(anonymous) 0x11eaaf…9e1676
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← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$86
Unrealized P&L
-$17
Hit rate
60.8%
Resolved
1,029
Trades
5,631
lifetime
Volume
$39.0K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$7
Open exposure
$1.43K
30 positions
First seen
2026-08-14
last 10-27 08:42
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 71 days
Categories
Other
84% 56% -$523
Politics
13% 69% +$484
Sports
2% 74% +$125
Tech
1% 100% +$0
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Crypto
0% 100% +$0
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
71 active days in 12wk • peak 573 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +194 $139 72¢ $141 +$2 10-27 06:56
Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? Yes +145 $100 70¢ $102 +$2 10-25 10:44
Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026? Yes +130 $68 72¢ $93 +$25 10-14 19:10
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +254 $99 36¢ $90 -$9 10-26 14:02
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes +188 $87 46¢ $85 -$1 10-26 13:41
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the next Lima mayoral elections? Yes +85 $81 88¢ $75 -$7 10-23 04:58
Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? Yes +86 $70 79¢ $68 -$2 10-24 09:02
Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election? No +90 $62 72¢ $65 +$2 10-26 10:14
Will the Republicans win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026? No +71 $61 86¢ $60 -$1 10-22 08:16
Will oil be below $85 on November 2 and the Republicans win the Senate? No +53 $50 98¢ $52 +$2 10-17 00:31
Will "End of Beginning – Djo" be the top song for 2026? Yes +57 $47 87¢ $49 +$2 10-19 14:21
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? No +72 $44 66¢ $48 +$4 10-26 20:22
Will "Babydoll – Dominic Fike" be the #2 song for 2026? Yes +53 $44 86¢ $45 +$1 10-19 14:21
Will the Democrats win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026? Yes +52 $45 86¢ $45 -$1 10-22 07:42
Will the Republicans win the Nevada governor race in 2026? No +61 $32 72¢ $44 +$12 10-14 19:10
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31? No +52 $41 82¢ $43 +$2 10-15 21:16
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? Yes +62 $40 68¢ $42 +$2 10-26 19:18
Will Chelsea win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? Yes +1,022 $92 4¢ $42 -$50 08-22 09:30
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +56 $35 66¢ $37 +$2 10-15 18:42
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? No +37 $30 78¢ $29 -$1 10-25 11:12
Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +30 $27 94¢ $28 +$1 10-27 05:21
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? Yes +61 $35 44¢ $27 -$8 10-26 12:42
Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +31 $24 84¢ $26 +$2 10-27 04:39
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? Yes +21 $14 89¢ $18 +$4 10-26 03:20
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +19 $18 92¢ $18 $0 10-26 14:16
Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $1.75T and $2.00T? Yes +42 $14 30¢ $13 -$1 10-18 03:34
Will "Babydoll — Dominic Fike" be the top song for 2026? Yes +155 $19 8¢ $12 -$7 10-14 18:18
Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026? Yes +80 $6 14¢ $11 +$5 10-26 21:16
Will Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026? Yes +12 $9 90¢ $11 +$2 10-15 04:10
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day? Yes +41 $9 23¢ $9 +$0 10-26 12:22