Impressionable-Castanet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$25

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

98.9%

Resolved

321

Trades

323

lifetime

Volume

$3.42K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-06

last 11-14 18:08

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 237 days

Categories

Other

94% 100% -$2

Politics

6% 90% -$22

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

74 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 15°C on November 15?	No		+9	$9	100¢	$9	$0	11-14 18:08

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	1	$25	25	+25	No	-$25	05-15 05:06
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 10°C on May 2?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-02 15:08
Trump out as President by April 30?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	04-30 08:54
Will Trump visit China by June 30?	1	$24	25	+25	Yes	+$1	05-03 03:38
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 13°C on April 29?	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	04-29 13:42
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 54-55°F on April 27?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	04-28 01:59
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 16°C on April 27?	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	04-27 14:17
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 52-53°F on April 26?	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	04-27 02:11
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 36°C on April 26?	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	04-26 10:29
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on April 25?	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	04-25 15:17
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 24th?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	04-24 09:10
highest temperature in guangzhou on april 23 2026 27c	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	04-23 10:47
highest temperature in chongqing on april 22 2026 24c	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	04-22 10:25
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 21st	1	$23	24	+24	No	+$1	04-21 12:46
highest temperature in los angeles on april 20 2026 72 73f	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-21 01:30
highest temperature in tel aviv on april 20 2026 24c	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-20 16:55
highest temperature in wellington on april 20 2026 16c	1	$22	23	+23	No	+$0	04-20 06:23
highest temperature in tel aviv on april 19 2026 24c	1	$22	22	+22	Yes	+$0	04-19 16:24
highest temperature in wellington on april 19 2026 16c	1	$22	22	+22	Yes	+$0	04-19 08:48
highest temperature in shanghai on april 18 2026 22c	1	$22	22	+22	No	+$0	04-18 08:49
highest temperature in istanbul on april 17 2026 14c	1	$22	22	+22	No	+$0	04-17 16:05
highest temperature in wellington on april 17 2026 18c	1	$22	22	+22	Yes	+$0	04-17 09:42
highest temperature in guangzhou on april 16 2026 31c	1	$22	22	+22	Yes	+$0	04-16 12:09
highest temperature in los angeles on april 15 2026 68 69f	1	$22	22	+22	Yes	+$0	04-16 04:22
highest temperature in tokyo on april 15 2026 23c	1	$22	22	+22	No	+$0	04-15 09:11
highest temperature in dallas on april 14 2026 82forhigher	1	$22	22	+22	No	+$0	04-15 03:52
highest temperature in jeddah on april 14 2026 32c	1	$22	22	+22	Yes	+$0	04-14 16:26
highest temperature in wellington on april 14 2026 20c	1	$22	22	+22	No	+$0	04-14 05:40
highest temperature in seoul on april 13 2026 20c	1	$22	22	+22	Yes	+$0	04-13 08:51
highest temperature in wellington on april 12 2026 20c	1	$22	22	+22	Yes	+$0	04-12 07:09

