Linear-Prospect-Stumbling — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$661

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

84.9%

Resolved

4,142

Trades

7,500

lifetime

Volume

$73.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-14

last 10-30 13:59

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 151 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 72% -$661

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

71 active days in 12wk • peak 191 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	2	$268	149	149	+0	Down	+$26	06-02 15:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	2	$267	138	138	+0	Down	+$6	06-02 23:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	2	$265	144	144	+0	Up	+$20	06-02 23:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	2	$241	129	129	+0	Up	+$16	06-03 00:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	2	$229	121	121	+0	Up	+$11	06-02 23:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	2	$224	117	117	+0	Down	+$8	06-02 15:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	2	$221	116	116	+0	Down	+$8	06-03 02:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	2	$221	115	115	+0	Up	+$6	06-02 19:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	2	$217	111	111	+0	Up	+$4	06-02 16:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	3	$216	112	112	+0	Up	+$6	06-02 21:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	2	$215	111	111	+0	Up	+$4	06-02 23:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	2	$213	111	111	+0	Down	+$7	06-02 17:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	2	$212	109	109	+0	Down	+$4	06-02 15:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	2	$211	107	107	+0	Up	+$2	06-03 03:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	2	$207	106	106	+0	Up	+$3	06-02 16:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	3	$207	106	106	+0	Up	+$3	06-03 01:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	2	$207	106	106	+0	Up	+$2	06-02 16:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	3	$206	105	105	+0	Up	+$2	06-02 17:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	2	$206	105	105	+0	Up	+$2	06-03 02:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	2	$206	105	105	+0	Down	+$2	06-02 20:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	2	$206	105	105	+0	Up	+$2	06-03 01:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	2	$206	105	105	+0	Up	+$2	06-02 17:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	2	$205	104	104	+0	Down	+$1	06-02 16:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	2	$204	104	104	+0	Down	+$2	06-02 15:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	2	$204	104	104	+0	Up	+$2	05-30 16:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	2	$204	104	104	+0	Up	+$2	05-31 00:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	2	$203	104	104	+0	Down	+$3	06-03 01:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	2	$203	103	103	+0	Up	+$1	06-02 20:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	2	$203	103	103	+0	Up	+$1	06-02 15:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	2	$203	103	103	+0	Up	+$1	06-02 20:39

