Frugal-Warlord — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$84

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

83.2%

Resolved

Trades

395

lifetime

Volume

$1.52K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-06

last 05-18 04:17

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 52% +$84

Politics

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

7 active days in 12wk • peak 162 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (25) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	7	$119	183	168	+14	Down	+$23	05-12 01:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	16	$87	106	94	+12	Down	+$5	05-12 00:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	21	$65	70	67	+3	Down	+$9	05-07 00:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	16	$54	67	61	+6	Down	+$6	05-06 12:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	10	$54	79	54	+25	open	—	05-17 12:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	8	$49	133	133	+0	Up	+$1	05-12 00:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	11	$49	59	52	+7	Down	+$3	05-13 10:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	9	$48	75	66	+9	Down	+$10	05-12 23:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	11	$46	48	48	+0	open	—	05-17 12:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	5	$45	67	67	+0	Down	+$5	05-12 00:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9PM ET	8	$44	327	327	+0	Down	+$2	05-12 01:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	8	$42	44	37	+7	Down	+$8	05-07 00:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	12	$37	66	26	+40	Up	$-7	05-06 23:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	8	$35	44	44	+0	Up	+$1	05-07 01:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	9	$35	28	28	+0	Down	+$9	05-06 20:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	6	$33	47	38	+9	Down	+$2	05-11 23:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	11	$33	46	46	+0	Down	+$5	05-06 13:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	6	$32	36	25	+11	Down	+$4	05-13 11:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	3	$32	79	0	+79	open	—	05-17 12:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	1	$29	91	0	+91	open	—	05-18 04:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	5	$28	28	28	+0	Down	+$4	05-06 12:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	5	$28	29	29	+0	Up	+$4	05-06 20:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8AM ET	6	$25	83	33	+50	Down	$-1	05-06 12:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	8	$23	30	30	+0	Up	+$5	05-06 12:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	2	$22	21	21	+0	Down	+$17	05-12 23:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	6	$21	27	27	+0	Up	+$1	05-06 20:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	2	$19	20	20	+0	Down	$-1	05-07 00:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	10	$19	32	26	+6	Up	$-2	05-06 11:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10AM ET	2	$19	17	17	+0	open	—	05-17 14:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	2	$18	48	48	+0	Up	$-2	05-12 01:41

