Immediate-Casement — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$16

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$3.66K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$83

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-08

last 06-27 07:50

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

68% 100% +$16

Politics

32% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

11 active days in 12wk • peak 13 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in May 2026?	3	$935	470	470	+0	open	—	05-11 07:13
Spread: AFC Unirea Slobozia (-1.5)	1	$469	475	0	+475	FCSB	+$6	05-11 09:03
Spread: Hellas Verona FC (-1.5)	1	$460	470	0	+470	Como 1907	+$10	05-10 07:08
Spread: Al Fateh Saudi Club (-2.5)	1	$441	479	0	+479	open	—	05-21 04:35
sud tig mac 2026 04 16 spread away 1pt5	1	$372	380	0	+380	open	—	04-16 07:13
sud rac bot 2026 04 15 spread away 1pt5	1	$348	374	0	+374	open	—	04-15 09:03
Will any country join the Board of Peace by June 30?	4	$192	1,040	1,040	+0	open	—	06-09 04:34
putin and zelenskyy shake hands by august 31	13	$148	2,175	2,175	+0	open	—	06-27 07:50
fif cam hkg 2026 06 09 spread away 2pt5	2	$82	1,030	0	+1,030	open	—	06-09 04:36
Will the U.S. invade Mexico in 2026?	4	$80	800	800	+0	open	—	06-27 05:20
KRG declares independence from Iraq by December 31?	4	$77	645	645	+0	open	—	06-16 05:30
Spread: FC Nantes (-1.5)	2	$26	839	0	+839	open	—	04-26 05:17
Will the Bank of Korea decrease the base rate after the May Meeting?	5	$21	584	584	+0	open	—	04-08 06:31
lal rso ala 2026 04 11 spread away 2pt5	2	$5	622	0	+622	open	—	04-11 07:36

