Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$151

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

7.7%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$1.70K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$45

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-20

last 10-03 23:29

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 33 days

Categories

Sports

57% 17% -$40

Other

42% 28% -$119

Crypto

0% 50% +$11

Politics

0% 0% -$3

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

15 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Lecornu out as French PM by December 31, 2026?	Yes		+8	$2	9¢	$1	-$1	10-03 23:29

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Indiana Pacers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$454	227	227	+0	No	$0	01-20 12:41
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be László Toroczkai?	2	$448	225	225	+0	No	$0	01-20 19:50
Will the Phoenix Suns win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$444	225	225	+0	No	$0	01-20 15:23
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 23°C on September 17?	1	$29	38	0	+38	No	+$9	09-16 00:50
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026?	1	$28	51	0	+51	No	-$28	04-24 06:22
49ers vs. Rams	1	$25	39	0	+39	49ers	-$25	09-09 14:25
nba nop min 2026 04 12	1	$23	32	0	+32	Timberwolves	+$10	04-12 10:58
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on August 9?	1	$21	29	0	+29	No	+$8	08-08 13:22
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on September 4?	1	$21	39	0	+39	Yes	-$21	09-02 21:24
Packers vs. Buccaneers	1	$19	47	0	+47	Packers	-$19	10-03 23:24
highest temperature in atlanta on april 6 2026 68 69f	1	$16	31	0	+31	No	+$14	04-06 05:44
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 92-93°F on September 7?	1	$16	19	0	+19	No	+$3	09-06 17:32
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on August 31?	1	$16	24	0	+24	No	+$8	08-30 22:59
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 20°C on September 15?	1	$14	24	0	+24	Yes	-$14	09-14 01:27
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on September 28?	1	$13	33	0	+33	No	-$13	09-26 23:54
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on August 11?	1	$13	39	0	+39	No	-$13	08-10 20:55
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 96-97°F on September 19?	1	$12	19	0	+19	Yes	-$12	09-18 21:03
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on August 13?	1	$10	34	0	+34	No	-$10	08-12 06:23
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 33°C on August 26?	1	$10	21	0	+21	No	-$10	08-25 15:50
wnba min gsv 2026 08 19	1	$10	22	0	+22	Minnesota Lynx	-$10	08-19 14:02
Atlanta Dream vs. New York Liberty	1	$9	18	0	+18	Atlanta Dream	-$9	09-22 03:14
Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on April 27?	1	$6	16	0	+16	No	-$6	04-27 00:46
nba mia tor 2026 04 09	1	$6	14	0	+14	Raptors	-$6	04-09 22:16
highest temperature in munich on april 19 2026 15c	1	$5	16	0	+16	No	-$5	04-19 01:00
wnba la conn 2026 08 18	1	$4	10	0	+10	Connecticut Sun	+$5	08-18 08:35
bitcoin above 80k on september 22 2026	1	$4	13	0	+13	Yes	-$4	09-18 21:05
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on August 14?	1	$4	13	0	+13	Yes	-$4	08-14 06:56
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 33°C on August 24?	1	$4	15	0	+15	No	-$4	08-23 17:43
Will annual inflation be 3.3% in August?	1	$4	5	0	+5	No	+$2	09-02 21:26
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on August 29?	1	$3	19	0	+19	No	+$16	08-27 21:45

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-03 23:29:47	Lecornu out as French PM by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0x02b981…
10-03 23:24:19	Packers vs. Buccaneers	Buccaneers	BUY	47	40¢	$19	0xd5384d…
10-01 18:19:48	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x024fe8…
10-01 18:17:38	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 17°C on October 3?	Yes	BUY	14	21¢	$3	0xba3db1…
09-26 23:54:06	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on September 28?	Yes	BUY	33	40¢	$13	0x84f44e…
09-22 03:14:26	Atlanta Dream vs. New York Liberty	New York Liberty	BUY	18	49¢	$9	0x6c4f7c…
09-18 21:05:36	bitcoin above 80k on september 22 2026	No	BUY	13	33¢	$4	0x86ca85…
09-18 21:03:37	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 96-97°F on September 19?	No	BUY	19	66¢	$12	0xe3128f…
09-16 00:50:07	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 23°C on September 17?	No	BUY	38	76¢	$29	0x95facf…
09-14 01:27:03	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 20°C on September 15?	No	BUY	24	61¢	$14	0x8e1f71…
09-09 14:25:57	49ers vs. Rams	Rams	BUY	39	65¢	$25	0x492115…
09-06 17:32:40	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 92-93°F on September 7?	No	BUY	19	83¢	$16	0x40b94e…
09-02 21:26:10	Will annual inflation be 3.3% in August?	No	BUY	5	66¢	$4	0x5fd861…
09-02 21:24:18	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on September 4?	No	BUY	39	54¢	$21	0x72b726…
08-30 23:00:46	Will Hollie Noveletsky be the Republican Nominee for NH-01?	Yes	BUY	9	25¢	$2	0x44dc01…
08-30 22:59:15	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on August 31?	No	BUY	24	65¢	$16	0x2e06e9…
08-27 21:45:19	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on August 29?	No	BUY	19	18¢	$3	0x530cfa…
08-25 15:50:55	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 33°C on August 26?	Yes	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0x628409…
08-23 17:43:00	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 33°C on August 24?	Yes	BUY	15	26¢	$4	0x119c2d…
08-21 10:41:46	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on August 21?	Yes	BUY	9	25¢	$2	0xffce1b…
08-19 14:02:57	wnba min gsv 2026 08 19	Golden State Valkyries	BUY	22	44¢	$10	0xab3bdc…
08-18 08:35:10	wnba la conn 2026 08 18	Connecticut Sun	BUY	10	46¢	$4	0x3dea46…
08-14 06:56:30	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on August 14?	No	BUY	13	31¢	$4	0xd8c46b…
08-12 06:23:16	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on August 13?	Yes	BUY	34	31¢	$10	0xe1225f…
08-10 20:55:52	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on August 11?	Yes	BUY	39	34¢	$13	0x5e6de5…
08-08 13:22:51	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on August 9?	No	BUY	29	73¢	$21	0x61bf7d…
04-27 00:46:18	Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on April 27?	Yes	BUY	16	38¢	$6	0x0cb911…
04-24 06:22:48	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026?	Yes	BUY	51	56¢	$28	0x4c14a9…
04-19 01:00:44	highest temperature in munich on april 19 2026 15c	Yes	BUY	16	30¢	$5	0x344ae4…
04-12 10:58:07	nba nop min 2026 04 12	Timberwolves	BUY	32	70¢	$23	0xdba3e1…
04-09 22:16:01	nba mia tor 2026 04 09	Heat	BUY	14	39¢	$6	0x73ac73…
04-06 05:44:13	highest temperature in atlanta on april 6 2026 68 69f	No	BUY	31	53¢	$16	0x148c28…
01-20 19:50:28	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be László Toroczkai?	No	SELL	225	100¢	$224	0xac8f20…
01-20 17:22:18	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be László Toroczkai?	No	BUY	225	100¢	$224	0x3c0672…
01-20 15:23:24	Will the Phoenix Suns win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	225	99¢	$222	0x8a3b57…
01-20 12:44:40	Will the Phoenix Suns win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	225	99¢	$222	0x668306…
01-20 12:41:06	Will the Indiana Pacers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	227	100¢	$227	0x368caa…
01-20 10:16:16	Will the Indiana Pacers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	227	100¢	$227	0xbfd3e6…