Fearless-Lookout — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$0

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$6.68K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$119

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-02

last 06-20 23:22

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 100% +$0

Politics

0% — —

Other

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

21 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Israel x Syria security agreement by June 30?	No		+6	$6	97¢	$6	$-0	06-20 23:22

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will the price of ethereum be greater than 2600 on april 8	1	$145	145	+145	open	—	04-07 05:44
bitcoin above 78k on april 6	1	$143	143	+143	open	—	04-04 03:53
bitcoin above 76k on april 3	1	$143	143	+143	open	—	04-02 01:43
ethereum above 2500 on february 15	1	$142	142	+142	open	—	02-14 02:48
bitcoin above 78k on march 12	1	$142	142	+142	open	—	03-11 16:03
bitcoin above 76k on march 1	1	$141	142	+142	open	—	03-01 02:42
bitcoin above 76k on february 26	1	$141	141	+141	open	—	02-24 05:53
ethereum above 2500 on february 16	1	$141	141	+141	open	—	02-16 00:27
will the price of bitcoin be between 74000 76000 on february 13	1	$140	141	+141	open	—	02-12 08:43
bitcoin above 60k on april 11	1	$140	141	+141	open	—	04-10 08:42
will the price of bitcoin be greater than 82000 on february 11	1	$140	140	+140	open	—	02-10 02:06
bitcoin above 80k on january 6	1	$140	140	+140	open	—	01-04 23:47
bitcoin above 78k on february 23	1	$140	140	+140	open	—	02-22 02:43
bitcoin above 86k on february 7	1	$140	140	+140	open	—	02-05 23:38
will the price of bitcoin be between 84000 86000 on february 5	1	$140	140	+140	open	—	02-04 23:26
will the price of bitcoin be greater than 82000 on april 16	1	$139	139	+139	open	—	04-15 11:00
bitcoin above 64k on march 18	1	$139	139	+139	open	—	03-17 10:12
will the price of bitcoin be greater than 80000 on march 22	1	$139	139	+139	open	—	03-20 14:51
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 5?	1	$139	139	+139	No	+$0	05-04 14:58
will the price of bitcoin be greater than 88000 on february 9	1	$139	139	+139	open	—	02-08 01:12
bitcoin above 60k on march 9	1	$139	139	+139	open	—	03-09 09:54
bitcoin above 56k on march 3	1	$139	139	+139	open	—	03-03 11:48
bitcoin above 76k on february 20	1	$138	138	+138	open	—	02-19 03:41
will the price of bitcoin be greater than 106000 on january 21	1	$138	138	+138	open	—	01-19 04:27
bitcoin above 78k on march 16	1	$138	138	+138	open	—	03-15 14:58
bitcoin above 82k on january 15	1	$137	137	+137	open	—	01-14 02:41
will the price of ethereum be less than 2500 on january 4	1	$137	137	+137	open	—	01-02 13:28
ethereum above 2600 on april 1	1	$136	137	+137	open	—	03-31 01:26
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 14?	1	$136	137	+137	open	—	05-13 01:09
bitcoin above 102k on january 13	1	$136	136	+136	open	—	01-11 03:45

