Poised-Roof — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$133

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

94.5%

Resolved

Trades

120

lifetime

Volume

$79.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$663

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-11

last 07-13 11:49

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 39 days

Categories

Crypto

86% 100% +$73

Other

12% 76% +$177

Politics

3% 50% -$386

Sports

0% 100% +$3

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-13).

Open positions Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin above 60k on march 27	1	$4.3K	4,289	0	+4,289	Yes	+$4	03-27 01:02
bitcoin above 64k on march 26	1	$4.3K	4,285	0	+4,285	Yes	+$4	03-26 01:08
bitcoin above 62k on march 25	1	$4.3K	4,281	0	+4,281	Yes	+$4	03-25 01:03
will the price of bitcoin be between 80000 82000 on march 24	1	$4.3K	4,276	0	+4,276	No	+$4	03-23 07:33
will bitcoin reach 82k march 16 22	1	$4.3K	4,272	0	+4,272	No	+$4	03-22 01:00
bitcoin above 64k on march 21	1	$4.3K	4,268	0	+4,268	Yes	+$4	03-21 00:55
will the price of bitcoin be less than 62000 on march 20	1	$4.3K	4,264	0	+4,264	No	+$4	03-20 01:17
bitcoin above 60k on march 19	1	$4.3K	4,259	0	+4,259	Yes	+$4	03-18 01:08
bitcoin above 64k on march 17	1	$4.3K	4,255	0	+4,255	Yes	+$4	03-16 07:44
will bitcoin dip to 56k march 9 15	1	$4.2K	4,251	0	+4,251	No	+$4	03-14 00:54
bitcoin above 58k on march 13	1	$4.2K	4,247	0	+4,247	Yes	+$4	03-13 00:52
will the price of solana be between 60 70 on march 12	1	$4.2K	4,242	0	+4,242	No	+$7	03-12 01:21
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	2	$2.2K	1,242	1,242	+0	No	-$12	03-07 10:30
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	5	$1.8K	1,872	1,872	+0	Yes	-$416	03-08 00:15
will the price of ethereum be between 2600 2700 on january 28	1	$1.3K	1,307	0	+1,307	No	+$1	01-28 01:02
will the price of xrp be between 2pt10 2pt20 on january 26	1	$1.3K	1,304	0	+1,304	No	+$1	01-26 07:58
will bitcoin dip to 80k january 19 25	1	$1.3K	1,303	0	+1,303	No	+$1	01-26 01:08
xrp above 2pt3 on january 22	1	$1.3K	1,298	0	+1,298	No	+$1	01-21 06:24
xrp above 2pt3 on january 20	1	$1.3K	1,297	0	+1,297	No	+$1	01-19 07:37
will bitcoin dip to 86k january 12 18	1	$1.3K	1,295	0	+1,295	No	+$1	01-18 01:06
will the price of xrp be between 1pt80 1pt90 on january 14	2	$1.3K	1,290	0	+1,290	No	+$1	01-14 03:39
bitcoin above 100k on january 13	1	$1.3K	1,289	0	+1,289	No	+$1	01-12 09:08
will bitcoin reach 98k january 5 11	1	$1.3K	1,288	0	+1,288	No	+$3	01-11 14:52
will the price of xrp be between 2pt10 2pt20 on january 27	2	$1.3K	1,261	0	+1,261	No	+$1	01-27 00:56
will the price of xrp be between 1pt70 1pt80 on january 17	1	$1.2K	1,200	0	+1,200	No	+$1	01-17 01:05
aapl above 285 on january 16 2026	1	$1.1K	1,149	0	+1,149	No	+$1	01-16 01:00
ethereum above 3500 on january 25	1	$867	868	0	+868	No	+$2	01-24 01:01
open above 4 on january 23 2026	1	$866	867	0	+867	Yes	+$1	01-23 02:39
Will Tom Pelphrey – “Task” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actor in a drama series?	12	$814	705	705	+0	Yes	+$19	07-11 14:50
Will Gavin McKenna win the 2026-27 Calder Trophy?	7	$682	1,290	1,290	+0	open	—	07-13 11:47

