Important-Exhaustion — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1

Unrealized P&L

-$6

Hit rate

35.3%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$68

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$47

3 positions

First seen

2026-05-06

last 05-07 02:33

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

85% 40% $-1

Sports

15% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Elon Musk post 700-719 tweets in May 2026?	Yes	+671	$42	6¢	$38	$-5	05-07 02:28
Will Geraldo Perdomo lead the MLB in stolen bases for the 2026 regular season?	No	+5	$5	98¢	$5	$-0	05-06 04:28
Will Alexander Volkanovski be ranked first in the UFC Pound-For-Pound Rankings at the end of 2026?	No	+5	$5	75¢	$4	$-1	05-07 02:33

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Elon Musk post 700-719 tweets in May 2026?	2	$42	671	0	+671	open	—	05-07 02:28
Will Alexander Volkanovski be ranked first in the UFC Pound-For-Pound Rankings at the end of 2026?	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	05-07 02:33
Will Geraldo Perdomo lead the MLB in stolen bases for the 2026 regular season?	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	05-06 04:28
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 14°C on May 6?	2	$3	5	5	+0	No	$-0	05-06 12:02
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on May 7?	1	$3	50	0	+50	open	—	05-07 02:13
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 19°C on May 6?	1	$3	3,030	0	+3,030	No	$-3	05-06 15:06
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on May 7?	1	$3	0	14	-14	No	+$3	05-07 02:13
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 28°C on May 6?	1	$2	0	18	-18	Yes	+$2	05-06 05:24
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on May 6?	1	$2	18	0	+18	No	$-2	05-06 14:35

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-07 02:33:09	Will Alexander Volkanovski be ranked first in the UFC Pound-For-Pound Rankings at the end of 2026?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x822d0e…
05-07 02:28:00	Will Elon Musk post 700-719 tweets in May 2026?	Yes	BUY	321	10¢	$31	0xd0c98c…
05-07 02:13:35	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on May 7?	Yes	SELL	14	20¢	$3	0xc13e62…
05-07 02:13:14	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on May 7?	Yes	BUY	50	6¢	$3	0xf5f5dc…
05-06 15:06:10	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 19°C on May 6?	Yes	BUY	3,030	0¢	$3	0x387e99…
05-06 14:35:15	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on May 6?	Yes	BUY	18	9¢	$2	0x8345bd…
05-06 12:02:26	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 14°C on May 6?	Yes	SELL	5	29¢	$2	0x37eed0…
05-06 11:20:06	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 14°C on May 6?	Yes	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x11ef69…
05-06 05:24:40	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 28°C on May 6?	No	SELL	18	9¢	$2	0x44d895…
05-06 04:28:52	Will Geraldo Perdomo lead the MLB in stolen bases for the 2026 regular season?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x9c258d…
05-06 04:28:48	Will Elon Musk post 700-719 tweets in May 2026?	Yes	BUY	350	3¢	$11	0x341631…