Imaginative-Willow — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$30

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

4.1%

Resolved

103

Trades

118

lifetime

Volume

$31.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$268

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-16

last 10-06 05:09

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 60 days

Categories

Crypto

45% 90% -$26

Sports

40% 0% -$6

Other

15% 91% +$2

Tech

0% 67% +$0

Politics

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will ethereum dip to 2200 in january 2026 518	2	$4.4K	2,196	2,196	+0	No	-$2	01-31 07:38
will solana dip to 90 in january 2026	2	$4.4K	2,193	2,181	+12	No	-$2	01-31 08:07
will amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 453	2	$4.3K	2,179	2,170	+9	No	-$2	01-31 08:30
Will the Utah Jazz win the 2026 NBA Finals?	3	$4.3K	2,168	2,168	+0	No	-$2	02-05 08:21
will bitcoin reach 100k in january 2026	2	$4.3K	2,153	2,150	+3	No	-$2	01-31 09:11
Will Sevilla win the 2025–26 La Liga?	2	$4.2K	2,133	2,122	+11	No	-$2	01-31 10:35
Will Club Brugge win the 2025–26 Champions League?	2	$4.2K	2,124	2,116	+8	No	-$2	01-31 10:46
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on October 7?	1	$77	77	0	+77	No	+$0	10-06 05:09
Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 September 7-13?	1	$77	77	0	+77	No	+$0	09-12 02:26
will bitcoin reach 100k in august 2026	2	$62	31	31	+0	No	$0	08-20 05:56
Will Ethereum dip to $1,100 in August?	1	$46	46	0	+46	No	+$0	08-25 03:41
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $88,000 on May 3?	1	$40	40	0	+40	No	+$0	05-01 03:25
Will SpaceX not IPO by December 31, 2027?	2	$35	18	17	+1	No	$0	06-12 05:24
will xrp dip to 0pt2 in august 2026	1	$31	31	0	+31	No	+$0	08-02 08:00
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on May 1?	1	$30	30	0	+30	No	+$0	05-01 03:25
will the price of solana be between 90 100 on january 27	2	$26	26	0	+26	No	+$0	01-27 03:45
elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 520 539	2	$25	13	12	+1	No	+$0	03-31 02:47
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	2	$24	13	11	+2	No	$0	06-12 05:25
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	2	$20	20	5	+15	No	+$3	05-23 06:20
bitcoin above 84k on january 19	1	$20	20	0	+20	Yes	+$0	01-19 03:47
will ethereum reach 3900 january 12 18	1	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	01-16 07:56
will solana dip to 110 january 19 25	1	$19	19	0	+19	No	+$0	01-25 07:28
will bitcoin dip to 80k january 19 25	1	$19	19	0	+19	No	+$0	01-25 07:27
solana above 120 on january 25	1	$18	18	0	+18	Yes	+$0	01-25 07:28
bitcoin above 92k on january 25	1	$18	18	0	+18	No	+$0	01-25 07:26
EdgeX FDV above $10B one day after launch?	2	$17	9	8	+1	No	+$0	03-31 02:47
will the price of ethereum be between 3500 3600 on january 16	1	$17	17	0	+17	No	+$0	01-16 07:57
will the price of ethereum be greater than 3600 on january 19	1	$16	16	0	+16	No	+$0	01-19 03:48
will the price of ethereum be between 3000 3100 on january 16	1	$16	16	0	+16	No	+$0	01-16 07:57
will the price of bitcoin be between 62000 64000 on april 13	1	$15	15	0	+15	No	+$0	04-13 01:24

