Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$409

Unrealized P&L

+$72

Hit rate

81.9%

Resolved

Trades

434

lifetime

Volume

$84.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$195

Open exposure

$198

1 position

First seen

2026-01-03

last 07-14 00:03

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

73% 43% +$387

Other

17% — —

Politics

8% 100% +$22

Sports

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

20 active days in 12wk • peak 20 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
GRVT FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes		+229	$126	86¢	$198	+$72	06-05 19:02

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?	38	$11.8K	10,721	10,721	+0	open	—	03-06 08:46
megaeth market cap fdv 1pt5b one day after launch 371 844 879 681	28	$10.9K	10,045	10,045	+0	open	—	05-01 09:07
Over $3M committed to the Hurupay public sale?	2	$6.1K	3,318	3,318	+0	open	—	02-07 18:39
Solstice FDV above $100M one day after launch?	3	$5.7K	4,000	4,000	+0	open	—	05-25 12:56
Backpack FDV above $300M one day after launch?	21	$4.5K	4,000	4,000	+0	open	—	03-24 12:11
Katana FDV above $100M one day after launch?	11	$4.2K	8,590	8,590	+0	No	+$906	03-19 17:18
will iran strike israel on march 6	27	$3.5K	1,936	1,936	-0	open	—	03-09 01:57
Fogo FDV above $700M one day after launch?	4	$3.3K	1,765	1,765	+0	open	—	01-16 19:27
Zama auction clearing price above $0.04?	1	$2.5K	3,025	0	+3,025	open	—	01-24 12:52
Zama FDV above $500M one day after launch?	2	$2.4K	2,929	2,929	+0	open	—	02-02 13:33
Opinion FDV above $600M one day after launch?	4	$2.4K	1,388	1,388	+0	open	—	03-06 01:59
megaeth market cap fdv 2b one day after launch 738 867 649 272 765 733	10	$2.1K	4,000	4,000	+0	open	—	04-30 16:38
Flying Tulip FDV above $800M one day after launch?	4	$2.0K	3,463	3,463	+0	open	—	02-24 17:17
USD.AI FDV above $300M one day after launch?	10	$1.9K	4,751	3,627	+1,123	open	—	04-21 13:43
USD.AI FDV above $400M one day after launch?	1	$1.6K	3,000	0	+3,000	open	—	04-21 10:35
Fogo FDV above $500M one day after launch?	3	$1.5K	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	01-16 12:57
atp glinka blanc 2026 04 15	6	$1.2K	1,100	1,100	+0	open	—	04-17 00:36
Over $5M committed to the Infinex public sale?	2	$1.1K	610	610	+0	open	—	01-10 00:31
over 40m committed to the ranger public sale 819 688	2	$1.0K	704	704	+0	open	—	01-06 22:08
nhl det fla 2026 04 15	12	$957	1,100	1,100	+0	open	—	04-15 03:01
Sentient FDV above $600M one day after launch?	1	$900	1,200	0	+1,200	open	—	01-22 13:45
us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	23	$820	15,000	0	+15,000	open	—	04-30 09:55
Fabric FDV above $400M one day after launch?	9	$782	1,527	0	+1,527	open	—	02-28 03:32
Over $2M committed to the Hurupay public sale?	1	$758	2,427	0	+2,427	open	—	02-04 22:10
Gensyn FDV above $400M one day after launch?	5	$739	2,191	2,191	+0	open	—	04-30 15:15
will iran strike israel on march 10	12	$700	13,318	1,241	+12,077	open	—	03-16 17:43
Billions FDV above $300M one day after launch?	7	$682	2,973	2,973	+0	Yes	$-298	05-05 11:24
will iran conduct a military action against israel on march 19 2026 486	4	$675	500	500	+0	open	—	03-23 13:25
Zama FDV above $600M one day after launch?	2	$607	1,341	1,341	+0	open	—	02-02 13:33
will david bailey be the second pick in the 2026 nfl draft	4	$589	406	406	+0	open	—	04-21 02:46