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-13 11:49:22	will starmer say europe during the next pmq 20260702155400718	Yes	SELL	2	40¢	$1	0x78fa5c…
07-13 11:48:50	will starmer say europe during the next pmq 20260702155400718	Yes	SELL	93	46¢	$43	0xcea6cc…
07-13 11:47:26	Will Gavin McKenna win the 2026-27 Calder Trophy?	Yes	SELL	373	25¢	$94	0x0f8597…
07-13 11:12:04	will starmer say europe during the next pmq 20260702155400718	Yes	SELL	92	48¢	$44	0xf42d5d…
07-13 11:06:17	Will Gavin McKenna win the 2026-27 Calder Trophy?	Yes	SELL	615	35¢	$216	0x242e4e…
07-13 10:40:07	Will FURIA Win CBLOL 2026 Split 2	Yes	SELL	355	37¢	$131	0x4d69c3…
07-13 10:39:43	Will Nigel Farage win 60–70% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?	Yes	SELL	472	32¢	$150	0xbc313e…
07-13 08:38:40	will starmer say europe during the next pmq 20260702155400718	Yes	SELL	74	54¢	$40	0x25b095…
07-13 08:38:31	Will FURIA Win CBLOL 2026 Split 2	Yes	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xe227db…
07-13 08:33:25	Will FURIA Win CBLOL 2026 Split 2	Yes	SELL	300	40¢	$120	0x91cee6…
07-13 08:16:49	Will Hannah Einbinder – “Hacks” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actress in a comedy series?	Yes	SELL	26	46¢	$12	0x455864…
07-13 08:16:41	Will Hannah Einbinder – “Hacks” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actress in a comedy series?	Yes	SELL	243	52¢	$126	0xbb7a29…
07-13 08:16:02	Will Nigel Farage win 60–70% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?	Yes	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0x6ba84d…
07-13 08:09:40	will starmer say europe during the next pmq 20260702155400718	Yes	SELL	9	55¢	$5	0x43e36f…
07-13 08:05:58	Will Gavin McKenna win the 2026-27 Calder Trophy?	Yes	BUY	40	38¢	$15	0x149781…
07-13 08:05:38	Will Hannah Einbinder – “Hacks” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actress in a comedy series?	Yes	BUY	269	48¢	$128	0x1d1e07…
07-13 08:04:32	Will Nigel Farage win 60–70% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?	Yes	BUY	467	26¢	$119	0x62c40a…
07-13 07:55:32	will starmer say europe during the next pmq 20260702155400718	Yes	BUY	270	34¢	$93	0x081ae1…
07-13 07:50:11	Will Gavin McKenna win the 2026-27 Calder Trophy?	Yes	SELL	92	39¢	$36	0xb37434…
07-13 07:49:37	Will There be 4-6 Knife Kills at Blast Bounty 2026 Season 2?	Yes	SELL	259	50¢	$129	0xbee93f…
07-13 07:48:14	Will Gavin McKenna win the 2026-27 Calder Trophy?	Yes	SELL	211	23¢	$49	0x40c8df…
07-13 07:48:04	Will Gavin McKenna win the 2026-27 Calder Trophy?	Yes	BUY	1,245	22¢	$271	0x2b3b17…
07-13 07:46:47	Will FURIA Win CBLOL 2026 Split 2	Yes	SELL	52	60¢	$32	0xedea3d…
07-13 07:45:13	Will FURIA Win CBLOL 2026 Split 2	Yes	SELL	59	50¢	$29	0x399136…
07-13 07:45:07	Will FURIA Win CBLOL 2026 Split 2	Yes	BUY	761	36¢	$271	0x02edc9…
07-13 07:23:58	Will There be 4-6 Knife Kills at Blast Bounty 2026 Season 2?	Yes	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x7eef37…
07-13 06:57:02	Will There be 4-6 Knife Kills at Blast Bounty 2026 Season 2?	Yes	SELL	20	62¢	$12	0x087c9d…
07-13 06:56:59	Will There be 4-6 Knife Kills at Blast Bounty 2026 Season 2?	Yes	SELL	50	67¢	$34	0x69c553…
07-13 06:56:56	Will There be 4-6 Knife Kills at Blast Bounty 2026 Season 2?	Yes	SELL	40	68¢	$27	0x9ed8da…
07-13 06:56:50	Will There be 4-6 Knife Kills at Blast Bounty 2026 Season 2?	Yes	BUY	364	47¢	$171	0x4931a6…
07-11 14:50:19	Will Tom Pelphrey – “Task” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actor in a drama series?	No	SELL	16	42¢	$7	0xae788b…
07-11 14:49:56	Will the median home value in Los Angeles Metro be between $1,169,000 and $1,185,000 on September 30?	Yes	SELL	34	28¢	$10	0x6527af…
07-11 14:49:35	Will Tom Pelphrey – “Task” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actor in a drama series?	No	SELL	90	59¢	$54	0xe3c608…
07-11 09:44:34	Will Shailene Woodley – “Paradise” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding guest actress in a drama series?	Yes	SELL	14	30¢	$4	0x85ab2f…
