Naive-Refuse — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$405

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

72.9%

Resolved

230

Trades

9,255

lifetime

Volume

$347.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$38

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 06-30 17:44

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 11 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 53% +$405

Other

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

84 active days in 12wk • peak 114 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
sol updown 15m 1775518200	14	$1.4K	902	873	+29	open	—	04-06 23:43
sol updown 15m 1775594700	26	$1.3K	911	881	+30	open	—	04-07 20:57
xrp updown 15m 1775518200	8	$1.3K	838	814	+24	open	—	04-06 23:41
eth updown 15m 1768187700	1	$800	1,364	0	+1,364	open	—	01-12 03:14
btc updown 15m 1768187700	1	$800	1,404	0	+1,404	open	—	01-12 03:14
sol updown 15m 1775551500	26	$758	532	515	+17	open	—	04-07 08:56
xrp updown 15m 1767578400	7	$700	1,317	0	+1,317	open	—	01-05 02:01
sol updown 15m 1771965900	6	$675	959	410	+549	open	—	02-24 20:44
Solana Up or Down - May 5, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	12	$636	409	409	+0	Down	+$156	05-05 20:28
sol updown 15m 1769242500	7	$603	1,079	0	+1,079	open	—	01-24 08:16
xrp updown 15m 1767577500	6	$600	1,008	0	+1,008	open	—	01-05 01:45
btc updown 15m 1768892400	6	$600	1,047	0	+1,047	open	—	01-20 06:59
btc updown 15m 1770949800	5	$563	501	493	+8	open	—	02-13 02:31
Solana Up or Down - May 6, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	15	$557	360	360	+0	Down	+$157	05-06 07:59
btc updown 15m 1780530300	5	$545	704	704	+0	open	—	06-03 23:54
eth updown 15m 1775553300	3	$522	350	339	+11	open	—	04-07 09:28
xrp updown 15m 1775369700	4	$522	335	325	+10	open	—	04-05 06:27
btc updown 15m 1771288200	4	$516	577	568	+9	open	—	02-17 00:38
Solana Up or Down - May 10, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	13	$502	318	318	+0	Down	+$102	05-10 18:29
sol updown 15m 1771277400	5	$500	882	0	+882	open	—	02-16 21:30
btc updown 15m 1768680900	5	$500	875	0	+875	open	—	01-17 20:15
btc updown 15m 1770003900	5	$500	833	0	+833	open	—	02-02 03:44
btc updown 15m 1775936700	5	$500	825	0	+825	open	—	04-11 19:42
btc updown 15m 1768891500	5	$500	893	0	+893	open	—	01-20 06:44
sol updown 15m 1775936700	5	$500	900	0	+900	open	—	04-11 19:41
eth updown 15m 1769557500	5	$500	868	0	+868	open	—	01-27 23:44
btc updown 15m 1776826800	5	$500	857	0	+857	open	—	04-22 02:55
sol updown 15m 1771287300	5	$500	884	0	+884	open	—	02-17 00:14
Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	6	$500	303	303	+0	open	—	05-03 02:45
eth updown 15m 1772095500	3	$488	370	365	+6	open	—	02-26 08:49

