Upset-Conversion — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$279

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

65.3%

Resolved

350

Trades

519

lifetime

Volume

$6.07K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$12

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-15

last 06-14 19:45

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 27 days

Categories

Crypto

85% 44% -$156

Other

15% 33% -$125

Sports

0% 100% +$3

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-14).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13?	3	$200	124	124	+0	Yes	+$41	06-14 03:04
Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw?	3	$174	187	55	+132	Yes	-$96	06-14 19:17
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-21 03:25 UTC	2	$133	96	92	+4	Up	+$47	04-21 03:29
Will United States win on 2026-06-12?	2	$123	83	83	+0	Yes	+$43	06-13 03:27
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-14 20:20 UTC	2	$114	82	79	+3	Down	+$45	04-14 20:25
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13?	2	$113	64	64	+0	No	+$9	06-13 20:50
fifwc qat che 2026 06 13 spread away 1pt5	3	$103	90	90	+0	Qatar	-$5	06-13 20:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	1	$95	189	0	+189	Down	-$95	05-13 10:57
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-16 12:50 UTC	4	$92	126	42	+83	Up	-$43	04-16 12:51
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-18 11:20 UTC	2	$90	64	61	+2	Up	+$33	04-18 11:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	2	$90	66	66	+0	Up	+$40	05-12 11:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	2	$84	55	55	+0	Down	+$24	05-11 16:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-19 17:10 UTC	2	$81	55	53	+2	Up	+$23	04-19 17:13
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-16 18:25 UTC	2	$77	54	54	+1	Down	+$28	03-16 18:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	2	$68	44	44	+0	Up	+$20	05-12 17:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	2	$67	52	52	+0	Down	+$35	05-12 18:20
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-14 14:00 UTC	2	$66	54	52	+2	Down	+$28	04-14 14:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	4	$65	71	71	+0	Up	+$30	05-09 23:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-14 20:15 UTC	2	$61	38	37	+1	Down	+$12	04-14 20:18
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-17 15:40 UTC	3	$60	42	41	+1	Up	+$21	03-17 15:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-12 18:00 UTC	1	$60	118	0	+118	Up	-$60	04-12 18:00
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14?	2	$59	227	0	+227	No	-$59	06-14 19:45
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-15 20:20 UTC	3	$56	42	41	+2	Up	+$17	04-15 20:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-20 19:00 UTC	2	$54	38	36	+1	Down	+$16	04-20 19:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	1	$53	118	0	+118	Down	-$53	05-13 10:50
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-16 18:10 UTC	3	$46	32	31	+0	Down	+$17	03-16 18:15
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-22 03:05 UTC	2	$45	40	38	+2	Down	+$32	04-22 03:10
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-17 13:25 UTC	2	$45	35	34	+2	Down	+$23	04-17 13:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	1	$44	112	0	+112	Down	-$44	05-13 10:46
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-15 16:25 UTC	2	$44	30	29	+1	Down	+$15	04-15 16:30

