Cautious-Salami — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$23.5K

Unrealized P&L

+$33

Hit rate

77.5%

Resolved

407

Trades

3,637

lifetime

Volume

$427.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$118

Open exposure

$4.94K

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-02

last 11-11 15:43

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 136 days

Categories

Other

93% 51% +$22,440

Politics

6% 100% +$358

Crypto

2% 75% +$668

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

64 active days in 12wk • peak 34 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?	No		+5,000	$4,900	99¢	$4.9K	+$28	11-11 09:39
Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get less than 10 million views on day 1?	Yes		+125	$3	6¢	$8	+$5	11-11 15:43

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will 30 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026	5	$19.8K	10,000	10,000	+0	No	+$0	07-07 15:24
Will MrBeast's next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1?	16	$13.0K	8,183	5,000	+3,183	No	+$157	05-03 13:30
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	2	$12.3K	12,400	0	+12,400	No	+$148	05-14 12:03
will 20 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	8	$12.0K	12,000	0	+12,000	Yes	+$24	06-23 13:33
will mrbeasts next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1 595	33	$10.5K	14,789	1,100	+13,689	Yes	+$3,339	01-30 21:57
Will "The Mandalorian and Grogu" 4-day Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 122m?	1	$10.1K	10,108	0	+10,108	No	+$10	05-24 01:18
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?	4	$9.9K	5,000	5,000	+0	No	+$55	11-05 02:51
Will Trump visit China by May 15?	3	$9.8K	10,400	400	+10,000	Yes	+$172	05-11 01:08
will mrbeast hit 464 million subscribers by january 31	11	$9.6K	7,241	2,582	+4,659	Yes	+$145	01-26 11:54
will mrbeasts next video get between 70 and 71 million views on day 4	35	$9.1K	5,585	5,585	+0	No	+$122	03-25 12:23
First to 5k: Gold or ETH?	18	$7.3K	8,732	2,562	+6,170	Gold	+$397	01-23 13:17
will mrbeasts latest video get less than 45 million views on week 1 366	42	$7.3K	10,180	0	+10,180	Yes	+$1,632	02-24 17:08
Will MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1?	18	$7.2K	11,057	0	+11,057	No	+$248	07-04 12:19
will mrbeasts next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1 273	29	$6.8K	8,497	857	+7,640	Yes	+$2,353	03-27 04:15
will mrbeasts video get between 64 and 66 million views on day 3	1	$6.6K	6,610	0	+6,610	No	+$7	04-21 08:05
will mrbeasts next video get between 71 and 72 million views on day 4	26	$6.4K	9,363	1,568	+7,795	Yes	-$2,519	03-25 14:27
will mrbeasts next video get between 59 and 62 million views on day 3	16	$6.2K	12,723	0	+12,723	No	+$130	03-24 07:10
Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 24?	4	$6.0K	6,123	0	+6,123	Yes	+$100	09-21 07:01
Will MrBeast's next video get 55 million or more views on day 1?	3	$5.6K	2,966	2,966	+0	No	+$314	04-05 03:12
Will MrBeast's next video get less than 60 million views on week 1?	20	$5.5K	6,568	0	+6,568	Yes	+$1,064	02-10 16:11
Will MrBeast's next video get 90 million or more views on week 1?	46	$5.4K	8,593	1,035	+7,557	No	-$2,170	05-09 12:50
Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?	39	$5.2K	9,253	3,898	+5,354	Yes	+$2,285	04-10 10:05
will mrbeasts latest video get 2224 million views on day 1 568 395	5	$5.2K	5,425	0	+5,425	No	+$229	02-22 06:13
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?	1	$4.9K	5,000	0	+5,000	open	—	11-11 09:39
will the super mario galaxy movie opening weekend box office be greater than 200m	7	$4.9K	2,500	2,500	+0	No	+$115	04-06 16:36
Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 23?	1	$4.8K	5,000	0	+5,000	Yes	+$150	09-21 18:28
Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?	62	$4.8K	6,735	3,121	+3,614	Yes	-$23	05-09 12:43
Will MrBeast's next video get 110 million or more views on week 1?	11	$4.7K	5,414	0	+5,414	No	+$710	04-04 23:47
will mrbeast hit 470 million subscribers by january 31 634 222 492 335	9	$4.7K	5,030	185	+4,845	No	+$174	01-15 05:50
Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?	40	$4.6K	10,101	200	+9,901	No	+$411	05-03 15:54

