Mediocre-Instrumentation — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$920

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

74.8%

Resolved

272

Trades

476

lifetime

Volume

$28.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$60

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-19

last 10-27 21:40

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 15 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 44% +$920

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 29 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-22 17:30 UTC	2	$875	786	743	+42	Down	+$517	04-22 17:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	2	$817	661	661	+0	Down	+$417	10-02 21:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	2	$645	465	465	+0	Down	+$245	10-25 22:12
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-24 17:05 UTC	3	$634	1,078	962	+116	Down	+$149	04-24 17:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-22 16:55 UTC	3	$564	857	810	+47	Up	+$163	04-22 16:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	2	$533	376	376	+0	Down	+$143	05-15 16:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	2	$508	315	315	+0	Down	+$117	10-18 21:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	2	$470	303	303	+0	Down	+$70	10-25 19:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	3	$467	500	500	+0	Up	+$167	05-17 05:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-22 17:40 UTC	2	$447	592	561	+30	Down	+$138	04-22 17:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	2	$445	364	364	+0	Down	+$245	10-18 20:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	2	$442	245	245	+0	Down	+$42	10-02 22:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-22 16:20 UTC	2	$429	430	410	+20	Down	+$148	04-22 16:22
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-24 16:45 UTC	2	$393	406	386	+20	Down	+$145	04-24 16:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	4	$391	521	521	+0	Down	+$119	10-18 20:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-22 17:00 UTC	3	$387	620	501	+119	Up	+$51	04-22 17:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	2	$375	277	277	+0	Up	+$175	05-19 14:05
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-22 16:35 UTC	2	$320	465	442	+24	Down	+$50	04-22 16:37
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-23 16:15 UTC	3	$318	421	334	+87	Up	+$50	04-23 16:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	2	$311	263	263	+0	Up	+$211	10-25 21:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-24 16:55 UTC	2	$306	738	692	+46	Up	+$152	04-24 16:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	1	$300	1,046	0	+1,046	Up	-$300	10-18 21:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	2	$296	929	0	+929	Up	-$296	10-18 21:50
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-22 16:30 UTC	5	$292	425	310	+115	Up	+$43	04-22 16:33
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-21 16:40 UTC	2	$279	305	290	+15	Down	+$94	04-21 16:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	2	$252	227	227	+0	Down	+$152	05-19 14:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	2	$252	191	191	+0	Up	+$122	10-02 21:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	2	$241	312	312	+0	Down	+$106	05-20 16:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	2	$241	389	389	+0	Up	+$70	10-02 18:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	2	$232	186	186	+0	Down	+$136	05-18 10:35

