Untried-Weird — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$3

Unrealized P&L

-$16

Hit rate

32.9%

Resolved

Trades

1,437

lifetime

Volume

$2.43K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$187

3 positions

First seen

2026-01-03

last 07-01 11:57

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Crypto

65% 44% $-2

Politics

20% — —

Other

12% — —

Sports

3% 0% $-1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

19 active days in 12wk • peak 81 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?	No	-123	$-88	86¢	$-106	$-18	06-15 11:11
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	No	+105	$60	60¢	$63	+$3	07-01 11:54
Will Russia invade another country in 2026?	Yes	+222	$20	8¢	$19	$-1	07-01 11:57

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	9	$107	166	166	+0	open	—	04-03 22:48
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?	1	$88	0	123	-123	open	—	06-15 11:11
russia ukraine peace talks by september 30 2026 20260609012542188	1	$60	95	0	+95	open	—	07-01 11:56
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	1	$60	105	0	+105	open	—	07-01 11:54
btc updown 5m 1774693200	14	$50	333	0	+333	open	—	03-28 10:22
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	1	$42	0	59	-59	open	—	06-15 11:11
Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?	2	$41	41	41	+0	open	—	03-23 11:06
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	2	$38	31	31	+0	open	—	03-21 14:31
will apple be the second largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	2	$36	50	50	+0	open	—	03-19 14:03
maduro out by march 31 2026 187 483	1	$34	150	0	+150	open	—	01-03 07:07
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	1	$30	99	0	+99	open	—	05-09 20:33
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	1	$30	214	0	+214	open	—	05-09 20:33
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?	1	$30	39	0	+39	open	—	05-24 07:19
ufc mov ler 2026 03 21	5	$29	26	26	+0	open	—	03-21 23:24
will crude oil cl hit high 180 by end of march 692	2	$29	217	217	+0	open	—	03-09 20:00
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	4	$27	15	15	+0	open	—	03-30 09:28
US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?	4	$26	42	42	+0	open	—	03-23 12:22
eth updown 15m 1774320300	25	$25	44	0	+44	open	—	03-24 02:58
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	2	$24	40	40	+0	open	—	03-24 22:12
Trump cabinet member out by March 31, 2026?	4	$21	53	53	+0	open	—	03-20 20:56
Will Russia invade another country in 2026?	1	$20	222	0	+222	open	—	07-01 11:57
bitcoin up or down march 23 2026 6am et	8	$20	6,100	0	+6,100	open	—	03-23 10:59
will crude oil cl hit high 130 by end of march 366 294	2	$20	12	12	+0	open	—	03-18 20:09
eth updown 15m 1774328400	18	$18	22	0	+22	open	—	03-24 05:14
us x iran ceasefire by april 15	3	$17	12	12	+0	open	—	03-21 23:05
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	4	$14	10	10	+0	open	—	04-04 07:54
russia x ukraine ceasefire before us x iran ceasefire	4	$13	49	54	-5	open	—	03-23 17:27
btc updown 5m 1774319400	11	$11	427	0	+427	open	—	03-24 02:36
btc updown 5m 1774312200	11	$11	79	0	+79	open	—	03-24 00:34
elon musk of tweets march 19 march 21 90 114	2	$11	20	20	+0	open	—	03-19 19:04

