Flickering-Pickax — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$18

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

16.1%

Resolved

Trades

473

lifetime

Volume

$4.46K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-21

last 06-27 10:58

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

80% 0% $-1

Crypto

12% 23% $-18

Politics

7% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

40 active days in 12wk • peak 36 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
ukr1 ruk kol 2026 04 10 total 2pt5	2	$166	102	100	+1	open	—	04-10 16:58
highest temperature in lucknow on march 28 2026 33c	3	$157	161	161	+0	open	—	03-28 09:01
col1 adp cdt 2026 04 11 total 2pt5	2	$157	100	100	+0	open	—	04-11 07:15
col mai str 2026 04 09 total 2pt5	2	$105	71	70	+1	open	—	04-09 20:56
highest temperature in lucknow on march 28 2026 32corbelow	2	$85	215	0	+215	open	—	03-28 09:28
aus bri syd 2026 04 02 total 3pt5	2	$83	50	50	+0	open	—	04-02 12:03
es2 zar rrc 2026 03 29 btts	2	$78	50	50	+0	open	—	03-29 20:21
es2 lpm gra 2026 04 02 total 2pt5	2	$78	50	50	+0	open	—	04-02 19:35
den sif ode 2026 04 12 total 2pt5	2	$76	98	98	+0	open	—	04-12 08:54
arg tig riv1 2026 04 02 total 2pt5	2	$75	51	50	+1	open	—	04-02 22:32
andrew tate of tweets march 3 march 10 2026 0 99	3	$75	87	40	+46	open	—	03-06 14:55
aus ccm bri 2026 04 10 total 2pt5	1	$72	164	0	+164	open	—	04-10 07:41
arg ald aaj 2026 03 31 total 2pt5	2	$68	41	40	+0	open	—	03-31 19:40
sud bot car1 2026 04 09 total 2pt5	1	$59	148	0	+148	open	—	04-09 21:00
aus per mac 2026 04 12 total 3pt5	1	$59	100	0	+100	open	—	04-12 08:58
sea cre tor 2026 04 19 total 3pt5	2	$56	32	31	+0	open	—	04-19 12:41
es2 mal lpm 2026 04 11 total 2pt5	1	$55	102	0	+102	open	—	04-11 16:26
egy1 heh mos 2026 04 08 total 2pt5	2	$54	32	31	+0	open	—	04-08 20:12
highest temperature in madrid on march 29 2026 13c	4	$53	56	56	+0	open	—	03-29 16:56
andrew tate of tweets february 27 march 6 2026 130 159	2	$53	33	33	+0	open	—	03-06 10:15
kor poh any 2026 04 19 total 2pt5	2	$47	29	29	+0	open	—	04-19 09:27
mex tig gua 2026 04 11 total 2pt5	1	$46	94	0	+94	open	—	04-11 22:46
highest temperature in lucknow on march 27 2026 32corbelow	1	$44	149	0	+149	open	—	03-26 10:33
el2 bri fle 2026 04 03 total 3pt5	2	$43	24	24	+0	open	—	04-03 16:05
fl1 ang hac 2026 04 18 total 3pt5	2	$42	28	27	+0	open	—	04-18 19:06
chi ton wsz 2026 04 11 total 2pt5	1	$41	82	0	+82	open	—	04-11 07:39
highest temperature in madrid on march 29 2026 12c	2	$40	141	141	+0	open	—	03-29 11:33
will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by march 1	2	$40	34	34	+0	open	—	02-24 17:34
andrew tate of tweets february 27 march 6 2026 100 129	2	$40	57	57	+0	open	—	03-04 08:50
will trump say finish the job this week march 22	2	$40	28	28	+0	open	—	03-21 22:52

