Clumsy-Pear — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$333

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

71.5%

Resolved

269

Trades

655

lifetime

Volume

$17.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$27

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-02

last 10-09 10:37

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 34 days

Categories

Crypto

97% 61% +$324

Politics

2% 100% +$171

Other

1% 15% -$153

Tech

0% 0% -$8

Sports

0% 0% -$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-11 12:10 UTC	9	$425	220	220	+0	Up	+$6	03-11 12:13
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-12 06:35 UTC	7	$419	220	220	+0	Down	+$16	03-12 06:40
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-11 12:00 UTC	2	$390	200	200	+0	Down	+$6	03-11 12:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-07 08:25 UTC	3	$374	218	216	+2	Down	+$56	03-07 08:30
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-09 11:45 UTC	3	$366	282	167	+115	Down	-$32	03-09 11:50
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-06 07:15 UTC	4	$288	166	165	+1	Up	+$30	03-06 07:18
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-12 06:40 UTC	4	$286	150	150	+0	Up	+$11	03-12 06:45
Will Trump visit China by April 30?	2	$279	300	300	+0	No	+$171	03-17 12:41
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-07 07:55 UTC	3	$277	152	151	+1	Up	+$17	03-07 07:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-07 11:00 UTC	5	$275	210	142	+67	Down	-$24	03-07 11:05
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-06 12:10 UTC	3	$267	149	148	+1	Up	+$27	03-06 12:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-11 11:35 UTC	2	$252	133	133	+0	Down	+$12	03-11 11:40
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-10 09:15 UTC	5	$251	306	301	+5	Up	-$28	03-10 09:18
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-09 13:10 UTC	3	$244	126	125	+0	Up	+$4	03-09 13:13
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-08 09:55 UTC	3	$243	136	135	+0	Down	+$3	03-08 09:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-10 08:50 UTC	6	$242	168	167	+1	Down	+$13	03-10 08:53
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-07 08:40 UTC	4	$238	209	139	+70	Down	-$21	03-07 08:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-12 12:40 UTC	2	$235	120	120	+0	Up	+$3	03-12 12:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-05 07:25 UTC	5	$234	120	120	+0	Down	+$4	03-05 07:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-07 07:10 UTC	4	$232	168	167	+1	Up	-$28	03-07 07:13
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-06 07:25 UTC	3	$231	145	115	+31	Up	-$8	03-06 07:28
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-07 10:50 UTC	4	$231	163	162	+1	Down	+$12	03-07 10:53
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-11 12:15 UTC	2	$224	120	120	+0	Up	+$8	03-11 12:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-10 08:55 UTC	4	$221	161	159	+2	Down	+$43	03-10 09:01
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-11 10:20 UTC	2	$214	120	119	+1	Down	+$23	03-11 10:26
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-10 09:40 UTC	3	$212	139	119	+20	Down	+$23	03-10 09:45
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-09 12:00 UTC	2	$203	109	109	+0	Up	+$3	03-09 12:03
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-08 10:05 UTC	9	$202	160	157	+2	Up	+$45	03-08 10:10
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-12 06:55 UTC	9	$192	100	99	+1	Down	+$5	03-12 07:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-08 10:20 UTC	4	$189	141	139	+2	Up	+$10	03-08 10:23