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-14 18:08:50	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 15°C on November 15?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xec842d…
11-13 07:58:22	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on November 13?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x455aef…
11-12 08:06:34	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 10°C on November 12?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x12342f…
11-11 08:14:57	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 26°C on November 11?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xa86ddb…
11-08 11:39:09	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on November 9?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x941a55…
11-07 10:54:46	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 4°C or below on November 7?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xe26a37…
11-06 09:56:33	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 12°C on November 6?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x6ec84b…
11-05 00:25:18	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 7°C or below on November 5?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x70a0cf…
11-04 04:24:48	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 2°C on November 4?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x272e25…
11-03 17:45:25	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 30°C on November 3?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xf3ca6e…
11-03 07:38:15	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on November 3?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xd16364…
11-02 09:06:04	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on November 2?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xb050e9…
10-31 17:42:42	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 19°C on November 1?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xddbc8b…
10-31 04:51:34	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 74-75°F on October 30?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x9ad494…
10-30 08:25:03	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 20°C on October 30?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x6d2713…
10-29 15:22:40	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 18°C on October 29?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x3d083b…
10-29 06:13:46	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xd18a09…
10-28 04:33:14	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 8°C on October 28?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xf6b0bc…
10-27 15:53:44	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 22°C on October 27?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x22a859…
10-27 07:49:48	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 16°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xfcc989…
10-26 04:02:53	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on October 26?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xd8449f…
10-24 06:43:48	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 17°C on October 24?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xa64441…
10-22 10:33:05	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 15°C on October 22?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x0e14f2…
10-20 04:26:32	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on October 20?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x177036…
10-19 06:21:26	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on October 19?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x12b8b3…
10-18 05:40:47	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 24°C on October 18?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xa6e95b…
10-17 07:15:38	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 23°C on October 17?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x42aa0a…
10-16 04:30:01	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 88-89°F on October 15?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x459646…
10-15 05:09:35	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 24°C on October 15?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xa4ec91…
10-14 06:46:11	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on October 14?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x9b57c7…
10-13 13:25:35	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 19°C on October 13?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x4e4dec…
10-13 01:04:23	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on October 12?	Yes	BUY	9	97¢	$9	0x825154…
10-12 01:05:26	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on October 12?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x48d49c…
10-11 01:05:04	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 25°C or below on October 11?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x26eeff…
10-08 04:43:17	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on October 8?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x861508…
10-07 08:44:42	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on October 7?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$8	0xbb302f…
10-06 14:58:20	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 16°C on October 6?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x641547…
10-06 05:14:07	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on October 6?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x888bf2…
10-04 07:50:17	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on October 4?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xacacf5…
10-03 00:46:33	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 86-87°F on October 2?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x38e8e5…
10-02 07:15:35	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on October 2?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8ef04d…
10-02 03:08:24	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on October 1?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x85d9d3…
10-01 05:45:42	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 23°C on October 1?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3d0154…
09-30 07:35:12	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on September 30?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa9d375…
09-29 06:41:00	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on September 29?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd75bcc…
09-28 03:01:29	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on September 27?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x931928…
09-27 10:40:45	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 30°C on September 27?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5b7afc…
09-26 08:22:11	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on September 26?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd4da2b…
09-25 01:39:53	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 22°C on September 25?	No	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x1cf45a…
09-24 01:48:46	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 24°C on September 24?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3df197…
09-23 05:09:50	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on September 23?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xfd2b14…
09-22 01:05:36	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on September 21?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2fac39…
09-21 06:26:06	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C or below on September 21?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x134b12…
09-20 03:04:34	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 63°F or below on September 19?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x39bd6b…
09-19 05:38:49	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C or below on September 19?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x30e7a7…
09-18 09:47:52	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on September 18?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x71fe3e…
09-18 01:03:40	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on September 17?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc0d37e…
09-17 00:54:51	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on September 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x13e543…
09-16 07:10:10	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 34°C on September 16?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe943d6…
09-15 23:24:19	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 84-85°F on September 15?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa32c6f…
09-15 01:02:43	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C or below on September 15?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xeeb619…
09-14 00:44:45	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 26°C or below on September 14?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0d2745…
09-13 12:44:49	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 25°C on September 13?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x152022…
09-12 03:30:01	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 24°C on September 12?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xbf0da3…
09-11 01:06:48	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 70-71°F on September 10?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x26d61b…
09-10 01:24:01	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 28°C on September 10?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x908312…
09-09 00:50:16	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on September 9?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xdaf59b…
09-08 01:01:13	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on September 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x52fa72…
09-07 13:30:15	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 28°C on September 7?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2362b5…
09-07 01:38:34	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on September 6?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x68c09c…
09-06 17:30:07	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on September 6?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb92b19…
09-06 01:04:00	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 25°C or below on September 6?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xdc18ca…
09-05 08:50:52	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C or below on September 5?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8a016e…
09-04 08:09:22	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 29°C on September 4?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6725ca…
09-03 01:04:45	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on September 2?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xceaba6…
09-02 11:02:18	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on September 2?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x09133f…
09-01 01:17:40	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 86-87°F on August 31?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe30e30…
08-30 00:07:12	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 94-95°F on August 29?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9816f5…
08-29 05:45:01	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on August 29?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x02bc77…
08-28 01:22:42	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on August 28?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0bb5ce…
08-27 01:06:46	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on August 27?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xea9579…
08-26 01:06:06	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on August 25?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa30065…
08-25 01:03:46	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on August 25?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3c77d4…
08-24 07:09:12	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C or higher on August 24?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x42b063…
08-23 01:00:06	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 106-107°F on August 22?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x609ffc…
08-22 01:19:10	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on August 22?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9fef89…
08-21 01:12:58	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on August 20?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x117c95…
08-20 00:15:09	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on August 19?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x912ae2…
08-19 00:18:54	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 31°C on August 19?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2dba65…
08-18 00:09:39	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on August 17?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xcc0d0d…
08-17 05:08:21	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on August 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1fbcf1…
08-16 01:36:21	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on August 16?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x15dddb…
08-15 01:15:37	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on August 15?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xde3de4…
08-14 01:16:57	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on August 14?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xefb33f…
08-13 00:10:45	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 94-95°F on August 12?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xdffe3c…
08-12 00:11:22	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 100-101°F on August 11?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc946c7…
08-11 00:11:48	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on August 10?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa69f9e…
08-10 00:15:48	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on August 10?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7f53ba…
08-09 00:17:19	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 28°C on August 9?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9e1ba3…
08-08 00:14:25	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 26°C or below on August 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb8dae1…