Incomparable-Laborer — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

73.7%

Resolved

Trades

958

lifetime

Volume

$17.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$19

Open exposure

$10

1 position

First seen

2026-01-06

last 07-14 20:33

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Other

59% 100% +$16

Politics

30% 50% $-18

Sports

8% — —

Crypto

2% — —

Tech

1% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

30 active days in 12wk • peak 9 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?	No		+11	$10	93¢	$10	$-0	07-14 20:33

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will google gemini 3 score at least 50 on the frontiermath benchmark	6	$1.4K	971	971	+0	open	—	01-29 20:16
will google gemini 3 score at least 40 on the frontiermath benchmark	6	$1.1K	1,237	927	+309	open	—	01-20 16:35
andrew tate posts february 17 february 24 0 99	16	$399	814	503	+311	open	—	02-24 01:12
will google gemini 3 score at least 60 on the frontiermath benchmark by	3	$349	563	563	+0	open	—	01-07 05:54
us strikes iran by february 13 2026 721 759 497 124 197 797 992 641 418 789 676 262 791 574 169 647 275 931	4	$312	196	131	+65	open	—	02-14 01:57
tsla close above 400 on february 2 2026	2	$308	160	160	+0	open	—	02-02 20:49
will googl close below 315 week february 6 2026	7	$306	167	166	+1	open	—	02-06 08:58
us strikes iran by february 20 2026 151 468 624 297 614 778 872 127 349 448 499 337 826 553	5	$286	175	149	+26	open	—	02-18 23:25
israel strikes iran by march 31 2026	2	$236	227	227	+0	open	—	01-12 22:38
will aapl reach 280 in january	1	$229	235	0	+235	open	—	01-30 05:37
will germany win the mens ice hockey silver medal at the 2026 winter olympics	1	$213	0	214	-214	open	—	02-18 17:28
will xai have the 1 ai model at the end of february 2026	3	$201	103	103	+0	open	—	02-24 06:41
will sweden win the mens ice hockey gold medal at the 2026 winter olympics	3	$199	80	125	-45	open	—	02-18 23:23
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	7	$197	126	126	+0	open	—	04-05 15:56
will mrbeast hit 480 million subscribers by march 31 385 949 751 549 325 327 411 863 793	4	$194	99	99	+0	open	—	03-25 02:39
will mrbeast hit 475 million subscribers by march 31 387 656 755 785	9	$175	103	103	+0	open	—	03-22 18:22
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	7	$174	147	133	+15	open	—	05-07 22:56
will the total number of tsa passengers for february 2 be between 2300000 and 2400000	3	$162	156	13	+143	open	—	02-02 17:37
pfe quarterly earnings nongaap eps 02 03 2026 0pt57	4	$160	109	85	+24	open	—	02-02 20:40
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?	4	$132	86	86	+0	open	—	05-31 01:27
will the romantic debut week album sales be at least 400k	4	$114	123	16	+108	open	—	02-17 08:00
will norway win the most medals in the 2026 winter olympics	2	$114	64	64	+0	open	—	02-21 19:08
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	3	$111	135	0	+135	open	—	02-19 00:20
odds of khamenei being out as supreme leader by march 31 over 25 in february	2	$109	131	0	+131	open	—	02-15 04:22
Will MrBeast hit 480 million subscribers by April 30?	5	$106	79	79	+0	open	—	03-28 22:10
us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	6	$105	8,384	51	+8,333	open	—	04-28 20:28
will pln win the second most seats in the 2026 costa rican legislative assembly election	2	$103	53	53	+0	open	—	02-02 20:47
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	3	$103	74	74	+0	open	—	05-25 01:33
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	2	$101	51	51	+0	open	—	03-04 18:16
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	2	$101	51	51	+0	open	—	03-04 18:16