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-09 10:37:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-09 10:35 UTC	Up	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x494ab6…
10-09 10:32:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xcff5b8…
09-19 10:44:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xf97683…
09-19 10:37:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-19 10:35 UTC	Up	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xeb2443…
09-19 10:28:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-19 10:25 UTC	Down	SELL	2	74¢	$2	0x610d83…
09-19 10:26:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-19 10:25 UTC	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xc005cb…
09-15 08:41:49	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in September?	Yes	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0x027484…
09-15 08:41:30	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in September?	Yes	BUY	134	15¢	$20	0xe1bca8…
09-14 07:33:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-14 07:30 UTC	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x48bdc7…
09-14 07:29:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xd5d158…
09-14 07:24:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	SELL	4	95¢	$4	0x2beed9…
09-14 07:23:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x8738b4…
09-14 07:18:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xf7f7aa…
09-12 09:46:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	SELL	8	66¢	$5	0xf85228…
09-12 09:45:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0x09a60c…
07-29 11:07:32	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-29 11:05 UTC	Up	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x5be65a…
05-22 09:45:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0xba8674…
05-22 09:42:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	SELL	51	91¢	$46	0x42cdf2…
05-22 09:42:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	SELL	22	13¢	$3	0x127a66…
05-22 09:41:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0x51514b…
05-22 09:41:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x4af1bf…
05-22 09:41:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	37	68¢	$25	0x8396ee…
05-22 09:41:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0xc3bd4b…
05-05 11:37:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0x86976c…
05-05 11:29:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x67c98d…
05-05 11:26:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x254cdd…
05-05 11:20:30	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	77	0¢	$0	0x1a8e0c…
05-05 11:20:22	Will Anthropic’s market cap be between $300B and $400B at market close on IPO day?	Yes	SELL	325	0¢	$0	0x3bb84f…
05-05 11:20:18	Will Anthropic’s market cap be between $200B and $300B at market close on IPO day?	Yes	SELL	687	0¢	$1	0x9838fb…
04-13 11:14:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-13 11:10 UTC	Up	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x69ab44…
04-13 11:13:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-13 11:10 UTC	Up	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0xe4b0e9…
03-31 11:54:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-31 11:50 UTC	Down	SELL	11	38¢	$4	0xdeea14…
03-31 11:51:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-31 11:50 UTC	Down	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x24ff28…
03-31 11:39:27	will nvda dip to 152 in march	Yes	SELL	56	1¢	$1	0xe008c9…
03-31 11:39:01	will crude oil cl hit high 140 by end of march 934 621	Yes	SELL	94	0¢	$0	0xa52470…
03-30 10:12:28	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	No	SELL	83	0¢	$0	0x422189…
03-26 14:11:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-26 14:10 UTC	Up	SELL	12	17¢	$2	0x22e3e7…
03-26 14:10:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-26 14:10 UTC	Up	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0x8d9bfa…
03-26 14:09:09	will crude oil cl hit high 180 by end of march 692	Yes	SELL	130	0¢	$1	0x5e2868…
03-26 14:04:55	will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	Yes	SELL	175	0¢	$1	0x1e4247…
03-21 09:30:15	will nguyn ha bnh be the next prime minister of vietnam	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0x09d33a…
03-21 09:29:33	will phm minh chnh be the next prime minister of vietnam	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0x3d2742…
03-21 09:29:23	will trn lu quang be the next prime minister of vietnam	Yes	BUY	71	7¢	$5	0xb1ec0c…
03-21 07:08:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-21 07:05 UTC	Up	SELL	14	13¢	$2	0xfc09b7…
03-21 07:07:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-21 07:05 UTC	Up	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xdd774b…
03-20 08:49:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-20 08:45 UTC	Down	SELL	12	8¢	$1	0x8b35b4…
03-20 08:47:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-20 08:45 UTC	Down	BUY	12	83¢	$10	0xa1b5b9…
03-20 07:58:55	will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	Yes	SELL	89	12¢	$11	0x550c09…
03-19 08:48:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-19 08:45 UTC	Up	SELL	10	96¢	$10	0x8619d1…
03-19 08:47:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-19 08:45 UTC	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xb3bb58…
03-19 07:59:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-19 07:55 UTC	Up	SELL	5	6¢	$0	0xfbc6bc…
03-19 07:55:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-19 07:55 UTC	Up	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0xee0a24…
