Earnest-Stallion — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$237

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

68.8%

Resolved

506

Trades

810

lifetime

Volume

$6.04K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-13

last 09-01 16:45

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 99 days

Categories

Other

89% 38% -$121

Crypto

6% 46% -$24

Sports

5% 39% -$92

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
highest temperature in madrid on march 29 2026 13c	3	$227	117	117	+0	Yes	+$7	03-29 19:44
highest temperature in lucknow on march 29 2026 35c	2	$219	120	120	+0	Yes	+$19	03-29 12:52
highest temperature in ankara on march 28 2026 17c	2	$208	109	109	+0	Yes	+$8	03-28 14:18
highest temperature in munich on march 28 2026 8c	2	$206	107	107	+0	Yes	+$6	03-28 17:26
highest temperature in warsaw on march 28 2026 16c	2	$204	105	105	+0	Yes	+$4	03-28 16:11
will seattle have between 5 and 6 inches of precipitation in march	2	$199	110	110	+0	Yes	-$1	03-28 19:36
AEK vs. BC Rytas	4	$162	231	231	+0	BC Rytas	+$152	05-09 19:59
highest temperature in taipei on march 29 2026 22corbelow	3	$152	83	83	+0	Yes	+$12	03-29 08:29
highest temperature in tokyo on april 3 2026 19c	2	$123	63	63	+0	Yes	+$3	04-03 12:17
highest temperature in london on march 29 2026 11c	3	$116	63	63	+0	Yes	+$6	03-29 14:09
bkfibaqeu ita lit 2026 07 05	4	$106	64	64	+0	Italy	+$16	07-05 19:42
highest temperature in hong kong on april 1 2026 27c	2	$84	46	46	+0	Yes	+$4	04-01 07:23
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on April 29?	2	$84	44	44	+0	Yes	+$4	04-29 11:14
fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	2	$70	171	0	+171	Spain	-$70	07-19 19:08
highest temperature in wellington on march 29 2026 19c	2	$66	36	36	+0	Yes	+$6	03-29 10:29
highest temperature in munich on march 29 2026 5c	3	$62	53	32	+21	No	-$30	03-29 14:49
highest temperature in ankara on april 3 2026 12c	2	$62	32	32	+0	Yes	+$2	04-03 16:13
Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?	4	$59	50	50	+0	Yes	+$39	07-05 21:52
highest temperature in istanbul on march 31 2026 16c	2	$58	53	52	+1	No	-$22	03-31 10:54
Lithuania vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina	3	$55	40	40	+0	Lithuania	+$23	08-31 18:52
highest temperature in london on march 25 2026 9c	3	$43	28	28	+0	Yes	+$3	03-25 14:02
highest temperature in london on april 1 2026 14c	2	$43	31	30	+1	Yes	+$14	04-01 15:27
highest temperature in ankara on march 29 2026 10c	2	$42	23	23	+0	Yes	+$2	03-29 09:37
highest temperature in miami on april 1 2026 78 79f	2	$42	22	22	+0	Yes	+$2	04-02 05:56
euroleague kaunas barcelon 2026 04 02	3	$38	23	23	+0	Zalgiris Kaunas	+$8	04-02 20:15
highest temperature in london on march 26 2026 10c	3	$36	22	22	+0	Yes	+$4	03-26 14:30
euroleague kaunas munchen 2026 03 24	2	$35	20	20	+0	Zalgiris Kaunas	+$5	03-24 21:14
euroleague partizan kaunas 2026 04 10	4	$34	29	28	+0	Zalgiris Kaunas	+$4	04-10 20:19
bkcl nym ryt 2026 04 07	2	$33	21	21	+0	BC Rytas	+$9	04-07 19:03
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-13 08:05 UTC	6	$32	33	32	+1	Down	+$2	03-13 08:09

