Expensive-Awareness — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$12

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

74.1%

Resolved

129

Trades

206

lifetime

Volume

$1.97K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-06

last 10-25 23:20

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 9 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 41% +$10

Other

0% 100% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

6 active days in 12wk • peak 75 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	4	$90	99	99	+0	Up	+$10	10-20 20:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	3	$72	80	45	+34	Up	-$8	10-19 20:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	2	$65	45	45	+0	Down	+$25	10-19 16:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	2	$60	42	42	+0	Down	+$20	10-19 20:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	2	$60	41	41	+0	Down	+$20	10-19 16:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	4	$59	651	651	+0	Down	+$9	10-19 06:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	2	$56	44	44	+0	Up	+$16	10-19 03:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	3	$56	60	45	+15	Up	+$10	10-19 20:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	2	$54	34	34	+0	Down	+$14	10-19 00:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	2	$53	33	33	+0	Down	+$13	10-19 00:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	2	$51	32	32	+0	Down	+$11	10-18 18:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	2	$50	47	47	+0	Down	+$10	10-19 20:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	2	$48	50	50	+0	Down	+$8	10-19 06:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	2	$48	29	29	+0	Up	+$8	10-19 06:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	2	$47	28	28	+0	Down	+$8	10-19 00:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	2	$47	29	29	+0	Up	+$7	10-19 22:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	2	$47	45	45	+0	Down	+$7	10-19 20:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	2	$46	27	27	+0	Up	+$6	10-18 22:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	2	$46	26	26	+0	Up	+$6	10-18 22:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	2	$46	38	38	+0	Up	+$6	10-19 01:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	2	$44	24	24	+0	Down	+$4	10-18 22:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	5	$39	62	30	+32	Up	-$17	10-20 20:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	2	$31	37	37	+0	Down	-$9	10-19 21:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	2	$29	49	49	+0	Down	-$11	10-20 20:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	2	$24	14	14	+0	Down	+$4	05-08 07:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	3	$22	34	23	+11	Up	+$2	10-19 00:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	2	$21	17	17	+0	Down	+$11	10-20 18:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	1	$20	69	0	+69	Down	-$20	10-19 16:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	1	$20	34	0	+34	Up	-$20	10-19 03:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	1	$20	73	0	+73	Down	-$20	10-19 20:36

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-25 23:20:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Down	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x3acba4…
10-25 23:16:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x600506…
10-25 22:58:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x93958f…
10-25 22:51:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xf57da5…
10-25 22:46:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x57c607…
10-25 19:01:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x84973b…
10-25 18:58:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x799c5f…
10-25 18:11:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	12	17¢	$2	0x09dd12…
10-25 17:40:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x5f4a5d…
10-25 17:36:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x1049c8…
10-25 08:17:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xbbcf73…
10-25 08:01:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x5987fa…
10-25 08:00:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	SELL	10	42¢	$4	0x3f1f34…
10-25 08:00:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0x489da3…
10-25 07:41:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	23	13¢	$3	0xb57563…
10-25 07:36:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x495213…
10-25 07:33:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Down	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x656bb1…
10-25 07:29:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x9c900b…
10-25 07:25:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xf61aa0…
10-25 07:06:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Down	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xfc3460…
10-25 07:02:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Down	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xdf78d3…
10-25 07:00:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Down	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x4d3089…
10-25 06:51:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Up	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x594b95…
10-25 06:47:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x84c69d…
10-25 06:44:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Down	SELL	5	86¢	$5	0x41de83…
10-25 06:40:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x9d8630…
10-25 06:14:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0xc894cb…
10-25 06:11:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x73a66c…
10-25 06:07:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x9a63c1…
10-25 05:46:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Up	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x5c2f24…
10-25 05:21:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Up	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xa80fb5…
10-25 04:42:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x48e858…
10-25 04:36:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Down	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xa5a855…
10-25 04:34:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Down	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0xecb9d5…
10-25 04:31:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xc37356…
10-25 04:28:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x3f2445…
10-25 04:18:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xfca6af…
10-25 04:10:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x734aed…
10-25 04:05:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Down	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x087f4d…
10-25 04:02:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xeadd4d…
10-25 03:55:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x0afc3f…
10-25 03:46:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xc69a16…
10-25 03:38:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x380997…
10-25 03:37:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Down	SELL	9	46¢	$4	0x202ed8…
10-25 03:36:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Down	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xa8ed8c…
10-25 03:31:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Up	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xd0a958…
10-25 03:25:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x61f590…
10-25 03:15:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xbe753e…
10-25 03:14:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0x66f4a3…
10-25 03:11:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x7fa79b…
10-25 03:06:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xdf3b29…
10-25 02:55:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x73b7e0…
10-25 02:52:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	SELL	16	9¢	$1	0xeb3aef…
10-25 02:51:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	BUY	16	19¢	$3	0x7f975b…
10-25 02:30:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x7200db…
10-25 02:24:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xc28729…
10-25 02:22:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x651461…
10-25 02:15:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0xac2e0f…
10-25 02:12:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	SELL	28	26¢	$7	0xda8fd4…
10-25 02:10:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0xca7f4b…
10-25 02:05:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	BUY	10	29¢	$3	0x8dc734…
10-25 02:03:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	SELL	19	25¢	$5	0x1b4a51…
10-25 02:00:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0x367743…
10-25 01:55:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0x0ba260…
10-25 01:52:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x7f40e4…
10-25 01:50:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x324436…
10-25 01:27:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	SELL	15	71¢	$10	0xd474f7…
10-25 01:25:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0x373665…
10-25 01:15:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0x6009f8…
10-25 01:11:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x6c1283…
10-20 23:36:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Up	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0x073ff8…
10-20 21:15:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	59	34¢	$20	0x2e91eb…
10-20 20:53:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	SELL	49	19¢	$9	0x4eac5e…
10-20 20:50:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	49	41¢	$20	0x6eb802…
10-20 20:48:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	BUY	32	62¢	$20	0xe30723…
10-20 20:47:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	SELL	13	18¢	$2	0xded477…
10-20 20:46:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0x7e7c49…
10-20 20:45:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	SELL	17	49¢	$8	0xde802b…
10-20 20:45:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	17	18¢	$3	0xfeae86…
10-20 20:41:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	SELL	36	70¢	$25	0x2167ea…
10-20 20:41:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	36	55¢	$20	0x997dc7…
10-20 20:40:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	SELL	62	40¢	$25	0x63b8cc…
10-20 20:40:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	62	32¢	$20	0x386b66…
10-20 20:37:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0xf21777…
10-20 18:43:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	SELL	17	98¢	$16	0x070979…
10-20 18:41:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0xfc82a3…
10-19 22:08:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	SELL	29	95¢	$27	0xc96ce9…
10-19 22:06:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	29	69¢	$20	0x166432…
10-19 21:35:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	SELL	37	29¢	$11	0x952713…
10-19 21:30:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	37	54¢	$20	0xb3dee8…
10-19 21:26:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	20	15¢	$3	0xc1819f…
10-19 21:20:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0x646ba4…
10-19 21:17:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	SELL	12	95¢	$12	0x29f5e7…
10-19 21:16:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0x5eb641…
10-19 21:10:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	13	23¢	$3	0xcce5a5…
10-19 21:02:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	SELL	24	6¢	$1	0xf26863…
10-19 21:01:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0x9d43cd…
10-19 20:56:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	15	20¢	$3	0xf6ff7b…
10-19 20:56:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	SELL	45	72¢	$33	0xffc1a1…
10-19 20:55:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	45	44¢	$20	0x9c271f…