Decisive-Lung — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$711

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

74.2%

Resolved

492

Trades

912

lifetime

Volume

$12.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$14

Open exposure

$10

1 position

First seen

2026-01-03

last 10-29 01:15

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 78 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 54% +$700

Sports

1% 62% -$3

Other

0% 100% +$14

Politics

0% — —

Tech

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

16 active days in 12wk • peak 97 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Solana Up or Down - October 29, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Down	—	+20	$10	50¢	$10	$0	10-29 04:22

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-19 06:15 UTC	11	$129	102	101	+1	Down	+$51	03-19 06:28
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-21 05:30 UTC	2	$88	60	59	+1	Down	+$29	03-21 05:45
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-19 08:30 UTC	2	$87	59	58	+1	Up	+$28	03-19 08:41
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-19 05:15 UTC	4	$87	59	58	+1	Down	+$28	03-19 05:28
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-19 10:00 UTC	4	$87	58	57	+1	Down	+$25	03-19 10:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	2	$86	59	59	+0	Up	+$26	10-25 04:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	9	$86	59	59	+0	Up	+$26	10-26 01:55
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-19 06:00 UTC	2	$86	58	57	+1	Up	+$27	03-19 06:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	3	$86	58	58	+0	Up	+$26	10-25 06:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	2	$86	59	59	+0	Up	+$26	10-27 07:21
XRP Up or Down - October 26, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	4	$86	59	59	+0	Down	+$26	10-27 00:42
Solana Up or Down - October 26, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	3	$86	59	59	+0	Down	+$26	10-27 00:43
XRP Up or Down - October 27, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	6	$86	59	59	+0	Down	+$26	10-28 02:41
XRP Up or Down - October 25, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	6	$86	58	58	+0	Down	+$26	10-26 00:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	6	$86	59	59	+0	Down	+$26	10-27 00:43
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-21 04:30 UTC	2	$86	58	57	+1	Down	+$27	03-21 04:37
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-21 05:30 UTC	2	$85	57	56	+1	Down	+$26	03-21 05:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	11	$85	58	58	+0	Up	+$26	10-24 06:13
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-15 07:45 UTC	11	$85	58	57	+1	Up	+$26	03-15 07:59
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-21 15:00 UTC	2	$85	56	56	+1	Up	+$24	03-21 15:12
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-21 04:30 UTC	2	$85	56	55	+1	Down	+$24	03-21 04:37
Solana Up or Down - October 27, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	8	$85	58	58	+0	Down	+$25	10-28 03:54
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-19 02:45 UTC	2	$85	57	56	+1	Down	+$26	03-19 02:54
XRP Up or Down - October 23, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	14	$85	58	58	+0	Up	+$25	10-23 23:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	3	$85	58	58	+0	Up	+$25	10-26 00:14
Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	3	$85	56	56	+0	Up	+$25	10-23 23:22
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-21 05:45 UTC	6	$85	56	56	+1	Down	+$26	03-21 05:58
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-19 02:45 UTC	2	$85	56	55	+1	Down	+$26	03-19 02:55
Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	4	$85	58	58	+0	Down	+$25	10-27 00:43
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-21 15:00 UTC	5	$85	55	54	+1	Up	+$24	03-21 15:14

