Determined-Ectoderm — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$37

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

82.8%

Resolved

105

Trades

3,744

lifetime

Volume

$17.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-25

last 06-06 21:04

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 83% +$37

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

22 active days in 12wk • peak 760 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	9	$174	146	146	+0	open	—	05-02 20:55
Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	14	$156	143	143	+0	open	—	05-02 21:15
btc updown 5m 1776797400	2	$124	111	105	+7	open	—	04-21 18:55
btc updown 15m 1775941200	17	$108	234	25	+209	open	—	04-11 21:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	10	$104	59	59	+0	open	—	05-02 23:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	1	$100	344	0	+344	open	—	04-26 22:06
Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	14	$98	100	52	+48	open	—	05-02 23:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	5	$92	55	55	+0	open	—	05-02 14:20
Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	7	$90	55	55	+0	open	—	05-02 14:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	9	$85	65	65	+0	open	—	05-02 20:50
XRP Up or Down - May 2, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	10	$84	67	67	+0	open	—	05-02 21:03
btc updown 15m 1775929500	14	$83	151	0	+151	open	—	04-11 17:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	13	$80	68	68	+0	open	—	05-02 20:28
btc updown 15m 1775931300	14	$80	144	0	+144	open	—	04-11 18:20
btc updown 15m 1775960100	12	$77	115	0	+115	open	—	04-12 02:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	2	$77	64	64	+0	open	—	05-28 00:59
btc updown 15m 1775940300	11	$77	105	0	+105	open	—	04-11 20:54
btc updown 15m 1775961000	10	$75	93	0	+93	open	—	04-12 02:38
btc updown 5m 1776375300	6	$75	91	0	+91	open	—	04-16 21:39
btc updown 5m 1775933100	12	$72	125	0	+125	open	—	04-11 18:48
btc updown 5m 1775933400	10	$72	92	0	+92	open	—	04-11 18:53
btc updown 5m 1775932800	11	$71	109	0	+109	open	—	04-11 18:42
btc updown 5m 1775932200	11	$71	120	0	+120	open	—	04-11 18:32
btc updown 5m 1775932500	12	$68	117	0	+117	open	—	04-11 18:36
btc updown 5m 1775930400	11	$68	123	0	+123	open	—	04-11 18:04
btc updown 5m 1775929200	13	$66	139	0	+139	open	—	04-11 17:44
btc updown 5m 1775931300	11	$66	103	0	+103	open	—	04-11 18:17
btc updown 5m 1775960700	10	$66	89	0	+89	open	—	04-12 02:29
btc updown 5m 1775942100	9	$66	98	0	+98	open	—	04-11 21:19
btc updown 5m 1775931600	10	$65	91	0	+91	open	—	04-11 18:23