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-14 20:33:52	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?	No	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0xe74b2d…
06-14 05:54:21	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	13	79¢	$10	0xf3f223…
06-14 05:53:03	Peru General Election invalidated by June 30?	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x45446a…
06-13 04:01:15	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	15	85¢	$13	0xb072c1…
06-13 04:00:24	will trump agree to iranian transit fees in the strait of hormuz by june 30	No	BUY	16	93¢	$15	0xd25c9b…
06-13 00:28:13	will trump agree to iranian enrichment of uranium by june 30	No	BUY	12	87¢	$10	0x1228ea…
06-11 04:45:27	US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?	No	BUY	26	39¢	$10	0xa98cb5…
06-11 04:44:30	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	BUY	24	84¢	$20	0x6aa51d…
06-11 04:42:57	will trump agree to iranian oil sanction relief by june 30	No	BUY	30	82¢	$25	0x63a99d…
06-11 04:42:39	will trump agree to unfreeze iranian assets by june 30	No	BUY	31	80¢	$25	0x47ebf0…
06-08 03:58:16	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	No	BUY	26	95¢	$25	0x90e2ef…
06-08 03:57:48	us announces cuba oil sanction relief by june 30	No	BUY	26	96¢	$25	0xdae0b9…
06-08 03:56:55	us evacuates beirut embassy by june 30	No	BUY	26	96¢	$25	0x0a3745…
06-01 14:09:43	Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?	No	BUY	14	71¢	$10	0x911e3c…
06-01 14:08:58	Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by June 30?	No	BUY	15	68¢	$10	0x1c3f93…
06-01 14:08:46	Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?	No	BUY	14	71¢	$10	0x9ef23b…
06-01 14:06:13	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	25	39¢	$10	0xf91dc2…
05-31 05:38:53	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?	No	BUY	39	25¢	$10	0x463320…
05-31 01:27:02	Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?	No	SELL	86	97¢	$83	0x1a54b6…
05-30 02:37:18	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	25	81¢	$20	0xf941de…
05-30 02:31:54	Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?	No	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x213d88…
05-30 02:31:14	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	35	85¢	$30	0x1477f0…
05-25 16:59:42	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	Yes	BUY	909	1¢	$10	0x485bed…
05-25 16:57:22	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	Yes	BUY	455	1¢	$5	0x126090…
05-25 16:56:43	Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?	Yes	BUY	34	6¢	$2	0xb8aab6…
05-25 01:42:19	Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by May 31?	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x496065…
05-25 01:33:55	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	74	78¢	$58	0x88d7bc…
05-24 00:29:44	Canadiens vs. Hurricanes	Hurricanes	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0x88fcf2…
05-23 23:23:21	Canadiens vs. Hurricanes	Hurricanes	BUY	13	77¢	$10	0xc85406…
05-23 22:19:11	Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?	No	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x03a999…
05-23 22:18:18	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0x21c9bd…
05-23 22:18:03	Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?	No	BUY	47	32¢	$15	0x564b67…
05-23 22:15:37	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	SELL	43	98¢	$42	0xc90672…
05-23 01:56:24	Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.0T by June 30?	Yes	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0x609789…
05-23 01:56:10	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	No	SELL	27	95¢	$25	0x886045…
05-23 01:55:47	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	12	97¢	$12	0x51ce3c…
05-23 01:52:21	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	No	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0x2ccc30…
05-19 19:42:43	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	44	65¢	$29	0x87bfbe…
05-18 01:14:19	Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?	No	BUY	21	91¢	$19	0xa57a4e…
05-18 01:13:23	Will MrBeast hit 123 billion views by May 31?	Yes	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x889f7a…
05-17 03:53:43	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	23	86¢	$20	0x8b65fe…
05-17 03:52:37	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	21	95¢	$20	0xbf066b…
05-16 17:27:33	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	32	79¢	$25	0x2c90dd…
05-15 02:44:57	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	13	75¢	$10	0x917c7d…
05-15 02:44:29	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	22	95¢	$21	0xf0fae9…
05-14 03:00:30	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x18c252…
05-14 02:59:18	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	Yes	BUY	333	1¢	$2	0x1f6711…
05-12 18:27:25	Will MrBeast hit 123.5 billion views by May 31?	No	SELL	15	9¢	$1	0x7678b8…
05-11 16:06:51	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	21	94¢	$20	0x33349d…
05-11 16:04:11	Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by May 31?	No	BUY	12	83¢	$10	0x3a4b83…
