Knobby-Illusion — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$114

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

90.2%

Resolved

340

Trades

755

lifetime

Volume

$6.55K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-24

last 05-24 14:29

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 23 days

Categories

Crypto

95% 83% -$134

Other

5% 50% +$21

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-24).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	21	$535	273	273	+0	Down	+$5	05-05 05:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	6	$289	157	157	+0	Down	+$19	05-05 05:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	6	$256	132	132	+0	Up	+$6	05-05 05:39
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 27 to April 29, 2026?	10	$248	142	142	+0	Yes	+$32	04-29 15:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	5	$197	101	101	+0	Down	+$5	05-04 18:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	6	$187	97	97	+0	Up	+$5	05-04 17:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	11	$170	91	91	+0	Down	+$12	05-04 17:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	2	$170	283	0	+283	Down	-$170	05-05 06:03
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	3	$150	186	0	+186	Down	+$36	05-05 05:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	7	$121	71	71	+0	Up	+$11	05-04 17:18
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	3	$120	125	0	+125	Up	+$5	05-05 05:26
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	6	$116	122	0	+122	Down	+$6	05-04 19:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	4	$90	106	0	+106	Up	+$16	05-04 19:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	2	$90	94	0	+94	Down	+$4	05-04 19:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	6	$88	54	54	+0	Up	+$18	05-04 17:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	6	$74	48	48	+0	Down	+$14	05-16 19:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	3	$70	37	37	+0	Down	+$0	05-05 11:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	2	$70	72	0	+72	Down	+$2	05-04 18:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	1	$70	76	0	+76	Up	+$6	05-04 17:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	2	$61	38	38	+0	Down	+$11	05-05 08:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	9	$54	35	35	+0	Up	+$14	05-04 16:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	4	$53	28	28	+0	Up	+$3	05-05 19:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	3	$47	54	29	+25	Down	-$3	05-04 19:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	2	$45	46	0	+46	Up	+$1	05-04 17:09
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	6	$44	24	24	+0	Down	+$2	05-05 18:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	5	$43	24	24	+0	Up	+$3	05-16 19:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	2	$43	23	23	+0	Down	+$3	05-05 08:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	4	$43	24	24	+0	Down	+$3	05-16 21:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	2	$43	23	23	+0	Down	+$3	05-05 07:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	3	$42	23	23	+0	Down	+$2	05-05 21:08

