Mean-Priest — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$13

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

19.1%

Resolved

Trades

201

lifetime

Volume

$1.24K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-27

last 05-14 04:40

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 27% $-13

Other

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

11 active days in 12wk • peak 60 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
sol updown 5m 1774626600	3	$80	143	62	+82	open	—	03-27 15:52
btc updown 5m 1774615200	7	$77	97	65	+33	open	—	03-27 12:44
btc updown 5m 1774614300	3	$64	50	27	+23	open	—	03-27 12:28
btc updown 5m 1774612500	3	$58	43	23	+20	open	—	03-27 11:59
btc updown 5m 1774611600	3	$46	37	19	+18	open	—	03-27 11:44
btc updown 5m 1774614600	2	$43	27	26	+0	open	—	03-27 12:32
Ethereum Up or Down - April 27, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	2	$42	22	22	+0	open	—	04-27 17:19
btc updown 5m 1774614000	2	$41	21	21	+0	open	—	03-27 12:25
btc updown 5m 1774612200	2	$36	18	18	+0	open	—	03-27 11:55
sol updown 5m 1774626300	4	$34	42	42	+1	open	—	03-27 15:49
sol updown 5m 1774626000	4	$33	184	184	+0	open	—	03-27 15:44
Ethereum Up or Down - April 27, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	4	$27	27	26	+1	open	—	04-27 17:23
btc updown 5m 1775248200	9	$25	31	27	+4	open	—	04-03 20:35
btc updown 5m 1775180700	3	$23	1,443	16	+1,427	open	—	04-03 01:50
Solana Up or Down - May 7, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	4	$23	21	21	+0	Up	$-3	05-08 01:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	3	$23	33	42	-9	open	—	04-27 17:09
sol updown 5m 1774715100	4	$22	42	41	+0	open	—	03-28 16:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	2	$21	231	216	+15	open	—	04-27 21:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	2	$21	11	11	+0	Up	+$0	05-08 01:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	2	$20	0	36	-36	open	—	04-27 15:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	5	$20	24	22	+2	open	—	04-27 17:38
sol updown 5m 1774621800	1	$20	160	0	+160	open	—	03-27 14:33
btc updown 5m 1774613700	1	$20	21	0	+21	open	—	03-27 12:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	4	$18	24	23	+1	open	—	04-27 21:54
btc updown 5m 1774619100	3	$16	20	7	+14	open	—	03-27 13:50
sol updown 5m 1774618800	2	$15	26	0	+26	open	—	03-27 13:42
hype updown 5m 1774618200	1	$14	15	0	+15	open	—	03-27 13:33
btc updown 5m 1775343600	3	$14	8	9	-1	open	—	04-04 23:05
sol updown 5m 1775249400	1	$13	38	0	+38	open	—	04-03 20:51
sol updown 5m 1774620600	1	$13	125	0	+125	open	—	03-27 14:14