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-01 00:12:50	eth updown 15m 1782864900	Down	BUY	11	53¢	$6	0x5f075c…
06-30 22:43:32	eth updown 15m 1782859500	Up	BUY	11	54¢	$6	0xd5dc05…
06-30 21:44:43	eth updown 15m 1782855900	Up	BUY	11	55¢	$6	0xa7b9ae…
06-30 20:25:35	btc updown 15m 1782850500	Down	SELL	22	99¢	$22	0x2d4bd5…
06-30 20:24:53	eth updown 15m 1782850500	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x555be1…
06-30 20:24:50	eth updown 15m 1782850500	Down	SELL	13	99¢	$13	0xac1d77…
06-30 20:24:46	eth updown 15m 1782850500	Down	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0x2e7e20…
06-30 20:24:44	eth updown 15m 1782850500	Down	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0x50f056…
06-30 20:24:41	eth updown 15m 1782850500	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xe9758e…
06-30 20:14:29	eth updown 15m 1782850500	Down	BUY	44	55¢	$24	0x8eb503…
06-30 20:13:53	btc updown 15m 1782850500	Down	BUY	22	55¢	$12	0x96e5d2…
06-30 19:59:47	btc updown 15m 1782849600	Down	BUY	11	55¢	$6	0xd9ee82…
06-30 19:59:37	eth updown 15m 1782849600	Down	BUY	22	54¢	$12	0x8f27b9…
06-30 19:44:28	eth updown 15m 1782848700	Down	BUY	12	51¢	$6	0xc4b75b…
06-30 19:06:37	eth updown 15m 1782846000	Down	BUY	9	64¢	$6	0x666f46…
06-30 18:43:47	btc updown 15m 1782845100	Up	BUY	12	52¢	$6	0x2c8e4c…
06-30 17:44:52	btc updown 15m 1782841500	Up	BUY	46	52¢	$24	0x81bc62…
06-30 17:28:26	btc updown 15m 1782840600	Up	BUY	24	51¢	$12	0x2e6f17…
06-30 17:16:53	btc updown 15m 1782839700	Up	BUY	10	60¢	$6	0x8bbdf8…
06-30 09:29:55	btc updown 15m 1782811800	Up	BUY	23	52¢	$12	0xfd1029…
06-30 08:29:20	btc updown 15m 1782808200	Up	BUY	11	55¢	$6	0xa28040…
06-30 07:43:37	btc updown 15m 1782804600	Up	SELL	23	99¢	$23	0x880d44…
06-30 07:41:44	sol updown 15m 1782804600	Up	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0x807c38…
06-30 07:29:38	sol updown 15m 1782804600	Up	BUY	11	54¢	$6	0x27293a…
06-30 07:29:32	btc updown 15m 1782804600	Up	BUY	23	52¢	$12	0x718375…
06-30 07:13:31	btc updown 15m 1782803700	Up	BUY	12	52¢	$6	0x4f5f2e…
06-30 06:56:08	btc updown 15m 1782801900	Up	BUY	10	58¢	$6	0xf34cf2…
06-30 05:29:02	eth updown 15m 1782797400	Up	BUY	12	52¢	$6	0x055745…
06-30 05:28:55	btc updown 15m 1782797400	Up	BUY	44	55¢	$24	0x73a6bd…
06-30 05:14:25	eth updown 15m 1782795600	Up	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0xc2f8c0…
06-30 05:13:17	btc updown 15m 1782796500	Up	BUY	22	55¢	$12	0xa316f1…
06-30 04:58:58	eth updown 15m 1782795600	Up	BUY	12	51¢	$6	0x40941a…
06-30 04:57:29	btc updown 15m 1782795600	Up	BUY	11	55¢	$6	0xa11bb9…
06-30 04:44:43	btc updown 15m 1782793800	Up	SELL	182	99¢	$180	0xcb4ebb…
06-30 04:44:31	sol updown 15m 1782793800	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xbf9272…
06-30 04:44:31	sol updown 15m 1782793800	Up	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0x4f0a09…
06-30 04:29:56	btc updown 15m 1782793800	Up	BUY	182	55¢	$100	0x87c884…
06-30 04:29:23	sol updown 15m 1782793800	Up	BUY	11	53¢	$6	0x472a13…
06-30 04:19:52	eth updown 15m 1782792900	Up	SELL	42	14¢	$6	0x339a51…
06-30 04:12:29	btc updown 15m 1782792900	Up	BUY	88	57¢	$50	0xa3825f…
06-30 04:12:05	eth updown 15m 1782792900	Up	BUY	42	57¢	$24	0xe95063…
06-30 03:59:28	eth updown 15m 1782792000	Up	BUY	22	56¢	$12	0x54b218…
06-30 03:43:55	eth updown 15m 1782791100	Up	BUY	12	52¢	$6	0x0a30f5…
06-30 02:13:32	eth updown 15m 1782785700	Up	BUY	12	52¢	$6	0x176403…
06-30 01:41:34	eth updown 15m 1782783900	Up	BUY	12	52¢	$6	0xf772f7…
06-30 01:14:41	sol updown 15m 1782782100	Up	BUY	11	55¢	$6	0x109b02…
06-30 01:13:38	eth updown 15m 1782782100	Up	BUY	22	55¢	$12	0x24ac54…
06-30 01:01:53	eth updown 15m 1782781200	Up	BUY	12	50¢	$6	0xd04ea3…