07-11 09:43:59	Will the median home value in Los Angeles Metro be between $1,169,000 and $1,185,000 on September 30?	Yes	SELL	284	37¢	$104	0x04d7b1…
07-11 09:42:31	Will Tom Pelphrey – “Task” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actor in a drama series?	No	SELL	349	66¢	$231	0x7de368…
07-11 07:11:44	Will Christopher McDonald – “Hacks” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding guest actor in a comedy series?	Yes	SELL	11	23¢	$3	0x78896d…
07-11 07:02:59	Will the median home value in Los Angeles Metro be between $1,169,000 and $1,185,000 on September 30?	Yes	SELL	72	43¢	$31	0x1f62ab…
07-11 07:00:56	Will Tom Pelphrey – “Task” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actor in a drama series?	No	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0x7c2967…
07-11 06:58:43	Will Christopher McDonald – “Hacks” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding guest actor in a comedy series?	Yes	SELL	140	26¢	$36	0xb88f38…
07-11 06:57:20	Will the median home value in Los Angeles Metro be between $1,169,000 and $1,185,000 on September 30?	Yes	BUY	390	37¢	$142	0x432fac…
07-11 06:55:08	Will Shailene Woodley – “Paradise” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding guest actress in a drama series?	Yes	SELL	228	50¢	$114	0xb2ad9e…
07-11 06:53:14	Will Christopher McDonald – “Hacks” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding guest actor in a comedy series?	Yes	SELL	118	49¢	$57	0xb21956…
07-11 06:50:41	Will Shailene Woodley – “Paradise” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding guest actress in a drama series?	Yes	BUY	242	50¢	$121	0x0aa912…
07-11 06:49:44	Will Christopher McDonald – “Hacks” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding guest actor in a comedy series?	Yes	BUY	269	30¢	$80	0xdf71a3…
07-11 06:46:49	Will PPI YoY be 6.2% in June?	Yes	SELL	119	25¢	$30	0x41794b…
07-11 06:31:32	Will PPI YoY be 6.2% in June?	Yes	SELL	20	29¢	$6	0xa184e3…
07-11 06:17:07	Will Tom Pelphrey – “Task” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actor in a drama series?	No	BUY	55	47¢	$26	0x4d5dd2…
07-11 06:16:38	Will PPI YoY be 6.2% in June?	Yes	BUY	20	34¢	$7	0x71e96d…
07-11 06:16:35	Will PPI YoY be 6.2% in June?	Yes	SELL	237	36¢	$86	0x0c0c19…
07-11 06:12:31	Will Tom Pelphrey – “Task” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actor in a drama series?	No	SELL	61	74¢	$45	0x7b9575…
07-11 06:11:01	Will Tom Pelphrey – “Task” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actor in a drama series?	No	BUY	20	77¢	$15	0x023afa…
07-11 06:01:53	Will Tom Pelphrey – “Task” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actor in a drama series?	No	BUY	20	78¢	$16	0xf88177…
07-11 05:59:40	Will PPI YoY be 6.2% in June?	Yes	BUY	356	26¢	$91	0xca9240…
07-11 05:53:20	Will Tom Pelphrey – “Task” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actor in a drama series?	No	BUY	416	62¢	$260	0x460872…
07-11 05:44:49	Thermo Fisher (TMO) Q2 organic revenue growth (non-GAAP) 2%-4%?	Yes	SELL	32	39¢	$13	0x8c42d4…
07-11 05:41:31	Thermo Fisher (TMO) Q2 organic revenue growth (non-GAAP) 2%-4%?	Yes	SELL	20	50¢	$10	0xf4ab00…
07-11 05:40:08	Thermo Fisher (TMO) Q2 organic revenue growth (non-GAAP) 2%-4%?	Yes	SELL	48	51¢	$24	0x64217b…
07-11 05:38:55	Thermo Fisher (TMO) Q2 organic revenue growth (non-GAAP) 2%-4%?	Yes	SELL	17	52¢	$9	0xaed7df…
07-11 05:38:49	Thermo Fisher (TMO) Q2 organic revenue growth (non-GAAP) 2%-4%?	Yes	SELL	396	45¢	$180	0xe0fd2b…
07-11 04:06:47	Thermo Fisher (TMO) Q2 organic revenue growth (non-GAAP) 2%-4%?	Yes	BUY	513	38¢	$195	0xdfb2bf…
07-11 04:04:08	Will Kyle Schwarber win the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby?	Yes	SELL	45	16¢	$7	0xa13ce9…
07-11 04:03:50	Will Kyle Schwarber win the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby?	Yes	SELL	89	17¢	$15	0xd0d9c6…
