Qualified-Colt — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$5

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

64.3%

Resolved

1,980

Trades

4,572

lifetime

Volume

$13.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-16

last 10-24 03:27

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 46 days

Categories

Crypto

92% 55% -$44

Other

8% 22% +$49

Politics

1% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

9 active days in 12wk • peak 26 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will France win on 2026-06-16?	2	$249	149	149	+0	Yes	+$49	06-16 21:17
Portugal vs. DR Congo: Draw at halftime?	2	$189	139	139	+0	Yes	+$89	06-17 18:01
Exact Score: France 3 - 1 Senegal?	2	$98	92	92	+0	Yes	+$84	06-16 21:16
Callum Turner announced as next James Bond?	6	$92	72	72	+0	open	—	10-23 19:30
Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	4	$62	110	110	+0	open	—	10-22 20:47
Iraq leading at halftime?	1	$50	556	0	+556	No	-$50	06-16 21:53
Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 62-66%?	3	$32	60	60	+0	open	—	10-24 02:55
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-17 18:35 UTC	1	$31	38	0	+38	Up	+$6	06-17 18:36
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-15 19:15 UTC	1	$31	34	0	+34	Down	+$4	06-15 19:19
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-18 04:10 UTC	1	$31	36	0	+36	Down	+$6	06-18 04:12
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 09:45 UTC	2	$30	37	0	+37	Up	+$7	06-12 09:48
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-17 18:35 UTC	1	$30	37	0	+37	Up	+$7	06-17 18:36
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-15 11:05 UTC	2	$30	37	0	+37	Up	+$6	06-15 11:07
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-17 01:20 UTC	4	$30	36	0	+36	Down	+$6	06-17 01:23
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 21:40 UTC	2	$30	35	0	+35	Up	+$5	06-13 21:41
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 08:20 UTC	3	$30	35	0	+35	Up	+$5	06-12 08:21
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-17 17:30 UTC	3	$30	35	0	+35	Up	+$5	06-17 17:34
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-11 18:15 UTC	1	$30	38	0	+38	Up	+$8	06-11 18:16
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-11 00:45 UTC	1	$30	38	0	+38	Up	+$8	06-11 00:48
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 10:20 UTC	1	$30	38	0	+38	Up	+$8	06-07 10:22
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 19:00 UTC	1	$30	38	0	+38	Up	-$30	06-05 19:01
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-19 04:55 UTC	6	$30	38	0	+38	Up	-$30	06-19 04:56
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 20:50 UTC	1	$30	37	0	+37	Up	+$7	06-05 20:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	1	$30	37	0	+37	Up	+$7	06-05 18:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	1	$30	37	0	+37	Down	+$7	06-06 00:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	1	$30	37	0	+37	Up	+$7	06-06 15:22
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 12:20 UTC	1	$30	37	0	+37	Down	-$30	06-07 12:22
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 06:20 UTC	1	$30	35	0	+35	Down	+$5	06-05 06:21
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 22:40 UTC	1	$30	36	0	+36	Down	+$6	06-05 22:41
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 19:30 UTC	1	$30	36	0	+36	Down	+$6	06-05 19:31