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-20 23:22:26	Israel x Syria security agreement by June 30?	No	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0x7ba389…
06-14 19:12:34	bitcoin above 72k on june 16 2026	No	BUY	109	100¢	$109	0x76ca2b…
06-09 06:40:31	bitcoin above 70k on june 10 2026	No	BUY	111	100¢	$111	0x394a4c…
06-04 11:23:27	bitcoin above 74k on june 5 2026	No	BUY	111	100¢	$111	0x540f79…
05-24 09:48:51	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 25?	Yes	BUY	136	100¢	$135	0x060464…
05-22 09:29:50	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 22?	Yes	BUY	133	100¢	$133	0x3e986c…
05-20 08:01:41	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 21?	No	BUY	130	100¢	$130	0xdef707…
05-13 01:09:41	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 14?	Yes	BUY	137	100¢	$136	0x00fb55…
05-08 15:48:11	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 9?	Yes	BUY	134	100¢	$133	0xfecf90…
05-07 18:24:54	Will XRP reach $2.00 in May?	No	BUY	4	98¢	$4	0x16d7b7…
05-07 18:23:02	Will XRP dip to $1.00 in May?	No	BUY	7	98¢	$7	0xb704db…
05-04 14:58:04	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 5?	No	BUY	139	100¢	$139	0x14fb42…
04-23 14:25:32	will the price of ethereum be between 2800 2900 on april 24	No	BUY	135	100¢	$135	0xd11112…
04-22 09:28:38	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?	No	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0x042124…
04-15 11:00:38	will the price of bitcoin be greater than 82000 on april 16	No	BUY	139	100¢	$139	0xd945bc…
04-12 10:39:27	bitcoin above 62k on april 13	Yes	BUY	135	100¢	$135	0x1fd8b2…
04-11 09:06:53	Will Trump talk to Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in April?	No	BUY	7	92¢	$6	0x8baa2c…
04-10 08:42:13	bitcoin above 60k on april 11	Yes	BUY	141	100¢	$140	0xf2a66d…
04-07 05:44:37	will the price of ethereum be greater than 2600 on april 8	No	BUY	145	100¢	$145	0xc2a27b…
04-04 03:53:29	bitcoin above 78k on april 6	No	BUY	143	100¢	$143	0xe69596…
04-02 01:43:47	bitcoin above 76k on april 3	No	BUY	143	100¢	$143	0x0dc746…
03-31 01:26:53	ethereum above 2600 on april 1	No	BUY	137	100¢	$136	0xc88645…
03-25 18:37:13	bitcoin above 78k on march 26	No	BUY	134	100¢	$134	0x89875c…
03-23 16:18:33	bitcoin above 78k on march 24	No	BUY	134	100¢	$133	0xc174aa…
03-20 14:51:27	will the price of bitcoin be greater than 80000 on march 22	No	BUY	139	100¢	$139	0x8fd729…
03-19 02:06:31	will silver si hit high 125 by end of march	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x71a10e…
03-17 10:12:51	bitcoin above 64k on march 18	Yes	BUY	139	100¢	$139	0x4580e9…
03-15 14:58:37	bitcoin above 78k on march 16	No	BUY	138	100¢	$138	0x4140ed…
03-11 16:03:01	bitcoin above 78k on march 12	No	BUY	142	100¢	$142	0x00a1c2…
03-09 09:54:37	bitcoin above 60k on march 9	Yes	BUY	139	100¢	$139	0xcd423e…
03-03 11:48:45	bitcoin above 56k on march 3	Yes	BUY	139	100¢	$139	0x1e05d8…
03-01 02:42:15	bitcoin above 76k on march 1	No	BUY	142	100¢	$141	0x7ac0b8…
02-24 05:53:00	bitcoin above 76k on february 26	No	BUY	141	100¢	$141	0x8305da…
02-22 02:43:58	bitcoin above 78k on february 23	No	BUY	140	100¢	$140	0x6f5183…
02-19 03:41:26	bitcoin above 76k on february 20	No	BUY	138	100¢	$138	0x937836…
02-16 00:27:17	ethereum above 2500 on february 16	No	BUY	141	100¢	$141	0xa15b84…
02-14 02:48:11	ethereum above 2500 on february 15	No	BUY	142	100¢	$142	0x0346b0…
02-12 08:43:55	will the price of bitcoin be between 74000 76000 on february 13	No	BUY	141	100¢	$140	0xeec0b7…
02-10 02:06:43	will the price of bitcoin be greater than 82000 on february 11	No	BUY	140	100¢	$140	0xbd44ef…
02-08 01:12:39	will the price of bitcoin be greater than 88000 on february 9	No	BUY	139	100¢	$139	0xbb7942…
02-05 23:38:03	bitcoin above 86k on february 7	No	BUY	140	100¢	$140	0xe6a7c0…
02-04 23:26:25	will the price of bitcoin be between 84000 86000 on february 5	No	BUY	140	100¢	$140	0xefb38c…
02-01 23:09:16	will the price of bitcoin be greater than 98000 on february 3	No	BUY	134	100¢	$134	0x81b38d…
01-30 11:32:50	will the price of bitcoin be between 94000 96000 on january 31	No	BUY	133	100¢	$133	0xc06547…
01-28 09:34:27	bitcoin above 80k on january 29	Yes	BUY	131	100¢	$131	0x194b2c…
01-25 08:47:38	bitcoin above 100k on january 27	No	BUY	132	100¢	$132	0xb16240…
01-22 01:29:30	will the price of bitcoin be greater than 104000 on january 24	No	BUY	132	100¢	$132	0xd208fb…
01-19 04:57:22	will alphabet be the second largest company in the world by market cap on january 31	Yes	BUY	4	90¢	$3	0x227571…
01-19 04:27:16	will the price of bitcoin be greater than 106000 on january 21	No	BUY	138	100¢	$138	0xdbfab7…
01-16 02:46:00	ethereum above 2600 on january 18	Yes	BUY	135	100¢	$135	0xccc5f3…
01-14 02:41:58	bitcoin above 82k on january 15	Yes	BUY	137	100¢	$137	0x68b5fe…
01-11 03:45:54	bitcoin above 102k on january 13	No	BUY	136	100¢	$136	0x637ec2…
01-09 04:34:22	will the price of bitcoin be less than 82000 on january 10	No	BUY	133	100¢	$133	0xe13074…
01-06 23:25:47	bitcoin above 82k on january 8	Yes	BUY	134	100¢	$134	0xb22a83…
01-04 23:47:33	bitcoin above 80k on january 6	Yes	BUY	140	100¢	$140	0x394e9c…
01-02 13:28:17	will the price of ethereum be less than 2500 on january 4	No	BUY	137	100¢	$137	0xe11fa0…