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-14 19:45:46	Will Japan win on 2026-06-14?	Yes	BUY	117	25¢	$29	0x8a8d8c…
06-14 19:17:54	Will Japan win on 2026-06-14?	Yes	BUY	110	27¢	$30	0xd502d4…
06-14 19:17:33	Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw?	No	BUY	132	72¢	$95	0xeb65f3…
06-14 17:27:46	Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14?	Yes	BUY	100	3¢	$3	0xb41189…
06-14 16:12:54	Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw?	No	SELL	55	72¢	$39	0xe6d015…
06-14 13:04:34	Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw?	No	BUY	55	73¢	$40	0xe97e0e…
06-14 10:35:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-14 10:35 UTC	Down	BUY	10	59¢	$6	0x2daf3a…
06-14 10:25:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-14 10:25 UTC	Down	BUY	6	62¢	$4	0xe81d67…
06-14 10:14:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-14 10:10 UTC	Down	SELL	15	94¢	$14	0x8d0c40…
06-14 10:10:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-14 10:10 UTC	Down	BUY	15	46¢	$7	0xcecdef…
06-14 10:10:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-14 10:05 UTC	Down	SELL	17	99¢	$16	0x9a3de1…
06-14 10:07:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	BUY	17	84¢	$14	0xd9206b…
06-14 10:04:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-14 10:00 UTC	Down	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0x360240…
06-14 10:01:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-14 10:00 UTC	Down	BUY	15	81¢	$12	0x243ed6…
06-14 09:03:37	Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14?	Yes	BUY	143	2¢	$3	0x2948dd…
06-14 03:04:01	Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13?	Yes	SELL	116	99¢	$115	0xbc969d…
06-14 02:10:06	Will Haiti vs. Scotland end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0x4bea45…
06-14 02:09:49	Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13?	Yes	SELL	7	73¢	$5	0x45371f…
06-13 23:39:01	Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13?	Yes	BUY	124	64¢	$79	0xb94cc3…
06-13 23:22:30	Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?	Yes	BUY	37	38¢	$14	0x3886ca…
06-13 23:18:18	Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	35	42¢	$15	0xb17923…
06-13 21:28:31	Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?	Yes	BUY	34	59¢	$20	0xbefe03…
06-13 21:27:19	Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	35	26¢	$9	0x32964d…
06-13 20:50:07	Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13?	Yes	SELL	64	95¢	$61	0x31f9cf…
06-13 20:47:46	fifwc qat che 2026 06 13 spread away 1pt5	Switzerland	SELL	46	40¢	$18	0x6ee74c…
06-13 20:11:12	fifwc qat che 2026 06 13 spread away 1pt5	Switzerland	SELL	44	70¢	$31	0x0916ab…
06-13 17:29:07	fifwc qat che 2026 06 13 spread away 1pt5	Switzerland	BUY	90	60¢	$54	0x95848c…
06-13 14:15:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 14:10 UTC	Down	SELL	7	99¢	$6	0x68c8d9…
06-13 14:13:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 14:10 UTC	Down	BUY	7	61¢	$4	0xb117d7…
06-13 13:47:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 13:45 UTC	Up	SELL	27	7¢	$2	0x334771…
06-13 13:46:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 13:45 UTC	Up	BUY	27	15¢	$4	0xb5feb8…
06-13 13:35:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x73e9c5…
06-13 13:26:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	15	46¢	$7	0x1063c3…
06-13 13:20:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 13:20 UTC	Down	BUY	16	19¢	$3	0x8d7f87…
06-13 13:20:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	SELL	11	99¢	$10	0x4968ce…
06-13 13:15:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	BUY	11	66¢	$7	0xba05df…
06-13 13:12:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	8	40¢	$3	0xaae52a…
06-13 13:05:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 13:05 UTC	Down	BUY	8	36¢	$3	0xc17afc…
06-13 13:04:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 13:00 UTC	Down	SELL	14	94¢	$13	0xdd1c22…
06-13 13:00:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 13:00 UTC	Down	BUY	14	63¢	$9	0x2d9690…
06-13 12:57:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 12:55 UTC	Down	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x924e68…
06-13 12:56:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 12:55 UTC	Down	BUY	11	53¢	$6	0xa636a5…
06-13 12:51:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 12:50 UTC	Down	BUY	8	36¢	$3	0x56c1c5…
06-13 11:25:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 11:20 UTC	Down	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0xcd6fb9…
06-13 11:20:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 11:20 UTC	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xddf726…
06-13 05:06:49	Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13?	Yes	BUY	64	81¢	$52	0xb5a07b…
06-13 03:28:19	Will South Korea win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	24	33¢	$8	0x2fc850…
06-13 03:27:55	Will United States win on 2026-06-12?	Yes	SELL	83	100¢	$83	0xacf1b5…
06-12 20:44:27	Will Canada win on 2026-06-12?	Yes	SELL	44	28¢	$12	0x9b37c0…
06-12 17:32:54	Will Canada win on 2026-06-12?	Yes	BUY	44	54¢	$23	0x5ee15d…
