Naive-Refuse — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$405

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

72.9%

Resolved

230

Trades

9,873

lifetime

Volume

$359.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$36

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 08-09 08:53

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 11 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 53% +$405

Other

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

67 active days in 12wk • peak 114 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
sol updown 15m 1775518200	14	$1.4K	902	873	+29	open	—	04-06 23:43
sol updown 15m 1775594700	26	$1.3K	911	881	+30	open	—	04-07 20:57
xrp updown 15m 1775518200	8	$1.3K	838	814	+24	open	—	04-06 23:41
eth updown 15m 1768187700	1	$800	1,364	0	+1,364	open	—	01-12 03:14
btc updown 15m 1768187700	1	$800	1,404	0	+1,404	open	—	01-12 03:14
sol updown 15m 1775551500	26	$758	532	515	+17	open	—	04-07 08:56
xrp updown 15m 1767578400	7	$700	1,317	0	+1,317	open	—	01-05 02:01
sol updown 15m 1771965900	6	$675	959	410	+549	open	—	02-24 20:44
Solana Up or Down - May 5, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	12	$636	409	409	+0	Down	+$156	05-05 20:28
sol updown 15m 1769242500	7	$603	1,079	0	+1,079	open	—	01-24 08:16
btc updown 15m 1768892400	6	$600	1,047	0	+1,047	open	—	01-20 06:59
xrp updown 15m 1767577500	6	$600	1,008	0	+1,008	open	—	01-05 01:45
sol updown 15m 1783397700	10	$578	374	374	+0	open	—	07-07 04:29
btc updown 15m 1770949800	5	$563	501	493	+8	open	—	02-13 02:31
Solana Up or Down - May 6, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	15	$557	360	360	+0	Down	+$157	05-06 07:59
btc updown 15m 1780530300	5	$545	704	704	+0	open	—	06-03 23:54
eth updown 15m 1775553300	3	$522	350	339	+11	open	—	04-07 09:28
xrp updown 15m 1775369700	4	$522	335	325	+10	open	—	04-05 06:27
btc updown 15m 1771288200	4	$516	577	568	+9	open	—	02-17 00:38
Solana Up or Down - May 10, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	13	$502	318	318	+0	Down	+$102	05-10 18:29
sol updown 15m 1771277400	5	$500	882	0	+882	open	—	02-16 21:30
btc updown 15m 1768680900	5	$500	875	0	+875	open	—	01-17 20:15
btc updown 15m 1770003900	5	$500	833	0	+833	open	—	02-02 03:44
sol updown 15m 1775936700	5	$500	900	0	+900	open	—	04-11 19:41
btc updown 15m 1768891500	5	$500	893	0	+893	open	—	01-20 06:44
eth updown 15m 1769557500	5	$500	868	0	+868	open	—	01-27 23:44
btc updown 15m 1775936700	5	$500	825	0	+825	open	—	04-11 19:42
btc updown 15m 1776826800	5	$500	857	0	+857	open	—	04-22 02:55
sol updown 15m 1771287300	5	$500	884	0	+884	open	—	02-17 00:14
Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	6	$500	303	303	+0	open	—	05-03 02:45