05-11 16:02:46	Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?	No	BUY	12	84¢	$10	0xf32e6f…
05-11 16:02:18	Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?	No	BUY	17	86¢	$15	0x956555…
05-09 02:10:52	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	BUY	56	9¢	$5	0xd32a45…
05-09 02:09:19	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	No	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0xe7b021…
05-08 19:13:45	Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	Yes	SELL	83	23¢	$19	0xd5c601…
05-07 22:56:51	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0x8ba7d0…
05-07 22:55:41	Will MrBeast hit 122.5 billion views by May 31?	Yes	SELL	48	96¢	$46	0x88ef71…
05-07 19:07:01	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?	No	BUY	34	87¢	$30	0x5765e2…
05-07 19:05:21	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	40	34¢	$14	0x221e41…
05-06 22:17:48	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	27	75¢	$20	0xfdea47…
05-06 18:06:41	Will MrBeast hit 123.5 billion views by May 31?	No	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0x80671f…
05-06 16:28:28	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	12	86¢	$10	0x08db34…
05-06 16:27:43	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	14¢	$3	0xc9f8e4…
05-06 16:21:11	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	25¢	$10	0x93da0b…
05-05 23:42:44	Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	Yes	BUY	83	12¢	$10	0xba0258…
05-05 23:41:10	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	BUY	56	18¢	$10	0xf4a2d4…
05-05 23:39:02	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	12	83¢	$10	0xffb3ad…
05-05 23:32:02	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	44	34¢	$15	0x29eed7…
05-05 23:31:50	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	51	49¢	$25	0xccdede…
05-04 17:06:26	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	93	85¢	$79	0xa874f2…
05-03 21:04:28	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $100 on May 4?	Yes	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0x743ef0…
05-03 21:03:00	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 4?	Up	BUY	21	49¢	$10	0xb8eae7…
05-03 21:02:26	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by May 31?	Yes	BUY	125	8¢	$10	0x81ae78…
05-03 03:16:54	Will Iran strike Qatar by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0xd07248…
05-03 03:16:28	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x61cd3d…
05-02 04:47:38	Will MrBeast hit 123 billion views by May 31?	Yes	BUY	11	87¢	$10	0x4f61d7…
05-02 02:09:08	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	29	68¢	$20	0x96eb7f…
05-01 20:42:14	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x71b5fa…
05-01 20:33:56	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	No	BUY	18	93¢	$17	0x8e86f5…
05-01 01:05:26	Will MrBeast hit 122 billion views by May 31?	Yes	BUY	21	96¢	$20	0x398c1a…
05-01 01:04:18	Will MrBeast hit 122.5 billion views by May 31?	Yes	BUY	23	86¢	$20	0xd571a6…
05-01 01:03:12	Will MrBeast hit 120 billion views by April 30?	No	SELL	27	100¢	$27	0x6c3ed1…
05-01 01:03:02	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	51	100¢	$51	0x999db1…
05-01 00:59:50	Will MrBeast hit 122.5 billion views by May 31?	Yes	BUY	24	86¢	$21	0xdf36bd…
04-30 16:26:04	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	Yes	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0xc97a3b…
04-30 16:16:44	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	Yes	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0x00ae7c…
04-29 18:09:34	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in April?	Yes	BUY	83	6¢	$5	0xadbb50…
04-29 18:09:18	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?	No	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0x8a09f1…
04-29 18:08:16	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on April 29?	Down	BUY	91	1¢	$1	0xfee4f3…
04-29 18:07:30	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0x3d6bf8…
04-29 18:03:20	Will Qatar strike Iran by April 30?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x463148…
04-29 17:53:44	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	36	75¢	$27	0xd0e5e7…
04-28 23:35:20	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	182	1¢	$2	0xdcedd0…
04-28 23:33:54	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	42	71¢	$30	0xb6048a…
04-28 20:28:14	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	Yes	BUY	3,333	0¢	$10	0x7dadaa…
04-28 00:54:42	Will MrBeast hit 119.5 billion views by April 30?	Yes	BUY	51	90¢	$46	0x2399fa…
04-26 02:13:02	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0xc932c7…
04-25 21:47:06	Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" 4th Weekend Box Office be between 19m and 20.5m?	Yes	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x35955d…
04-25 16:44:34	Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 20-April 26?	Yes	BUY	13	76¢	$10	0x66308d…
04-25 16:40:08	Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on April 28?	No	BUY	22	93¢	$20	0x32fca2…