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-24 03:27:24	Will "Street Fighter" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between $8M and $11M?	No	BUY	100	16¢	$16	0x4905c4…
10-24 02:55:20	Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 62-66%?	Yes	SELL	60	27¢	$16	0x9e4afa…
10-24 01:44:23	Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 62-66%?	Yes	BUY	47	27¢	$13	0x7599c0…
10-24 01:44:21	Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 62-66%?	Yes	BUY	13	27¢	$3	0xac53c1…
10-24 00:36:11	Will Ronaldinho attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?	Yes	SELL	5	35¢	$2	0x751d20…
10-24 00:35:57	Will Ronaldinho attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?	Yes	SELL	15	42¢	$6	0x096701…
10-23 21:04:17	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MN-01 House election by 15%-18%?	Yes	BUY	20	13¢	$3	0x0482ef…
10-23 20:25:18	Will Ronaldinho attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?	Yes	BUY	20	32¢	$6	0x2b91d4…
10-23 19:47:27	Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	20	28¢	$6	0xfc15a8…
10-23 19:38:41	Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	30¢	$6	0xbae52e…
10-23 19:30:20	Callum Turner announced as next James Bond?	Yes	SELL	22	18¢	$4	0xa84122…
10-23 19:30:02	Callum Turner announced as next James Bond?	Yes	BUY	22	18¢	$4	0x6bf9e8…
10-23 18:37:57	Will Luis Enrique attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?	Yes	BUY	20	37¢	$7	0xd98680…
10-23 18:23:00	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IL-01 House election by 30%-35%?	Yes	SELL	22	19¢	$4	0x203fa7…
10-23 17:26:00	Will Apple’s market capitalization be between $5.00T and $5.50T at the end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	34¢	$7	0x7c7df5…
10-23 17:24:41	Will Apple’s market capitalization be between $5.00T and $5.50T at the end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	36¢	$7	0xa7804a…
10-23 14:31:11	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Oklahoma Senate election by 20%-25%?	Yes	SELL	20	22¢	$4	0xf1d2bc…
10-23 14:30:17	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Oklahoma Senate election by 20%-25%?	Yes	BUY	20	23¢	$5	0xe5f904…
10-23 14:02:39	Will Vance peak at Category 4?	Yes	BUY	20	34¢	$7	0xf555cb…
10-23 13:19:00	Vertiv (VRT) Q3 adjusted operating margin 24% to 26%?	Yes	BUY	22	92¢	$20	0xf19d2e…
10-23 12:04:35	Rain during the United States Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	22	34¢	$7	0xadb986…
10-23 11:49:12	Vertiv (VRT) Q3 adjusted operating margin 24% to 26%?	No	SELL	20	13¢	$3	0x7e4ed1…
10-23 11:48:56	Vertiv (VRT) Q3 adjusted operating margin 24% to 26%?	No	BUY	20	13¢	$3	0x2d8703…
10-23 11:30:56	Will a 6.0+ magnitude earthquake occur in Peru this month?	Yes	BUY	3	13¢	$0	0xe7989d…
10-23 01:43:50	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IL-01 House election by 30%-35%?	Yes	SELL	0	18¢	$0	0xccb057…
10-23 01:32:23	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IL-01 House election by 30%-35%?	Yes	BUY	22	19¢	$4	0xf2ac56…
10-23 01:19:32	Will Claude go down fewer than 5 times in October?	No	SELL	20	24¢	$5	0xc49ab0…
10-23 01:08:44	Will Claude go down fewer than 5 times in October?	No	BUY	20	26¢	$5	0xdccdf4…
10-23 00:45:18	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 23, 2026?	No	SELL	20	16¢	$3	0xb32d36…
10-23 00:43:54	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 23, 2026?	No	BUY	20	16¢	$3	0xf6f1ec…
10-23 00:07:59	Will Japan's core CPI increase by between 2.0 and 2.4% in 2026?	No	SELL	20	30¢	$6	0x6f7a4b…
10-23 00:06:51	Will Japan's core CPI increase by between 2.0 and 2.4% in 2026?	No	BUY	20	30¢	$6	0x68c867…
10-22 21:53:17	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Nebraska gubernatorial election by 0%-5%?	Yes	BUY	1	12¢	$0	0x9bfc0a…
10-22 20:47:53	Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	No	SELL	37	28¢	$11	0x8e1434…
10-22 20:47:26	Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	No	SELL	73	28¢	$21	0x9f58a5…
10-22 20:34:36	Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	No	BUY	80	28¢	$23	0xcfe0e4…
10-22 20:34:36	Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	No	BUY	30	28¢	$8	0x617531…
10-22 20:24:29	Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $1.75T and $2.00T?	No	SELL	20	68¢	$14	0xd8f68c…
10-22 20:23:38	Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $1.75T and $2.00T?	No	BUY	20	67¢	$13	0x9ddb25…
10-22 19:15:36	Callum Turner announced as next James Bond?	No	SELL	5	85¢	$4	0xb0a2b5…
10-22 19:15:36	Callum Turner announced as next James Bond?	No	SELL	42	85¢	$35	0xafeb6a…
10-22 18:46:26	Callum Turner announced as next James Bond?	No	SELL	3	85¢	$3	0x530b76…
10-22 18:00:02	Callum Turner announced as next James Bond?	No	BUY	50	85¢	$42	0x4b43d5…
10-22 16:21:56	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	No	SELL	110	14¢	$15	0x7cd9ee…
10-22 15:13:06	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	No	BUY	110	12¢	$13	0x0b1f26…
10-18 00:12:21	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on October 18?	Yes	SELL	2	28¢	$0	0xea8362…
10-18 00:12:21	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on October 18?	Yes	SELL	20	28¢	$6	0x27283f…
10-17 07:40:33	Will no one leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?	Yes	SELL	20	41¢	$8	0x9f1924…
10-16 22:13:14	Will no one leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	41¢	$8	0x48af25…
10-16 18:05:51	highest temperature in kuala lumpur on october 18 2026 31c	Yes	BUY	22	28¢	$6	0x0becb3…
10-16 07:32:01	Will S&P Global (SPGI) Q3 Rating revenues be above $1.4B?	Yes	SELL	7	37¢	$3	0xb2248b…
10-16 06:16:04	Will S&P Global (SPGI) Q3 Rating revenues be above $1.4B?	Yes	SELL	9	37¢	$3	0xbbf105…