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-01 16:45:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0xe3540e…
09-01 16:45:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0xd93fe9…
08-31 18:52:24	Lithuania vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina	Lithuania	SELL	40	98¢	$39	0x9edec0…
08-31 16:20:01	Lithuania vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina	Lithuania	BUY	21	34¢	$7	0xcb587e…
08-31 12:05:10	Lithuania vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina	Lithuania	BUY	19	47¢	$9	0xb55123…
08-28 19:07:12	Turkiye vs. Lithuania	Lithuania	BUY	59	3¢	$2	0x05a556…
08-28 10:09:03	Turkiye vs. Lithuania	Lithuania	BUY	83	18¢	$15	0x89b49f…
08-06 17:46:23	Will FK Žalgiris Vilnius vs. HNK Hajduk Split end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0x5b55ff…
08-04 19:27:06	col haj zal 2026 08 13 team to advance	FK Žalgiris Vilnius	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xcc77e7…
08-04 19:25:29	Will FK Žalgiris Vilnius win on 2026-08-06?	Yes	BUY	40	25¢	$10	0x77f0c5…
07-19 19:47:45	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?	Yes	BUY	46	22¢	$10	0x7705b6…
07-19 19:08:48	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	48	42¢	$20	0xaac6f0…
07-18 21:21:27	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	123	40¢	$50	0x4ae18f…
07-18 21:16:27	Will France vs. England end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	12	25¢	$3	0xed05d7…
07-14 20:25:19	Will France win on 2026-07-14?	Yes	BUY	167	3¢	$5	0x64310d…
07-13 20:36:58	Will England vs. Argentina end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	21	33¢	$7	0xa3afd3…
07-13 20:36:50	Will France vs. Spain end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	20	30¢	$6	0x778c8d…
07-11 15:13:02	Will France vs. Spain end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0x1221eb…
07-11 15:12:55	Will Argentina vs. Switzerland end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0xd824d9…
07-11 15:12:49	Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-11?	Yes	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0x1fab92…
07-11 15:12:44	Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?	Yes	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x4a9edd…
07-10 21:05:35	Will Norway vs. England end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0xd917b6…
07-10 20:03:52	Will Belgium win on 2026-07-10?	Yes	BUY	20	15¢	$3	0xfae67f…
07-10 20:03:46	fifwc esp bel 2026 07 10 team to advance	Belgium	BUY	7	27¢	$2	0x2b5ccb…
07-09 21:26:38	Will Morocco win on 2026-07-09?	Yes	BUY	80	2¢	$2	0x3cb1ba…
07-09 21:23:08	fifwc fra mar 2026 07 09 team to advance	Morocco	BUY	12	24¢	$3	0x8c5e3b…
07-08 06:07:07	Will Spain vs. Belgium end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0xc185ce…
07-08 06:07:01	Will France vs. Morocco end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x5c309c…
07-07 21:29:17	Will Switzerland vs. Colombia end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	14	55¢	$8	0x482f1f…
07-07 21:23:43	fifwc che col 2026 07 07 total 1pt5	Over	SELL	9	21¢	$2	0x55533f…
07-07 20:10:49	Will Switzerland vs. Colombia end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0x07616e…
07-07 20:10:25	fifwc che col 2026 07 07 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	9	64¢	$6	0xac509e…
07-07 17:49:44	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?	Yes	SELL	21	31¢	$6	0xf887eb…
07-07 17:44:50	Will Argentina vs. Egypt end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0x97f7dc…
07-07 17:27:41	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?	Yes	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0x099468…
07-07 17:27:28	Will Argentina vs. Egypt end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	29	35¢	$10	0xbb0ccb…
07-07 16:21:22	Will Egypt win on 2026-07-07?	Yes	SELL	22	11¢	$2	0x218664…
07-06 20:52:02	Will Portugal vs. Spain end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	19	77¢	$14	0x6e1f58…
07-06 19:24:34	Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-07?	Yes	BUY	22	27¢	$6	0xa83281…
07-06 19:24:16	Will Egypt win on 2026-07-07?	Yes	BUY	22	9¢	$2	0xfcf8d3…
07-06 19:24:11	Will Argentina vs. Egypt end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	29	21¢	$6	0x8564ff…
07-06 19:24:02	Will United States vs. Belgium end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0x7bb124…
07-05 21:52:20	Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?	Yes	SELL	50	97¢	$49	0x356fe8…
07-05 21:40:41	Will Brazil vs. Norway end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	19	55¢	$10	0xec56f2…
07-05 20:45:07	Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?	Yes	BUY	11	18¢	$2	0x652e8b…
07-05 20:17:04	Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?	Yes	BUY	14	21¢	$3	0xb7fe14…
07-05 19:42:08	bkfibaqeu ita lit 2026 07 05	Lithuania	SELL	64	96¢	$61	0x0a826c…
07-05 19:16:34	bkfibaqeu ita lit 2026 07 05	Lithuania	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x43c2b9…
07-05 18:36:32	bkfibaqeu ita lit 2026 07 05	Lithuania	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x7a4f52…
07-05 18:25:16	bkfibaqeu ita lit 2026 07 05	Lithuania	BUY	53	75¢	$40	0xa74578…
07-05 17:10:08	Will Portugal win on 2026-07-06?	Yes	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0x815082…