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-18 04:17:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	91	31¢	$29	0xa06668…
05-17 14:06:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10AM ET	Down	SELL	17	58¢	$10	0x0aedc7…
05-17 14:03:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10AM ET	Down	BUY	17	53¢	$9	0x11cbd7…
05-17 13:39:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	9	32¢	$3	0x373cc7…
05-17 12:35:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	27	21¢	$6	0x911286…
05-17 12:31:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	12	49¢	$6	0xcbbe2e…
05-17 12:30:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0x8a1350…
05-17 12:24:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	15	20¢	$3	0x6039f3…
05-17 12:21:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x35cb09…
05-17 12:21:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0x1f36a6…
05-17 12:19:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Down	SELL	54	51¢	$28	0x1aa613…
05-17 12:18:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	12	24¢	$3	0x358b31…
05-17 12:18:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	11	27¢	$3	0x15d869…
05-17 12:15:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	8	40¢	$3	0xe1dc88…
05-17 12:15:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	8	40¢	$3	0xd18c6a…
05-17 12:15:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	8	40¢	$3	0x8fdfb4…
05-17 12:15:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	8	38¢	$3	0xfa3d8b…
05-17 12:15:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x6f9b42…
05-17 12:14:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0xd50c03…
05-17 12:11:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Up	SELL	13	37¢	$5	0x6f0206…
05-17 12:10:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	13	23¢	$3	0xfb8b79…
05-17 12:08:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0x0eae57…
05-17 12:08:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	BUY	9	22¢	$2	0xc52cbe…
05-17 12:08:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	BUY	9	23¢	$2	0x59e189…
05-17 12:08:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	BUY	9	23¢	$2	0x8957fa…
05-17 12:07:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Down	SELL	21	66¢	$14	0x6411ea…
05-17 12:06:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x8ca4ad…
05-17 12:06:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x736af0…
05-17 12:06:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0xb8c73d…
05-17 12:06:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x7a67fc…
05-17 12:04:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Down	SELL	14	41¢	$6	0x09396b…
05-17 12:03:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0xeca34a…
05-17 12:01:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0xf55198…
05-17 12:00:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x4c09f9…
05-17 11:59:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	21	5¢	$1	0x3acbbe…
05-17 11:56:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Up	SELL	3	30¢	$1	0x595ba8…
05-17 11:55:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xca3cca…
05-17 11:54:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Down	SELL	12	65¢	$8	0xf53994…
05-17 11:54:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xba5b41…
05-17 11:52:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0xf174c4…
05-17 11:52:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0xf086e3…
05-13 11:45:31	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	375	2¢	$6	0x3807d2…
05-13 11:44:26	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	312	2¢	$5	0x9318e7…
05-13 11:35:24	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	62	2¢	$1	0x2c9539…
05-13 11:33:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7AM ET	Up	SELL	25	14¢	$4	0xe3f3d1…
05-13 11:27:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7AM ET	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x984e4d…
05-13 11:24:26	Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?	Yes	BUY	125	1¢	$1	0xa2360f…
05-13 11:23:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7AM ET	Up	SELL	15	14¢	$2	0x063258…
05-13 11:23:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7AM ET	Up	BUY	20	15¢	$3	0x501924…
05-13 11:19:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7AM ET	Up	SELL	11	20¢	$2	0xc42e05…
05-13 11:18:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Up	SELL	9	81¢	$7	0x1c1071…
05-13 11:16:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0xc69f04…
05-13 11:15:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0x4765c2…
05-13 11:15:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7AM ET	Up	BUY	21	14¢	$3	0xf37a20…
05-13 11:13:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	SELL	8	7¢	$1	0x82b687…
05-13 11:11:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0xd6d3d9…
05-13 11:05:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	11	19¢	$2	0x6b2dce…
05-13 11:05:26	Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?	Yes	BUY	111	1¢	$1	0xdc4f29…
05-13 11:01:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Up	SELL	25	72¢	$18	0x38a4e8…
05-13 11:00:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0x78063d…
05-13 11:00:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0x9e53bd…
05-13 11:00:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0xbfc8af…
05-13 11:00:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0xc44d4c…
05-13 10:54:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x4016da…
05-13 10:54:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xaee819…
05-13 10:53:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Up	SELL	33	44¢	$14	0x4c927c…
05-13 10:50:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	8	37¢	$3	0x83e2e0…
05-13 10:50:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	8	36¢	$3	0xb9a8d4…
05-13 10:50:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	8	36¢	$3	0x796b0c…
05-13 10:50:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	8	38¢	$3	0x99a76d…
05-13 10:48:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x7df4a2…
05-13 10:47:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x1cae3a…
05-13 10:47:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6AM ET	Up	SELL	500	0¢	$0	0xbbec35…
05-13 10:46:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Up	SELL	19	61¢	$12	0x51d157…
05-13 10:45:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0x4ba35e…
05-13 10:45:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0x10ca9a…
05-13 10:45:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	7	45¢	$3	0x8a4e14…
05-13 10:44:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6AM ET	Up	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0x0e10ad…
05-13 10:22:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Down	SELL	11	26¢	$3	0x2b36dd…
05-13 10:21:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Down	SELL	11	22¢	$2	0x264ecc…
05-13 10:20:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	12	16¢	$2	0xa8acbd…
05-13 10:20:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0x25282d…
05-13 09:23:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	29	7¢	$2	0x877d32…
05-13 00:11:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Up	SELL	15	36¢	$6	0x640cc4…
05-13 00:03:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x81f6d7…
05-13 00:02:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0xada4a3…
05-13 00:02:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x70e68b…
05-12 23:59:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x2f6423…
05-12 23:58:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Up	SELL	33	60¢	$20	0x9ba949…
05-12 23:57:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Up	SELL	33	28¢	$9	0xd7e9f8…
05-12 23:48:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	12	24¢	$3	0x64f657…
05-12 23:48:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	12	24¢	$3	0xfbdc4a…
05-12 23:48:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	12	25¢	$3	0x235107…
05-12 23:48:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	12	24¢	$3	0x402eea…
05-12 23:47:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	31¢	$3	0x2832d6…
05-12 23:46:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	7	44¢	$3	0xebe022…
05-12 23:42:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0x611ac6…
05-12 23:42:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0xcf25df…
05-12 23:42:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0x79bfe2…
05-12 23:36:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	40	5¢	$2	0x063d6a…