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-14 00:03:35	GRVT FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	597	66¢	$391	0x222f77…
07-10 02:36:05	over 16m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325648	No	BUY	200	8¢	$16	0xd70566…
07-09 16:06:04	over 16m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325648	No	BUY	225	22¢	$50	0xf1c985…
06-06 05:24:06	GRVT FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	597	30¢	$179	0xdb3078…
06-05 19:02:36	GRVT FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	229	55¢	$126	0xc269ba…
06-04 08:28:58	tea fdv above 40m one day after launch	Yes	SELL	500	2¢	$11	0x6f5655…
06-04 08:28:46	tea fdv above 80m one day after launch	Yes	SELL	1,000	1¢	$11	0x8b43a4…
06-03 06:26:11	Tea FDV above $40M one day after launch	Yes	BUY	342	40¢	$137	0x8040b2…
06-03 05:28:00	Tea FDV above $40M one day after launch	Yes	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xc3a7b5…
06-03 03:52:09	Tea FDV above $40M one day after launch	Yes	BUY	4	40¢	$1	0x957305…
06-03 03:51:32	Tea FDV above $40M one day after launch	Yes	BUY	152	40¢	$61	0x2dc508…
05-29 05:52:40	Tea FDV above $80M one day after launch	Yes	BUY	1,000	15¢	$150	0xc49401…
05-25 12:56:46	Solstice FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	700	34¢	$238	0x25d27f…
05-25 12:56:27	Solstice FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	4,000	92¢	$3,699	0x4ec87b…
05-25 12:53:09	Solstice FDV above $250M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	226	27¢	$61	0x5d5502…
05-23 05:25:16	Solstice FDV above $250M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	200	15¢	$30	0x7a8810…
05-21 11:47:48	Solstice FDV above $250M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	26	25¢	$6	0xe7d4b4…
05-11 21:08:55	Solstice FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	2,000	35¢	$700	0x057450…
05-09 22:55:38	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	Yes	SELL	100	47¢	$47	0xae1ba0…
05-08 04:00:14	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	Yes	BUY	100	25¢	$25	0xba2b01…
05-07 02:12:18	Solstice FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	2,000	65¢	$1,300	0x99689c…
05-06 02:58:10	Solstice FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	700	30¢	$210	0x179ee5…
05-05 19:58:26	Billions FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	200	2¢	$4	0x6302c3…
05-05 19:56:08	Billions FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	66	12¢	$8	0xd67f80…
05-05 19:43:38	Billions FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	88	8¢	$7	0x664500…
05-05 17:21:34	Billions FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	10	6¢	$1	0x4283cf…
05-05 17:08:22	Billions FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	60	6¢	$4	0x59688c…
05-05 16:48:50	Billions FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	100	16¢	$16	0x418c76…
05-05 16:28:16	Billions FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	108	17¢	$18	0x6cae0a…
05-05 14:00:22	Billions FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	SELL	2	0¢	$0	0x3dcf79…
05-05 12:25:24	Billions FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	SELL	239	0¢	$1	0x0c1bbb…
05-05 11:24:10	Billions FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	SELL	2,554	5¢	$118	0x3d626b…
05-05 09:21:30	Billions FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	SELL	6	17¢	$1	0xf73993…
05-05 09:18:58	Billions FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	SELL	400	17¢	$68	0xf31cb8…