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 04:22:46	Solana Up or Down - October 29, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0xc01f35…
10-29 01:15:29	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	59	51¢	$30	0xa2d728…
10-29 00:59:52	XRP Up or Down - October 28, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	58	52¢	$30	0x047b4b…
10-29 00:59:17	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	58	51¢	$30	0xda8584…
10-29 00:58:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	59	51¢	$30	0x3ec52e…
10-29 00:44:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x8e8f73…
10-28 07:59:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	59	51¢	$30	0xe498c6…
10-28 07:49:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xa7bce3…
10-28 05:34:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x45d575…
10-28 04:37:07	XRP Up or Down - October 28, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0xa6c322…
10-28 04:36:32	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0xf94de5…
10-28 04:36:01	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0xc1fdf4…
10-28 03:54:22	Solana Up or Down - October 27, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Down	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x432e7c…
10-28 03:54:20	Solana Up or Down - October 27, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Down	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xe37cea…
10-28 03:54:20	Solana Up or Down - October 27, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Down	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xce77e9…
10-28 03:54:20	Solana Up or Down - October 27, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Down	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x91e27d…
10-28 03:54:20	Solana Up or Down - October 27, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Down	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x77984f…
10-28 03:54:17	Solana Up or Down - October 27, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Down	SELL	38	96¢	$36	0x3ac3e5…
10-28 03:54:07	Solana Up or Down - October 27, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Down	SELL	10	96¢	$10	0xd1e3e2…
10-28 03:32:06	Solana Up or Down - October 27, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	58	52¢	$30	0x42547d…
10-28 03:17:18	Solana Up or Down - October 27, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0xf6b850…
10-28 02:41:33	XRP Up or Down - October 27, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Down	SELL	0	95¢	$0	0xbe8b1a…
10-28 02:41:20	XRP Up or Down - October 27, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Down	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0xf8687a…
10-28 02:41:20	XRP Up or Down - October 27, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Down	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x561aad…
10-28 02:41:20	XRP Up or Down - October 27, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Down	SELL	40	95¢	$38	0x02a8a0…
10-28 02:41:14	XRP Up or Down - October 27, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Down	SELL	13	95¢	$12	0x7002db…
10-28 02:28:57	XRP Up or Down - October 27, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Down	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x23006b…
10-28 02:28:54	XRP Up or Down - October 27, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Down	SELL	6	96¢	$6	0x8587f6…
10-28 02:28:47	XRP Up or Down - October 27, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Down	SELL	2	96¢	$2	0x95ff78…
10-28 02:28:42	XRP Up or Down - October 27, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Down	SELL	11	96¢	$10	0x20774a…
10-28 02:26:27	Solana Up or Down - October 27, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Down	SELL	10	95¢	$10	0x3fc130…
10-28 02:26:27	Solana Up or Down - October 27, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Down	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x1cf627…
10-28 02:26:27	Solana Up or Down - October 27, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Down	SELL	6	95¢	$6	0x08ad78…
10-28 02:26:27	Solana Up or Down - October 27, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Down	SELL	2	95¢	$2	0x02dacc…
10-28 02:16:17	XRP Up or Down - October 27, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	59	51¢	$30	0x17a3a6…
10-28 02:15:47	Solana Up or Down - October 27, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	59	51¢	$30	0xbc843a…
10-28 02:00:17	Solana Up or Down - October 27, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x74ad25…
10-28 01:59:29	XRP Up or Down - October 27, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x172962…
10-28 01:22:02	Solana Up or Down - October 27, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Up	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xb08df2…
10-28 01:21:48	Solana Up or Down - October 27, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Up	SELL	19	95¢	$18	0xbe50e1…
10-28 01:00:59	Solana Up or Down - October 27, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x73a4b4…
10-28 00:46:29	XRP Up or Down - October 27, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x042ab0…
10-28 00:45:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	59	51¢	$30	0x6d6628…
10-28 00:45:21	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	59	51¢	$30	0xdf8184…
10-28 00:30:23	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x5100ea…
10-28 00:29:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	21	49¢	$10	0xee7656…
