Trivial-Wrinkle — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

67.2%

Resolved

117

Trades

258

lifetime

Volume

$1.59K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-20

last 08-31 06:20

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 51 days

Categories

Other

89% 58% -$5

Politics

7% 100% +$3

Tech

4% 100% +$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of May 2026?	2	$35	18	18	+0	No	+$1	05-31 05:19
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20?	1	$32	32	0	+32	Yes	+$0	06-20 18:20
Will the Democratic Party win 14 upper-level local government races?	2	$29	15	15	+0	No	+$1	06-04 05:53
Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?	2	$29	15	15	+0	No	+$1	05-16 23:03
Will OpenAI have the best Math AI model at the end of April 2026?	2	$29	15	15	+0	No	+$1	04-30 15:58
Will "Backrooms" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 11m and 12m?	2	$28	15	15	+0	Yes	+$1	06-15 17:32
will mrbeasts video get between 84 and 85 million views on day 6	2	$25	13	13	+0	No	+$1	04-24 12:23
State of Siege declared in Chile by June 30?	1	$24	24	0	+24	No	+$0	06-25 12:53
Will Ken Paxton win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by between 25% and 30%?	2	$24	12	12	+0	Yes	+$0	05-25 09:24
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 5 9144	2	$21	11	11	+0	No	+$0	06-05 03:15
will trump meet with kim jong un in june 2026	1	$21	21	0	+21	No	+$0	06-29 02:44
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	2	$21	11	11	+0	No	+$1	05-22 00:35
Will "Backrooms" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 12m and 13m?	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	06-14 15:55
Will Jessica Killin be the Democratic nominee for CO-05?	2	$19	10	10	+0	Yes	+$1	07-01 01:50
highest temperature in tokyo on april 21 2026 24c	5	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	04-21 07:08
Will there be fewer than 2 major space weather events this week?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	04-24 08:19
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 36°C on May 27?	3	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	05-27 13:25
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 30°C or higher on June 20?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	06-19 19:33
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 20°C on June 28?	4	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	06-27 12:45
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 28°C on May 28?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	05-27 22:49
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 46-47°F on May 2?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	05-01 21:46
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 24°C on April 30?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	04-29 12:49
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 54-55°F on April 27?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	04-26 13:01
highest temperature in houston on april 23 2026 76forhigher	2	$15	30	0	+30	Yes	+$0	04-22 13:21
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on May 3?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	05-03 04:46
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 29°C on May 5?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	05-05 05:12
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 23°C or higher on April 27?	5	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	04-26 14:46
highest temperature in jakarta on april 21 2026 31c	1	$15	15	0	+15	No	+$0	04-20 17:02
highest temperature in wellington on april 21 2026 14c	1	$15	15	0	+15	No	+$0	04-20 12:31
highest temperature in cape town on april 20 2026 19c	1	$15	15	0	+15	No	+$0	04-20 09:38