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-11 15:43:16	Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get less than 10 million views on day 1?	Yes	BUY	25	2¢	$1	0xd7d525…
11-11 11:34:36	Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get less than 10 million views on day 1?	Yes	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0xb4cf7f…
11-11 09:39:28	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?	No	BUY	5,000	98¢	$4,900	0xbbb082…
11-07 03:31:09	Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	7	1¢	$0	0x4c35d6…
11-07 03:31:07	Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	192	1¢	$2	0xfe2671…
11-07 01:40:45	Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0x6ef21f…
11-07 01:40:43	Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	7	1¢	$0	0x3387ea…
11-07 01:40:42	Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	86	1¢	$1	0x8c7a25…
11-07 00:35:33	Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	106	1¢	$1	0x4c3376…
11-06 07:20:36	Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	40	3¢	$1	0xf7a08b…
11-06 07:20:36	Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	61	3¢	$2	0xc999d1…
11-06 07:20:36	Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	389	3¢	$12	0xbdbb24…
11-06 07:20:36	Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0xa7e967…
11-06 01:52:18	Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	200	82¢	$164	0xdab6ad…
11-05 21:30:45	Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	66	81¢	$54	0xdb2497…
11-05 05:49:51	Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	103	62¢	$64	0x8271c0…
11-05 04:39:54	Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	28	62¢	$17	0x4c0320…
11-05 02:51:15	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?	No	SELL	3,000	100¢	$2,997	0x6a256c…
11-04 01:58:42	Will MrBeast's next video get less than 70 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	18	0¢	$0	0x36336b…
11-04 01:05:06	Will MrBeast's next video get less than 70 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	252	0¢	$1	0xef1151…
11-03 13:42:04	Will MrBeast's next video get less than 70 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	74	0¢	$0	0x60223b…
11-03 13:42:00	Will MrBeast's next video get less than 70 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	30	0¢	$0	0x92151d…
11-03 13:42:00	Will MrBeast's next video get less than 70 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	45	0¢	$0	0x7a2499…
11-03 08:22:27	Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	328	45¢	$148	0x84ac79…
11-03 07:42:28	Will MrBeast's next video get less than 70 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	45	0¢	$0	0x66384d…
11-03 07:42:28	Will MrBeast's next video get less than 70 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	30	0¢	$0	0x5af455…
11-03 07:42:28	Will MrBeast's next video get less than 70 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0x4cda60…
11-03 06:26:46	Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	100	31¢	$31	0xb3d805…
11-03 05:27:34	Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	100	31¢	$31	0x623d31…
11-02 20:55:31	Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	47	21¢	$10	0x8a04ba…
11-02 06:48:57	Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	100	40¢	$40	0x8ef8fd…
11-01 19:27:43	Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0xee168c…
11-01 17:53:04	Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xb3e2f5…
11-01 17:53:04	Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	15	50¢	$7	0x81bb2c…
11-01 17:52:49	Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xf442a2…
11-01 17:52:49	Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	30	50¢	$15	0xb09d72…
11-01 17:52:07	Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	11	50¢	$6	0xec6bd7…
11-01 12:06:34	Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?	Yes	SELL	10	40¢	$4	0x7a458b…
