…
06-02 15:14:19	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?	No	BUY	300	96¢	$289	0x8c133e…
06-01 04:33:53	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?	No	BUY	108	94¢	$102	0xc095dd…
05-25 16:50:11	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	112	96¢	$108	0x1aa8a8…
05-25 16:49:45	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	13	96¢	$13	0x744d91…
05-23 21:26:25	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	No	BUY	100	97¢	$97	0x39a7bd…
05-23 21:26:25	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	No	BUY	90	97¢	$88	0x063916…
05-23 20:40:17	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	150	83¢	$124	0x1d99b0…
05-23 18:01:44	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?	Yes	BUY	120	96¢	$115	0x5131ca…
05-23 17:59:41	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	269	90¢	$242	0x0e06d6…
05-23 17:59:18	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	51	90¢	$46	0x43d1c9…
05-23 17:58:07	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	220	62¢	$136	0xa15d4e…
05-21 17:48:03	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	151	94¢	$142	0x7f757e…
05-20 10:48:03	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	120	96¢	$116	0xd4db43…
05-15 16:53:57	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	100	91¢	$91	0xce308e…
05-15 15:05:26	Will Putin visit China by May 31?	Yes	BUY	13	98¢	$13	0x4b5c66…
05-15 15:02:50	Will Putin visit China by May 31?	Yes	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0x3c2378…
05-15 14:34:01	Will Putin visit China by May 31?	Yes	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x2f6129…
05-15 14:16:17	Will Putin visit China by May 31?	Yes	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0x52f234…
05-15 13:37:59	Will Trump speak to Elon Musk in May?	Yes	SELL	50	90¢	$45	0x403f89…
05-15 13:24:43	Will Putin visit China by May 31?	Yes	BUY	25	98¢	$25	0x4bd691…
05-15 13:21:16	UEFA Champions League: Unbeaten Champion	Yes	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0xb53209…
05-15 13:16:29	Will Putin visit China by May 31?	Yes	BUY	123	98¢	$121	0xfde2b0…
05-15 13:11:34	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	200	95¢	$190	0xfd1520…
05-15 12:47:19	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	120	91¢	$109	0xfa66d3…
05-15 12:46:02	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	150	94¢	$141	0x396f64…
05-14 09:43:09	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	57	99¢	$57	0x9473b7…
05-13 14:59:27	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	40	96¢	$38	0x16f7d5…
05-11 15:15:53	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	50	88¢	$44	0xf7d7c7…
05-11 15:15:32	Will Trump speak to Elon Musk in May?	Yes	BUY	49	84¢	$41	0x9f3388…
05-11 15:14:54	US x Iran peace deal before Trump visits China?	No	BUY	52	98¢	$51	0x7f34b4…
05-11 15:04:03	Will Trump speak to Elon Musk in May?	Yes	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0xab6169…
05-07 11:38:59	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	BUY	30	94¢	$28	0xb1aa0b…
04-10 10:01:21	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	73	30¢	$22	0x55fb9a…
04-10 10:01:19	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0x618ddb…
04-10 10:00:59	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	30¢	$1	0x221fb9…
04-10 10:00:55	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x3ce23e…
04-10 09:20:07	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	90	97¢	$88	0xfc6086…
03-30 12:48:28	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	BUY	30	95¢	$28	0x5d45fc…
03-06 18:08:15	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	75	98¢	$73	0x21a5b0…
03-04 13:24:25	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	90	87¢	$78	0xc01eb0…
02-26 13:36:50	us strikes iran by february 27 2026	No	BUY	100	95¢	$95	0x0896f2…
02-19 15:07:58	us strikes iran by february 25 2026	No	BUY	120	83¢	$100	0xa59c65…
02-19 15:07:10	will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	SELL	100	94¢	$94	0xd6ead8…
02-12 13:17:35	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	100	93¢	$93	0xbd8cd7…
02-12 02:36:35	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	No	SELL	51	95¢	$48	0xffb778…
02-11 19:33:21	US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	No	SELL	100	62¢	$62	0x9d544d…
02-11 14:24:27	will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	SELL	50	6¢	$3	0x5c2960…
02-11 14:23:05	will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	100	94¢	$94	0x2374f1…
02-10 13:45:37	will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	50	16¢	$8	0x1ccbf1…
02-07 15:39:45	us strikes iran by february 9 2026 113 751	No	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0xeabfb5…
02-05 17:01:27	us strikes iran by february 6 2026 242 933 289 312 673 611 155 294	No	BUY	49	99¢	$48	0x6aa2a2…
02-04 19:03:31	russia x ukraine prisoner exchange by february 14 2026	Yes	BUY	28	91¢	$25	0x2981fa…
02-04 18:53:27	russia x ukraine prisoner exchange by february 14 2026	Yes	BUY	12	91¢	$11	0x798d22…
02-03 20:31:28	will the government shutdown last 5 days or more	No	BUY	19	99¢	$19	0xc5b04b…
02-02 16:16:36	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	87	46¢	$40	0xf99914…
02-02 15:11:18	US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	No	BUY	100	60¢	$60	0x046d62…
02-01 20:09:50	us strikes iran by february 6 2026 242 933 289 312 673 611 155 294	No	BUY	53	95¢	$50	0x037cce…
02-01 20:08:28	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	Yes	SELL	113	30¢	$34	0x066b00…
01-31 13:03:28	US strike on Mexico by March 31?	No	BUY	32	93¢	$30	0x82734b…
01-31 12:56:44	will trump talk to vladimir putin in january	No	BUY	25	79¢	$20	0xa97d18…
01-31 12:55:44	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	No	BUY	51	79¢	$40	0xe91866…
01-27 11:51:03	us strikes iran by january 30 2026 273 584 555 114 476	No	BUY	17	94¢	$16	0x30b07e…
01-27 11:50:13	us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	Yes	SELL	179	9¢	$16	0x2c3d1c…
01-24 18:23:42	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	Yes	BUY	113	52¢	$59	0xe168f5…
01-23 21:42:12	us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	Yes	BUY	179	28¢	$50	0x12a9b6…
01-16 15:18:26	will alphabet be the second largest company in the world by market cap on january 31	Yes	BUY	57	87¢	$50	0xa25169…
01-15 10:05:38	us strikes iran by january 15 2026 652 612	No	BUY	20	92¢	$18	0x84ab00…
01-06 15:51:19	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	No	BUY	50	91¢	$46	0x5feb45…