05-05 06:42:02	Billions FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	BUY	272	0¢	$1	0x0a2120…
05-05 06:31:38	Billions FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0x3971cd…
05-05 06:31:18	Billions FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	BUY	133	0¢	$1	0x6877e9…
05-05 06:21:30	Billions FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	BUY	45	0¢	$0	0x2be134…
05-05 05:59:28	Billions FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	BUY	500	0¢	$2	0x8e964e…
05-05 01:18:04	Billions FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	BUY	1,413	17¢	$239	0x0e855c…
05-05 01:17:38	Billions FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	BUY	1,547	16¢	$244	0xad28e8…
05-04 23:01:08	Billions FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	SELL	2,000	1¢	$27	0x849df2…
05-04 20:25:44	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	No	SELL	1	74¢	$1	0x3b47ac…
05-04 20:25:26	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	No	SELL	25	74¢	$18	0x771de9…
05-04 20:25:18	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	No	SELL	155	74¢	$115	0xaab8e9…
05-04 20:25:14	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	No	SELL	1	74¢	$1	0x01d039…
05-04 20:24:28	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	No	SELL	18	74¢	$13	0xfe3688…
05-04 17:11:44	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	No	BUY	200	63¢	$126	0xb91971…
05-04 16:11:46	Billions FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	5	12¢	$1	0xa0567a…
05-04 16:05:24	Billions FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	145	15¢	$22	0xf896c5…
05-04 15:28:14	Billions FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	149	15¢	$22	0x1f25f5…
05-04 12:06:18	Billions FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	SELL	13	40¢	$5	0xbaed41…
05-04 11:58:02	Billions FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	BUY	13	50¢	$7	0x048f1d…
05-04 08:58:00	Billions FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	BUY	2,000	12¢	$240	0xfd965a…
05-01 17:29:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	40	62¢	$25	0x1fbf18…
05-01 09:07:00	megaeth market cap fdv 1pt5b one day after launch 371 844 879 681	Yes	SELL	325	60¢	$195	0xe22eb3…
05-01 09:06:56	megaeth market cap fdv 1pt5b one day after launch 371 844 879 681	Yes	SELL	57	60¢	$34	0x2af8a6…
05-01 09:06:50	megaeth market cap fdv 1pt5b one day after launch 371 844 879 681	Yes	SELL	200	60¢	$120	0xabae0c…
05-01 09:06:50	megaeth market cap fdv 1pt5b one day after launch 371 844 879 681	Yes	SELL	201	60¢	$121	0x78cd2e…
05-01 09:06:48	megaeth market cap fdv 1pt5b one day after launch 371 844 879 681	Yes	SELL	17	60¢	$10	0xc16fce…
05-01 09:06:34	megaeth market cap fdv 1pt5b one day after launch 371 844 879 681	Yes	SELL	200	60¢	$120	0xe72e15…
05-01 08:59:40	megaeth market cap fdv 1pt5b one day after launch 371 844 879 681	Yes	BUY	996	60¢	$598	0x13ea99…
05-01 08:59:36	megaeth market cap fdv 1pt5b one day after launch 371 844 879 681	Yes	BUY	4	60¢	$2	0x768057…
05-01 07:25:30	megaeth market cap fdv 1pt5b one day after launch 371 844 879 681	Yes	SELL	2,000	52¢	$1,041	0xeefc57…
05-01 05:30:48	megaeth market cap fdv 1pt5b one day after launch 371 844 879 681	Yes	BUY	1,000	45¢	$450	0xeb6049…
05-01 05:04:22	megaeth market cap fdv 1pt5b one day after launch 371 844 879 681	Yes	BUY	901	60¢	$541	0x8d6891…
05-01 05:04:14	megaeth market cap fdv 1pt5b one day after launch 371 844 879 681	Yes	BUY	11	60¢	$6	0xe9f747…