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-24 14:29:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x5b9162…
05-24 14:27:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x6536d9…
05-24 14:19:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x128c8d…
05-24 14:18:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x6ed319…
05-23 21:24:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0xe6fc6e…
05-23 21:24:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	6	89¢	$6	0xb8e11b…
05-23 21:09:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	SELL	6	99¢	$5	0x9f0db3…
05-23 21:08:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	6	94¢	$5	0x2979e6…
05-23 21:03:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x9a9c29…
05-23 21:02:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xda9f5a…
05-21 18:53:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0xace29c…
05-21 18:52:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	7	94¢	$7	0x18b03b…
05-21 13:44:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x2cdf80…
05-21 13:44:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xc497fc…
05-20 14:14:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0x4dc8c5…
05-20 14:14:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0x323779…
05-19 09:25:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x6af495…
05-19 09:20:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x9bf08f…
05-19 08:48:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	SELL	2	76¢	$2	0x25700a…
05-19 08:46:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x1d0e04…
05-19 08:40:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x8b105f…
05-19 08:26:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	72¢	$2	0x93b277…
05-19 08:26:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0xb8bf34…
05-19 08:24:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x246cc5…
05-19 08:13:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	SELL	8	94¢	$8	0x4e44a5…
05-19 08:13:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	83¢	$2	0x73f373…
05-19 08:12:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x2e44fd…
05-19 08:08:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xe25ebd…
05-19 08:08:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x159884…
05-19 07:24:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Down	SELL	2	97¢	$2	0xf1c294…
05-19 07:24:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Down	SELL	4	97¢	$4	0xd11454…
05-19 07:23:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xc979ad…
05-19 07:22:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	SELL	7	89¢	$6	0x4d05d0…
05-19 07:21:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0x4daf31…
05-19 06:39:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x21fe2c…
05-19 06:39:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	4	93¢	$4	0x551a5e…
05-19 06:24:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	BUY	3	95¢	$3	0x9ca61a…
05-16 22:19:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	BUY	39	64¢	$25	0x793071…
05-16 21:59:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	SELL	2	96¢	$2	0x95d5df…
05-16 21:59:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	SELL	15	96¢	$14	0xebbce6…
05-16 21:59:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	SELL	7	96¢	$7	0x011713…
05-16 21:59:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	24	85¢	$20	0xfd60ee…
05-16 21:44:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	SELL	22	93¢	$21	0xf75799…
05-16 21:44:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	22	68¢	$15	0x9c9b58…
05-16 21:24:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	SELL	11	92¢	$10	0xeb01cf…
05-16 21:24:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0x10c181…
05-16 21:24:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	SELL	5	92¢	$5	0x0afa0c…
05-16 21:23:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0x15531b…
05-16 20:59:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	SELL	14	87¢	$12	0x858764…
05-16 20:59:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	14	57¢	$8	0x13172c…
05-16 20:39:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0xe5c774…
05-16 20:39:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	SELL	6	93¢	$6	0x956fdd…
05-16 20:39:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	SELL	3	93¢	$3	0x370135…
05-16 20:36:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	10	61¢	$6	0xac7b88…
05-16 20:27:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0x32c6bd…
05-16 20:27:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0x054969…
05-16 20:27:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x9e312e…
05-16 20:24:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	18	17¢	$3	0xb09e4d…
05-16 20:20:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	10	53¢	$6	0x537f0c…
05-16 20:18:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	BUY	16	64¢	$10	0xefd21d…
05-16 20:15:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	SELL	14	94¢	$13	0x47a2bd…
05-16 20:13:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0x755290…
05-16 19:59:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	24	38¢	$9	0xdd8ea6…
05-16 19:56:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0xd8980c…
05-16 19:37:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	27	57¢	$15	0x4c2e7d…
05-16 19:33:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	SELL	12	96¢	$11	0x859b4c…
05-16 19:32:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	BUY	12	86¢	$10	0x3c4940…
05-16 19:29:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	SELL	11	97¢	$11	0xd761b7…
05-16 19:27:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0x76e783…
05-16 19:23:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	49	61¢	$30	0xc4d554…
05-16 19:09:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	SELL	15	93¢	$14	0x65476a…
05-16 19:09:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	SELL	12	93¢	$11	0x443738…
05-16 19:09:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	SELL	5	93¢	$5	0x2c83a0…
05-16 19:09:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	SELL	15	93¢	$14	0x179e05…
05-16 19:08:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0xf31469…
05-16 19:07:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	41	62¢	$25	0x07ac05…
05-16 19:04:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	SELL	24	96¢	$23	0x20100e…
05-16 19:03:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x81cee9…
05-16 19:03:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x322eaa…
05-16 19:03:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x31150a…
05-16 19:03:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0x9523e5…
05-16 18:54:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	4	76¢	$3	0xd043aa…
05-16 18:54:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	4	79¢	$3	0xa72ffa…
05-16 18:54:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	4	71¢	$3	0xddca35…
05-16 18:54:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	4	70¢	$3	0xba0088…
05-16 18:54:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	4	67¢	$3	0x61dd77…
05-16 18:54:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x5000ca…
05-16 18:49:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	4	83¢	$3	0xcdde84…
05-16 14:23:14	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 14 to May 16, 2026?	No	BUY	1,153	1¢	$10	0xf8098d…
05-16 09:13:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0xd22eb8…
05-15 14:13:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x713bda…
05-15 14:02:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0x973a91…
05-15 13:53:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	9	93¢	$9	0x73de58…
05-15 13:42:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	9	94¢	$8	0x5ef806…
05-14 18:53:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0xb8be8b…
05-14 17:17:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	3	94¢	$3	0xcd0b8b…
05-14 16:17:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	3	94¢	$3	0x220e57…
05-10 19:04:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x0439ec…
05-10 19:03:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0x9dd208…
05-10 19:02:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xd4409b…