11-01 12:06:34	Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?	Yes	SELL	96	44¢	$42	0x16b2b2…
11-01 11:58:16	Will MrBeast's next video get less than 70 million views on week 1?	No	BUY	150	85¢	$128	0x923927…
11-01 11:41:21	Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?	Yes	BUY	158	40¢	$63	0x4ecf6c…
11-01 11:36:09	Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?	Yes	BUY	45	36¢	$16	0xdb4442…
11-01 11:31:15	Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?	Yes	BUY	173	57¢	$99	0x2dec2e…
11-01 11:16:52	Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?	Yes	BUY	77	35¢	$27	0xc447a2…
11-01 10:15:04	Will MrBeast's next video get between 90 and 100 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	60	10¢	$6	0x736f4d…
11-01 08:21:42	Will MrBeast's next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1?	Yes	BUY	0	55¢	$0	0x9108f4…
11-01 08:21:40	Will MrBeast's next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1?	Yes	BUY	100	55¢	$55	0x8a41b8…
11-01 08:08:16	Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?	No	BUY	100	71¢	$71	0xc98ac0…
11-01 08:08:16	Will MrBeast's next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1?	Yes	BUY	14	67¢	$10	0x4a1671…
11-01 08:08:16	Will MrBeast's next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1?	Yes	BUY	60	67¢	$40	0x06464b…
11-01 08:08:15	Will MrBeast's next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1?	Yes	BUY	26	67¢	$17	0xc5ab20…
10-31 22:29:30	Will MrBeast's next video get between 45 and 50 million views on day 1?	Yes	BUY	30	6¢	$2	0x0a3e80…
10-31 16:54:58	Will MrBeast's next video get at least 60 million views on day 1?	No	BUY	400	88¢	$352	0x1f2174…
10-31 16:51:28	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?	No	SELL	1,000	100¢	$999	0x6f4a57…
10-31 16:43:25	Will MrBeast's next video get at least 60 million views on day 1?	No	BUY	611	89¢	$546	0x18c0d0…
10-31 16:43:01	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?	No	SELL	1,000	100¢	$999	0xcfcd67…
10-26 00:00:06	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?	No	BUY	5,000	99¢	$4,940	0x0e320d…
10-23 16:27:41	Will "You Can See Everything" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between $18M and $19.5M?	Yes	BUY	43	5¢	$2	0x046ec2…
10-23 15:15:51	Will "You Can See Everything" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between $18M and $19.5M?	Yes	BUY	30	5¢	$2	0x5e62d5…
10-23 15:15:51	Will "You Can See Everything" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between $18M and $19.5M?	Yes	BUY	27	5¢	$1	0x490cb6…
10-23 14:36:41	Will "You Can See Everything" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between $19.5M and $21M?	Yes	BUY	50	8¢	$4	0x413915…
10-23 13:10:21	Will "You Can See Everything" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between $19.5M and $21M?	Yes	BUY	10	8¢	$1	0x3c0f3b…
10-23 13:10:21	Will "You Can See Everything" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between $19.5M and $21M?	Yes	BUY	20	8¢	$2	0x2b149e…
10-22 09:58:47	Will MrBeast's next video get between 121 and 123 million views on day 5?	Yes	BUY	138	48¢	$66	0xa07fbe…
10-21 13:20:11	Will MrBeast's next video get between 115 and 117 million views on day 4?	No	BUY	77	26¢	$20	0xc78754…
10-20 02:09:50	Will MrBeast's next video get between 150 and 160 million views on week 1?	Yes	SELL	100	22¢	$22	0x2ef2d7…
10-20 01:53:12	Will MrBeast's next video get less than 150 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0x59b328…
10-19 15:57:03	Will MrBeast's next video get between 150 and 160 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	487	12¢	$57	0x108b6a…
10-19 11:40:53	Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 40 and 60 million views on week 1?	Yes	SELL	100	42¢	$42	0x58dcf0…
10-19 11:15:21	Will MrBeast's next video get between 92 and 96 million views on day 2?	Yes	SELL	82	95¢	$77	0xe37b12…