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-31 06:20:19	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on August 31, 2026?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x84ce4a…
08-31 05:45:18	Will Xiaomi have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xa068d3…
08-02 06:14:44	Will Robert Lulgjuraj be the Republican Nominee for MI-10?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x69582c…
07-01 01:50:04	Will Jessica Killin be the Democratic nominee for CO-05?	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xdb42d3…
06-29 14:53:26	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on June 30?	Yes	BUY	13	2¢	$0	0x7758d8…
06-29 12:04:22	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on June 30?	No	BUY	13	98¢	$13	0x6dc2ec…
06-29 05:55:44	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C or below on June 29?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x0acdb7…
06-29 02:44:26	will trump meet with kim jong un in june 2026	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0xb993ed…
06-29 00:05:35	Will Jessica Killin be the Democratic nominee for CO-05?	Yes	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0x6a6c05…
06-28 12:00:37	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C or below on June 29?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x954758…
06-27 12:45:19	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 20°C on June 28?	Yes	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0x7ede60…
06-27 12:33:55	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 20°C on June 28?	Yes	BUY	7	1¢	$0	0x8daf9d…
06-27 12:33:50	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 20°C on June 28?	Yes	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0xaf1d4f…
06-27 12:11:55	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 20°C on June 28?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xa3d46f…
06-26 17:25:38	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on June 27?	Yes	BUY	11	1¢	$0	0x407dfd…
06-26 14:54:16	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on June 27?	No	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0xe5a461…
06-25 12:53:20	State of Siege declared in Chile by June 30?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x7e8766…
06-25 09:22:14	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on June 25?	Yes	BUY	14	1¢	$0	0x35e4c2…
06-25 09:08:28	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on June 25?	No	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0xfb8e7e…
06-24 13:45:16	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C or higher on June 25?	Yes	BUY	7	2¢	$0	0xf384b8…
06-24 13:43:59	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C or higher on June 25?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xdf5df6…
06-24 12:09:55	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C or higher on June 25?	No	BUY	12	98¢	$12	0xf4cc38…
06-23 13:27:20	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 20°C on June 24?	Yes	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0x4788a5…
06-23 13:23:26	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 20°C on June 24?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xeb8514…
06-23 13:13:41	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 20°C on June 24?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x0c3cfa…
06-23 12:26:04	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 20°C on June 24?	No	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x2bae9a…
06-23 08:16:49	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on June 23?	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0xbc6c5a…
06-22 15:01:46	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on June 23?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x6ee5d0…
06-21 06:00:47	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C or higher on June 21?	Yes	BUY	11	1¢	$0	0x08030f…
06-21 05:58:01	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C or higher on June 21?	No	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0x1befd9…
06-20 18:20:26	Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20?	Yes	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0x09d6b4…
06-19 19:33:52	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 30°C or higher on June 20?	Yes	BUY	15	1¢	$0	0xe3b12a…
06-19 19:07:34	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 30°C or higher on June 20?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xc72387…
06-18 05:10:50	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on June 18?	No	BUY	8	2¢	$0	0x48910d…
06-18 05:09:16	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on June 18?	No	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xf7f3f9…
06-18 05:09:04	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on June 18?	Yes	BUY	13	98¢	$13	0xbac9c2…
06-16 13:54:19	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 17?	Yes	BUY	9	2¢	$0	0x6d425e…
06-16 13:54:05	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 17?	Yes	BUY	3	2¢	$0	0x731064…
06-16 12:00:46	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 17?	No	BUY	12	98¢	$12	0x8b9e41…
06-16 02:56:03	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on June 16?	Yes	BUY	9	1¢	$0	0xa7fc0f…
06-15 17:32:21	Will "Backrooms" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 11m and 12m?	Yes	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0x70da4e…
06-15 15:26:34	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on June 16?	Yes	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x3c2918…
06-15 12:04:04	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on June 16?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x9ef8b2…
06-14 15:55:03	Will "Backrooms" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 12m and 13m?	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x9c2bd0…
06-14 15:55:00	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on June 15?	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0xed2513…
06-14 15:54:01	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on June 15?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x6d2e6e…
06-14 14:18:10	Will "Backrooms" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 12m and 13m?	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x33add2…
06-14 14:17:42	Will "Backrooms" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 11m and 12m?	Yes	BUY	15	91¢	$14	0x2e1b6a…
06-14 01:23:31	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 36°C on June 14?	Yes	BUY	11	1¢	$0	0x6ae6ea…