10-16 04:44:00	Will S&P Global (SPGI) Q3 Rating revenues be above $1.4B?	Yes	SELL	6	37¢	$2	0x00d03d…
10-15 17:22:40	Will S&P Global (SPGI) Q3 Rating revenues be above $1.4B?	Yes	BUY	22	37¢	$8	0xb711af…
10-15 15:33:46	Will "The Social Reckoning" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 1m and 2m?	Yes	SELL	20	16¢	$3	0x1b4be3…
10-15 15:31:31	Will "The Social Reckoning" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 1m and 2m?	Yes	BUY	20	16¢	$3	0xc04ee5…
10-15 03:20:47	will texas instruments txn q3 analog revenue be above 20261008120026000 4pt5b	No	BUY	22	32¢	$7	0x7db029…
10-12 09:10:19	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on October 13?	Yes	BUY	13	41¢	$5	0xe4550b…
10-12 09:10:19	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on October 13?	Yes	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xa15d7c…
10-12 09:10:17	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on October 13?	Yes	BUY	6	41¢	$2	0x445392…
08-14 17:50:28	Will Enzo Fernandez stay at Chelsea?	No	BUY	1	30¢	$0	0x3dc7d8…
07-06 18:55:40	Will Portugal vs. Spain end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	29	28¢	$8	0xda7734…
07-05 19:57:44	Exact Score: Brazil 3 - 1 Norway?	Yes	BUY	88	8¢	$7	0x354036…
07-05 19:57:01	Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 1 Norway?	Yes	BUY	54	13¢	$7	0x5b2be0…
07-03 13:34:01	Ethereum Up or Down - July 3, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	14	72¢	$10	0xcf1e09…
07-03 12:08:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-03 12:05 UTC	Down	BUY	18	65¢	$11	0xe1cd46…
07-03 11:06:46	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-03 11:05 UTC	Up	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x74b07c…
07-03 11:06:44	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-03 11:05 UTC	Up	BUY	9	80¢	$7	0x27e165…
07-03 11:06:40	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-03 11:05 UTC	Up	BUY	3	80¢	$2	0xe31ff1…
07-03 10:52:10	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-03 10:50 UTC	Up	BUY	16	64¢	$10	0xba354b…
07-03 10:09:50	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-03 10:05 UTC	Up	BUY	4	75¢	$3	0xfbd72c…
07-03 10:09:50	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-03 10:05 UTC	Up	BUY	10	75¢	$8	0x7bc7ad…
06-19 12:37:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-19 12:35 UTC	Down	BUY	10	66¢	$7	0xf0f87f…
06-19 12:37:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-19 12:35 UTC	Down	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0xb4283b…
06-19 12:37:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-19 12:35 UTC	Down	BUY	11	66¢	$7	0x43c678…
06-19 10:24:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-19 10:20 UTC	Up	BUY	13	76¢	$10	0x9a782b…
06-19 09:59:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-19 09:55 UTC	Up	BUY	13	77¢	$10	0x80241b…
06-19 09:51:53	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-19 09:50 UTC	Down	BUY	17	68¢	$12	0x931d6b…
06-19 08:34:23	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-19 08:30 UTC	Up	BUY	2	69¢	$1	0x61986e…
06-19 08:34:23	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-19 08:30 UTC	Up	BUY	15	69¢	$10	0x2909a7…
06-19 04:56:23	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-19 04:55 UTC	Down	BUY	8	80¢	$7	0xfaed7c…
06-19 04:56:23	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-19 04:55 UTC	Down	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0xe95232…
06-19 04:56:23	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-19 04:55 UTC	Down	BUY	4	80¢	$3	0x95ec39…
06-19 04:56:22	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-19 04:55 UTC	Down	BUY	6	80¢	$4	0xeefce4…
06-19 04:56:22	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-19 04:55 UTC	Down	BUY	10	80¢	$8	0xd2ca52…
06-19 04:56:22	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-19 04:55 UTC	Down	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x49dc00…
06-19 03:27:08	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-19 03:25 UTC	Down	BUY	2	70¢	$1	0xa92714…
06-19 03:27:08	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-19 03:25 UTC	Down	BUY	9	70¢	$6	0x199313…
06-19 03:27:04	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-19 03:25 UTC	Down	BUY	4	70¢	$3	0xb3b324…
06-19 03:26:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-19 03:25 UTC	Down	BUY	14	72¢	$10	0xd71c0f…
06-19 01:59:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	14	67¢	$10	0x8f08e0…
06-18 23:28:43	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-18 23:25 UTC	Up	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0xe99535…
06-18 23:28:41	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-18 23:25 UTC	Up	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0xbac785…
06-18 23:28:41	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-18 23:25 UTC	Up	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0x379d81…
06-18 22:54:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	BUY	17	73¢	$12	0xa014be…
06-18 21:44:38	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-18 21:40 UTC	Down	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0xe91e4f…
06-18 21:44:38	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-18 21:40 UTC	Down	BUY	8	78¢	$6	0x7bcc1a…
06-18 21:09:32	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-18 21:05 UTC	Down	BUY	8	77¢	$6	0x331a8e…
06-18 21:09:31	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-18 21:05 UTC	Down	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0x531979…
06-18 20:48:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	BUY	6	74¢	$4	0x9f3bd8…