Imperfect-Pension — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$460

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

54.7%

Resolved

433

Trades

18,675

lifetime

Volume

$47.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-29

last 05-29 00:39

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 10 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 45% +$460

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

52 active days in 12wk • peak 879 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (6) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	37	$152	165	56	+109	open	—	05-04 15:35
btc updown 5m 1776465000	15	$137	119	116	+3	open	—	04-17 22:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	16	$133	107	107	+0	Down	+$73	05-07 01:00
btc updown 5m 1775632500	11	$115	103	87	+16	open	—	04-08 07:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 10PM ET	30	$112	191	63	+128	open	—	04-26 03:00
btc updown 5m 1774931400	9	$107	90	89	+1	open	—	03-31 04:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	14	$102	78	78	+0	open	—	05-15 04:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	22	$101	82	63	+19	Down	+$17	05-10 16:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	6	$99	213	0	+213	Down	$-99	05-10 06:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	15	$97	81	65	+16	open	—	04-28 02:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	10	$96	65	75	-10	open	—	05-16 12:54
btc updown 5m 1776483900	16	$94	129	36	+93	open	—	04-18 03:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	16	$90	79	73	+6	open	—	04-26 02:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	12	$90	70	70	+0	open	—	05-15 07:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	19	$90	108	60	+48	open	—	04-27 06:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	41	$88	220	0	+220	Down	+$132	05-08 23:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	8	$84	57	57	+0	open	—	05-15 22:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	4	$83	168	0	+168	Down	$-83	05-10 06:29
btc updown 5m 1776543600	18	$83	60	53	+7	open	—	04-18 20:24
btc updown 5m 1775779500	13	$82	68	60	+8	open	—	04-10 00:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	30	$81	166	38	+128	open	—	05-15 08:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	20	$81	125	58	+67	open	—	04-29 05:39
btc updown 5m 1775695800	9	$81	64	62	+2	open	—	04-09 00:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	16	$78	56	56	+0	open	—	05-02 05:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	18	$77	54	50	+4	open	—	04-25 07:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	21	$76	50	50	+0	Down	+$11	05-14 01:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	12	$76	59	59	+0	open	—	05-15 07:49
btc updown 5m 1775702100	10	$75	79	57	+22	open	—	04-09 02:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	10	$74	47	47	+0	open	—	05-01 22:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	17	$74	128	26	+102	open	—	05-26 04:04