06-13 21:37:16	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 36°C on June 14?	No	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0x3874d6…
06-13 06:09:51	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 21°C on June 13?	Yes	BUY	12	1¢	$0	0x6ded42…
06-13 03:09:04	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 21°C on June 13?	No	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x10fe4e…
06-12 05:40:13	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 28°C on June 12?	Yes	BUY	3	1¢	$0	0x3128a8…
06-12 05:39:49	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 28°C on June 12?	Yes	BUY	8	1¢	$0	0x76ea14…
06-12 05:39:24	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 28°C on June 12?	No	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0x7bf0f6…
06-11 10:44:25	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 36°C on June 11?	No	BUY	14	1¢	$0	0x7be5e5…
06-11 10:43:21	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 36°C on June 11?	Yes	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0x4246e6…
06-10 19:37:43	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 32°C on June 11?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xcf81cd…
06-10 12:05:16	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 32°C on June 11?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xf318f7…
06-08 13:03:49	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 66-67°F on June 9?	Yes	BUY	12	1¢	$0	0x92a269…
06-08 13:03:49	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 66-67°F on June 9?	Yes	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0x5cbf8c…
06-08 12:10:07	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 66-67°F on June 9?	No	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0x1a60ab…
06-08 06:21:00	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 26°C on June 8?	Yes	BUY	3	2¢	$0	0x9a10f4…
06-08 06:02:55	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 26°C on June 8?	Yes	BUY	8	2¢	$0	0x2cf262…
06-08 00:16:36	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 26°C on June 8?	No	BUY	11	98¢	$11	0x13d526…
06-07 09:17:22	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 82-83°F on June 7?	Yes	BUY	12	2¢	$0	0xf2859f…
06-07 08:41:27	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 82-83°F on June 7?	No	BUY	12	98¢	$12	0x8bf5d4…
06-06 18:24:42	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on June 7?	Yes	BUY	12	1¢	$0	0x53f40b…
06-06 15:02:27	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on June 7?	No	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x11e929…
06-06 08:54:37	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 17°C on June 6?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xb316e4…
06-06 06:19:57	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 17°C on June 6?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xe994df…
06-05 18:41:40	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 38°C on June 6?	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0x523ad0…
06-05 12:05:31	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 38°C on June 6?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x699cf6…
06-05 06:00:03	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 35°C on June 5?	Yes	BUY	14	2¢	$0	0x16306b…
06-05 03:15:49	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 5 9144	No	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0xae6a15…
06-04 14:34:07	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 35°C on June 5?	No	BUY	14	98¢	$14	0x1cdd95…
06-04 05:53:24	Will the Democratic Party win 14 upper-level local government races?	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0xa2bd7e…
06-04 04:54:24	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 31°C on June 4?	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0xa56c51…
06-03 16:02:18	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 31°C on June 4?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x872fcc…
06-02 20:34:36	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 5?	No	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0x02ab54…
06-02 06:44:03	Will the Democratic Party win 14 upper-level local government races?	No	BUY	15	94¢	$14	0xec2412…
06-01 14:33:17	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on June 2?	Yes	BUY	13	1¢	$0	0xc95942…
06-01 14:17:11	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on June 2?	No	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0x24eaae…
06-01 08:03:37	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on June 1?	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0xe1ec89…
06-01 07:47:12	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on June 1?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x27fe7a…
05-31 19:23:13	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 74-75°F on June 1?	Yes	BUY	2	2¢	$0	0x97409a…
05-31 18:53:32	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 74-75°F on June 1?	Yes	BUY	12	2¢	$0	0xba6cdc…
05-31 12:47:40	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 74-75°F on June 1?	No	BUY	14	98¢	$14	0x22c641…
05-31 11:25:23	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 23°C on May 31?	Yes	BUY	4	2¢	$0	0xcf4b16…
05-31 11:25:23	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 23°C on May 31?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x9e0a66…
05-31 11:25:23	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 23°C on May 31?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x119e68…
05-31 06:58:39	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 19°C on May 31?	Yes	BUY	11	2¢	$0	0x9c0fd0…
05-31 05:19:20	Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	SELL	18	99¢	$18	0x2785d4…
05-31 05:17:51	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 19°C on May 31?	No	BUY	11	98¢	$11	0x2c73fe…
05-30 12:04:23	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 23°C on May 31?	No	BUY	14	98¢	$14	0x5cd02c…
05-30 08:53:19	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 26°C on May 30?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xa5437d…
05-30 03:35:49	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 26°C on May 30?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x8b5f13…
05-29 07:53:06	Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	BUY	18	94¢	$17	0x89d283…
05-28 23:40:39	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on May 29?	No	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0xfae83a…
05-28 23:33:34	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 24°C on May 29?	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0xbe6a70…