Nimble-Thread — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$205

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

51.0%

Resolved

365

Trades

725

lifetime

Volume

$2.76K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-04

last 05-30 15:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 7 days

Categories

Crypto

89% 55% $-205

Other

10% — —

Sports

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

14 active days in 12wk • peak 203 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (12) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
La Laguna Tenerife vs. Bilbao Basket	2	$200	141	141	+0	open	—	05-29 21:53
XRP Up or Down - May 8, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	3	$32	43	0	+43	Down	+$11	05-08 18:14
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	3	$28	58	0	+58	open	—	05-04 17:49
Las Vegas Aces vs. Dallas Wings	1	$27	73	0	+73	open	—	05-29 00:11
Solana Up or Down - May 4, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	3	$26	52	0	+52	Down	$-26	05-05 02:04
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	1	$25	54	0	+54	open	—	05-04 17:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	3	$24	48	0	+48	open	—	05-04 19:06
Indiana Fever vs. Golden State Valkyries	1	$22	61	0	+61	open	—	05-29 02:47
Solana Up or Down - May 4, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	4	$21	44	0	+44	open	—	05-04 17:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	2	$21	44	0	+44	Up	+$23	05-05 02:39
Solana Up or Down - May 4, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	6	$20	39	0	+39	Up	$-20	05-05 02:50
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	2	$20	34	0	+34	open	—	05-04 17:17
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	3	$19	37	0	+37	open	—	05-04 17:00
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	1	$18	34	0	+34	open	—	05-04 16:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	2	$18	9	9	+0	open	—	05-28 20:58
Solana Up or Down - May 4, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	4	$17	36	0	+36	Down	$-17	05-05 02:44
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	1	$17	31	0	+31	open	—	05-04 19:06
XRP Up or Down - May 5, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	1	$17	34	0	+34	Down	$-17	05-05 04:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	1	$17	31	0	+31	open	—	05-04 17:54
Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	1	$16	22	0	+22	Up	+$6	05-08 13:33
Los Angeles Sparks vs. Washington Mystics	2	$16	11	11	+0	open	—	05-30 02:09
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	2	$16	35	0	+35	open	—	05-04 14:24
XRP Up or Down - May 4, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	3	$16	32	0	+32	open	—	05-04 17:55
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	2	$16	34	0	+34	Down	$-16	05-05 05:39
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	1	$15	23	0	+23	Down	$-15	05-05 02:25
XRP Up or Down - May 5, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	4	$15	31	0	+31	Down	$-15	05-05 05:40
Solana Up or Down - May 4, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	1	$15	24	0	+24	open	—	05-04 14:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	1	$15	30	0	+30	Down	$-15	05-05 05:39
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	1	$14	20	0	+20	open	—	05-04 18:01
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	2	$14	20	0	+20	Up	+$6	05-05 01:36