06-12 17:26:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 17:25 UTC	Up	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0x49fbcc…
06-12 11:30:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 11:25 UTC	Down	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0xa131a8…
06-12 11:25:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 11:25 UTC	Down	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0xdf04c3…
06-12 09:25:21	Will United States win on 2026-06-12?	Yes	BUY	83	48¢	$40	0xdeb528…
06-11 18:40:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-11 18:40 UTC	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x950cb9…
06-11 18:31:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-11 18:30 UTC	Down	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0xba4d29…
06-11 18:26:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-11 18:25 UTC	Down	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x272f60…
06-11 18:25:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-11 18:20 UTC	Down	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0x3ce43d…
06-11 18:21:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-11 18:20 UTC	Down	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x805dd7…
06-11 17:45:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-11 17:45 UTC	Down	BUY	10	42¢	$4	0xf6f4d5…
06-11 17:43:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-11 17:40 UTC	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xeefd2a…
06-11 17:29:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-11 17:25 UTC	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x995eaa…
06-11 17:25:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-11 17:25 UTC	Up	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0xab7c88…
06-11 17:05:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-11 17:05 UTC	Down	SELL	31	30¢	$9	0x652441…
06-11 17:05:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-11 17:05 UTC	Down	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0xa4c9b1…
06-11 13:50:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-11 13:50 UTC	Down	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0x5cacd9…
06-11 13:47:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-11 13:45 UTC	Down	BUY	23	13¢	$3	0x4da10f…
06-11 12:59:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-11 12:55 UTC	Down	BUY	50	4¢	$2	0x994260…
06-11 12:54:07	Will South Korea win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0xdf056d…
06-11 12:20:12	Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11?	Yes	BUY	82	11¢	$9	0x0fe9b1…
05-13 10:57:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	189	50¢	$95	0xfa97e3…
05-13 10:50:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Up	BUY	118	45¢	$53	0x2ba720…
05-13 10:46:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	BUY	112	39¢	$44	0xa61cfa…
05-13 10:41:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	31	58¢	$18	0xa1de59…
05-13 10:37:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	41	37¢	$15	0xac68b5…
05-13 10:31:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0xe64f6b…
05-13 10:29:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xc7ff30…
05-12 21:45:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	19	21¢	$4	0xb683ff…
05-12 21:45:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	SELL	14	99¢	$14	0x16c8e6…
05-12 21:43:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	14	84¢	$12	0x05e472…
05-12 19:57:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0xf37845…
05-12 19:57:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	SELL	10	25¢	$2	0x731c52…
05-12 19:56:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x6af83b…
05-12 19:06:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	8	49¢	$4	0x9c5c5f…
05-12 18:55:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	54¢	$3	0xf8d8f6…
05-12 18:45:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	42	36¢	$15	0x7c7200…
05-12 18:40:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0xc3a912…
05-12 18:20:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	SELL	52	99¢	$51	0x5df051…
05-12 18:17:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	BUY	52	31¢	$16	0xc0a047…
05-12 17:39:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	SELL	20	82¢	$17	0xd96077…
05-12 17:37:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	BUY	20	74¢	$15	0xc72100…
05-12 17:30:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	BUY	32	47¢	$15	0x85d0ca…
05-12 17:29:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0x88b1b2…
05-12 17:25:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0xa6a776…
05-12 17:20:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	9	32¢	$3	0x773452…
05-12 17:00:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	SELL	44	99¢	$44	0x39e8d4…
05-12 16:55:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	44	54¢	$24	0x916850…
05-12 16:51:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	14	21¢	$3	0xff1fc7…
05-12 16:50:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0xb68c4b…
05-12 15:26:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0xadd884…