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-27 07:50:11	putin and zelenskyy shake hands by august 31	Yes	SELL	10	3¢	$0	0x666a44…
06-27 07:49:17	putin and zelenskyy shake hands by august 31	Yes	SELL	380	3¢	$11	0x3d4384…
06-27 07:49:02	putin and zelenskyy shake hands by august 31	Yes	SELL	385	3¢	$12	0x457a5b…
06-27 07:15:11	putin and zelenskyy shake hands by august 31	Yes	BUY	380	3¢	$11	0x96dade…
06-27 07:14:53	putin and zelenskyy shake hands by august 31	Yes	BUY	395	3¢	$12	0x293b85…
06-27 06:50:14	putin and zelenskyy shake hands by august 31	Yes	SELL	385	3¢	$12	0xda58dc…
06-27 06:50:05	putin and zelenskyy shake hands by august 31	Yes	SELL	395	3¢	$12	0x65b0b2…
06-27 05:42:49	putin and zelenskyy shake hands by august 31	Yes	BUY	405	2¢	$8	0xea92cb…
06-27 05:42:37	putin and zelenskyy shake hands by august 31	Yes	BUY	375	2¢	$8	0x37e0df…
06-27 05:20:34	Will the U.S. invade Mexico in 2026?	Yes	SELL	395	5¢	$20	0xed68be…
06-27 05:20:17	Will the U.S. invade Mexico in 2026?	Yes	SELL	405	5¢	$20	0xd70e97…
06-27 02:49:37	Will the U.S. invade Mexico in 2026?	Yes	BUY	415	5¢	$21	0xa69608…
06-27 02:49:22	Will the U.S. invade Mexico in 2026?	Yes	BUY	385	5¢	$19	0xc73a53…
06-21 06:07:25	putin and zelenskyy shake hands by august 31	Yes	SELL	305	5¢	$15	0x8c8f2b…
06-21 06:06:43	putin and zelenskyy shake hands by august 31	Yes	SELL	315	5¢	$16	0x4c5b6e…
06-21 04:30:22	putin and zelenskyy shake hands by august 31	Yes	BUY	325	5¢	$16	0x8eb9e2…
06-21 04:30:05	putin and zelenskyy shake hands by august 31	Yes	BUY	295	5¢	$15	0x9ae58b…
06-16 05:30:13	KRG declares independence from Iraq by December 31?	Yes	SELL	315	6¢	$19	0x0052d6…
06-16 05:29:43	KRG declares independence from Iraq by December 31?	Yes	SELL	330	6¢	$20	0x04b1ec…
06-16 04:35:36	KRG declares independence from Iraq by December 31?	Yes	BUY	340	6¢	$20	0xac8b49…
06-16 04:35:22	KRG declares independence from Iraq by December 31?	Yes	BUY	305	6¢	$18	0x052ece…
06-09 04:36:49	fif cam hkg 2026 06 09 spread away 2pt5	Hong Kong SAR	BUY	510	8¢	$41	0xbee487…
06-09 04:36:39	fif cam hkg 2026 06 09 spread away 2pt5	Hong Kong SAR	BUY	520	8¢	$42	0xc3c9dc…
06-09 04:34:21	Will any country join the Board of Peace by June 30?	Yes	SELL	535	9¢	$48	0x3c287f…
06-09 04:34:06	Will any country join the Board of Peace by June 30?	Yes	SELL	505	9¢	$45	0x6ed67f…
06-09 03:09:19	Will any country join the Board of Peace by June 30?	Yes	BUY	515	10¢	$52	0xe6147e…
06-09 02:56:10	Will any country join the Board of Peace by June 30?	Yes	BUY	525	9¢	$47	0xd0fbd9…
05-21 04:35:23	Spread: Al Fateh Saudi Club (-2.5)	Al Kholood Saudi Club	BUY	479	92¢	$441	0x3005e4…
05-11 09:03:15	Spread: AFC Unirea Slobozia (-1.5)	FCSB	BUY	475	99¢	$469	0xaf0683…
05-11 07:13:44	Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in May 2026?	No	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0xabfc84…
05-11 07:13:18	Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in May 2026?	No	SELL	440	100¢	$438	0x360f04…
05-11 06:16:46	Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in May 2026?	No	BUY	470	99¢	$467	0xa34bed…
05-10 07:08:09	Spread: Hellas Verona FC (-1.5)	Como 1907	BUY	470	98¢	$460	0xee7f3c…
04-26 05:17:16	Spread: FC Nantes (-1.5)	FC Nantes	BUY	423	3¢	$13	0xf96bb1…
04-26 05:17:02	Spread: FC Nantes (-1.5)	FC Nantes	BUY	416	3¢	$13	0xff0b4c…
04-16 07:13:56	sud tig mac 2026 04 16 spread away 1pt5	CA Tigre	BUY	380	98¢	$372	0xa0f29e…
04-15 09:03:34	sud rac bot 2026 04 15 spread away 1pt5	Racing Club	BUY	374	93¢	$348	0xd969e4…
04-11 07:36:37	lal rso ala 2026 04 11 spread away 2pt5	Deportivo Alavés	BUY	306	1¢	$2	0xa4479e…
04-11 07:36:25	lal rso ala 2026 04 11 spread away 2pt5	Deportivo Alavés	BUY	316	1¢	$3	0x823dac…
04-08 06:31:09	Will the Bank of Korea decrease the base rate after the May Meeting?	Yes	SELL	20	2¢	$0	0x0ef423…
04-08 06:30:57	Will the Bank of Korea decrease the base rate after the May Meeting?	Yes	SELL	291	2¢	$5	0xe17bf6…
04-08 06:30:19	Will the Bank of Korea decrease the base rate after the May Meeting?	Yes	SELL	273	2¢	$5	0x065532…
04-08 05:29:15	Will the Bank of Korea decrease the base rate after the May Meeting?	Yes	BUY	293	2¢	$5	0x7834a5…
04-08 05:28:47	Will the Bank of Korea decrease the base rate after the May Meeting?	Yes	BUY	291	2¢	$5	0x8d0137…