Nimble-Thread — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$26

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

65.4%

Resolved

1,276

Trades

1,818

lifetime

Volume

$7.23K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-04

last 09-11 12:30

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 34 days

Categories

Crypto

96% 65% -$60

Other

4% 43% +$79

Sports

0% 33% +$7

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 120 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
La Laguna Tenerife vs. Bilbao Basket	2	$200	141	141	+0	Bilbao Basket	+$81	05-29 21:53
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-28 13:30 UTC	7	$51	76	0	+76	Down	+$24	07-28 13:35
SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-19 12:25 UTC	8	$50	72	0	+72	Down	-$50	07-19 12:26
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-24 11:45 UTC	2	$43	64	0	+64	Up	-$43	07-24 11:46
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-24 14:00 UTC	1	$37	55	0	+55	Down	-$37	07-24 14:01
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-24 07:15 UTC	10	$36	49	0	+49	Down	+$13	07-24 07:16
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-24 13:45 UTC	6	$32	45	0	+45	Down	+$13	07-24 13:48
XRP Up or Down - May 8, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	3	$32	43	0	+43	Down	+$11	05-08 18:14
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-23 16:00 UTC	1	$32	45	0	+45	Down	+$13	07-23 16:01
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-23 15:00 UTC	1	$30	42	0	+42	Down	+$12	07-23 15:02
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	3	$28	58	0	+58	Up	+$30	05-04 17:49
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-24 13:30 UTC	5	$28	38	0	+38	Down	+$10	07-24 13:36
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-28 13:45 UTC	3	$28	40	0	+40	Up	-$28	07-28 13:46
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-23 14:15 UTC	1	$27	37	0	+37	Down	+$10	07-23 14:19
Las Vegas Aces vs. Dallas Wings	1	$27	73	0	+73	Dallas Wings	+$46	05-29 00:11
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-24 14:00 UTC	3	$26	36	0	+36	Down	-$26	07-24 14:01
Solana Up or Down - May 4, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	3	$26	52	0	+52	Down	-$26	05-05 02:04
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-24 14:00 UTC	1	$25	38	0	+38	Down	+$13	07-24 14:03
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-23 14:00 UTC	7	$25	34	0	+34	Up	+$9	07-23 14:08
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	1	$25	54	0	+54	Down	-$25	05-04 17:54
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-23 13:45 UTC	1	$24	35	0	+35	Down	+$10	07-23 13:46
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-23 15:00 UTC	4	$24	33	0	+33	Down	+$9	07-23 15:03
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-23 12:45 UTC	1	$24	34	0	+34	Up	-$24	07-23 12:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	3	$24	48	0	+48	Down	-$24	05-04 19:06
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-24 14:15 UTC	3	$22	32	0	+32	Up	-$22	07-24 14:17
Indiana Fever vs. Golden State Valkyries	1	$22	61	0	+61	Golden State Valkyries	-$22	05-29 02:47
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-29 18:30 UTC	7	$21	29	0	+29	Up	-$21	07-29 18:31
Solana Up or Down - May 4, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	4	$21	44	0	+44	Down	-$21	05-04 17:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	2	$21	44	0	+44	Up	+$23	05-05 02:39
Solana Up or Down - May 4, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	6	$20	39	0	+39	Up	-$20	05-05 02:50