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-06 05:09:18	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on October 7?	No	BUY	77	100¢	$77	0x23b20d…
09-12 02:26:13	Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 September 7-13?	No	BUY	77	100¢	$77	0xf53026…
08-25 03:41:25	Will Ethereum dip to $1,100 in August?	No	BUY	46	100¢	$46	0x5d614f…
08-20 05:56:33	will bitcoin reach 100k in august 2026	No	SELL	31	99¢	$31	0xb01ecd…
08-02 08:01:20	will bitcoin reach 100k in august 2026	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0x3a120f…
08-02 08:00:48	will xrp dip to 0pt2 in august 2026	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0x6b8ba3…
08-02 08:00:20	will bitcoin dip to 56k july 27 august 2 2026	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xe69618…
07-15 02:54:02	bitcoin above 52k on july 20 2026	Yes	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xe2cc83…
07-15 02:53:50	bitcoin above 56k on july 17 2026	Yes	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xc58a04…
07-15 02:53:41	bitcoin above 60k on july 16 2026	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xae5a8d…
07-03 03:23:59	bitcoin above 56k on july 4 2026	Yes	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xd3b247…
07-03 03:23:29	will xrp dip to 0pt2 in july 2026	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x5cd8d4…
07-03 03:23:13	will solana dip to 10 in july 2026	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf4bd26…
07-03 03:22:56	will bitcoin dip to 48k june 29 july 5 2026	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x53c8f3…
07-03 03:22:34	will ethereum dip to 700 in july 2026	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x38e90d…
07-03 03:22:07	will bitcoin dip to 37pt5k in july 2026	No	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0x5f75d8…
06-24 06:33:52	Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x2e9ecc…
06-24 06:33:35	Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x167e20…
06-24 06:33:20	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xfa977a…
06-12 05:36:39	will ethereum reach 3000 in june 2026	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xfa703d…
06-12 05:36:27	will bitcoin reach 100k in june 2026	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x2210f0…
06-12 05:25:12	Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0xa3abb7…
06-12 05:24:39	Will SpaceX not IPO by December 31, 2027?	No	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0x78b14c…
06-08 07:50:34	Will SpaceX not IPO by December 31, 2027?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x593fcd…
06-08 07:50:13	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T?	Yes	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x7f321e…
06-08 07:49:48	Will SpaceX not IPO by December 31, 2027?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xe9e345…
06-08 07:49:12	Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xbb38c4…
06-08 07:48:51	Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xa71c5d…
05-23 06:21:38	Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x8f0b7d…
05-23 06:21:16	Will Elon Musk post 1400-1439 tweets in May 2026?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x200f2b…
05-23 06:20:00	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5	82¢	$4	0x69d372…
05-21 07:23:05	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	81¢	$16	0x40a564…
05-21 07:22:09	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on May 24?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xf9f6a3…
05-21 07:21:52	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 23?	Yes	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x0cc9a7…
05-21 07:21:22	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 21?	Yes	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x9a2bef…
05-12 08:39:56	Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 in May?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x21033a…
05-12 08:39:18	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on May 15?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xa4ca2d…
05-12 08:38:57	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on May 14?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xd4d24b…
05-12 08:38:38	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on May 13?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xe6db58…
05-12 08:38:25	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 12?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x7960b4…
05-01 03:25:38	Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $88,000 on May 3?	No	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0x252646…
05-01 03:25:22	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on May 1?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x614347…
04-13 01:24:33	will the price of bitcoin be between 62000 64000 on april 13	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xdaab89…
04-13 01:24:23	bitcoin above 82k on april 15	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x85dc34…
04-13 01:24:11	bitcoin above 60k on april 14	Yes	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x721fab…
04-13 01:23:45	bitcoin above 76k on april 13	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xc329f5…
04-08 02:18:07	elon musk of tweets april 9 april 11 240plus	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x1509de…
04-08 02:17:45	elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 580plus	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x9698bd…
04-08 02:17:27	elon musk of tweets april 7 april 14 580plus	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x8dd13c…