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-06 21:04:21	btc updown 5m 1780779600	Down	BUY	33	15¢	$5	0xef74b5…
06-06 21:02:04	btc updown 5m 1780779600	Down	BUY	28	36¢	$10	0xbafff2…
06-06 21:00:55	btc updown 5m 1780779600	Down	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0x955bbf…
06-06 20:58:37	btc updown 5m 1780779300	Up	BUY	12	83¢	$10	0x789791…
05-28 01:07:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	SELL	2	50¢	$1	0x51b183…
05-28 01:07:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	SELL	22	50¢	$11	0xe4dda3…
05-28 01:07:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	SELL	4	50¢	$2	0xaaeb22…
05-28 01:07:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	SELL	6	50¢	$3	0x961977…
05-28 01:07:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	SELL	5	50¢	$2	0x050c1f…
05-28 01:06:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	BUY	38	26¢	$10	0x0ade3b…
05-28 01:03:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	SELL	11	70¢	$8	0x13f072…
05-28 01:03:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	SELL	14	70¢	$10	0xefacbe…
05-28 01:03:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	SELL	1	70¢	$1	0x79e095…
05-28 01:03:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	SELL	4	70¢	$3	0x7587ae…
05-28 01:03:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	SELL	14	70¢	$10	0x1e26e4…
05-28 01:01:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	BUY	45	45¢	$20	0xf57b28…
05-28 00:59:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	SELL	64	92¢	$59	0xa8274f…
05-28 00:56:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	64	28¢	$18	0x846222…
05-28 00:54:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	SELL	24	53¢	$13	0x181118…
05-28 00:50:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	BUY	24	42¢	$10	0x83d2c2…
05-28 00:48:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Up	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0x0836c7…
05-09 19:27:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0xc2ad9b…
05-09 19:25:51	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	26	98¢	$26	0x814658…
05-09 19:17:00	Solana Up or Down - May 9, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	BUY	19	93¢	$18	0xd804b1…
05-09 19:17:00	Solana Up or Down - May 9, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	24	74¢	$18	0xbdef01…
05-09 19:05:26	Solana Up or Down - May 9, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	25	72¢	$18	0x2af465…
05-09 18:47:54	Solana Up or Down - May 9, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	9	72¢	$7	0xb451f4…
05-09 18:47:42	Solana Up or Down - May 9, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	72¢	$4	0x6552f8…
05-09 18:47:42	Solana Up or Down - May 9, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	72¢	$7	0x6170bc…
05-09 15:37:51	Solana Up or Down - May 9, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Up	SELL	23	74¢	$17	0xfcaaec…
05-09 15:32:20	Solana Up or Down - May 9, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	9	72¢	$7	0x692dcb…
05-09 15:32:20	Solana Up or Down - May 9, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	4	72¢	$3	0x18de10…
05-09 15:31:29	Solana Up or Down - May 9, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	4	72¢	$3	0xec629a…
05-09 15:31:24	Solana Up or Down - May 9, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	4	72¢	$3	0xd30c38…
05-09 15:31:24	Solana Up or Down - May 9, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	72¢	$3	0x9cdad3…
05-09 15:30:53	Solana Up or Down - May 9, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	23	72¢	$17	0x43d5cf…
05-09 15:18:53	Solana Up or Down - May 9, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	SELL	25	81¢	$20	0xc66627…
05-09 15:17:56	Solana Up or Down - May 9, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	BUY	25	72¢	$18	0x3e41ba…
05-09 15:17:43	Solana Up or Down - May 9, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Up	SELL	25	74¢	$19	0xa08211…
05-09 15:16:02	Solana Up or Down - May 9, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	23	72¢	$16	0xf37c79…
05-09 15:16:02	Solana Up or Down - May 9, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	72¢	$2	0xb04b0c…
05-09 15:13:19	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	SELL	24	70¢	$17	0x863e97…
05-09 15:12:27	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	22	72¢	$16	0xbd686b…
05-09 15:12:25	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	72¢	$1	0x90b1d5…
05-09 15:12:23	Solana Up or Down - May 9, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	SELL	24	87¢	$21	0x534f26…
05-09 15:10:50	Solana Up or Down - May 9, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	8	72¢	$6	0xf80b49…
05-09 15:10:50	Solana Up or Down - May 9, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	9	72¢	$7	0xa85688…
05-09 15:10:50	Solana Up or Down - May 9, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0x66e422…
05-09 15:10:00	Solana Up or Down - May 9, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	3¢	$0	0x2702d8…
05-09 15:08:29	XRP Up or Down - May 9, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Down	SELL	11	86¢	$9	0xe6514e…
05-09 15:08:04	Solana Up or Down - May 9, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	SELL	25	91¢	$22	0x30cbf3…