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-27 10:58:10	chi xin ron 2026 06 27 total 4pt5	Under	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x86b383…
06-06 11:14:06	Belgium vs. Tunisia: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x45778d…
06-04 15:49:07	mar1 asf dhe 2026 06 04 total 3pt5	Under	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x4b5d25…
06-04 15:39:40	fif cam bhu 2026 06 04 total 4pt5	Under	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x3205db…
06-04 08:46:37	fif cam bhu 2026 06 04 total 4pt5	Under	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0xfee535…
06-01 19:58:37	Slovakia vs. Malta: O/U 4.5	Under	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xc6aa76…
06-01 13:10:36	Slovakia vs. Malta: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x09730d…
05-25 17:37:54	Tromsø IL vs. Aalesunds FK: O/U 4.5	Under	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xb26d89…
05-25 13:13:04	Tromsø IL vs. Aalesunds FK: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x4bc073…
05-19 10:42:07	Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0xcd182d…
05-18 16:10:38	Tala'ea El Gaish SC vs. Pharco FC: O/U 3.5	Under	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xfe743c…
05-18 07:19:45	Tala'ea El Gaish SC vs. Pharco FC: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xaa547f…
05-17 09:24:44	Juventus FC vs. ACF Fiorentina: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x45836d…
05-16 13:20:13	Real Sociedad de Fútbol B vs. CD Mirandés: O/U 3.5	Under	SELL	1	31¢	$0	0x38947a…
05-16 10:46:27	Real Sociedad de Fútbol B vs. CD Mirandés: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x471739…
05-15 15:35:39	SSC Bari vs. FC Südtirol: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0xb1501b…
05-14 09:23:54	Valencia CF vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x236c43…
05-12 18:11:59	RC Celta de Vigo vs. Levante UD: O/U 3.5	Under	SELL	2	22¢	$0	0x6692a1…
05-12 17:45:32	RC Celta de Vigo vs. Levante UD: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x986b95…
05-12 11:27:51	Solana Up or Down - May 12, 7AM ET	Down	SELL	1	78¢	$1	0xc7ca65…
05-12 11:05:59	Solana Up or Down - May 12, 7AM ET	Down	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0xa9405a…
05-12 11:03:58	Solana Up or Down - May 12, 7AM ET	Down	SELL	2	47¢	$1	0x4eebc8…
05-12 11:01:48	Solana Up or Down - May 12, 7AM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x556317…
05-12 09:30:59	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 5AM ET	Down	SELL	2	41¢	$1	0xa9cb01…
05-12 09:00:39	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 5AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xeca1ee…
05-12 08:30:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xe55021…
05-12 08:15:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x04fc62…
05-12 07:45:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0xb26f69…
05-12 07:27:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Up	SELL	3	38¢	$1	0xd287af…
05-12 07:26:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0x77f29c…
05-12 07:13:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x0ce9f7…
05-11 11:53:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Down	SELL	9	44¢	$4	0x30df2e…
05-11 11:45:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0xcc187c…
05-11 09:43:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	4	84¢	$3	0x657e3d…
05-11 09:43:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Down	SELL	9	43¢	$4	0xbc9b43…
05-11 09:32:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0xeeb10f…
05-11 09:21:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Up	SELL	13	33¢	$4	0x0ffbb4…
05-11 09:19:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	13	61¢	$8	0x8c6a5d…
05-10 18:30:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0x0b4356…
05-10 18:15:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Up	SELL	21	44¢	$9	0x4cc9cf…
05-10 18:15:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0x094762…
05-10 16:46:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0x993df5…
05-04 13:29:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0xb813b4…
05-03 20:42:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0xa101a6…
05-03 19:42:32	XRP Up or Down - May 3, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xb8ef80…
05-03 18:05:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1PM ET	Up	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x2625ad…
05-03 17:21:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1PM ET	Up	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x9667b1…
05-03 17:17:18	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 1PM ET	Down	SELL	9	48¢	$4	0xa6a3fa…
05-03 16:58:30	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 1PM ET	Down	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0xb19dc1…
05-03 16:07:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 12PM ET	Up	SELL	8	41¢	$3	0xbd11f3…
05-03 15:48:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 12PM ET	Up	BUY	8	49¢	$4	0x3ae0e4…
05-03 15:09:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 11AM ET	Down	SELL	10	52¢	$5	0x4b7489…
