Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$11

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

95.9%

Resolved

207

Trades

305

lifetime

Volume

$3.68K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$12

Open exposure

$122

4 positions

First seen

2026-04-10

last 10-24 03:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 25 days

Categories

Crypto

57% 99% -$50

Other

23% 98% $0

Politics

19% 100% +$39

Sports

1% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

6 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (25) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	+43	$40	94¢	$41	+$1	10-24 03:00
Iran leadership change by December 31?	No	+47	$40	86¢	$40	+$0	09-20 03:45
Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31?	No	+33	$30	89¢	$29	-$1	09-24 21:17
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?	No	+17	$12	66¢	$11	-$1	08-06 16:58

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will trump speak to keir starmer in july 20260626154217432	3	$81	48	48	+0	Yes	+$1	07-03 20:34
kharg island no longer under iranian control by december 31 20260730004337418	2	$80	45	45	+0	open	—	08-11 03:21
highest temperature in denver on april 10 2026 62forhigher	10	$72	48	26	+22	No	-$24	04-10 21:36
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-12 03:00 UTC	6	$60	60	0	+60	Up	-$60	04-12 03:14
SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-11 22:05 UTC	6	$60	60	0	+60	Up	+$0	04-11 22:09
bitcoin up or down april 11 2026 4am et	3	$60	61	0	+61	Down	+$1	04-11 08:59
bitcoin up or down april 11 2026 6pm et	5	$50	50	0	+50	Down	+$0	04-11 22:59
kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	3	$43	42	3	+40	No	+$2	08-11 03:22
Trump out as President before 2027?	2	$41	22	22	+0	open	—	07-20 16:22
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?	5	$40	21	21	+0	No	+$0	06-13 16:36
Iran leadership change by December 31?	1	$40	47	0	+47	open	—	09-20 03:45
Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 23?	1	$40	44	0	+44	Yes	+$4	09-20 03:20
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	1	$40	43	0	+43	open	—	10-24 03:00
Will Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?	1	$40	41	0	+41	Yes	+$1	08-01 18:00
kharg island no longer under iranian control by september 30 20260730004207224	1	$40	42	0	+42	No	+$2	08-03 03:58
will trump meet with benjamin netanyahu in august 2026 20260731154202617	1	$40	41	0	+41	No	+$1	08-02 09:47
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	1	$40	44	0	+44	No	+$4	08-11 03:23
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by October 31?	1	$40	43	0	+43	No	+$3	09-20 03:09
Iran leadership change by October 31?	1	$40	42	0	+42	No	+$2	09-20 03:45
bitcoin up or down april 11 2026 3am et	2	$40	40	0	+40	Down	+$0	04-11 07:59
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-11 21:45 UTC	4	$40	40	0	+40	Up	+$0	04-11 21:59
XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-11 16:35 UTC	4	$40	40	0	+40	Up	+$0	04-11 16:39
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-11 22:00 UTC	4	$40	40	0	+40	Up	+$0	04-11 22:14
trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 15 20260607232556275 193	1	$35	41	0	+41	No	+$6	06-10 15:51
israel closes its airspace by june 12	1	$35	39	0	+39	No	+$4	06-10 02:04
Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31?	1	$30	33	0	+33	open	—	09-24 21:17
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31?	1	$30	30	0	+30	No	+$0	10-10 03:47
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 12?	1	$30	32	0	+32	Yes	+$2	10-10 03:46
Will Xi Jinping visit US by October 31?	1	$30	31	0	+31	Yes	+$1	09-20 22:31
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-11 17:45 UTC	3	$30	30	0	+30	Down	+$0	04-11 17:49