04-08 02:17:05	elon musk of tweets april 3 april 10 400 419	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xc6a52b…
03-31 02:53:25	elon musk of tweets april 2 april 4 240plus	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x783c3d…
03-31 02:53:13	elon musk of tweets march 30 april 1 165 189	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x08eabb…
03-31 02:47:51	elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 520 539	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0xd606ed…
03-31 02:47:41	EdgeX FDV above $10B one day after launch?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x3d67bd…
03-30 06:59:30	elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 580plus	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x627964…
03-30 06:59:16	elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 520 539	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x818a41…
03-30 06:59:02	elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 320 339	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xf4016c…
03-17 03:31:41	elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 580plus	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xeaf355…
03-17 03:31:33	elon musk of tweets march 10 march 17 360 379	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x78777d…
03-13 06:38:11	ucl liv1 gal 2026 03 18 gal	No	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x04efac…
03-13 06:37:55	ucl fcb1 new 2026 03 18 new	No	BUY	2	82¢	$2	0x1429ce…
03-13 06:37:49	ucl ars lev 2026 03 17 lev	No	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0xee85ac…
03-13 06:37:41	ucl mnc1 rma1 2026 03 17 draw	No	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0xb7e8d9…
03-13 06:37:37	ucl spo1 bog1 2026 03 17 draw	No	BUY	2	82¢	$2	0xb3883a…
03-13 06:37:27	cbb iowast arz 2026 03 13	Arizona Wildcats	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0x0d7f5c…
03-13 06:34:21	cbb seton stjohn 2026 03 13	St. John's Red Storm	BUY	3	74¢	$2	0x590bfc…
03-13 06:34:17	cbb wisc ill 2026 03 13	Illinois Fighting Illini	BUY	3	74¢	$2	0x11f5b8…
03-13 06:34:07	cbb stbon day 2026 03 13	Dayton Flyers	BUY	3	73¢	$2	0xcea2eb…
03-13 06:33:59	cbb uk fl 2026 03 13	Florida Gators	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0x06d58a…
03-13 06:33:53	cbb ohiost mich 2026 03 13	Michigan Wolverines	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0x6d5239…
03-13 06:33:47	cbb geows stlou 2026 03 13	Saint Louis Billikens	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0xfab0fd…
03-06 07:12:55	Will Masoud Pezeshkian be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x21d1aa…
03-06 07:12:43	will train dreams win best picture at the 98th academy awards 736	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x1d2aef…
03-06 07:11:35	us forces enter iran by march 7	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x49b73d…
02-10 02:24:15	EdgeX FDV above $10B one day after launch?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x83e6f3…
02-10 02:23:55	Backpack FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	15	73¢	$11	0x1c8d79…
02-10 02:23:27	Will Opinion launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xcd5df1…
02-05 08:29:23	will ethereum reach 2900 february 2 8	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xc70a95…
02-05 08:28:57	ethereum above 2500 on february 5	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x89d68d…
02-05 08:28:33	will bitcoin reach 90k february 2 8	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xff33ea…
02-05 08:28:13	bitcoin above 80k on february 5	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x57ddf1…
02-05 08:21:29	Will the Utah Jazz win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0xd1e166…
01-31 10:46:44	Will Club Brugge win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	SELL	2,116	100¢	$2,107	0x336246…
01-31 10:38:08	Will Club Brugge win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	2,124	100¢	$2,118	0xc88f8f…
01-31 10:35:16	Will Sevilla win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	SELL	2,122	100¢	$2,118	0x1211dc…
01-31 09:40:56	Will Sevilla win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	BUY	2,133	100¢	$2,131	0xd1c0a0…
01-31 09:11:14	will bitcoin reach 100k in january 2026	No	SELL	2,150	100¢	$2,146	0x99cfc3…
01-31 08:53:08	will bitcoin reach 100k in january 2026	No	BUY	2,153	100¢	$2,151	0x20fe67…
01-31 08:44:52	Will the Utah Jazz win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	2,155	100¢	$2,151	0xaa546c…
01-31 08:33:20	Will the Utah Jazz win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	2,168	100¢	$2,166	0xc08346…
01-31 08:30:58	will amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 453	No	SELL	2,170	100¢	$2,166	0x25b149…
01-31 08:13:34	will amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 453	No	BUY	2,179	100¢	$2,177	0xe7d359…
01-31 08:07:36	will solana dip to 90 in january 2026	No	SELL	2,181	100¢	$2,177	0xf1ec36…
01-31 07:44:48	will solana dip to 90 in january 2026	No	BUY	2,193	100¢	$2,191	0xf4394f…
01-31 07:38:36	will ethereum dip to 2200 in january 2026 518	No	SELL	2,196	100¢	$2,191	0x2c25de…
01-31 07:11:34	will ethereum dip to 2200 in january 2026 518	No	BUY	2,196	100¢	$2,193	0x447365…
01-27 03:45:25	will the price of solana be between 90 100 on january 27	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xc71bf5…
01-27 03:45:05	will the price of solana be between 90 100 on january 27	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x1445c7…
01-27 03:44:53	will the price of xrp be less than 1pt50 on january 27	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf3e06c…
01-27 03:44:35	will bitcoin reach 102k january 26 1	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xb185bb…