10-19 11:13:08	Will MrBeast's next video get between 92 and 96 million views on day 2?	Yes	SELL	22	95¢	$21	0xfa2fb9…
10-19 11:13:08	Will MrBeast's next video get between 92 and 96 million views on day 2?	Yes	SELL	9	95¢	$8	0x965439…
10-19 11:13:08	Will MrBeast's next video get between 92 and 96 million views on day 2?	Yes	SELL	11	95¢	$11	0x935516…
10-19 11:13:08	Will MrBeast's next video get between 92 and 96 million views on day 2?	Yes	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x8092bf…
10-19 09:29:32	Will MrBeast's next video get between 92 and 96 million views on day 2?	Yes	BUY	125	68¢	$85	0xff6818…
10-19 09:24:17	Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 40 and 60 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	100	35¢	$35	0x987841…
10-19 08:28:05	Will MrBeast's next video get between 92 and 96 million views on day 2?	Yes	SELL	92	69¢	$64	0x900e03…
10-19 08:23:42	Will MrBeast's next video get between 92 and 96 million views on day 2?	Yes	SELL	100	75¢	$75	0xe9e88c…
10-19 03:04:05	Will MrBeast's next video get 200 million or more views on week 1?	No	BUY	100	46¢	$46	0x33ed73…
10-19 03:03:59	Will MrBeast's next video get 200 million or more views on week 1?	No	BUY	100	65¢	$65	0xab2b8c…
10-19 02:59:08	Will MrBeast's next video get between 92 and 96 million views on day 2?	Yes	BUY	192	70¢	$134	0x0f0b24…
10-18 11:59:23	Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 40 and 60 million views on week 1?	Yes	SELL	100	39¢	$39	0x2047b0…
10-18 11:23:45	Will MrBeast's next video get at least 60 million views on day 1?	No	BUY	280	3¢	$8	0x674f08…
10-18 11:23:11	Will MrBeast's next video get at least 60 million views on day 1?	No	BUY	26	3¢	$1	0x885144…
10-18 11:08:47	Will MrBeast's next video get at least 60 million views on day 1?	No	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x2e053b…
10-18 11:08:21	Will MrBeast's next video get at least 60 million views on day 1?	No	BUY	256	3¢	$7	0x52728e…
10-18 10:06:33	Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 40 and 60 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	100	36¢	$36	0x6ee14c…
10-18 07:58:12	Will MrBeast's next video get between 55 and 60 million views on day 1?	No	BUY	307	77¢	$236	0x68b33e…
10-18 07:32:59	Will MrBeast's next video get at least 60 million views on day 1?	Yes	BUY	304	71¢	$217	0x000a66…
10-18 07:08:56	Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 40 and 60 million views on week 1?	Yes	SELL	100	30¢	$30	0x9413ee…
10-18 06:48:48	Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 40 and 60 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	100	38¢	$38	0x085496…
10-18 02:19:24	Will MrBeast's next video get at least 120 million views on week 1?	No	BUY	74	5¢	$4	0xe61a7a…
10-18 02:02:17	Will MrBeast's next video get at least 120 million views on week 1?	No	BUY	26	5¢	$1	0x2f7f93…
10-15 02:08:14	Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 50 and 55 million views in week 1?	Yes	BUY	75	78¢	$59	0xf2c62e…
10-14 15:58:52	Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get 55 million or more views in week 1?	No	SELL	154	78¢	$120	0xbd645c…
10-14 11:35:23	Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 43 and 44 million views on day 4?	Yes	SELL	157	100¢	$157	0xf47586…
10-14 03:36:14	Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 43 and 44 million views on day 4?	Yes	BUY	157	89¢	$140	0x73cb85…
10-13 13:21:26	Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get 55 million or more views in week 1?	No	BUY	32	40¢	$13	0xc551fe…
10-13 07:58:35	Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get 55 million or more views in week 1?	No	BUY	122	36¢	$44	0xd31368…
10-13 07:03:55	Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 50 and 55 million views in week 1?	Yes	BUY	124	30¢	$37	0xf4de00…