Upset-Conversion — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$82

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

62.6%

Resolved

Trades

448

lifetime

Volume

$4.86K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-15

last 05-13 10:57

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 41% $-82

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

18 active days in 12wk • peak 36 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (8) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 5m 1776741900	2	$133	96	92	+4	open	—	04-21 03:29
btc updown 5m 1776198000	2	$114	82	79	+3	open	—	04-14 20:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	1	$95	189	0	+189	Down	$-95	05-13 10:57
btc updown 5m 1776343800	4	$92	126	42	+83	open	—	04-16 12:51
btc updown 5m 1776511200	2	$90	64	61	+2	open	—	04-18 11:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	2	$90	66	66	+0	Up	+$40	05-12 11:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	2	$84	55	55	+0	Down	+$24	05-11 16:29
btc updown 5m 1776618600	2	$81	55	53	+2	open	—	04-19 17:13
eth updown 5m 1773685500	2	$77	54	54	+1	open	—	03-16 18:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	2	$68	44	44	+0	Up	+$20	05-12 17:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	2	$67	52	52	+0	Down	+$35	05-12 18:20
btc updown 5m 1776175200	2	$66	54	52	+2	open	—	04-14 14:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	4	$65	71	71	+0	Up	+$30	05-09 23:34
btc updown 5m 1776197700	2	$61	38	37	+1	open	—	04-14 20:18
eth updown 5m 1773762000	3	$60	42	41	+1	open	—	03-17 15:44
btc updown 5m 1776016800	1	$60	118	0	+118	open	—	04-12 18:00
btc updown 5m 1776284400	3	$56	42	41	+2	open	—	04-15 20:24
btc updown 5m 1776711600	2	$54	38	36	+1	open	—	04-20 19:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	1	$53	118	0	+118	Down	$-53	05-13 10:50
eth updown 5m 1773684600	3	$46	32	31	+0	open	—	03-16 18:15
btc updown 5m 1776827100	2	$45	40	38	+2	open	—	04-22 03:10
btc updown 5m 1776432300	2	$45	35	34	+2	open	—	04-17 13:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	1	$44	112	0	+112	Down	$-44	05-13 10:46
btc updown 5m 1776270300	2	$44	30	29	+1	open	—	04-15 16:30
eth updown 5m 1773668400	3	$43	30	30	+0	open	—	03-16 13:44
btc updown 5m 1776015000	3	$43	43	42	+2	open	—	04-12 17:34
eth updown 5m 1773691200	2	$41	27	27	+0	open	—	03-16 20:03
btc updown 5m 1776341100	2	$40	26	26	+1	open	—	04-16 12:10
btc updown 5m 1776829200	1	$40	143	0	+143	open	—	04-22 03:41
eth updown 5m 1773838200	2	$38	26	25	+0	open	—	03-18 12:55

