Wary-Radiator — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$5.78K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

61.9%

Resolved

1,403

Trades

3,795

lifetime

Volume

$76.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$20

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-04

last 10-29 01:48

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 125 days

Categories

Crypto

94% 63% -$5,368

Sports

3% 50% -$435

Other

2% 58% -$34

Politics

2% 100% +$54

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

27 active days in 12wk • peak 64 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Jared Kushner have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	7	$1.2K	700	700	+0	No	+$54	04-26 23:52
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-11 17:45 UTC	12	$1.0K	649	649	+0	Up	+$4	06-11 17:50
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-22 20:00 UTC	47	$968	641	641	+0	Up	+$6	06-22 20:12
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-09 15:00 UTC	24	$920	1,202	1,202	+0	Up	+$7	06-09 15:07
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-23 12:15 UTC	43	$725	1,308	0	+1,308	Up	-$725	04-23 12:29
cbb arz mich 2026 04 04 spread home 1pt5	6	$668	1,000	493	+507	Michigan Wolverines	-$412	04-05 02:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	13	$602	1,380	0	+1,380	Down	-$602	05-14 21:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	16	$587	1,132	0	+1,132	Up	+$545	04-27 22:41
Miami Marlins vs. San Francisco Giants	6	$553	600	594	+6	San Francisco Giants	-$7	04-25 04:13
Lakers vs. Rockets	4	$546	354	353	+1	Lakers	+$147	05-02 03:48
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Los Angeles Angels	6	$487	2,037	0	+2,037	Los Angeles Angels	-$487	04-22 21:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	16	$482	917	229	+688	Up	-$253	05-15 16:12
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-23 12:30 UTC	33	$471	1,024	0	+1,024	Down	-$471	04-23 12:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	3	$437	681	0	+681	Down	-$437	05-08 20:50
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-09 16:00 UTC	29	$414	650	0	+650	Down	+$236	06-09 16:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	11	$409	778	0	+778	Down	+$370	05-15 12:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	3	$396	412	0	+412	Up	-$396	05-14 23:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	52	$384	682	0	+682	Down	-$384	04-25 05:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	6	$372	689	0	+689	Up	+$317	05-08 20:10
solana up or down march 4 9am et	5	$352	544	344	+200	Up	+$92	03-04 16:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	13	$342	527	0	+527	Up	-$342	05-07 22:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	9	$339	787	0	+787	Up	-$339	04-26 23:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	25	$325	549	0	+549	Down	+$224	05-22 14:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	7	$323	781	0	+781	Up	+$458	04-25 04:12
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-23 00:30 UTC	11	$310	728	0	+728	Down	-$310	04-23 00:42
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-23 11:45 UTC	13	$304	475	0	+475	Up	+$171	04-23 11:53
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-10 19:45 UTC	14	$303	344	0	+344	Down	+$41	06-10 19:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	4	$300	484	0	+484	Up	+$184	05-14 15:29
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-23 09:30 UTC	8	$292	418	0	+418	Up	+$126	04-23 09:36
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-09 17:30 UTC	3	$292	339	0	+339	Down	-$292	06-09 17:43