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-14 04:40:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x4e92e8…
05-14 04:40:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0xd743dd…
05-14 04:38:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Down	SELL	62	5¢	$3	0xd51f77…
05-14 04:38:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Down	BUY	62	8¢	$5	0x990202…
05-08 01:38:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x7d865e…
05-08 01:37:38	Solana Up or Down - May 7, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Up	SELL	39	6¢	$2	0xf6ed60…
05-08 01:36:44	Solana Up or Down - May 7, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Up	BUY	39	15¢	$6	0x141c21…
05-08 01:32:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	SELL	15	14¢	$2	0xbb4ce5…
05-08 01:31:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0x026f00…
05-08 01:31:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	SELL	11	99¢	$10	0xcfbc8a…
05-08 01:29:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	11	99¢	$10	0x235d32…
05-08 01:28:24	Solana Up or Down - May 7, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	SELL	10	89¢	$9	0x5b8cd1…
05-08 01:28:04	Solana Up or Down - May 7, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	SELL	11	10¢	$1	0x9d2385…
05-08 01:27:52	Solana Up or Down - May 7, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	79¢	$8	0x44ca10…
05-08 01:26:35	Solana Up or Down - May 7, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0xbed622…
05-05 19:14:34	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	SELL	5	8¢	$0	0x25ac1b…
05-05 19:13:50	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	13	32¢	$4	0x4be49b…
05-05 19:12:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	SELL	7	69¢	$4	0xfdbf22…
05-05 19:11:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	7	46¢	$3	0xeb25eb…
05-05 19:05:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xfc21f7…
05-05 19:04:58	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	BUY	3	96¢	$3	0xde21f1…
05-05 19:04:38	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	SELL	3	52¢	$2	0x39683a…
05-05 19:04:24	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x42ad9f…
05-05 19:03:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	SELL	3	89¢	$3	0xad6352…
05-05 19:03:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	SELL	3	9¢	$0	0x73e888…
05-05 19:01:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x34fbd9…
05-05 19:01:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0x84c792…
05-01 22:48:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xe713ea…
05-01 22:46:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	BUY	15	20¢	$3	0x3c661b…
05-01 22:43:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	SELL	7	27¢	$2	0x7cf0b1…
05-01 22:42:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	7	27¢	$2	0xf79bd6…
05-01 22:42:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	SELL	10	28¢	$3	0x1756a1…
05-01 22:42:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0x940c0e…
04-27 21:59:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Up	SELL	216	0¢	$0	0x817738…
04-27 21:56:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	231	9¢	$21	0x4cb3be…
04-27 21:54:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	SELL	14	2¢	$0	0x6d9bb5…
04-27 21:53:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	SELL	10	74¢	$7	0xc382e4…
04-27 21:52:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xf65fe6…
04-27 21:52:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0x02e042…
04-27 17:38:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x4e06a5…
04-27 17:38:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	SELL	14	27¢	$4	0xbc5ebc…
04-27 17:37:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	SELL	8	69¢	$5	0x4e3731…
04-27 17:36:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0xbd2d6d…
04-27 17:35:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0xebb536…
04-27 17:34:12	Ethereum Up or Down - April 27, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Down	SELL	14	20¢	$3	0xfa56c2…
04-27 17:31:06	Ethereum Up or Down - April 27, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0x5f003a…
04-27 17:28:30	Ethereum Up or Down - April 27, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x930535…
04-27 17:23:28	Ethereum Up or Down - April 27, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	SELL	11	83¢	$9	0x573bf3…
04-27 17:22:52	Ethereum Up or Down - April 27, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0x55166e…
04-27 17:22:22	Ethereum Up or Down - April 27, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	SELL	15	52¢	$8	0xafec62…
04-27 17:21:46	Ethereum Up or Down - April 27, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0xad28fa…
04-27 17:19:58	Ethereum Up or Down - April 27, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	SELL	22	95¢	$21	0xedbad0…
04-27 17:19:04	Ethereum Up or Down - April 27, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	22	93¢	$21	0x856a67…
04-27 17:09:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xfded28…
04-27 17:08:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	SELL	21	94¢	$20	0x4c921b…
04-27 17:08:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	SELL	21	9¢	$2	0x8dd308…
04-27 15:34:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	SELL	18	99¢	$18	0x393154…
04-27 15:33:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	SELL	18	14¢	$3	0x95d279…
04-25 03:39:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	28¢	$2	0xcee901…
04-25 03:36:58	Ethereum Up or Down - April 24, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Down	SELL	3	56¢	$2	0xda62e3…
04-25 03:36:30	Ethereum Up or Down - April 24, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x5d6b24…
04-25 03:36:04	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 22°C on April 25?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x0df6f4…
04-25 03:25:52	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on April 25?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x2ee2db…
04-25 03:23:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Down	SELL	2	77¢	$2	0xb8988a…
04-25 03:22:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x898034…
04-25 03:13:06	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 15°C on April 25?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x59e386…
04-25 03:12:40	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 16°C on April 25?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xdefb5c…
04-24 16:32:40	btc updown 5m 1777048200	Down	BUY	17	9¢	$1	0x270a10…
04-24 16:29:12	btc updown 15m 1777047300	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x369590…
04-24 16:22:48	btc updown 5m 1777047600	Up	SELL	15	13¢	$2	0x63777f…
04-24 16:07:52	sol updown 5m 1777046700	Up	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0xf7ec81…
04-24 16:05:00	btc updown 15m 1777046400	Up	SELL	11	30¢	$3	0xe5bff8…
04-24 16:00:44	btc updown 15m 1777046400	Up	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0x9a6cb3…
04-24 15:59:08	btc updown 15m 1777045500	Down	SELL	10	5¢	$1	0xaec45c…
04-24 15:58:50	btc updown 15m 1777045500	Down	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x1cf45e…
04-24 15:55:12	bitcoin up or down april 24 2026 11am et	Up	SELL	3	37¢	$1	0x2fde4f…
04-24 15:54:06	bitcoin up or down april 24 2026 11am et	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x92448b…
04-04 23:09:59	btc updown 5m 1775343900	Down	BUY	26	32¢	$8	0xe0c14c…
04-04 23:05:09	btc updown 5m 1775343600	Down	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0x68ab6c…
04-04 23:04:57	btc updown 5m 1775343600	Up	SELL	1	5¢	$0	0xa13aee…
04-04 23:04:33	btc updown 5m 1775343600	Down	BUY	8	78¢	$6	0x7e0beb…
04-04 22:55:09	btc updown 5m 1775343000	Down	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0xdb8d38…
04-04 22:53:53	btc updown 5m 1775343000	Down	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0x7403c9…
04-04 22:45:05	btc updown 5m 1775342400	Up	SELL	4	96¢	$4	0xe98b33…
04-04 22:44:49	btc updown 5m 1775342400	Down	SELL	4	23¢	$1	0xd325e7…
04-04 22:35:29	btc updown 5m 1775341800	Down	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0xb74e8b…
04-04 22:34:51	btc updown 5m 1775341800	Up	SELL	4	1¢	$0	0x1665d3…
04-04 22:27:07	btc updown 5m 1775341500	Up	SELL	15	30¢	$5	0xb989e8…
04-04 22:26:09	btc updown 5m 1775341500	Up	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0x4c38ee…
04-04 22:23:27	btc updown 5m 1775341200	Down	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0xbf5240…
04-04 22:22:57	btc updown 5m 1775341200	Down	BUY	5	86¢	$5	0x6ec724…
04-04 22:19:43	btc updown 5m 1775340900	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x867f49…
04-04 16:50:41	sol updown 5m 1775321400	Down	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x3a675f…
04-04 16:49:49	sol updown 5m 1775321100	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x61b02a…
04-04 16:49:35	sol updown 5m 1775321100	Up	SELL	3	1¢	$0	0xd067e0…
04-04 16:49:03	sol updown 5m 1775321100	Down	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0xd06cdb…
04-04 16:47:55	sol updown 5m 1775321100	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x9e960d…
04-04 16:47:05	btc updown 5m 1775321100	Up	SELL	9	36¢	$3	0x158eb9…
04-04 16:45:25	btc updown 5m 1775321100	Up	BUY	9	34¢	$3	0x27a256…
04-03 20:51:57	sol updown 5m 1775249400	Up	BUY	38	34¢	$13	0x6ec90a…