05-09 15:07:41	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Down	SELL	24	78¢	$19	0x348399…
05-09 15:06:52	XRP Up or Down - May 9, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	11	72¢	$8	0x3d1899…
05-09 15:06:47	Solana Up or Down - May 9, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	BUY	18	72¢	$13	0x7025f8…
05-09 15:06:47	Solana Up or Down - May 9, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	72¢	$1	0x667498…
05-09 15:06:45	Solana Up or Down - May 9, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	BUY	0	72¢	$0	0xcd78f7…
05-09 15:06:30	Solana Up or Down - May 9, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	BUY	0	72¢	$0	0x51e619…
05-09 15:06:30	Solana Up or Down - May 9, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	BUY	4	72¢	$3	0x31c1ca…
05-09 15:06:12	Solana Up or Down - May 9, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	29	25¢	$7	0xfa569d…
05-09 15:06:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	24	72¢	$18	0x5a12f9…
05-09 15:03:14	Solana Up or Down - May 9, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	72¢	$3	0xd2ab8a…
05-09 15:03:14	Solana Up or Down - May 9, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	13	72¢	$9	0x55bd84…
05-09 15:03:12	Solana Up or Down - May 9, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	8	69¢	$6	0x21b13d…
05-09 14:55:49	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	14¢	$1	0x07769b…
05-09 14:55:32	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	30	14¢	$4	0xfecbd8…
05-09 14:53:29	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	11	72¢	$8	0xa0e1e8…
05-09 14:53:29	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	72¢	$4	0x202f34…
05-09 14:53:29	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	19	72¢	$14	0x121518…
05-09 14:51:53	Solana Up or Down - May 9, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Down	SELL	25	88¢	$22	0xc82481…
05-09 14:47:43	Solana Up or Down - May 9, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	4	72¢	$3	0xe21263…
05-09 14:47:41	Solana Up or Down - May 9, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	16	72¢	$12	0x5d760b…
05-09 14:47:41	Solana Up or Down - May 9, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	72¢	$3	0x151103…
05-09 14:47:39	Solana Up or Down - May 9, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0xa5b472…
05-09 14:47:39	Solana Up or Down - May 9, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	4	72¢	$3	0x75fe5f…
05-09 14:47:22	Solana Up or Down - May 9, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	8	72¢	$6	0x139e81…
05-09 14:47:15	Solana Up or Down - May 9, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	72¢	$1	0x078fdf…
05-09 14:47:13	Solana Up or Down - May 9, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	72¢	$4	0xc9a0ce…
05-09 14:47:06	Solana Up or Down - May 9, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	8	72¢	$6	0x0bbf65…
05-09 14:47:04	Solana Up or Down - May 9, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	72¢	$0	0x89817d…
05-09 02:25:04	XRP Up or Down - May 8, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	4	20¢	$1	0x416acf…
05-09 02:24:59	Solana Up or Down - May 8, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Down	SELL	7	87¢	$6	0x7b827a…
05-09 02:24:57	XRP Up or Down - May 8, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xf0fa4b…
05-09 02:24:31	XRP Up or Down - May 8, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Down	SELL	25	77¢	$19	0xd84255…
05-09 02:24:22	XRP Up or Down - May 8, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	20¢	$0	0xf2ef19…
05-09 02:24:08	XRP Up or Down - May 8, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x0cff0c…
05-09 02:23:47	Solana Up or Down - May 8, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Down	SELL	28	85¢	$24	0x772005…
05-09 02:22:58	Solana Up or Down - May 8, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0xe8cc9f…
05-09 02:22:37	Solana Up or Down - May 8, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	18	72¢	$13	0x66b4c7…
05-09 02:22:35	Solana Up or Down - May 8, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	10	71¢	$7	0x10708c…
05-09 02:22:13	XRP Up or Down - May 8, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0x17400b…
05-09 02:17:48	XRP Up or Down - May 8, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	14	72¢	$10	0xe4f475…
05-09 02:17:48	XRP Up or Down - May 8, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	72¢	$4	0xb25998…
05-09 02:17:48	XRP Up or Down - May 8, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0x792b31…
05-09 02:10:27	Solana Up or Down - May 8, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	25	67¢	$17	0xb2bc5f…
05-09 02:10:06	Solana Up or Down - May 8, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	29	14¢	$4	0xd7b737…
05-09 02:06:59	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	SELL	25	78¢	$19	0x0524b4…
05-09 02:06:45	XRP Up or Down - May 8, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	SELL	25	78¢	$20	0xb007f2…
05-09 02:05:56	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	19	72¢	$14	0x3d8672…
05-09 02:05:39	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	72¢	$4	0xcba436…
05-09 02:05:21	Solana Up or Down - May 8, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	SELL	26	99¢	$25	0x0bd388…