06-30 00:42:44	btc updown 15m 1782780300	Up	BUY	11	55¢	$6	0x198132…
06-29 21:59:49	btc updown 15m 1782770400	Down	BUY	11	54¢	$6	0x118720…
06-29 21:47:31	sol updown 15m 1782769500	Down	BUY	12	51¢	$6	0x3a8889…
06-29 20:30:07	eth updown 15m 1782765000	Down	BUY	12	49¢	$6	0x092445…
06-29 19:59:16	eth updown 15m 1782763200	Down	BUY	12	50¢	$6	0x59eb1b…
06-29 19:27:37	sol updown 15m 1782761400	Down	BUY	11	53¢	$6	0xcc69ca…
06-29 18:14:23	sol updown 15m 1782756900	Down	BUY	11	51¢	$6	0xdc03d3…
06-29 17:45:04	eth updown 15m 1782755100	Down	BUY	11	55¢	$6	0xc16673…
06-29 17:27:35	sol updown 15m 1782754200	Down	BUY	23	53¢	$12	0xfd5ca0…
06-29 17:11:41	sol updown 15m 1782753300	Down	BUY	11	55¢	$6	0xc20754…
06-29 06:30:08	sol updown 15m 1782714600	Down	BUY	12	48¢	$6	0xcee327…
06-29 05:13:58	sol updown 15m 1782710100	Up	BUY	11	55¢	$6	0x870c2a…
06-29 04:28:35	eth updown 15m 1782707400	Down	BUY	11	51¢	$6	0xc7c80a…
06-29 03:28:28	sol updown 15m 1782703800	Down	BUY	11	52¢	$6	0x7572a6…
06-29 03:27:37	eth updown 15m 1782703800	Down	BUY	21	57¢	$12	0x3dcb51…
06-29 03:18:41	eth updown 15m 1782702900	Down	BUY	11	52¢	$6	0x9244e6…
06-29 02:15:19	eth updown 15m 1782699300	Up	BUY	10	60¢	$6	0x0c3d09…
06-29 01:28:07	btc updown 15m 1782696600	Up	BUY	11	51¢	$6	0xb581c9…
06-29 00:50:14	eth updown 15m 1782693900	Up	SELL	22	57¢	$13	0x9fa75d…
06-29 00:39:58	eth updown 15m 1782693900	Up	BUY	22	54¢	$12	0x71761f…
06-29 00:31:08	eth updown 15m 1782693000	Up	BUY	11	50¢	$6	0x5d93fa…
06-28 22:59:10	btc updown 15m 1782687600	Up	BUY	44	55¢	$24	0xb0da89…
06-28 22:58:10	sol updown 15m 1782687600	Up	BUY	11	53¢	$6	0xf79b68…
06-28 22:57:53	eth updown 15m 1782687600	Up	BUY	23	52¢	$12	0x7b8efe…
06-28 22:43:59	eth updown 15m 1782686700	Up	BUY	10	55¢	$6	0xb93075…
06-28 22:43:22	btc updown 15m 1782686700	Up	BUY	21	56¢	$12	0x0e9ccd…
06-28 22:27:46	btc updown 15m 1782685800	Up	BUY	11	53¢	$6	0x2f85c5…
06-28 21:56:50	sol updown 15m 1782684000	Up	BUY	11	53¢	$6	0x9e1746…
06-28 21:13:40	sol updown 15m 1782681300	Up	BUY	11	51¢	$6	0x574710…
06-28 20:43:35	sol updown 15m 1782679500	Up	BUY	11	52¢	$6	0xc3510d…
06-28 20:13:28	sol updown 15m 1782676800	Up	SELL	42	99¢	$42	0xc49cdb…
06-28 19:58:25	sol updown 15m 1782676800	Up	BUY	42	52¢	$22	0x423e3c…
06-28 19:43:22	btc updown 15m 1782675900	Up	BUY	10	56¢	$6	0x3187e8…
06-28 19:43:20	sol updown 15m 1782675900	Up	BUY	21	53¢	$11	0x50ed4d…
06-28 19:29:29	sol updown 15m 1782675000	Up	BUY	11	52¢	$5	0xa490b4…
06-28 19:13:08	btc updown 15m 1782674100	Up	BUY	11	51¢	$5	0x64b3b3…
06-28 18:44:10	sol updown 15m 1782672300	Up	BUY	10	53¢	$5	0x13bcd8…
06-28 17:44:31	btc updown 15m 1782668700	Up	BUY	40	55¢	$22	0xe6abba…
06-28 17:29:07	eth updown 15m 1782667800	Up	BUY	10	54¢	$5	0x88f97d…
06-28 17:28:49	btc updown 15m 1782667800	Up	BUY	20	55¢	$11	0x4ca7cf…
06-28 17:14:37	btc updown 15m 1782666900	Up	BUY	10	55¢	$6	0x860e52…
06-28 16:43:50	btc updown 15m 1782665100	Up	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x45e13e…
06-28 09:11:53	eth updown 15m 1782638100	Down	BUY	10	54¢	$5	0x9bb8f4…
06-28 08:57:11	sol updown 15m 1782636300	Down	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0x7844e2…
06-28 08:57:11	sol updown 15m 1782636300	Down	SELL	14	97¢	$13	0x2c36d5…
06-28 08:57:10	sol updown 15m 1782636300	Down	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0xd591ab…
06-28 08:57:10	sol updown 15m 1782636300	Down	SELL	2	97¢	$2	0x8470c7…
06-28 08:57:10	sol updown 15m 1782636300	Down	SELL	15	97¢	$15	0x3e6303…
06-28 08:57:10	sol updown 15m 1782636300	Down	SELL	15	97¢	$15	0x360d53…
06-28 08:57:08	sol updown 15m 1782636300	Down	SELL	15	97¢	$15	0x2c7e3e…
06-28 08:57:02	sol updown 15m 1782636300	Down	SELL	13	98¢	$13	0xc5f090…
06-28 08:43:52	eth updown 15m 1782636300	Down	BUY	10	54¢	$5	0x9862c5…