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-30 13:59:54	Solana Up or Down - October 30, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Up	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0x5c718e…
10-30 13:59:31	Solana Up or Down - October 30, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0xaca260…
10-29 14:14:53	Solana Up or Down - October 29, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xa3612f…
10-29 14:14:20	Solana Up or Down - October 29, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	12	90¢	$11	0xf8d752…
10-28 22:59:49	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Down	SELL	21	99¢	$21	0x45d32f…
10-28 22:59:26	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	21	96¢	$20	0x98fb3d…
10-28 08:14:38	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Down	SELL	24	99¢	$24	0x696b60…
10-28 08:14:17	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	24	84¢	$20	0x6ad532…
10-27 23:14:14	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x4635e3…
10-27 22:09:42	Solana Up or Down - October 27, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x7ddf9c…
10-27 22:09:03	Solana Up or Down - October 27, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x17eee2…
10-27 20:09:03	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	6	71¢	$5	0x752751…
10-27 15:44:03	XRP Up or Down - October 27, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0xe35cfd…
10-27 04:14:53	Solana Up or Down - October 27, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Down	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x5991df…
10-27 04:14:29	Solana Up or Down - October 27, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x59113c…
10-26 19:34:53	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0xb68aaf…
10-26 19:34:17	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0xc962a3…
10-26 12:14:44	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Up	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0xb49849…
10-26 12:14:18	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x4e3d24…
10-26 11:44:38	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x5df600…
10-26 11:44:17	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0x937b2d…
10-26 00:59:53	Solana Up or Down - October 25, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Up	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0xfc0b59…
10-26 00:59:18	Solana Up or Down - October 25, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	7	77¢	$5	0x7ee7a1…
10-25 09:34:38	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x94cc24…
10-25 03:29:33	Solana Up or Down - October 24, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x98b619…
10-25 03:29:20	Solana Up or Down - October 24, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x08d815…
10-24 23:59:48	Solana Up or Down - October 24, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Down	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x215a9f…
10-24 23:59:29	Solana Up or Down - October 24, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0xf03397…
10-24 22:24:53	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x562758…
10-24 22:24:12	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x68c1b5…
10-24 15:24:33	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x8422ac…
10-24 15:24:05	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x88943f…
10-24 13:29:05	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x84b83a…
10-24 03:19:05	Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	BUY	6	70¢	$4	0x13d0ad…
10-24 02:14:44	Solana Up or Down - October 23, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x100113…
10-24 02:14:23	Solana Up or Down - October 23, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x0d012a…
10-23 23:59:48	Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xbf3ca4…
10-23 23:59:11	Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0x524309…
10-22 02:44:44	Solana Up or Down - October 21, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0xc36d1b…
10-22 02:44:18	Solana Up or Down - October 21, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	6	93¢	$5	0x0c067d…
10-21 14:54:23	Solana Up or Down - October 21, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x5175ee…
10-21 07:39:48	Solana Up or Down - October 21, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x038aae…
10-21 07:39:11	Solana Up or Down - October 21, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xf3dfca…
10-20 21:29:44	Solana Up or Down - October 20, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xb93c08…
10-20 21:29:14	Solana Up or Down - October 20, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x259f8a…
10-20 20:49:44	Solana Up or Down - October 20, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x40c7fb…
10-20 20:49:26	Solana Up or Down - October 20, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xc926ef…
10-20 12:39:45	Solana Up or Down - October 20, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xf510ea…
10-20 12:39:30	Solana Up or Down - October 20, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x728735…
10-18 04:14:44	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-18 04:10 UTC	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x139a49…
10-18 04:14:03	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-18 04:10 UTC	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x60ae34…
10-06 06:56:18	XRP Up or Down - October 6, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	40¢	$2	0x4d374b…
10-06 06:07:00	XRP Up or Down - October 6, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	BUY	8	31¢	$2	0xb8b4af…
10-06 03:23:57	XRP Up or Down - October 5, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Down	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0x84fe95…
10-06 03:20:43	XRP Up or Down - October 5, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	BUY	6	40¢	$2	0x102b98…
10-06 00:55:13	XRP Up or Down - October 5, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	7	37¢	$2	0x199e26…
10-06 00:36:07	XRP Up or Down - October 5, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	BUY	6	43¢	$2	0x0c32fc…
10-05 23:50:47	XRP Up or Down - October 5, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	BUY	6	44¢	$3	0x319d77…
10-05 23:50:34	XRP Up or Down - October 5, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	BUY	6	44¢	$2	0x109645…
10-05 21:13:22	XRP Up or Down - October 5, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	42¢	$2	0xa386d4…
10-05 19:22:37	XRP Up or Down - October 5, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	7	52¢	$4	0xc1f836…
10-05 19:22:35	XRP Up or Down - October 5, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	7	36¢	$2	0xe983b0…
10-05 18:51:53	XRP Up or Down - October 5, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	7	48¢	$3	0xa26654…
10-05 18:50:58	XRP Up or Down - October 5, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	7	38¢	$2	0xf4fde1…
10-05 18:07:23	XRP Up or Down - October 5, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	6	39¢	$2	0xb833fb…
10-05 16:57:52	XRP Up or Down - October 5, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	7	36¢	$2	0x6c4ef0…
10-05 16:36:26	XRP Up or Down - October 5, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	BUY	0	52¢	$0	0x2c5d96…
10-05 16:36:26	XRP Up or Down - October 5, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	BUY	7	52¢	$3	0x029caa…
10-05 16:35:38	XRP Up or Down - October 5, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	BUY	7	37¢	$2	0x2ef322…
10-05 16:31:29	XRP Up or Down - October 5, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x487ab8…
10-05 16:31:28	XRP Up or Down - October 5, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0xd384f8…
10-05 16:30:08	XRP Up or Down - October 5, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	BUY	6	43¢	$2	0x3cf937…
10-05 16:27:26	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 16:25 UTC	Up	BUY	0	46¢	$0	0xc9ff6d…
10-05 16:27:26	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 16:25 UTC	Up	BUY	1	46¢	$0	0x3b1236…
10-05 16:27:26	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 16:25 UTC	Up	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x0888c1…
10-05 16:26:04	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 16:25 UTC	Down	BUY	6	43¢	$2	0xc7261e…
10-05 15:31:29	XRP Up or Down - October 5, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0xd7d3b6…
10-05 15:31:04	XRP Up or Down - October 5, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	6	41¢	$2	0x0af1f3…
10-05 15:17:05	XRP Up or Down - October 5, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0xffd67e…
10-05 15:17:05	XRP Up or Down - October 5, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	0	50¢	$0	0x1def45…
10-05 15:15:56	XRP Up or Down - October 5, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	BUY	6	39¢	$2	0xf27296…
10-05 15:11:01	XRP Up or Down - October 5, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	0	52¢	$0	0x00d25d…
10-05 15:10:53	XRP Up or Down - October 5, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0xae2b3c…
10-05 15:10:28	XRP Up or Down - October 5, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	7	37¢	$2	0x74717f…
10-05 14:58:11	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 14:55 UTC	Down	BUY	7	53¢	$4	0x912dc4…
10-05 14:56:19	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 14:55 UTC	Up	BUY	7	36¢	$2	0x09ffcd…
10-05 13:17:05	XRP Up or Down - October 5, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x831904…
10-05 13:16:52	XRP Up or Down - October 5, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0xb6ce92…
10-05 12:48:04	XRP Up or Down - October 5, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	BUY	6	44¢	$2	0xfc7d5b…
10-05 11:11:53	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 11:10 UTC	Down	BUY	6	43¢	$2	0xfa84fb…
10-05 11:10:49	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 11:10 UTC	Up	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x0aa647…
10-05 08:57:59	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 08:55 UTC	Down	BUY	8	40¢	$3	0xd9c16d…
10-05 08:57:58	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 08:55 UTC	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x909172…
10-05 08:57:28	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 08:55 UTC	Up	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0xb7d750…
10-05 07:37:19	XRP Up or Down - October 5, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0x22267e…
10-05 06:56:20	XRP Up or Down - October 5, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	9	42¢	$4	0xc98d58…
10-05 06:56:20	XRP Up or Down - October 5, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	42¢	$1	0x914cb5…
10-05 06:55:13	XRP Up or Down - October 5, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x50fc48…
10-05 06:52:53	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 06:50 UTC	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xbd4b74…
10-05 06:52:49	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 06:50 UTC	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x9202f7…