Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$4.45K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

44.7%

Resolved

298

Trades

1,143

lifetime

Volume

$39.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$35

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-05

last 08-12 17:09

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 42 days

Categories

Politics

51% 12% -$1,749

Crypto

42% 40% -$1,046

Other

7% 8% -$1,642

Sports

0% 0% -$13

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 14 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
israel strikes iran by january 16 2026 418	8	$5.6K	16,014	16,014	+0	No	+$714	01-13 20:43
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	11	$3.8K	8,766	8,766	+0	No	-$88	01-13 20:17
us strikes iran by january 14 2026 913	2	$2.5K	8,019	8,019	+0	No	-$604	01-13 20:43
Will the US strike Somalia next?	12	$1.9K	25,202	25,202	+0	Yes	-$1,223	01-13 21:38
us strikes iran by february 22 2026	21	$1.5K	11,727	11,727	+0	No	-$328	02-22 16:34
israel strikes iran by january 31 2026 894 994 453	6	$1.4K	2,466	2,466	+0	No	-$35	01-09 21:32
us strikes iran by february 25 2026	6	$1.1K	7,685	7,685	+0	No	-$105	02-23 20:27
us strikes iran by february 20 2026 151 468 624 297 614 778 872 127 349 448 499 337 826 553	6	$982	9,531	5,312	+4,219	No	-$164	02-20 21:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-23 20:10 UTC	13	$900	662	652	+10	Down	+$235	02-23 20:13
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-23 19:10 UTC	13	$791	602	594	+8	Down	+$299	02-23 19:15
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-23 18:45 UTC	7	$732	509	503	+6	Down	+$122	02-23 18:49
us strikes iran by february 24 2026	9	$657	7,571	7,571	+0	No	+$50	02-23 20:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-23 19:00 UTC	13	$649	755	751	+4	Down	+$393	02-23 19:05
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-23 20:20 UTC	3	$625	2,006	0	+2,006	Up	-$625	02-23 20:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-23 20:15 UTC	6	$606	1,781	483	+1,298	Up	+$46	02-23 20:19
us strikes iran by february 19 2026 992	10	$543	5,794	5,794	+0	No	-$76	02-19 15:02
us strikes iran by january 13 2026 771	2	$542	5,082	5,082	+0	No	-$58	01-13 20:43
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-23 20:05 UTC	21	$534	372	366	+6	Down	+$147	02-23 20:08
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-19 20:20 UTC	3	$494	369	364	+6	Down	+$94	02-19 20:23
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-19 20:10 UTC	4	$471	371	365	+6	Down	+$77	02-19 20:14
maduro mugshot released by january 9	11	$421	832	832	+0	No	-$121	01-05 22:06
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-23 14:55 UTC	4	$403	275	271	+4	Down	+$138	02-23 15:01
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-19 20:25 UTC	4	$400	1,030	0	+1,030	Up	-$400	02-19 20:27
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 11, 2026?	1	$351	4,107	0	+4,107	No	-$351	01-09 21:32
Will the US strike Iran next?	3	$349	4,975	4,975	+0	No	-$251	01-13 21:38
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-23 19:45 UTC	2	$341	259	255	+4	Down	+$134	02-23 19:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-23 15:30 UTC	2	$295	200	197	+3	Down	+$98	02-23 15:35
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-23 18:40 UTC	24	$283	200	199	+1	Down	+$76	02-23 18:43
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-23 15:35 UTC	6	$280	1,403	0	+1,403	Up	-$280	02-23 15:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-23 20:30 UTC	2	$278	1,172	0	+1,172	Up	-$278	02-23 20:34