05-01 05:04:06	megaeth market cap fdv 1pt5b one day after launch 371 844 879 681	Yes	BUY	22	60¢	$13	0xc40ddc…
05-01 05:03:54	megaeth market cap fdv 1pt5b one day after launch 371 844 879 681	Yes	BUY	66	60¢	$40	0xce7c59…
04-30 18:06:08	megaeth market cap fdv 1pt5b one day after launch 371 844 879 681	Yes	SELL	545	54¢	$295	0x1e00ce…
04-30 18:02:32	megaeth market cap fdv 1pt5b one day after launch 371 844 879 681	Yes	BUY	545	55¢	$300	0x6a22fc…
04-30 16:38:28	megaeth market cap fdv 2b one day after launch 738 867 649 272 765 733	Yes	SELL	4,000	18¢	$740	0x43291d…
04-30 16:26:30	megaeth market cap fdv 4b one day after launch 484 688 448 486 873 133 182	Yes	SELL	2,753	1¢	$14	0x52a188…
04-30 16:26:14	MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	1,114	2¢	$22	0x2240c4…
04-30 16:25:32	megaeth market cap fdv 1pt5b one day after launch 371 844 879 681	Yes	SELL	2,912	50¢	$1,466	0xae2dab…
04-30 16:23:34	megaeth market cap fdv 1pt5b one day after launch 371 844 879 681	Yes	SELL	62	55¢	$34	0x3db6df…
04-30 15:15:40	Gensyn FDV above $400M one day after launch?	No	SELL	1,197	13¢	$159	0x7bd117…
04-30 15:06:46	Gensyn FDV above $400M one day after launch?	No	SELL	370	25¢	$92	0x815d8f…
04-30 15:05:58	Gensyn FDV above $400M one day after launch?	No	SELL	624	26¢	$161	0xcd9aa5…
04-30 12:30:16	MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	1,100	6¢	$72	0x2de15f…
04-30 10:16:26	megaeth market cap fdv 2b one day after launch 738 867 649 272 765 733	Yes	BUY	2,480	35¢	$868	0x46859e…
04-30 10:02:06	Gensyn FDV above $400M one day after launch?	No	BUY	1,000	10¢	$100	0x2cbb46…
04-30 09:55:34	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	Yes	BUY	10,000	0¢	$20	0x88201b…
04-30 07:52:08	Gensyn FDV above $400M one day after launch?	No	BUY	1,191	19¢	$226	0x8d2861…
04-30 05:33:04	megaeth market cap fdv 2b one day after launch 738 867 649 272 765 733	Yes	BUY	155	35¢	$54	0xaff575…
04-30 05:28:18	megaeth market cap fdv 2b one day after launch 738 867 649 272 765 733	Yes	BUY	140	35¢	$49	0x2713a5…
04-30 05:27:44	megaeth market cap fdv 2b one day after launch 738 867 649 272 765 733	Yes	BUY	225	35¢	$79	0x24d913…
04-30 05:10:14	megaeth market cap fdv 4b one day after launch 484 688 448 486 873 133 182	Yes	BUY	649	4¢	$23	0xb7e7c5…
04-30 04:02:04	megaeth market cap fdv 4b one day after launch 484 688 448 486 873 133 182	Yes	BUY	2,104	5¢	$100	0x89d36c…
04-27 20:59:06	Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	No	BUY	278	18¢	$50	0x77fecf…
04-27 11:29:34	MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	42	6¢	$3	0x5db8b0…
04-27 10:13:28	MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	41	6¢	$3	0x96c4b0…
04-27 09:06:12	MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	1,417	6¢	$89	0x7d6314…
04-27 02:17:36	MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	714	7¢	$50	0x779deb…
04-26 23:45:10	megaeth market cap fdv 2b one day after launch 738 867 649 272 765 733	Yes	BUY	200	25¢	$50	0x7eed5a…
04-26 23:05:20	megaeth market cap fdv 1pt5b one day after launch 371 844 879 681	Yes	SELL	1,700	55¢	$935	0xa0ef74…
04-26 21:22:10	megaeth market cap fdv 1pt5b one day after launch 371 844 879 681	Yes	SELL	1,818	55¢	$1,000	0x779467…
04-26 21:05:52	megaeth market cap fdv 1pt5b one day after launch 371 844 879 681	Yes	SELL	8	55¢	$4	0x626d47…
04-26 21:04:10	megaeth market cap fdv 1pt5b one day after launch 371 844 879 681	Yes	BUY	5,000	55¢	$2,750	0xe715b7…
04-25 13:48:54	megaeth market cap fdv 2b one day after launch 738 867 649 272 765 733	Yes	BUY	565	29¢	$164	0x1db3b3…