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-30 15:00:19	Alba Berlin vs. Brose Bamberg	Brose Bamberg	BUY	37	27¢	$10	0x1f9869…
05-30 03:31:03	UFC Fight Night: Song Yadong vs. Deiveson Figueiredo (Bantamweight, Main Card)	Deiveson Figueiredo	BUY	26	18¢	$5	0xa0bfd9…
05-30 03:29:43	UFC Fight Night: Sergei Pavlovich vs. Tallison Teixeira (Heavyweight, Main Card)	Tallison Teixeira	BUY	22	18¢	$4	0x8f95f3…
05-30 02:16:18	Atlanta Dream vs. PortlandFire	PortlandFire	BUY	10	27¢	$3	0x9ef28d…
05-30 02:09:25	Los Angeles Sparks vs. Washington Mystics	Los Angeles Sparks	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x8b3e43…
05-29 22:47:25	Los Angeles Sparks vs. Washington Mystics	Los Angeles Sparks	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x27a185…
05-29 21:53:31	La Laguna Tenerife vs. Bilbao Basket	Bilbao Basket	SELL	141	100¢	$141	0x931adf…
05-29 14:21:33	La Laguna Tenerife vs. Bilbao Basket	Bilbao Basket	BUY	141	42¢	$59	0xbaa80f…
05-29 02:47:24	Indiana Fever vs. Golden State Valkyries	Indiana Fever	BUY	61	36¢	$22	0x213be9…
05-29 00:11:34	Las Vegas Aces vs. Dallas Wings	Dallas Wings	BUY	73	37¢	$27	0xf89a05…
05-28 21:00:11	Atlanta Braves vs. Boston Red Sox	Atlanta Braves	BUY	27	41¢	$11	0xdbaa56…
05-28 20:58:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	SELL	9	98¢	$9	0xed34e4…
05-28 20:56:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	9	96¢	$9	0x9db40b…
05-28 20:52:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	21	43¢	$9	0xd57401…
05-28 19:54:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	41¢	$4	0x016b90…
05-16 07:16:48	Solana Up or Down - May 16, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0xe18ee2…
05-15 13:48:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0xeb95af…
05-15 13:48:45	XRP Up or Down - May 15, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x621d36…
05-15 13:48:43	XRP Up or Down - May 15, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	33¢	$1	0xbd16df…
05-15 13:46:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x3df5ec…
05-15 13:41:33	XRP Up or Down - May 15, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	34¢	$1	0xd68319…
05-15 13:41:33	XRP Up or Down - May 15, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x255505…
05-15 13:41:29	XRP Up or Down - May 15, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	0	34¢	$0	0x791f8e…
05-15 08:26:20	XRP Up or Down - May 15, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0xc6cd28…
05-14 19:36:43	XRP Up or Down - May 14, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x37fc76…
05-14 19:20:44	XRP Up or Down - May 14, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	4	34¢	$1	0xfec142…
05-14 19:20:42	XRP Up or Down - May 14, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	34¢	$1	0x00b6b8…
05-14 18:42:23	XRP Up or Down - May 14, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0x198901…
05-14 18:15:35	XRP Up or Down - May 14, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0x65c82d…
05-14 17:26:08	Solana Up or Down - May 14, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x98d3ba…
05-14 17:26:08	Solana Up or Down - May 14, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	40¢	$1	0x2ce27c…
05-14 17:02:20	Solana Up or Down - May 14, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0xef2362…
05-14 16:12:35	Solana Up or Down - May 14, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xa136f3…
05-11 03:15:04	Solana Up or Down - May 10, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	BUY	3	47¢	$1	0xdb0551…
05-11 03:15:04	Solana Up or Down - May 10, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x6eb37a…
05-11 03:15:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x0dadd2…
05-11 02:39:18	Solana Up or Down - May 10, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x75f176…
05-11 02:39:18	Solana Up or Down - May 10, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Down	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0x67dba8…
05-11 02:29:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x15550e…
05-11 01:59:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	56¢	$1	0xb79246…
05-11 01:59:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0x31029f…
05-11 01:59:24	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x355863…
05-11 01:59:05	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x1d9ff6…
05-11 01:49:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x70140a…
05-11 01:42:00	Solana Up or Down - May 10, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0x1c784e…
05-11 01:36:55	XRP Up or Down - May 10, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0xd894f7…
05-11 01:34:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0xc19bba…
05-11 01:34:05	Solana Up or Down - May 10, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0xc09e02…
05-11 01:24:07	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0xdb1a02…
05-11 01:19:48	Solana Up or Down - May 10, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xac7c83…
05-11 01:19:30	XRP Up or Down - May 10, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x83b7a9…
05-11 01:14:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0xc7811c…
05-11 01:11:55	Solana Up or Down - May 10, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0x9aa3fb…
05-11 01:10:49	Solana Up or Down - May 10, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0x28e4df…
05-11 00:50:47	Solana Up or Down - May 10, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0x0f32a3…
05-11 00:49:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0x564ab3…
05-11 00:44:34	XRP Up or Down - May 10, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0x222679…
05-11 00:44:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x4454d0…
05-11 00:39:10	Solana Up or Down - May 10, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0x2d0878…
05-11 00:21:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	BUY	0	39¢	$0	0xcffc5e…
05-11 00:21:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x0d23c1…
05-11 00:20:53	Solana Up or Down - May 10, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0xc77f80…
05-11 00:04:07	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x7ee02a…
05-11 00:00:26	Solana Up or Down - May 10, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0xd91473…
05-10 23:44:13	XRP Up or Down - May 10, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x92e5d8…
05-10 23:34:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x6eb79e…
05-10 23:14:58	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x5edb6c…
05-10 23:14:56	XRP Up or Down - May 10, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x46f08c…
05-10 23:14:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0xf4c66f…
05-10 23:08:40	Solana Up or Down - May 10, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0xc9abaf…
05-10 23:08:38	Solana Up or Down - May 10, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	71¢	$1	0x63ec8f…
05-10 23:00:19	Solana Up or Down - May 10, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x5fa1ea…
05-10 23:00:12	XRP Up or Down - May 10, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0xe7f285…
05-10 23:00:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x986cd9…
05-10 22:59:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x020ba5…
05-10 22:54:14	Solana Up or Down - May 10, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x51c189…
05-10 22:54:05	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0xa537ec…
05-10 22:44:10	XRP Up or Down - May 10, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x134dee…
05-10 22:24:15	Solana Up or Down - May 10, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0x08f4e0…
05-10 22:19:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x683913…
05-10 22:17:50	Solana Up or Down - May 10, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x82925e…
05-10 22:14:37	XRP Up or Down - May 10, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	57¢	$1	0x074090…
05-10 22:14:14	XRP Up or Down - May 10, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x741ed1…
05-10 22:14:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0x7a7ea4…
05-10 22:05:28	XRP Up or Down - May 10, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0xc1b220…
05-10 22:05:21	Solana Up or Down - May 10, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x70e021…
05-10 22:03:16	XRP Up or Down - May 10, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x25b6c9…
05-10 22:00:13	Solana Up or Down - May 10, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0xe92276…
05-10 21:49:30	Solana Up or Down - May 10, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0xe057f3…
05-10 21:49:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xda2b8c…
05-10 21:49:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	4	69¢	$3	0x94e3e2…
05-10 21:44:24	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0x9162f0…
05-10 21:44:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x8be826…
05-10 21:44:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	69¢	$2	0x87f0cb…
05-10 21:44:07	Solana Up or Down - May 10, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x72c9e9…
05-10 21:39:14	Solana Up or Down - May 10, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x756cf7…
05-10 21:30:24	Solana Up or Down - May 10, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0xd0d69d…
05-10 21:24:32	Solana Up or Down - May 10, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x2c39a5…
05-10 21:24:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x289d61…
05-10 21:19:38	XRP Up or Down - May 10, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x5187ea…