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-12 17:09:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 17:05 UTC	Up	BUY	15	13¢	$2	0xb9e9e5…
08-12 16:10:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 16:10 UTC	Down	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0x7c9675…
08-12 16:09:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 16:05 UTC	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xdec1ed…
08-12 16:08:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 16:05 UTC	Up	BUY	71	7¢	$5	0x6bcf6c…
08-12 16:07:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 16:05 UTC	Up	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0x83d209…
08-12 16:07:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 16:05 UTC	Up	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x585fd4…
08-12 16:04:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 16:00 UTC	Up	SELL	14	78¢	$11	0xa6bbb3…
08-12 16:03:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 16:00 UTC	Up	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0x331134…
08-12 16:03:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 16:00 UTC	Down	SELL	12	73¢	$8	0x6dbdd8…
08-12 16:02:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 16:00 UTC	Down	SELL	12	72¢	$8	0x06e700…
08-12 16:01:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 16:00 UTC	Down	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0x7b2d02…
08-12 16:01:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 16:00 UTC	Down	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0x9a6819…
08-12 15:58:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 15:55 UTC	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xdc4b24…
08-12 15:22:42	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	1,286	1¢	$17	0x78da1c…
08-01 19:58:08	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,286	2¢	$26	0xa66b27…
08-01 19:57:47	israel closes its airspace by august 15	Yes	SELL	89	31¢	$27	0x426024…
08-01 14:23:12	israel closes its airspace by august 15	Yes	BUY	89	18¢	$16	0x8fa5bd…
07-20 17:06:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-20 17:05 UTC	Down	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x8a326b…
07-20 17:05:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-20 17:05 UTC	Down	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0x1e4e23…
07-14 14:07:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-14 14:05 UTC	Down	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x80c21c…
07-14 14:07:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-14 14:05 UTC	Down	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xfa21cc…
07-14 14:06:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-14 14:05 UTC	Down	BUY	9	22¢	$2	0x3bdb10…
07-14 14:06:32	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-14 14:05 UTC	Down	BUY	9	22¢	$2	0x0cda77…
06-22 20:14:10	Iraq to score first vs. France?	Yes	BUY	18	11¢	$2	0x797969…
06-22 20:04:20	Will France vs. Iraq end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	29	7¢	$2	0x637f08…
06-22 20:04:01	Will Iraq win on 2026-06-22?	Yes	BUY	95	2¢	$2	0x4258b4…
03-29 14:29:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-29 14:25 UTC	Up	BUY	152	5¢	$8	0x32ce99…
03-29 14:28:26	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-29 14:15 UTC	Up	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0xdc115f…
03-29 14:27:42	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-29 14:15 UTC	Up	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0xf633b1…
03-29 14:27:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-29 14:25 UTC	Up	BUY	67	11¢	$7	0x22a042…
03-29 14:27:08	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-29 14:25 UTC	Up	BUY	77	13¢	$10	0xe7a12d…
03-29 14:26:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-29 14:25 UTC	Up	BUY	60	33¢	$20	0x391048…
03-29 14:25:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-29 14:25 UTC	Up	BUY	83	36¢	$30	0x6348df…
03-29 14:25:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-29 14:20 UTC	Down	SELL	70	99¢	$70	0x0905cf…
03-29 14:24:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-29 14:20 UTC	Down	BUY	31	49¢	$15	0x259715…
03-29 14:21:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-29 14:20 UTC	Down	BUY	41	49¢	$20	0x5804a3…
03-28 22:08:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-28 22:05 UTC	Up	BUY	7	82¢	$6	0x10d55e…
03-18 00:30:49	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-18 00:30 UTC	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x213113…
03-18 00:30:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-18 00:30 UTC	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x39f648…
03-17 22:51:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-17 22:55 UTC	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x9ffd10…
03-17 22:50:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-17 22:50 UTC	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x3acea3…
03-17 22:49:35	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-17 22:45 UTC	Down	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xacf396…
03-17 22:49:09	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-17 22:45 UTC	Down	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0xc57e2e…
03-17 22:48:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-17 22:45 UTC	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xda0f81…
03-17 22:44:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-17 22:40 UTC	Down	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x3f40eb…
03-17 22:20:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-17 22:25 UTC	Down	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0xb54c35…
03-17 22:14:21	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-17 22:15 UTC	Down	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0xd5b67a…