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-24 03:00:15	Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	BUY	43	92¢	$40	0x164d5c…
10-10 03:47:33	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31?	No	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x726b1d…
10-10 03:46:57	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 12?	Yes	BUY	32	94¢	$30	0xcd2bf4…
09-24 21:17:14	Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31?	No	BUY	33	92¢	$30	0x9738dc…
09-20 22:31:02	Will Xi Jinping visit US by October 31?	Yes	BUY	31	97¢	$30	0xe442b9…
09-20 03:45:42	Iran leadership change by December 31?	No	BUY	47	86¢	$40	0xa86dfa…
09-20 03:45:24	Iran leadership change by October 31?	No	BUY	42	96¢	$40	0x507e7e…
09-20 03:20:06	Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 23?	Yes	BUY	44	91¢	$40	0xd20043…
09-20 03:09:46	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by October 31?	No	BUY	43	93¢	$40	0x6b9ce3…
08-19 13:01:19	will iran target qatar by august 31 2026	No	BUY	21	94¢	$20	0xd3bab1…
08-19 12:55:40	israel military action against yemen by august 31	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x046516…
08-19 12:55:15	will there be houthi military action against israel by august 31 2026	No	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0x5e788d…
08-19 12:54:46	israel closes its airspace by august 31 389	No	BUY	21	96¢	$20	0xa9fc59…
08-19 12:54:19	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151 668	No	BUY	21	96¢	$20	0x3c120a…
08-11 03:23:16	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	No	BUY	44	91¢	$40	0x9b77da…
08-11 03:22:12	kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	No	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0xd7554f…
08-11 03:22:00	kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x15d36c…
08-11 03:21:49	kharg island no longer under iranian control by december 31 20260730004337418	No	SELL	45	90¢	$40	0x5d2d91…
08-06 16:58:33	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?	No	SELL	10	76¢	$8	0x31dc6c…
08-03 03:58:11	kharg island no longer under iranian control by december 31 20260730004337418	No	BUY	45	89¢	$40	0xd1e52d…
08-03 03:58:02	kharg island no longer under iranian control by september 30 20260730004207224	No	BUY	42	95¢	$40	0xc86a9c…
08-02 09:47:53	will trump meet with benjamin netanyahu in august 2026 20260731154202617	No	BUY	41	97¢	$40	0x0e298b…
08-01 18:00:24	Will Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?	Yes	BUY	41	97¢	$40	0x855b42…
07-27 04:50:55	kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	No	BUY	42	94¢	$40	0xdef4c7…
07-20 16:22:57	Trump out as President before 2027?	No	SELL	22	93¢	$21	0x40cf9e…
07-03 20:34:14	will trump speak to keir starmer in july 20260626154217432	Yes	SELL	44	84¢	$37	0xceab5a…
07-03 12:16:44	will trump speak to keir starmer in july 20260626154217432	Yes	SELL	4	91¢	$4	0x4217b5…
06-29 03:23:47	will trump speak to keir starmer in july 20260626154217432	Yes	BUY	48	83¢	$40	0x17847d…
06-13 16:36:42	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x87c1c2…
06-13 11:15:16	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?	No	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0x640ebe…
06-13 06:35:42	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x3bb9e9…
06-13 06:35:40	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?	No	SELL	19	99¢	$19	0xf69a10…
06-10 15:51:52	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 15 20260607232556275 193	No	BUY	41	86¢	$35	0xd73d3c…
06-10 02:04:25	israel closes its airspace by june 12	No	BUY	39	89¢	$35	0xccd300…
06-01 16:25:05	Masoud Pezeshkian out by June 30?	No	BUY	22	91¢	$20	0x6cb387…
06-01 14:57:30	Trump out as President before 2027?	No	BUY	22	90¢	$20	0x78340a…
06-01 07:12:30	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?	No	BUY	27	74¢	$20	0x7e6aca…
05-25 14:49:23	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xcaec92…
05-19 11:25:50	Israel closes its airspace by May 24?	No	BUY	25	79¢	$20	0x0c014e…
05-14 15:52:17	Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	No	BUY	23	88¢	$20	0xc728cd…
05-14 15:50:55	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	27	74¢	$20	0x1644f4…
05-09 12:31:44	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	Yes	BUY	21	94¢	$20	0x5be989…
05-04 11:44:16	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	No	SELL	4	74¢	$3	0xd35c9d…
05-04 11:39:54	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	No	SELL	1	78¢	$1	0x2d9336…
05-04 11:36:08	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	No	SELL	0	79¢	$0	0x895933…
05-04 11:30:30	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	No	SELL	4	79¢	$3	0x103eb1…
05-04 11:30:24	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	No	SELL	4	79¢	$3	0x7c6965…
05-03 10:47:12	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	No	BUY	23	86¢	$20	0x91facb…
05-03 06:28:24	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?	No	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0x1df95d…
05-01 04:38:16	Will Trump speak to Xi Jinping in May?	Yes	BUY	22	93¢	$20	0xa797a5…
05-01 02:42:58	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	No	BUY	22	90¢	$20	0xb810b4…
04-27 12:12:24	Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x2687cd…
04-27 11:18:54	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x06a7e4…
04-20 14:02:16	Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x064160…
04-14 06:19:23	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by April 30?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x79522c…
04-12 07:51:55	kharg island no longer under iranian control by april 15	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xa1272b…
04-12 03:19:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-12 03:15 UTC	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xa00253…
04-12 03:14:55	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-12 03:00 UTC	Down	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xffecbd…