03-18 10:07:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-18 10:05 UTC	Down	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0xe2dce7…
03-18 09:46:55	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	200	0¢	$1	0x69c953…
03-18 09:46:27	will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x9bace6…
03-18 09:46:03	will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x01efba…
03-18 09:45:51	will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	250	0¢	$1	0x9402b5…
03-18 09:44:23	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	83	6¢	$5	0x875aa1…
03-17 12:45:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-17 12:40 UTC	Down	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0xbb852c…
03-17 12:44:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-17 12:40 UTC	Down	BUY	20	79¢	$16	0xff7cb8…
03-17 12:41:47	Will Trump visit China by April 30?	No	SELL	300	75¢	$225	0x9358ee…
03-17 12:41:07	peoples bank of china rate cut by march 31	Yes	BUY	121	8¢	$10	0x00f0c4…
03-17 12:31:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-17 12:30 UTC	Up	BUY	6	58¢	$3	0xda616f…
03-17 12:22:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-17 12:20 UTC	Up	SELL	6	9¢	$1	0x65ce61…
03-17 12:21:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-17 12:20 UTC	Up	BUY	6	26¢	$2	0xa8ae20…
03-17 12:20:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-17 12:15 UTC	Up	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xff4464…
03-17 12:20:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-17 12:15 UTC	Up	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x795809…
03-17 12:17:19	will nvda dip to 152 in march	Yes	BUY	56	9¢	$5	0xd4e3d0…
03-17 12:13:11	peoples bank of china rate cut by march 31	Yes	BUY	79	6¢	$5	0x7d50fb…
03-14 10:04:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-14 10:00 UTC	Up	BUY	10	60¢	$6	0x7b65a1…
03-14 08:32:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-14 08:30 UTC	Down	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x58a5e2…
03-14 08:31:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-14 08:25 UTC	Up	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x70d709…
03-14 08:28:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-14 08:25 UTC	Up	BUY	6	55¢	$3	0x6cb615…
03-14 08:19:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-14 08:15 UTC	Down	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x504f65…
03-14 08:16:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-14 08:15 UTC	Down	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0x8f2046…
03-14 07:53:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-14 07:50 UTC	Up	BUY	0	58¢	$0	0xe884d3…
03-14 07:53:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-14 07:50 UTC	Up	BUY	6	58¢	$3	0xd6200a…
03-14 07:53:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-14 07:50 UTC	Up	BUY	1	58¢	$1	0x9ee72b…
03-14 07:53:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-14 07:50 UTC	Up	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0x4e3743…
03-14 07:50:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-14 07:45 UTC	Down	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0x896e97…
03-14 07:47:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-14 07:45 UTC	Down	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x225f0c…
03-14 07:16:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-14 07:15 UTC	Down	BUY	10	53¢	$5	0xfeee41…
03-13 11:28:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-13 11:25 UTC	Up	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0x480c62…
03-13 10:45:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-13 10:40 UTC	Up	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x654c7d…
03-13 10:42:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-13 10:40 UTC	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x06d300…
03-13 10:42:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-13 10:40 UTC	Up	BUY	4	60¢	$2	0x04530f…
03-13 10:40:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-13 10:35 UTC	Up	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x0ab0dc…
03-13 10:37:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-13 10:35 UTC	Up	BUY	10	85¢	$8	0xaf10e0…
03-13 10:35:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-13 10:30 UTC	Up	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x4cb8bd…
03-13 10:31:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-13 10:30 UTC	Up	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0xca3ed6…
03-13 09:59:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-13 09:55 UTC	Up	BUY	20	65¢	$13	0xa3fd04…
03-12 12:57:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-12 12:55 UTC	Down	BUY	10	58¢	$6	0x8df058…
03-12 12:49:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-12 12:45 UTC	Up	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0xf90d1f…
03-12 12:48:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-12 12:45 UTC	Up	BUY	20	89¢	$18	0x0f09e2…
03-12 12:44:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-12 12:40 UTC	Up	SELL	120	99¢	$119	0x3b2e2b…
03-12 12:44:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-12 12:40 UTC	Up	BUY	120	97¢	$116	0x0a461e…
03-12 12:40:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-12 12:35 UTC	Down	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0x89d1af…
03-12 12:39:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-12 12:35 UTC	Down	BUY	20	44¢	$9	0xb01ad9…
03-12 12:37:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-12 12:35 UTC	Up	SELL	16	40¢	$6	0x3cdb80…
03-12 12:36:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-12 12:35 UTC	Up	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0xb29fd4…