10-28 00:07:44	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Down	SELL	20	95¢	$19	0x95364b…
10-28 00:07:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Down	SELL	59	90¢	$53	0xc2830f…
10-27 23:45:18	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0xedf7c8…
10-27 23:44:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	59	51¢	$30	0xaf8eb9…
10-27 22:35:27	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x479ebc…
10-27 07:21:59	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Up	SELL	33	95¢	$31	0xbb05e7…
10-27 07:21:59	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Up	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x21b197…
10-27 07:21:59	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Up	SELL	0	95¢	$0	0x0d4027…
10-27 07:21:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Up	SELL	59	95¢	$56	0x2b0576…
10-27 07:00:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	59	51¢	$30	0xcd33c0…
10-27 07:00:03	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	38	52¢	$20	0x3c0682…
10-27 06:48:02	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0xbe77de…
10-27 06:47:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0xcea131…
10-27 05:05:14	XRP Up or Down - October 27, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Up	SELL	58	92¢	$53	0xa552fa…
10-27 05:04:53	Solana Up or Down - October 27, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Up	SELL	58	92¢	$53	0x92f9fd…
10-27 04:58:59	XRP Up or Down - October 27, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Up	SELL	10	95¢	$10	0x183be1…
10-27 04:58:54	XRP Up or Down - October 27, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Up	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x9451f5…
10-27 04:58:51	XRP Up or Down - October 27, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Up	SELL	2	95¢	$2	0xfd698f…
10-27 04:58:51	XRP Up or Down - October 27, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Up	SELL	2	95¢	$2	0x3ecab6…
10-27 04:58:03	Solana Up or Down - October 27, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Up	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xe767f1…
10-27 04:58:03	Solana Up or Down - October 27, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Up	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xbf08ba…
10-27 04:58:03	Solana Up or Down - October 27, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Up	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x38ac40…
10-27 04:58:03	Solana Up or Down - October 27, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Up	SELL	13	96¢	$12	0x12ab6f…
10-27 04:45:14	Solana Up or Down - October 27, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	58	52¢	$30	0xc01622…
10-27 04:44:27	XRP Up or Down - October 27, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	58	52¢	$30	0xb3715f…
10-27 04:31:21	XRP Up or Down - October 27, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x08a13b…
10-27 04:30:44	Solana Up or Down - October 27, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0xb1c93c…
10-27 03:39:00	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Up	SELL	58	93¢	$54	0x4904e6…
10-27 03:35:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Up	SELL	59	87¢	$51	0xd54c4c…
10-27 03:27:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Up	SELL	14	96¢	$14	0xd43fca…
10-27 03:27:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Up	SELL	3	96¢	$3	0x904353…
10-27 03:27:42	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Up	SELL	20	96¢	$19	0xc04e0c…
10-27 03:27:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Up	SELL	2	96¢	$2	0x8dc00e…
10-27 03:13:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	59	51¢	$30	0x346ad2…
10-27 03:12:53	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	58	52¢	$30	0x79c740…
10-27 02:57:48	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x27c511…
10-27 02:56:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0xa629fa…
10-27 02:30:35	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x7c174c…
10-27 00:43:48	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	SELL	58	95¢	$55	0x73821b…
10-27 00:43:48	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x224d5b…
10-27 00:43:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	SELL	32	95¢	$30	0x21cf29…
10-27 00:43:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	SELL	12	95¢	$11	0x5319f5…
10-27 00:43:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	SELL	10	95¢	$9	0xa37aa0…
10-27 00:43:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	SELL	3	95¢	$3	0xa21b46…
10-27 00:43:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	SELL	2	95¢	$2	0x9160c3…
10-27 00:43:20	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x8b1d2e…
10-27 00:43:18	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	SELL	40	95¢	$38	0xa7fe31…
10-27 00:43:18	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	SELL	16	95¢	$15	0x36b96a…
10-27 00:42:12	XRP Up or Down - October 26, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	SELL	0	95¢	$0	0x680e3f…
10-27 00:42:11	XRP Up or Down - October 26, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	SELL	48	95¢	$46	0x721aa5…
10-27 00:42:05	XRP Up or Down - October 26, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	SELL	11	95¢	$10	0xe1854b…
10-27 00:26:53	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Down	SELL	20	95¢	$19	0xf1d083…
10-27 00:16:44	XRP Up or Down - October 26, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	59	51¢	$30	0x49da22…
10-27 00:16:12	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	59	51¢	$30	0x20a2fc…