05-03 14:31:48	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 11AM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xd5b84f…
05-03 14:02:06	Solana Up or Down - May 3, 10AM ET	Up	SELL	10	56¢	$5	0x56ebca…
05-03 13:44:00	Solana Up or Down - May 3, 10AM ET	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x448db5…
05-03 10:58:46	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 6AM ET	Down	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x662397…
05-03 09:38:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 6AM ET	Down	BUY	8	49¢	$4	0x2c407c…
05-02 16:01:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 12PM ET	Down	BUY	9	65¢	$6	0x5849f3…
05-02 15:57:20	Solana Up or Down - May 2, 10AM ET	Up	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x639057…
05-02 14:04:16	Solana Up or Down - May 2, 10AM ET	Up	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x26e959…
05-02 13:52:26	Solana Up or Down - May 2, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	SELL	2	17¢	$0	0x046606…
05-02 13:51:28	Solana Up or Down - May 2, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xda79aa…
05-02 13:43:26	XRP Up or Down - May 2, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	SELL	10	5¢	$0	0x728040…
05-02 13:40:50	XRP Up or Down - May 2, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xd4621a…
05-02 12:01:00	Solana Up or Down - May 2, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x459a86…
05-02 10:06:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x46ef51…
05-02 09:26:44	XRP Up or Down - May 2, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x664621…
05-02 08:51:28	Solana Up or Down - May 2, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x3fb245…
05-02 08:06:20	Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xdc87dd…
05-01 20:58:44	Solana Up or Down - May 1, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xa34acf…
05-01 20:52:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 4PM ET	Up	SELL	9	0¢	$0	0xf67c8d…
05-01 20:52:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Up	SELL	8	11¢	$1	0x5a6dca…
05-01 20:48:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	8	71¢	$6	0xb22986…
05-01 20:15:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 4PM ET	Up	BUY	9	33¢	$3	0xb06884…
05-01 16:09:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Down	SELL	10	16¢	$2	0xb89b61…
05-01 16:02:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0x93c276…
05-01 15:35:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	41¢	$4	0x8e47c0…
05-01 15:15:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x2eae2b…
05-01 13:46:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x45b922…
05-01 12:02:24	Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 8AM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x861e30…
05-01 11:59:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 7AM ET	Up	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0xce3d44…
05-01 11:07:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 7AM ET	Up	BUY	9	44¢	$4	0x5860db…
05-01 10:01:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	7	29¢	$2	0x0247fd…
04-30 23:45:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Down	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0xb4a385…
04-30 23:35:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x6ecb2f…
04-30 22:23:04	Club Bolívar vs. Fluminense FC: O/U 3.5	Under	SELL	2	66¢	$1	0xcaa936…
04-30 22:15:48	Club Bolívar vs. Fluminense FC: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x651286…
04-30 13:25:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	10	41¢	$4	0xd9cf52…
04-30 08:04:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x8fa931…
04-29 19:57:06	Sporting CP vs. CD Tondela: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x6a1478…
04-29 18:00:46	Al Riyadh Saudi Club vs. Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club: O/U 4.5	Under	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x0659df…
04-29 16:22:44	Al Riyadh Saudi Club vs. Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0x821a1f…
04-28 20:04:48	Al Hilal Saudi Club vs. Damac Saudi Club: O/U 4.5	Under	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0xb627a1…
04-28 18:11:16	Al Hilal Saudi Club vs. Damac Saudi Club: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	4	75¢	$3	0xc1650b…
04-28 18:09:08	Al Shabab Saudi Club vs. Al Fateh Saudi Club: O/U 3.5	Under	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0xd06d84…
04-28 16:30:44	Al Shabab Saudi Club vs. Al Fateh Saudi Club: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	4	74¢	$3	0xd8478a…
04-28 08:30:46	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on April 28?	Yes	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0xa46cbc…
04-28 08:08:34	Ethereum Up or Down - April 28, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	BUY	6	63¢	$4	0x39a5ac…
04-28 07:43:56	Ethereum Up or Down - April 28, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	SELL	2	64¢	$1	0x7eb356…
04-28 07:43:36	Ethereum Up or Down - April 28, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xcba34f…