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 01:48:58	Will William Contreras win the 2026 World Series MVP?	Yes	BUY	106	38¢	$40	0xeca658…
10-22 08:39:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	BUY	49	97¢	$47	0x727cba…
10-22 08:39:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0xc3cbe6…
10-22 05:44:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	21	52¢	$11	0xf697bf…
10-22 05:44:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	75	52¢	$39	0x0b14b1…
10-22 03:19:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	SELL	87	30¢	$26	0x98e352…
10-22 03:19:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	BUY	40	58¢	$23	0x82079b…
10-22 03:19:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	BUY	87	57¢	$50	0x6babe1…
10-22 03:18:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	SELL	68	85¢	$58	0x2bd960…
10-22 03:18:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	BUY	40	73¢	$29	0xd06d35…
10-22 03:18:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	BUY	17	73¢	$12	0x8a6214…
10-22 03:18:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	BUY	11	73¢	$8	0x282631…
10-22 02:09:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	SELL	27	78¢	$21	0x1f4102…
10-22 02:08:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	SELL	59	82¢	$48	0x71ce02…
10-22 02:08:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	BUY	29	84¢	$24	0xf5095b…
10-22 02:08:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	BUY	0	84¢	$0	0xbf4f15…
10-22 02:08:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	BUY	30	84¢	$25	0x6bd9d0…
10-22 02:08:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	BUY	27	85¢	$23	0x25ec44…
10-21 23:58:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	52	95¢	$49	0xfa9458…
10-21 23:54:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	BUY	52	95¢	$49	0x7979ba…
10-21 18:53:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	SELL	3	71¢	$2	0xddbf30…
10-21 18:53:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	SELL	27	61¢	$16	0x7cd4a7…
10-21 18:53:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	SELL	58	51¢	$30	0x3cefec…
10-21 18:53:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	17	81¢	$14	0x551712…
10-21 18:53:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	14	81¢	$12	0x208a8e…
10-21 18:53:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	30	81¢	$24	0x1b7856…
10-21 18:53:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	27	84¢	$23	0x24a0a1…
10-21 17:58:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	25	90¢	$23	0x823e3a…
10-21 17:29:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	SELL	35	82¢	$29	0x5573ac…
10-21 17:28:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	35	64¢	$23	0x29beb5…
10-21 16:23:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	BUY	13	96¢	$12	0xd4c77c…
10-21 16:23:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	BUY	39	96¢	$38	0xb9ed21…
10-21 16:08:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	52	95¢	$49	0xd8c6be…
10-21 15:14:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	SELL	8	79¢	$6	0x0a5d24…
10-21 15:13:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0xe1e3ba…
10-21 15:13:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x585a61…
10-21 14:33:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	57	87¢	$50	0xbec7af…
10-21 14:29:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	SELL	42	1¢	$0	0x89b87c…
10-21 14:28:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	17	55¢	$9	0xdcc935…
10-21 14:28:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	11	55¢	$6	0xbf9073…
10-21 14:28:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	12	55¢	$7	0xb4dbd0…
10-21 14:28:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	55¢	$5	0x8deec0…
10-21 14:28:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	55¢	$3	0x8795fa…
10-21 14:28:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	30	55¢	$16	0x3cfc08…
10-21 14:28:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	42	56¢	$23	0x46e962…
10-21 13:44:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	SELL	53	97¢	$51	0x3e6369…
10-21 13:44:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	16	93¢	$15	0xa43ba0…
10-21 13:44:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	14	93¢	$13	0x69ee1d…
10-21 13:44:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	23	93¢	$21	0x1fe9aa…
10-21 13:08:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	SELL	96	63¢	$60	0x8cc6ef…
10-21 13:08:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	96	52¢	$50	0xccd6c0…
10-21 12:14:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	44	52¢	$23	0x509f43…
10-21 08:49:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	SELL	41	93¢	$38	0x7d01db…
10-21 08:49:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	SELL	92	88¢	$81	0x07d914…
10-21 08:49:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	6	54¢	$3	0xffb1ae…
10-21 08:49:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0xe07c55…
10-21 08:49:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	41	56¢	$23	0x57a0d5…
10-21 08:49:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	81	54¢	$44	0x2b30e2…
10-21 07:09:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Down	SELL	62	98¢	$61	0x996571…
10-21 07:08:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Down	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xb98491…
10-21 07:08:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Down	BUY	60	80¢	$48	0x3b0b2d…
10-21 07:08:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Down	BUY	0	80¢	$0	0x360863…
10-21 04:14:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	73	68¢	$50	0x4d5f0e…
10-21 03:24:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Down	SELL	100	2¢	$2	0x3cf7e9…
10-21 03:24:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Down	BUY	102	23¢	$23	0x309ab8…
10-21 02:39:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Down	SELL	58	99¢	$57	0x1b89ba…
10-21 02:39:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Down	BUY	31	86¢	$27	0x5ced97…
10-21 02:39:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Down	BUY	27	86¢	$23	0x3492b3…
10-20 22:53:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	BUY	52	95¢	$49	0xa2b7a6…
10-20 22:14:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	53	94¢	$50	0x7ac10e…
10-20 22:14:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	24	95¢	$23	0x55a71c…
10-20 22:03:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	SELL	64	97¢	$62	0xf99383…
10-20 22:03:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	40	77¢	$30	0x0fb430…
10-20 22:03:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	24	77¢	$19	0x9f8bbc…
10-20 20:03:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	SELL	60	91¢	$55	0xc01e10…
10-20 20:03:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	36	83¢	$30	0x0abc7a…
10-20 20:03:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	24	83¢	$20	0x00fbae…
10-20 19:39:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	SELL	89	4¢	$4	0xd87b63…
10-20 19:39:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	49	56¢	$27	0xd52f7c…
10-20 19:39:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	40	56¢	$22	0x0d8ace…
10-20 13:33:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	58	86¢	$50	0x78404f…
10-20 13:33:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	25	90¢	$22	0xa7ff84…
10-20 04:59:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	SELL	86	50¢	$43	0x10b32c…
10-20 04:59:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	86	27¢	$23	0x9c0aff…
10-19 18:54:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	SELL	78	32¢	$25	0x3f9afb…
10-19 18:54:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	SELL	46	34¢	$16	0x36b8a0…
10-19 18:54:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	98	48¢	$47	0x60b416…
10-19 18:54:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	46	50¢	$23	0xd13bcb…
10-19 14:53:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	SELL	96	44¢	$42	0x2657e9…
10-19 14:53:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	39	52¢	$20	0xaf863a…
10-19 14:53:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	11	52¢	$6	0x7c12c8…
10-19 14:53:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	3	52¢	$1	0xfdcb68…
10-19 14:53:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	14	52¢	$7	0xb12112…
10-19 14:53:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	11	52¢	$6	0xab6ccf…
10-19 14:53:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x8d2064…
10-19 14:53:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	3	52¢	$1	0x857ca1…
10-19 14:53:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x5c32fe…
10-19 13:33:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	52	95¢	$49	0xdfea1a…
10-19 12:04:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	SELL	67	91¢	$61	0x07e15e…
10-19 12:04:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	BUY	51	74¢	$38	0xfbe79f…