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-13 10:57:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	189	50¢	$95	0xfa97e3…
05-13 10:50:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Up	BUY	118	45¢	$53	0x2ba720…
05-13 10:46:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	BUY	112	39¢	$44	0xa61cfa…
05-13 10:41:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	31	58¢	$18	0xa1de59…
05-13 10:37:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	41	37¢	$15	0xac68b5…
05-13 10:31:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0xe64f6b…
05-13 10:29:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xc7ff30…
05-12 21:45:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	19	21¢	$4	0xb683ff…
05-12 21:45:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	SELL	14	99¢	$14	0x16c8e6…
05-12 21:43:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	14	84¢	$12	0x05e472…
05-12 19:57:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0xf37845…
05-12 19:57:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	SELL	10	25¢	$2	0x731c52…
05-12 19:56:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x6af83b…
05-12 19:06:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	8	49¢	$4	0x9c5c5f…
05-12 18:55:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	54¢	$3	0xf8d8f6…
05-12 18:45:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	42	36¢	$15	0x7c7200…
05-12 18:40:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0xc3a912…
05-12 18:20:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	SELL	52	99¢	$51	0x5df051…
05-12 18:17:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	BUY	52	31¢	$16	0xc0a047…
05-12 17:39:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	SELL	20	82¢	$17	0xd96077…
05-12 17:37:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	BUY	20	74¢	$15	0xc72100…
05-12 17:30:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	BUY	32	47¢	$15	0x85d0ca…
05-12 17:29:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0x88b1b2…
05-12 17:25:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0xa6a776…
05-12 17:20:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	9	32¢	$3	0x773452…
05-12 17:00:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	SELL	44	99¢	$44	0x39e8d4…
05-12 16:55:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	44	54¢	$24	0x916850…
05-12 16:51:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	14	21¢	$3	0xff1fc7…
05-12 16:50:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0xb68c4b…
05-12 15:26:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0xadd884…
05-12 14:42:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	12	25¢	$3	0x973790…
05-12 13:40:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0xfd479d…
05-12 13:36:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	7	41¢	$3	0xd61868…
05-12 13:35:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	SELL	21	99¢	$21	0x5456db…
05-12 13:30:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0x300eda…
05-12 13:25:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0x1737fd…
05-12 12:00:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0xe7952c…
05-12 11:55:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0xb39494…
05-12 11:23:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	SELL	66	99¢	$65	0xc8722b…
05-12 11:20:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	BUY	66	38¢	$25	0x541c8c…
05-12 11:15:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	BUY	27	37¢	$10	0xf22059…
05-12 11:11:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x6f1ee9…
05-12 11:05:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	BUY	17	18¢	$3	0x6b41ce…
05-11 18:10:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	8	53¢	$4	0xa3905b…
05-11 17:55:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	SELL	14	99¢	$14	0x4dd315…
05-11 17:51:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	14	28¢	$4	0x40ea35…
05-11 17:50:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	SELL	22	99¢	$22	0x7a36b5…
05-11 17:45:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x3a2f1a…
05-11 17:45:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x5342fa…
05-11 17:40:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0x1f6930…
05-11 16:36:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x841d18…
05-11 16:30:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0x4e9f5b…
05-11 16:29:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	SELL	55	99¢	$54	0x18cea4…
05-11 16:25:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	55	55¢	$30	0x41f4fe…
05-11 16:21:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	13	70¢	$9	0x0cd1b4…
05-11 16:15:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0x8a367b…
05-11 16:12:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0x8d16e7…
05-09 23:41:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x39a23a…
05-09 23:34:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	SELL	35	86¢	$31	0x304804…
05-09 23:33:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	SELL	35	48¢	$17	0x28bab8…
05-09 23:31:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	BUY	32	24¢	$8	0xc95a36…
05-09 23:31:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	BUY	38	26¢	$10	0xadcd78…
05-09 23:25:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0x7f26aa…
05-09 22:15:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0xfdd78f…
05-09 22:11:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0xcb59d8…
05-09 21:46:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x1db75f…
05-09 21:28:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	9	32¢	$3	0x210df2…
05-07 18:09:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	SELL	17	96¢	$17	0xf7a5cd…
05-07 18:07:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	10	29¢	$3	0x11d545…
05-07 18:06:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	7	43¢	$3	0xdec4f3…
05-07 17:52:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	60	50¢	$30	0x6c7169…
05-07 15:46:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0x1607c3…
05-07 15:04:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	11	54¢	$6	0xfa0eb4…
05-07 14:54:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x857f0a…
05-07 14:20:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x409214…
05-07 14:03:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x79c521…
05-07 13:59:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	5,000	0¢	$5	0x176dde…
04-22 03:45:18	btc updown 5m 1776829500	Down	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0x594147…
04-22 03:41:16	btc updown 5m 1776829200	Down	BUY	143	28¢	$40	0x685cdd…
04-22 03:38:04	btc updown 5m 1776828900	Down	BUY	30	54¢	$16	0x3a36de…
04-22 03:28:50	btc updown 5m 1776828300	Down	BUY	83	6¢	$5	0x812df7…
04-22 03:20:42	btc updown 5m 1776828000	Down	BUY	9	43¢	$4	0xe6e1d5…
04-22 03:13:36	btc updown 5m 1776827400	Down	BUY	8	37¢	$3	0x901b00…
04-22 03:10:22	btc updown 5m 1776827100	Down	SELL	38	99¢	$37	0xb85767…
04-22 03:07:02	btc updown 5m 1776827100	Down	BUY	40	20¢	$8	0xd0776f…
04-21 23:07:30	btc updown 5m 1776812700	Down	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0xb70a98…
04-21 20:32:08	btc updown 5m 1776803400	Down	BUY	67	9¢	$6	0xc5d8a1…
04-21 20:26:16	btc updown 5m 1776803100	Down	BUY	17	26¢	$4	0x9a93ce…
04-21 20:20:34	btc updown 5m 1776802800	Down	BUY	29	31¢	$9	0x8bd0c4…
04-21 20:19:58	btc updown 5m 1776802500	Down	SELL	26	99¢	$26	0x0c6111…
04-21 20:17:52	btc updown 5m 1776802500	Down	BUY	28	36¢	$10	0x6a6e99…
04-21 19:49:12	btc updown 5m 1776800700	Up	SELL	14	93¢	$13	0xc677fe…
04-21 19:45:18	btc updown 5m 1776800700	Up	BUY	15	61¢	$9	0x62520d…
04-21 03:29:02	btc updown 5m 1776741900	Up	SELL	92	96¢	$88	0x82e30b…
04-21 03:25:24	btc updown 5m 1776741900	Up	BUY	96	47¢	$45	0xe3332d…
04-21 03:06:00	btc updown 5m 1776740700	Up	BUY	56	27¢	$15	0xc854c7…
04-21 03:05:22	btc updown 5m 1776740400	Up	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0xb6f01a…
04-21 03:02:08	btc updown 5m 1776740400	Up	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0x8a8532…
04-21 02:55:26	btc updown 5m 1776740100	Up	BUY	64	47¢	$30	0x252c65…
04-21 02:40:48	btc updown 5m 1776739200	Up	BUY	37	46¢	$17	0x9eb29d…