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-09 08:53:54	eth updown 5m 1786265700	Up	BUY	13	53¢	$7	0x989150…
08-09 08:49:21	eth updown 5m 1786265100	Up	SELL	13	99¢	$13	0x14e014…
08-09 08:45:09	eth updown 5m 1786265100	Up	BUY	13	54¢	$7	0x48247f…
08-09 08:39:07	eth updown 5m 1786264500	Down	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0xeee55e…
08-09 08:37:24	eth updown 5m 1786264500	Down	BUY	12	57¢	$7	0x64aca2…
08-09 08:27:06	sol updown 15m 1786263300	Down	SELL	27	99¢	$27	0x0c7c25…
08-09 08:23:48	btc updown 5m 1786263600	Down	SELL	19	99¢	$19	0x7900d8…
08-09 08:23:42	btc updown 5m 1786263600	Down	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0xf73d4c…
08-09 08:18:37	btc updown 5m 1786263600	Up	SELL	29	47¢	$13	0x8ddb7a…
08-09 08:18:15	btc updown 5m 1786263600	Down	BUY	27	52¢	$14	0xfb80a9…
08-09 08:18:12	btc updown 5m 1786263600	Up	BUY	29	49¢	$14	0x0f3a5f…
08-09 08:14:52	btc updown 5m 1786263300	Down	BUY	13	53¢	$7	0x637920…
08-09 08:12:39	eth updown 15m 1786263300	Down	BUY	13	54¢	$7	0xb2bf1c…
08-09 08:12:03	sol updown 15m 1786263300	Down	BUY	27	52¢	$14	0xf6a9ae…
08-09 08:08:33	eth updown 5m 1786262700	Down	SELL	13	99¢	$13	0x8def74…
08-09 08:03:19	eth updown 5m 1786262700	Down	BUY	13	55¢	$7	0x95f8ab…
08-09 08:01:21	sol updown 15m 1786262400	Down	BUY	14	50¢	$7	0x585f10…
08-09 07:28:22	sol updown 15m 1786259700	Down	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0x8660d5…
08-09 07:28:22	sol updown 15m 1786259700	Down	SELL	35	99¢	$35	0x80158c…
08-09 07:28:21	sol updown 15m 1786259700	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xc7d316…
08-09 07:28:21	sol updown 15m 1786259700	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x08f8a8…
08-09 07:28:19	sol updown 15m 1786259700	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xcbb7c3…
08-09 07:28:19	sol updown 15m 1786259700	Down	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x81e084…
08-09 07:28:19	sol updown 15m 1786259700	Down	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x156b22…
08-09 07:28:18	sol updown 15m 1786259700	Down	SELL	60	99¢	$59	0xbb43ef…
08-09 07:28:13	sol updown 15m 1786259700	Down	SELL	16	99¢	$16	0xb67b04…
08-09 07:28:07	sol updown 15m 1786259700	Down	SELL	30	99¢	$30	0x52d343…
08-09 07:27:43	sol updown 15m 1786259700	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xcc5281…
08-09 07:27:33	sol updown 15m 1786259700	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xac5c8a…
08-09 07:27:28	sol updown 15m 1786259700	Down	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0x7d47a4…
08-09 07:27:24	sol updown 15m 1786259700	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xa74a01…
08-09 07:19:21	sol updown 5m 1786259700	Down	SELL	14	99¢	$14	0xca4a3e…
08-09 07:15:06	sol updown 5m 1786259700	Down	BUY	14	51¢	$7	0x7649d0…
08-09 07:14:34	eth updown 5m 1786259400	Down	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0x160ee7…
08-09 07:14:33	sol updown 15m 1786259700	Down	BUY	185	54¢	$100	0xd845d7…
08-09 07:14:04	eth updown 15m 1786258800	Down	SELL	26	99¢	$26	0xb18494…
08-09 07:09:36	eth updown 5m 1786259400	Down	BUY	12	56¢	$7	0x05b5fe…
08-09 07:04:36	eth updown 5m 1786258800	Down	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0x6feaac…
08-09 06:59:37	eth updown 5m 1786258800	Down	BUY	12	59¢	$7	0x958b21…
08-09 06:56:01	sol updown 15m 1786258800	Down	BUY	104	54¢	$56	0x3a5073…
08-09 06:55:22	sol updown 5m 1786258500	Down	BUY	15	48¢	$7	0x7bfed2…
08-09 06:54:43	eth updown 15m 1786258800	Down	BUY	26	53¢	$14	0x490447…
08-09 06:43:54	eth updown 15m 1786257900	Down	BUY	13	54¢	$7	0x66fd71…
08-09 06:43:03	sol updown 15m 1786257900	Down	BUY	105	53¢	$56	0xa37e84…
08-09 06:28:07	sol updown 15m 1786257000	Down	BUY	53	53¢	$28	0xa953fb…
08-09 06:14:34	sol updown 15m 1786256100	Down	BUY	27	51¢	$14	0xdbf7a2…
08-09 06:03:33	sol updown 15m 1786255200	Down	BUY	10	68¢	$7	0xa319d0…