03-16 22:24:03	bitcoin up or down march 16 2026 6pm et	Down	BUY	24	20¢	$5	0xf68362…
03-16 22:22:29	netanyahu out by march 31 854	Yes	SELL	100	5¢	$5	0x327d76…
03-16 21:38:01	netanyahu out by march 31 854	Yes	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0xee6b7a…
03-16 21:35:23	netanyahu out by march 31 854	Yes	SELL	102	5¢	$5	0x9dc3db…
03-16 21:29:15	netanyahu out by march 31 854	Yes	BUY	102	5¢	$5	0x0578ac…
03-16 20:44:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-16 20:45 UTC	Down	BUY	3	51¢	$2	0x7dc47a…
03-16 20:44:23	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-16 20:30 UTC	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x85eaff…
03-16 20:42:07	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-16 20:30 UTC	Down	BUY	29	17¢	$5	0xbeb1ee…
03-16 17:14:39	bitcoin up or down march 16 2026 1pm et	Down	BUY	19	38¢	$7	0xb6d206…
03-16 16:48:31	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-16 16:45 UTC	Down	BUY	21	56¢	$12	0x2011e2…
03-16 16:24:19	bitcoin up or down march 16 2026 12pm et	Down	BUY	106	26¢	$27	0x185b8a…
03-16 16:23:37	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-03-16 16:00 UTC	Down	SELL	69	40¢	$28	0xb23579…
03-16 16:19:01	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-16 16:15 UTC	Down	BUY	88	31¢	$27	0xc79da6…
03-16 16:18:05	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-03-16 16:00 UTC	Down	SELL	69	40¢	$28	0x09d705…
03-16 16:07:47	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-16 16:00 UTC	Down	BUY	62	16¢	$10	0xdb214d…
03-16 16:06:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-16 16:05 UTC	Down	BUY	53	19¢	$10	0xed3be4…
03-16 16:06:19	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-16 16:00 UTC	Down	BUY	84	32¢	$27	0x4166a4…
03-16 16:05:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-16 16:00 UTC	Down	SELL	44	99¢	$43	0x1462e3…
03-16 15:58:45	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-16 16:00 UTC	Down	BUY	33	45¢	$15	0xdec9fe…
03-16 15:58:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-16 16:00 UTC	Down	BUY	44	45¢	$20	0x542e23…
03-16 15:58:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-16 15:55 UTC	Down	SELL	40	96¢	$38	0x50491f…
03-16 15:57:53	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-03-16 16:00 UTC	Down	BUY	141	51¢	$72	0x62e886…
03-16 15:57:35	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-03-16 12:00 UTC	Down	SELL	41	99¢	$41	0x5734b0…
03-16 15:57:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-16 15:55 UTC	Down	SELL	4	77¢	$3	0x947df3…
03-16 15:57:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-16 15:55 UTC	Down	SELL	36	77¢	$28	0x7f2867…
03-16 15:54:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-16 15:55 UTC	Down	BUY	81	47¢	$38	0xc8ab4f…
03-16 15:53:55	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-03-16 12:00 UTC	Down	SELL	42	90¢	$38	0x24dfb8…
03-16 15:51:15	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-03-16 12:00 UTC	Down	SELL	1	86¢	$0	0x301f88…
03-16 14:57:37	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-16 14:45 UTC	Down	BUY	397	0¢	$1	0xc94e13…
03-16 14:55:35	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-16 14:45 UTC	Down	BUY	167	6¢	$10	0x1be9c8…
03-16 14:55:13	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-16 14:45 UTC	Down	BUY	71	7¢	$5	0x3d88f8…
03-16 14:55:09	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-16 14:45 UTC	Down	BUY	83	6¢	$5	0x40c1c1…
03-16 14:54:17	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-16 14:45 UTC	Down	BUY	162	12¢	$20	0xd6220e…
03-16 14:53:45	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-16 14:45 UTC	Down	BUY	118	17¢	$20	0x4e4c3b…
03-16 14:53:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-16 14:50 UTC	Down	BUY	175	3¢	$5	0x643f98…
03-16 14:53:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-16 14:50 UTC	Down	BUY	219	2¢	$5	0xf851b4…
03-16 14:51:17	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-03-16 12:00 UTC	Down	SELL	83	86¢	$71	0x13e2c2…
03-16 14:50:37	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-16 14:45 UTC	Down	BUY	59	61¢	$36	0x16cb88…
03-16 14:50:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-16 14:45 UTC	Down	SELL	36	99¢	$36	0x95da23…
03-16 14:46:51	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-16 14:45 UTC	Down	BUY	27	34¢	$9	0xcca919…
03-16 14:46:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-16 14:45 UTC	Down	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0xebea38…
03-16 14:45:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-16 14:40 UTC	Down	SELL	14	99¢	$14	0xbc9419…
03-16 14:45:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-16 14:45 UTC	Down	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0xff11b7…
03-16 14:41:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-16 14:40 UTC	Down	SELL	15	71¢	$10	0xe29e12…
03-16 14:41:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-16 14:40 UTC	Down	BUY	29	29¢	$8	0x0f5f11…
03-16 14:39:15	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-16 14:30 UTC	Down	SELL	9	92¢	$8	0x51a332…
03-16 14:33:17	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-03-16 12:00 UTC	Down	BUY	58	61¢	$35	0x8c4ee0…
03-16 14:32:29	bitcoin up or down march 16 2026 10am et	Down	SELL	39	91¢	$35	0x317661…
03-16 14:31:01	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-16 14:30 UTC	Down	BUY	9	73¢	$7	0xcaa0e1…
03-16 14:29:03	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-03-16 12:00 UTC	Down	BUY	57	35¢	$20	0xc6b033…
03-16 14:28:55	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-03-16 12:00 UTC	Down	BUY	54	37¢	$20	0x621815…
03-16 14:28:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-16 14:25 UTC	Up	BUY	47	4¢	$2	0xbc383f…
03-16 14:26:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-16 14:25 UTC	Up	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0x502911…