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-29 00:39:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	BUY	32	4¢	$1	0x24692f…
05-29 00:39:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	BUY	32	4¢	$1	0x1af453…
05-29 00:38:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	BUY	8	29¢	$2	0xc98369…
05-29 00:38:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0x519235…
05-29 00:37:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	BUY	8	33¢	$3	0x446ec3…
05-29 00:36:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0x716453…
05-29 00:35:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	BUY	14	34¢	$5	0x67a23b…
05-29 00:33:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x7f3a57…
05-29 00:31:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	BUY	9	60¢	$5	0xfe27f4…
05-29 00:29:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xbd89b1…
05-29 00:29:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	11	23¢	$3	0x6a3128…
05-29 00:29:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	7	50¢	$4	0x861110…
05-29 00:29:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	7	47¢	$3	0x3523bc…
05-29 00:29:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0x0dcc7a…
05-29 00:24:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	BUY	17	21¢	$4	0x7adfb8…
05-29 00:24:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	BUY	8	15¢	$1	0x3cd022…
05-29 00:23:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	BUY	13	10¢	$1	0x001b66…
05-29 00:23:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	BUY	9	14¢	$1	0xabca8d…
05-29 00:23:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	BUY	20	11¢	$2	0xf0dc04…
05-29 00:22:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x4e2915…
05-29 00:19:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	65	2¢	$1	0x59fcb5…
05-29 00:18:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	8	16¢	$1	0xb34444…
05-29 00:18:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x1ee8a3…
05-29 00:18:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	17¢	$0	0x18fac2…
05-29 00:18:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	9	14¢	$1	0xaebf00…
05-29 00:17:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	23	15¢	$3	0xb50579…
05-29 00:17:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	8	38¢	$3	0x356a09…
05-29 00:17:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	11	33¢	$4	0xcf408c…
05-29 00:14:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	39¢	$2	0xde78f6…
05-29 00:14:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xd2eb3a…
05-29 00:14:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	32¢	$3	0xd2d654…
05-29 00:14:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	33¢	$3	0x724d47…
05-29 00:13:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	35¢	$4	0xc84906…
05-29 00:13:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0x2c0b6a…
05-29 00:13:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	12	39¢	$5	0x1aff7d…
05-28 16:23:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	16	29¢	$5	0x134826…
05-28 13:54:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	24¢	$1	0x76bea9…
05-28 13:54:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	20	24¢	$5	0x506fca…
05-28 13:54:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x7e0735…
05-28 11:19:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0xa0b90a…
05-28 11:19:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	BUY	8	58¢	$5	0x2d1d16…
05-28 11:19:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	BUY	4	78¢	$3	0xf2c627…
05-28 11:05:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Down	BUY	12	44¢	$5	0x6e8d62…
05-28 11:04:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Down	BUY	20	26¢	$5	0x81bd61…
05-28 09:44:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	7	34¢	$2	0xd9eac0…
05-28 09:36:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	BUY	13	9¢	$1	0xe5f4b7…
05-28 09:34:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	10	53¢	$5	0x721767…
05-28 09:34:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	10	46¢	$5	0x36f3d6…
05-28 09:29:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	13	41¢	$5	0x7b2f89…
05-28 09:29:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	4	59¢	$2	0x963b32…
05-28 09:24:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x2950d8…
05-28 09:24:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x04be84…
05-28 09:24:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	BUY	6	75¢	$4	0x142815…
05-28 09:24:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	BUY	9	52¢	$5	0xf19519…
05-28 09:23:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x4d8c96…
05-28 08:00:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	9	16¢	$1	0xf73a52…
05-28 08:00:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	24	16¢	$4	0xc18b60…
05-28 07:58:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	17¢	$0	0x8656db…
05-28 07:58:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	14	17¢	$2	0x61bda8…
05-28 07:56:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	35	11¢	$4	0x2363fe…
05-28 07:28:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	23	16¢	$4	0xe257b1…
05-28 06:33:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	BUY	9	24¢	$2	0x6f3901…
05-28 06:33:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	BUY	7	34¢	$2	0xdd7f22…
05-28 06:29:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	4	43¢	$2	0x0c1531…
05-28 06:24:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Up	BUY	130	1¢	$1	0x7b846b…
05-28 06:19:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Up	SELL	7	16¢	$1	0x9ab0b9…
05-28 06:19:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x8820d6…
05-28 06:19:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	BUY	4	44¢	$2	0xcb9f19…
05-28 06:19:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	BUY	8	44¢	$3	0x2e44fe…
05-28 06:19:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Up	BUY	7	63¢	$4	0x9ee418…
05-28 06:14:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0x100a4b…
05-28 06:14:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	31¢	$0	0x1fceab…
05-28 06:14:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	75¢	$4	0xd1a8cf…
05-28 06:14:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xffe58f…
05-28 06:14:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	44¢	$1	0x378592…
05-28 06:14:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	7	44¢	$3	0x1368b2…
05-28 06:14:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	41¢	$4	0xe43592…
05-28 06:14:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	41¢	$1	0x460383…
05-28 06:13:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0x2c443e…
05-28 05:59:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	16	8¢	$1	0xe764a2…
05-28 05:58:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	13	20¢	$3	0xeb3f0d…
05-28 05:57:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	7	66¢	$5	0x9b1494…
05-28 03:49:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Down	BUY	14	17¢	$2	0x3dca96…
05-28 03:22:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	BUY	6	76¢	$5	0x2227bc…
05-28 03:22:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	BUY	4	73¢	$3	0xe7e3c7…
05-28 03:21:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Down	BUY	10	36¢	$4	0x347032…
05-28 03:21:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Down	BUY	9	51¢	$5	0x16dab2…
05-28 01:14:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	11	11¢	$1	0x005461…
05-28 01:04:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	BUY	12	29¢	$3	0xe37dc0…
05-28 00:49:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Up	BUY	16	12¢	$2	0xa7f38f…
05-28 00:49:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Up	BUY	6	12¢	$1	0xcd6db5…
05-28 00:43:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	13	34¢	$4	0x82a6d3…
05-28 00:43:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xa664ac…
05-28 00:42:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	14	38¢	$5	0x6982a7…
05-28 00:34:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	BUY	32	3¢	$1	0x39e7ef…
05-28 00:32:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	BUY	20	24¢	$5	0x6c2e17…
05-28 00:29:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	7	66¢	$5	0x1425d1…
05-28 00:29:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	21	25¢	$5	0x222e90…
05-27 21:28:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	14	8¢	$1	0x7834fc…
05-27 21:28:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xf13da2…