08-09 03:13:51	eth updown 15m 1786245300	Up	BUY	12	55¢	$7	0x91c78b…
08-09 03:13:49	btc updown 15m 1786245300	Up	BUY	13	53¢	$7	0x5ad51e…
08-08 23:13:31	btc updown 15m 1786230900	Up	BUY	24	56¢	$13	0x54f51b…
08-08 22:59:54	btc updown 15m 1786230000	Up	BUY	12	57¢	$7	0x85c26e…
08-08 08:14:49	sol updown 15m 1786176000	Down	SELL	26	99¢	$26	0x0b6083…
08-08 07:58:45	sol updown 15m 1786176000	Down	BUY	26	52¢	$14	0x28988d…
08-08 07:44:52	sol updown 15m 1786175100	Down	BUY	13	52¢	$7	0xa41439…
08-08 07:29:22	sol updown 15m 1786173300	Down	SELL	26	99¢	$26	0x3c2610…
08-08 07:12:01	sol updown 15m 1786173300	Down	BUY	26	52¢	$13	0x1614e1…
08-08 06:59:52	sol updown 15m 1786172400	Down	BUY	12	57¢	$7	0x69247c…
08-08 06:59:39	btc updown 15m 1786172400	Down	BUY	13	51¢	$7	0x8e18fd…
08-05 05:28:36	btc updown 15m 1785907800	Down	BUY	12	53¢	$6	0x2cd2b8…
08-05 04:59:57	eth updown 15m 1785906000	Up	BUY	25	51¢	$13	0x86e536…
08-05 04:58:54	eth updown 15m 1785905100	Up	BUY	11	57¢	$6	0x022a58…
08-05 04:13:57	sol updown 15m 1785903300	Up	BUY	12	53¢	$6	0xf4b4a7…
08-05 03:17:35	btc updown 15m 1785899700	Down	SELL	13	55¢	$7	0x80a53c…
08-05 03:13:11	btc updown 15m 1785899700	Down	BUY	13	51¢	$6	0x225e07…
08-05 02:44:56	btc updown 15m 1785897900	Down	BUY	12	52¢	$6	0xf1d9a9…
08-05 02:42:08	sol updown 15m 1785897900	Down	BUY	12	53¢	$6	0x0e38a9…
08-05 02:14:41	btc updown 15m 1785896100	Down	BUY	12	55¢	$6	0x2637b3…
08-05 01:13:44	xrp updown 15m 1785892500	Up	BUY	12	53¢	$6	0xce4e25…
08-04 20:47:21	eth updown 15m 1785876300	Down	BUY	11	59¢	$6	0x729bd1…
08-04 19:44:56	btc updown 15m 1785872700	Down	BUY	12	54¢	$6	0xae3ee1…
08-04 19:14:23	btc updown 15m 1785870900	Down	BUY	25	53¢	$13	0x8160ea…
08-04 19:13:39	sol updown 15m 1785870900	Down	BUY	13	51¢	$6	0x15506a…
08-04 19:00:05	btc updown 15m 1785870000	Down	BUY	12	52¢	$6	0xa7918e…
08-04 04:43:56	eth updown 15m 1785818700	Down	BUY	13	51¢	$6	0x7e8935…
08-04 04:43:48	btc updown 15m 1785818700	Down	BUY	24	54¢	$13	0x9acd84…
08-04 04:29:15	btc updown 15m 1785817800	Down	BUY	12	52¢	$6	0x332ee0…
07-28 19:14:40	btc updown 15m 1785266100	Down	BUY	13	50¢	$6	0xa5eb70…
07-28 01:29:58	sol updown 15m 1785201300	Up	SELL	50	99¢	$49	0x418322…
07-28 01:29:28	eth updown 15m 1785201300	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xcca984…
07-28 01:29:28	eth updown 15m 1785201300	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x9bded0…
07-28 01:29:28	eth updown 15m 1785201300	Up	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x934b36…
07-28 01:29:28	eth updown 15m 1785201300	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x8a5835…
07-28 01:29:28	eth updown 15m 1785201300	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x2b572b…
07-28 01:29:28	eth updown 15m 1785201300	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x0590b6…
07-28 01:28:13	btc updown 15m 1785201300	Up	SELL	95	99¢	$94	0x230700…
07-28 01:09:51	eth updown 15m 1785201300	Up	BUY	24	54¢	$13	0x7c2c8b…
07-28 01:09:42	sol updown 15m 1785201300	Up	BUY	50	52¢	$26	0x7913a8…
07-28 01:09:33	btc updown 15m 1785201300	Up	BUY	95	55¢	$52	0xda5226…
07-28 00:57:13	eth updown 15m 1785200400	Up	BUY	12	55¢	$6	0x099cf2…
07-28 00:56:40	btc updown 15m 1785200400	Up	BUY	48	54¢	$26	0xe91b3e…
07-28 00:55:31	sol updown 15m 1785200400	Up	BUY	25	53¢	$13	0x062f0b…
07-28 00:47:16	sol updown 15m 1785199500	Up	BUY	17	39¢	$6	0x560285…
07-28 00:44:54	btc updown 15m 1785199500	Up	BUY	25	53¢	$13	0x0a63e0…
07-28 00:27:10	btc updown 15m 1785198600	Up	BUY	24	54¢	$13	0xa72554…
07-28 00:25:33	eth updown 15m 1785198600	Up	BUY	24	54¢	$13	0x500ef2…
07-28 00:13:33	eth updown 15m 1785197700	Up	BUY	12	55¢	$6	0x22a5c0…
07-28 00:13:21	btc updown 15m 1785197700	Up	BUY	12	55¢	$6	0xda50e1…
07-27 23:43:46	btc updown 15m 1785195900	Up	BUY	12	55¢	$6	0x696c25…
07-27 23:43:40	eth updown 15m 1785195900	Up	BUY	12	56¢	$6	0x4aa0be…
07-27 23:29:00	eth updown 15m 1785194100	Up	SELL	90	99¢	$90	0xce6512…