07-11 04:03:32	Will Tom Pelphrey – “Task” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actor in a drama series?	Yes	SELL	141	41¢	$58	0xb8f95c…
07-11 04:00:14	Will Kyle Schwarber win the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby?	Yes	BUY	40	18¢	$7	0x59e8c1…
07-11 03:52:11	Will Kyle Schwarber win the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby?	Yes	SELL	240	22¢	$53	0x011b34…
07-11 03:42:26	Will Tom Pelphrey – “Task” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actor in a drama series?	Yes	SELL	48	46¢	$22	0x86bddf…
07-11 03:25:20	Will Tom Pelphrey – “Task” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actor in a drama series?	Yes	BUY	189	41¢	$77	0x229ff2…
07-11 03:24:32	Will Kyle Schwarber win the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby?	Yes	BUY	334	19¢	$65	0x45b7cd…
05-25 10:56:31	Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $950B by June 30?	Yes	SELL	121	34¢	$41	0xafab5b…
05-25 10:48:22	Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $950B by June 30?	Yes	BUY	121	35¢	$43	0xbc29c6…
05-25 09:05:18	Will Gukesh Dommaraju win the 2026 World Chess Championship?	Yes	SELL	120	36¢	$43	0x357fb1…
05-25 08:55:39	Will Gukesh Dommaraju win the 2026 World Chess Championship?	Yes	BUY	120	36¢	$43	0x0f2098…
05-18 06:35:53	Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $180 in May?	No	SELL	110	10¢	$11	0x5ac6d8…
05-18 01:12:34	Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $180 in May?	No	BUY	110	37¢	$41	0x8ac388…
03-27 01:02:41	bitcoin above 60k on march 27	Yes	BUY	4,289	100¢	$4,285	0xecf6c6…
03-26 01:08:49	bitcoin above 64k on march 26	Yes	BUY	4,285	100¢	$4,281	0xc86100…
03-25 01:03:39	bitcoin above 62k on march 25	Yes	BUY	4,281	100¢	$4,276	0x220268…
03-23 07:33:59	will the price of bitcoin be between 80000 82000 on march 24	No	BUY	4,276	100¢	$4,272	0x7bebb1…
03-22 01:00:09	will bitcoin reach 82k march 16 22	No	BUY	4,272	100¢	$4,268	0x786f6a…
03-21 00:55:05	bitcoin above 64k on march 21	Yes	BUY	4,268	100¢	$4,264	0xb35419…
03-20 01:17:55	will the price of bitcoin be less than 62000 on march 20	No	BUY	4,264	100¢	$4,259	0x7bda32…
03-18 01:08:41	bitcoin above 60k on march 19	Yes	BUY	4,259	100¢	$4,255	0x736223…
03-16 07:44:11	bitcoin above 64k on march 17	Yes	BUY	4,255	100¢	$4,251	0x81be9c…
03-14 00:54:41	will bitcoin dip to 56k march 9 15	No	BUY	4,251	100¢	$4,247	0x4db3b2…
03-13 00:52:21	bitcoin above 58k on march 13	Yes	BUY	4,247	100¢	$4,242	0xdd3116…
03-12 01:21:49	will the price of solana be between 60 70 on march 12	No	BUY	4,242	100¢	$4,235	0xa97e37…
03-08 08:46:45	will ethereum dip to 200 in march 2026	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0xc848c4…
03-08 00:15:25	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	No	SELL	1,572	36¢	$564	0xa211b6…
03-08 00:14:17	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	No	SELL	85	36¢	$31	0x73a222…
03-08 00:14:17	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	No	SELL	15	36¢	$5	0x17cfb7…
03-08 00:13:59	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	No	SELL	200	36¢	$72	0xc9e5a7…
03-07 11:01:01	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	No	BUY	1,872	58¢	$1,088	0x86a155…
03-07 10:30:41	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	SELL	1,242	88¢	$1,088	0x68ce27…
03-07 02:42:15	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	BUY	1,242	89¢	$1,100	0x56f315…
01-28 23:53:14	will solana dip to 30 in january 2026	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0xf556be…
01-28 01:02:35	will the price of ethereum be between 2600 2700 on january 28	No	BUY	1,307	100¢	$1,305	0x3e25c2…
01-27 00:56:29	xrp above 2pt1 on january 27	No	BUY	44	100¢	$44	0x8bc3b4…
01-27 00:56:17	will the price of xrp be between 2pt10 2pt20 on january 27	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xf369bb…
01-27 00:56:11	will the price of xrp be between 2pt10 2pt20 on january 27	No	BUY	1,211	100¢	$1,210	0x5704fa…