07-05 17:09:41	Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?	Yes	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0x8b2264…
07-04 12:33:32	Will Portugal vs. Spain end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0x54b226…
07-04 12:33:22	Will Mexico vs. England end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0xf2911c…
07-04 12:33:13	Will Brazil vs. Norway end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0xed34d4…
07-04 12:33:01	Will Paraguay vs. France end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	38	13¢	$5	0x9b7590…
07-04 12:32:49	Will Canada vs. Morocco end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0xb9e185…
07-03 20:56:10	Will Colombia vs. Ghana end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	27	22¢	$6	0x31352f…
07-03 20:55:56	Will Argentina vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	55	11¢	$6	0xfd0eb2…
07-03 20:48:55	fifwc aus egy 2026 07 03 team to advance	Australia	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0x08b718…
07-03 20:39:53	fifwc aus egy 2026 07 03 team to advance	Australia	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x9c45bf…
07-03 20:03:01	Will Australia vs. Egypt end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x7332cf…
07-02 19:16:56	Will Austria win on 2026-07-02?	Yes	BUY	33	9¢	$3	0xaaa35d…
07-02 19:16:44	Will Australia vs. Egypt end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	9	34¢	$3	0x026f84…
07-02 19:16:34	Will Switzerland vs. Algeria end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0x92fcb0…
07-02 19:16:28	Will Portugal vs. Croatia end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x0a39d7…
07-01 20:09:22	Will Spain vs. Austria end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	17	18¢	$3	0x4edc99…
07-01 20:09:11	Will United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	21	19¢	$4	0x8a5591…
07-01 20:09:04	Will Belgium vs. Senegal end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0x119de3…
06-30 18:44:46	Will Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	10	64¢	$7	0x2ac5eb…
06-30 18:38:44	Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-30?	Yes	BUY	14	21¢	$3	0x045031…
06-30 14:25:40	Will Mexico vs. Ecuador end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	9	34¢	$3	0x0e9739…
06-30 14:25:25	Will Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	10	29¢	$3	0xb3fa3a…
06-30 14:25:17	Will France vs. Sweden end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	19	16¢	$3	0xec0886…
06-29 21:50:37	Will Germany vs. Paraguay end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	11	34¢	$4	0x1ba865…
06-28 20:25:40	Will South Africa vs. Canada end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	11	53¢	$6	0x0dcc0a…
06-28 07:42:58	Will Netherlands vs. Morocco end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	10	31¢	$3	0x087708…
06-28 07:42:50	Will Germany vs. Paraguay end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	11	19¢	$2	0xd80e0c…
06-28 07:42:40	Will Brazil vs. Japan end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x80b5a8…
06-28 07:42:35	Will Japan win on 2026-06-29?	Yes	BUY	21	19¢	$4	0x805d40…
06-28 07:42:26	Will South Africa vs. Canada end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	11	27¢	$3	0x4e0b66…
06-27 06:54:07	Will Algeria win on 2026-06-27?	Yes	BUY	9	23¢	$2	0x814087…
06-27 06:53:53	Will Jordan vs. Argentina end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	18	11¢	$2	0x451f1f…
06-27 06:53:43	Will DR Congo vs. Uzbekistan end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	17	23¢	$4	0xd7df31…
06-27 06:53:32	Will Colombia vs. Portugal end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0xcdaca0…
06-27 06:53:22	Will Ghana win on 2026-06-27?	Yes	BUY	11	19¢	$2	0x1b324a…
06-27 06:53:05	Will Panama vs. England end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	27	11¢	$3	0xeed6a1…
06-26 14:35:02	Will New Zealand vs. Belgium end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	17	12¢	$2	0xdf4ffb…
06-26 14:34:55	Will Egypt vs. IR Iran end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	8	38¢	$3	0xb70f8f…
06-26 14:34:44	Will Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	10	29¢	$3	0xee990b…
06-26 14:34:35	Will Uruguay vs. Spain end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	11	27¢	$3	0x958eb0…
06-26 14:34:23	Will Senegal vs. Iraq end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	21	14¢	$3	0xe95b6a…
06-26 14:34:16	Will Norway vs. France end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	14	21¢	$3	0x21ac71…
06-24 18:03:23	Will South Africa vs. Korea Republic end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	12	24¢	$3	0xfe1975…
06-24 18:03:08	Will Czechia vs. Mexico end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	16	25¢	$4	0xa67684…
06-24 18:03:01	Will Morocco vs. Haiti end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	17	12¢	$2	0x53689a…
06-23 21:18:34	Will England vs. Ghana end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	23	33¢	$8	0xd90387…
06-23 16:00:02	Will Bosnia and Herzegovina vs. Qatar end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	16	19¢	$3	0xa4c3ff…
06-23 15:59:55	Will Switzerland vs. Canada end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0x6682e7…
06-23 15:59:38	Will Colombia vs. DR Congo end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	12	24¢	$3	0x25eea6…