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 21:40:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	461	28¢	$129	0xf579bb…
10-27 21:39:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	SELL	286	3¢	$9	0xeb3cea…
10-27 21:36:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	238	42¢	$100	0x949b50…
10-27 21:35:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	48	32¢	$15	0x60d74f…
10-27 21:21:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	204	27¢	$55	0x22ecb8…
10-27 21:05:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	317	32¢	$100	0x34ee8b…
10-27 20:56:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	385	26¢	$100	0xdb61f1…
10-27 20:51:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	238	21¢	$50	0x97a247…
10-27 20:45:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	BUY	174	23¢	$40	0xd03d5e…
10-27 20:42:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	135	37¢	$50	0x67b5fe…
10-27 20:29:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	SELL	69	99¢	$68	0x02a60d…
10-27 20:28:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	69	29¢	$20	0x59e130…
10-27 20:08:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	SELL	120	99¢	$119	0x2a9b1e…
10-27 20:07:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	120	83¢	$100	0xb8e32b…
10-25 22:25:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	103	34¢	$35	0x3c1df8…
10-25 22:12:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	SELL	465	96¢	$445	0xdaffe7…
10-25 22:10:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	465	43¢	$200	0xe8534f…
10-25 22:00:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	227	44¢	$100	0xe74ae1…
10-25 21:56:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	500	3¢	$15	0xa0a55c…
10-25 21:51:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	231	13¢	$30	0xe57921…
10-25 21:27:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	77	13¢	$10	0x201c61…
10-25 21:19:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	SELL	263	99¢	$261	0x286c65…
10-25 21:15:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	263	19¢	$50	0x659fee…
10-25 21:11:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	111	18¢	$20	0x5bd475…
10-25 20:52:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	213	47¢	$100	0x30035b…
10-25 20:48:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	SELL	78	94¢	$73	0xc9e4db…
10-25 20:47:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	BUY	78	39¢	$30	0x370433…
10-25 20:43:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	38	26¢	$10	0x63a4c9…
10-25 20:34:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	SELL	122	99¢	$121	0x4fb34f…
10-25 20:30:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	122	33¢	$40	0x4a3cbf…
10-25 20:24:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	SELL	118	92¢	$109	0xea4d50…
10-25 20:21:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	118	38¢	$45	0xf279c0…
10-25 20:18:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	SELL	167	2¢	$3	0xd943ea…
10-25 20:17:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	167	12¢	$20	0x0ae60e…
10-25 19:54:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	SELL	60	99¢	$59	0xfc07d8…
10-25 19:53:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	60	25¢	$15	0xd4a841…
10-25 19:47:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	SELL	303	89¢	$270	0xeb8e21…
10-25 19:46:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	303	66¢	$200	0xb4cc66…
10-25 19:42:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	128	39¢	$50	0x3a11c4…
10-25 19:24:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	SELL	123	99¢	$122	0x954f1a…
10-25 19:20:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	123	24¢	$30	0xcf7d45…
10-25 19:18:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	75	20¢	$15	0xc827c2…
10-25 18:56:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	9	51¢	$4	0xe655f5…
10-18 21:50:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	736	32¢	$232	0xc83988…
10-18 21:50:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	193	33¢	$64	0x1cd8ce…
10-18 21:49:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	SELL	315	99¢	$312	0x21020b…
10-18 21:47:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	315	62¢	$195	0x24fb51…
10-18 21:40:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	352	24¢	$84	0x376e25…
10-18 21:35:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	1,046	29¢	$300	0xae0067…
10-18 21:25:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	550	13¢	$72	0x6c3471…
10-18 21:25:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	219	13¢	$28	0x1b6d9b…
10-18 21:21:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	515	30¢	$156	0x4930f0…
10-18 21:16:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	416	31¢	$130	0x04d173…
10-18 21:10:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	500	25¢	$125	0xcd7b74…
10-18 20:33:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	SELL	364	95¢	$345	0xaf6a15…
10-18 20:31:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	364	27¢	$100	0x09aac6…
10-18 20:23:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	SELL	115	10¢	$12	0x76dcfb…
10-18 20:21:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	SELL	10	31¢	$3	0xa91f17…
10-18 20:20:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	125	16¢	$20	0x46efd8…
10-18 20:11:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	203	22¢	$45	0xc13df2…
10-18 20:04:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	SELL	119	78¢	$92	0xee338b…
10-18 20:04:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	SELL	92	22¢	$20	0x99a44e…
10-18 20:03:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	SELL	310	46¢	$142	0xa3c0c3…
10-18 20:01:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	521	26¢	$136	0x0dae77…
10-18 19:56:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	116	43¢	$50	0x114e96…
10-18 19:44:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x938acb…
10-18 19:42:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	4	59¢	$2	0xb30f09…
10-18 19:42:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	SELL	4	42¢	$2	0xb6bd1e…
10-18 19:41:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x441b7c…
10-02 22:45:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	BUY	250	40¢	$100	0x8396a1…
10-02 22:32:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	BUY	262	21¢	$55	0x813102…
10-02 22:26:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	19	9¢	$2	0xdda78b…
10-02 22:26:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	870	9¢	$78	0x6b2726…
10-02 22:21:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	BUY	183	30¢	$55	0x6187e7…
10-02 22:04:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	SELL	245	99¢	$242	0x7bea0f…
10-02 22:03:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	245	82¢	$200	0xfc2b9b…
10-02 21:49:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	SELL	661	93¢	$617	0x6dd9ff…
10-02 21:47:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	661	30¢	$200	0x41b8b6…
10-02 21:41:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	541	37¢	$200	0x62d8d9…
10-02 21:36:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	118	17¢	$20	0x72831c…
10-02 21:34:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	SELL	191	98¢	$187	0x4000ea…
10-02 21:32:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	191	34¢	$65	0xeaab3c…
10-02 21:14:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	SELL	96	96¢	$92	0x480717…
10-02 21:11:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	96	26¢	$25	0xcbe327…
10-02 18:40:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	167	60¢	$100	0xf11f4e…
10-02 18:37:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	SELL	136	52¢	$71	0x6cd23a…
10-02 18:36:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	136	22¢	$30	0x12ab7b…
10-02 18:32:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	SELL	278	23¢	$65	0x8d70cf…
10-02 18:31:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	278	18¢	$50	0x29f62d…
10-02 18:27:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	SELL	389	40¢	$155	0xe8c611…
10-02 18:25:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	389	22¢	$86	0x43c34a…
10-02 18:22:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	167	15¢	$25	0x62b9cc…
10-02 18:16:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	278	9¢	$25	0x2946ad…
10-02 18:14:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x9a83fc…
05-20 16:49:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	BUY	34	25¢	$8	0x5f61d1…
05-20 16:42:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	32	27¢	$9	0xb9ae88…
05-20 16:35:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	SELL	18	99¢	$18	0xbbaaa7…
05-20 16:30:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	BUY	18	43¢	$8	0x8e3cf7…
05-20 16:27:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	236	25¢	$59	0x684652…
05-20 16:21:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	BUY	527	9¢	$45	0x14db51…