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-11 12:30:36	XRP Up or Down - September 11, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0x13f43a…
09-11 12:15:36	XRP Up or Down - September 11, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0x5cc47c…
09-11 12:10:28	Solana Up or Down - September 11, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0x9131f3…
09-11 12:05:01	XRP Up or Down - September 11, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0xb8c7d8…
09-11 12:01:43	XRP Up or Down - September 11, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0xe4c2f0…
09-11 12:01:27	Solana Up or Down - September 11, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x63c59e…
09-11 11:45:40	Solana Up or Down - September 11, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0x6f4dff…
09-11 11:35:34	Solana Up or Down - September 11, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0x22ec29…
09-11 11:35:24	XRP Up or Down - September 11, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0xfd002d…
09-11 11:20:22	XRP Up or Down - September 11, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0x464e11…
09-11 11:18:27	Ethereum Up or Down - September 11, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0xdef7e1…
09-11 11:15:49	Solana Up or Down - September 11, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0xbed9c6…
09-11 11:15:48	XRP Up or Down - September 11, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0xee1e28…
09-11 11:10:28	XRP Up or Down - September 11, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0xdbda7d…
09-11 11:10:28	XRP Up or Down - September 11, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0xd59082…
09-11 11:10:28	Solana Up or Down - September 11, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x38b3e2…
09-11 11:06:45	Solana Up or Down - September 11, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0x78efd1…
09-11 11:05:21	XRP Up or Down - September 11, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0x8b3edd…
09-11 10:40:54	Solana Up or Down - September 11, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0x8e59a3…
09-11 06:18:52	XRP Up or Down - September 11, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x53234a…
09-11 05:31:39	Solana Up or Down - September 11, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0xfb63a9…
09-11 05:31:39	XRP Up or Down - September 11, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0x83da9b…
09-11 05:22:58	XRP Up or Down - September 11, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0xe167a0…
09-11 05:22:55	Solana Up or Down - September 11, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0x8e0c35…
09-11 05:16:22	Solana Up or Down - September 11, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x4f07ff…
09-11 04:45:54	Solana Up or Down - September 11, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0xcf0783…
09-11 04:37:25	Solana Up or Down - September 11, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0x8df56d…
09-11 04:30:34	Ethereum Up or Down - September 11, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0xd14148…
09-11 04:17:57	XRP Up or Down - September 11, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0xf48d90…
09-11 04:17:13	Solana Up or Down - September 11, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x8cc31b…
09-11 04:01:18	Solana Up or Down - September 11, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x7aef67…
09-11 03:50:46	XRP Up or Down - September 10, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0xe3f0e7…
09-11 03:50:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xb1bb7d…
09-11 03:50:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	0	44¢	$0	0x942567…
09-11 03:50:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xbf2b1f…
09-11 03:45:42	Solana Up or Down - September 10, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x28496b…
09-11 03:45:37	XRP Up or Down - September 10, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0xa3938c…
09-11 03:45:36	Solana Up or Down - September 10, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0x2c6c52…
09-11 03:35:25	Solana Up or Down - September 10, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0x1507de…
09-11 03:31:03	Solana Up or Down - September 10, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0x5fc1ea…
09-11 03:31:01	XRP Up or Down - September 10, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x0c5355…
09-11 03:16:12	XRP Up or Down - September 10, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0xb57971…
09-11 03:16:12	Ethereum Up or Down - September 10, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0xb1a845…
09-11 03:15:42	Solana Up or Down - September 10, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0xc83b8a…
09-11 03:05:07	Solana Up or Down - September 10, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0x617ce5…
09-11 03:05:07	XRP Up or Down - September 10, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x4eceac…
09-11 02:51:43	XRP Up or Down - September 10, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0xa77199…
09-11 02:48:01	Solana Up or Down - September 10, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0xa6cf6b…
09-11 02:45:31	XRP Up or Down - September 10, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x963aa9…
09-11 02:32:58	Solana Up or Down - September 10, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0xab984c…
09-11 02:15:27	Solana Up or Down - September 10, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x971225…
09-11 02:15:25	XRP Up or Down - September 10, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0xfab16e…
09-11 02:06:04	XRP Up or Down - September 10, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0x9f7f18…
09-11 02:01:12	Solana Up or Down - September 10, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0xf557a6…
09-11 01:55:46	Solana Up or Down - September 10, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x5c994d…
09-11 01:47:25	XRP Up or Down - September 10, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	BUY	7	45¢	$3	0x08fe04…
09-11 01:46:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0xc86779…
09-11 01:46:04	Ethereum Up or Down - September 10, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x2a95d5…
09-11 01:45:43	Solana Up or Down - September 10, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	BUY	12	47¢	$6	0x2291b1…
09-11 01:32:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x505da1…
09-11 01:32:30	XRP Up or Down - September 10, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0x72cc76…
09-11 01:32:10	XRP Up or Down - September 10, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0xa2c0d2…
09-11 01:31:46	Solana Up or Down - September 10, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0x22f58e…
09-11 01:20:33	Solana Up or Down - September 10, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	7	64¢	$5	0xe1f5e7…
09-11 01:20:24	XRP Up or Down - September 10, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	11	60¢	$6	0x8930f6…
09-11 01:17:19	XRP Up or Down - September 10, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	6	71¢	$4	0xee6f5f…
09-11 01:05:31	Solana Up or Down - September 10, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0xcac2d9…
09-11 01:05:25	XRP Up or Down - September 10, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0x87a6f2…
09-11 01:05:25	XRP Up or Down - September 10, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0x1b7b37…
09-11 01:03:12	Ethereum Up or Down - September 10, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0x5adf59…
09-11 01:01:12	Solana Up or Down - September 10, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0x4e12ba…
09-11 00:50:46	XRP Up or Down - September 10, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0xbcad60…
09-11 00:49:10	Solana Up or Down - September 10, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0xcb78d1…
09-11 00:49:07	Solana Up or Down - September 10, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0xbb54e0…
09-11 00:45:36	XRP Up or Down - September 10, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0xc9b57b…
09-11 00:31:12	Ethereum Up or Down - September 10, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0xe55015…
09-11 00:31:12	XRP Up or Down - September 10, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0x7569e5…
09-11 00:31:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0x07144e…
09-11 00:30:49	XRP Up or Down - September 10, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0xd0dc5c…
09-11 00:30:48	Solana Up or Down - September 10, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0xe861b4…
09-11 00:30:43	Solana Up or Down - September 10, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0xbc8d9e…
09-11 00:30:43	XRP Up or Down - September 10, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0x01ba69…
09-11 00:19:00	XRP Up or Down - September 10, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0x64865e…
09-11 00:18:39	XRP Up or Down - September 10, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0xc1b609…
09-11 00:16:18	Solana Up or Down - September 10, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0xc8716e…
09-11 00:01:15	Solana Up or Down - September 10, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0x60ae14…
09-11 00:00:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0x2d3c1f…
09-11 00:00:49	XRP Up or Down - September 10, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0xed6e93…
09-10 23:49:09	Solana Up or Down - September 10, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x7ec921…
09-10 23:47:13	XRP Up or Down - September 10, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0xabc2c0…
09-10 23:45:28	XRP Up or Down - September 10, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0xce335f…
09-10 23:37:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0x84f819…
09-10 23:36:30	XRP Up or Down - September 10, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0xdf4f9c…
09-10 23:35:28	XRP Up or Down - September 10, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0xecd346…
09-10 23:30:31	Solana Up or Down - September 10, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x09e17c…
09-10 23:30:30	XRP Up or Down - September 10, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0xface10…
09-10 23:15:28	Ethereum Up or Down - September 10, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xe0a97c…
09-10 23:15:28	Ethereum Up or Down - September 10, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x8a0f5e…
09-10 23:15:27	XRP Up or Down - September 10, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xe5a017…
09-10 23:15:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0xb83b77…