04-12 03:14:55	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-12 03:00 UTC	Down	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xae99d5…
04-12 03:14:55	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-12 03:00 UTC	Down	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xad14e8…
04-12 03:14:55	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-12 03:00 UTC	Down	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa6836c…
04-12 03:14:55	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-12 03:00 UTC	Down	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x8db2c9…
04-12 03:14:55	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-12 03:00 UTC	Down	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x1c1296…
04-12 02:58:29	xrp up or down april 11 2026 10pm et	Up	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x8bcb56…
04-12 01:58:19	HYPE Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-12 01:55 UTC	Down	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x8a1ed8…
04-12 01:38:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-12 01:35 UTC	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xf9e44c…
04-12 01:38:03	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-12 01:35 UTC	Down	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x58c13f…
04-12 01:36:35	nhl cal sea 2026 04 11 total 4pt5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x24eb70…
04-12 01:33:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-12 01:30 UTC	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x321e11…
04-12 01:33:31	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-12 01:30 UTC	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x6b4569…
04-12 01:19:09	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-12 01:15 UTC	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xa9c98d…
04-12 01:04:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-12 01:00 UTC	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x4a2adf…
04-12 00:59:55	bitcoin up or down april 11 2026 8pm et	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xb1381f…
04-12 00:39:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-12 00:35 UTC	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x9ae272…
04-12 00:23:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-12 00:20 UTC	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x4d57b4…
04-12 00:23:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-12 00:20 UTC	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xa0c602…
04-12 00:09:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-12 00:05 UTC	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xd11106…
04-12 00:08:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-12 00:05 UTC	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x9959d1…
04-12 00:08:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-12 00:05 UTC	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x646aa9…
04-12 00:04:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-12 00:00 UTC	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x6231fb…
04-12 00:03:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-12 00:00 UTC	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x587b80…
04-11 23:59:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-11 23:55 UTC	Up	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xd0d4b6…
04-11 23:59:49	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-11 23:45 UTC	Down	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x9ba6f6…
04-11 23:59:49	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-11 23:45 UTC	Down	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x1e51a6…
04-11 23:56:11	ethereum up or down april 11 2026 7pm et	Down	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x1dd0a7…
04-11 23:54:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-11 23:50 UTC	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xc51875…
04-11 23:54:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-11 23:50 UTC	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xdc1822…
04-11 23:49:13	bitcoin up or down april 11 2026 7pm et	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x279553…
04-11 23:44:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-11 23:40 UTC	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x044492…
04-11 23:43:55	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-11 23:40 UTC	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xea668f…
04-11 23:43:55	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-11 23:40 UTC	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x8130d3…
04-11 23:24:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-11 23:20 UTC	Up	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0xd09e31…
04-11 23:19:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-11 23:15 UTC	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xbd3476…
04-11 23:19:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-11 23:15 UTC	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x627bfc…
04-11 23:19:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-11 23:15 UTC	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x3b2374…
04-11 23:09:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-11 23:05 UTC	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xfb2e8a…
04-11 23:09:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-11 23:05 UTC	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xd9bde7…
04-11 23:04:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-11 23:00 UTC	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x9329cd…
04-11 23:04:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-11 23:00 UTC	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x8cb9d1…
04-11 22:59:59	bitcoin up or down april 11 2026 6pm et	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x82f753…