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-01 11:57:59	Will Russia invade another country in 2026?	Yes	BUY	222	9¢	$20	0x99020a…
07-01 11:56:01	russia ukraine peace talks by september 30 2026 20260609012542188	No	BUY	95	63¢	$60	0xa3fc68…
07-01 11:54:52	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	105	57¢	$60	0xc2b87c…
06-15 11:11:58	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	123	71¢	$88	0x5eb3a6…
06-15 11:11:15	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	59	71¢	$42	0x243a35…
06-05 07:59:51	eth updown 15m 1780646400	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xdf8394…
06-05 07:44:57	eth updown 15m 1780645500	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x010afd…
06-05 07:29:48	eth updown 15m 1780644600	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x7302fc…
06-05 04:59:48	eth updown 15m 1780635600	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x02e3c2…
06-05 04:44:51	eth updown 15m 1780634700	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x091580…
06-05 04:29:46	eth updown 15m 1780633800	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xaf8ac0…
06-05 04:15:01	eth updown 15m 1780632900	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x070a36…
06-05 03:59:55	eth updown 15m 1780632000	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xe934a8…
06-05 03:44:51	eth updown 15m 1780631100	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xe95cd5…
06-05 03:29:58	eth updown 15m 1780630200	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x197db0…
06-04 22:44:49	sol updown 15m 1780613100	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x004a36…
06-04 22:29:54	sol updown 15m 1780612200	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xf8a1b2…
06-04 19:29:43	btc updown 15m 1780601400	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x617c61…
06-04 18:29:52	eth updown 15m 1780597800	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x86d0bc…
06-04 17:14:48	btc updown 15m 1780593300	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x4d4ac5…
06-04 16:59:43	btc updown 15m 1780592400	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xb0e9b4…
06-04 16:44:43	btc updown 15m 1780591500	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x09d4f9…
06-04 16:29:48	btc updown 15m 1780590600	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x2b5155…
06-04 16:14:46	btc updown 15m 1780589700	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x2b2644…
06-04 15:59:48	btc updown 15m 1780588800	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x7924c4…
06-04 13:15:10	eth updown 15m 1780578900	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xcfce26…
06-04 12:44:51	btc updown 15m 1780577100	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xca1635…
06-04 12:29:51	eth updown 15m 1780576200	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xb697da…
06-04 12:29:43	btc updown 15m 1780576200	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x84eb44…
06-04 12:00:07	sol updown 15m 1780574400	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x12433a…
06-04 11:59:46	btc updown 15m 1780574400	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x0158f2…
06-04 11:44:55	sol updown 15m 1780573500	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x20d759…
06-04 11:29:57	sol updown 15m 1780572600	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x394a44…
06-04 11:29:43	btc updown 15m 1780572600	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x5f23b4…
06-04 11:14:49	eth updown 15m 1780571700	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x01dcf8…
06-04 11:14:43	btc updown 15m 1780571700	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x68ea6a…
06-04 11:00:04	eth updown 15m 1780570800	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xc5dcd6…
06-04 10:59:43	btc updown 15m 1780570800	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x4ed5e0…
06-04 10:44:52	eth updown 15m 1780569900	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x9afbcd…
06-04 10:44:43	btc updown 15m 1780569900	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x7ddbd8…
06-04 10:29:57	eth updown 15m 1780569000	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xae63a6…
06-04 10:29:46	btc updown 15m 1780569000	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xd12643…
06-04 10:14:45	eth updown 15m 1780568100	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xe6aa49…
06-04 09:59:45	eth updown 15m 1780567200	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xaf4f5a…
06-04 09:45:04	eth updown 15m 1780566300	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x154da9…
06-04 09:30:07	eth updown 15m 1780565400	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x44ff49…
06-04 09:14:52	btc updown 15m 1780564500	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xc945d0…
06-04 09:00:10	sol updown 15m 1780563600	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x1e6f24…
06-04 08:59:48	btc updown 15m 1780563600	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x258f1d…
06-04 08:45:00	sol updown 15m 1780562700	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x37f5e6…
06-04 08:44:43	btc updown 15m 1780562700	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x249da3…
06-04 08:30:00	sol updown 15m 1780561800	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x18a238…
06-04 08:29:43	btc updown 15m 1780561800	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xc9c9ab…
06-04 08:15:00	sol updown 15m 1780560900	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xe34d19…
06-04 08:14:43	btc updown 15m 1780560900	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xe8c8ca…
06-04 07:59:43	btc updown 15m 1780560000	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xcead83…
06-04 07:44:43	btc updown 15m 1780559100	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xf6f1ea…
06-04 07:29:42	btc updown 15m 1780558200	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xd9c37b…
06-04 06:14:43	btc updown 15m 1780553700	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x47cf69…
06-04 05:59:45	btc updown 15m 1780552800	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x18c091…
06-04 05:44:45	btc updown 15m 1780551900	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x1776ae…
06-04 05:29:45	btc updown 15m 1780551000	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x78b845…
06-04 05:14:45	btc updown 15m 1780550100	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x84060c…
06-04 04:59:40	btc updown 15m 1780549200	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x820843…
06-04 04:30:12	sol updown 15m 1780547400	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x9fee0e…
06-04 04:29:45	btc updown 15m 1780547400	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x81c450…
06-04 03:29:46	eth updown 15m 1780543800	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xef8b47…
06-04 02:14:45	btc updown 15m 1780539300	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x47352a…
06-04 01:59:40	btc updown 15m 1780538400	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xdb7e7f…
06-04 01:44:42	btc updown 15m 1780537500	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x0232c5…
06-04 01:30:04	btc updown 15m 1780536600	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x0fda53…
06-04 01:15:01	sol updown 15m 1780535700	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xd176b6…
06-04 01:14:51	eth updown 15m 1780535700	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xb1e2b0…
06-04 01:14:42	btc updown 15m 1780535700	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x6d1de9…
06-04 00:59:58	sol updown 15m 1780534800	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x5b0ce5…
06-04 00:59:51	eth updown 15m 1780534800	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x1b06f3…
06-04 00:59:42	btc updown 15m 1780534800	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x69e3a7…
06-04 00:45:00	sol updown 15m 1780533900	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x54d0c5…
06-04 00:44:51	eth updown 15m 1780533900	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xf6c512…
06-04 00:44:42	btc updown 15m 1780533900	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x070c01…
06-04 00:30:04	eth updown 15m 1780533000	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x0a9579…
06-04 00:29:45	btc updown 15m 1780533000	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xff32a5…
06-04 00:14:58	sol updown 15m 1780532100	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xb045fa…
06-04 00:14:51	eth updown 15m 1780532100	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x970d06…
06-04 00:14:40	btc updown 15m 1780532100	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x8b044c…
06-04 00:00:07	eth updown 15m 1780531200	Up	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0xa19db6…
06-03 23:45:06	btc updown 15m 1780530300	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xc8ac73…
06-03 23:30:10	btc updown 15m 1780529400	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x9f9eb8…
06-03 23:14:43	btc updown 15m 1780528500	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x286c30…
06-03 23:00:09	btc updown 15m 1780527600	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xa358aa…
06-03 21:44:43	btc updown 15m 1780523100	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x5a943c…
06-03 21:29:58	sol updown 15m 1780522200	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x1abcd2…
06-03 21:29:45	btc updown 15m 1780522200	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x1b263f…
06-03 21:14:58	sol updown 15m 1780521300	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xa63444…
06-03 21:14:46	btc updown 15m 1780521300	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xfdf0f8…
06-03 20:29:58	sol updown 15m 1780518600	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x515ada…
06-03 20:29:40	btc updown 15m 1780518600	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x4f056d…
06-03 20:15:09	sol updown 15m 1780517700	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xb56b3e…
06-03 20:14:58	eth updown 15m 1780517700	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xfd4ad7…
06-03 20:14:48	btc updown 15m 1780517700	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x741b8f…