Helpless-Brow — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$659

Unrealized P&L

-$29

Hit rate

46.0%

Resolved

199

Trades

1,528

lifetime

Volume

$2.84K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-06-01

last 08-10 14:32

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 32 days

Categories

Other

98% 13% -$600

Politics

1% 0% -$42

Crypto

1% 0% -$17

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 22 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
GTA 6 launch postponed again?	Yes		+108	$34	4¢	$4	-$29	08-10 09:29

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C or higher on June 3?	12	$274	200	200	+0	Yes	+$125	06-03 10:52
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 3?	31	$116	5,010	0	+5,010	No	-$116	06-03 05:17
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on June 2?	8	$106	117	85	+32	Yes	+$78	06-02 13:30
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on June 21?	8	$103	105	59	+46	Yes	+$38	06-21 13:20
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 17°C on June 3?	24	$98	199	73	+126	Yes	+$89	06-03 10:30
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on June 22?	7	$90	122	32	+90	Yes	+$20	06-22 09:31
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 24?	8	$86	75	65	+10	Yes	+$37	06-24 07:02
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on June 23?	14	$77	53	53	+0	No	+$29	06-23 16:56
another gta vi trailer released by june 30	14	$67	50	70	-20	No	+$1	06-20 21:25
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on June 3?	27	$61	1,110	0	+1,110	No	-$61	06-03 03:31
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on June 3?	49	$60	430	0	+430	No	-$60	06-03 10:24
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C on June 3?	12	$60	156	0	+156	No	-$31	06-03 10:32
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 18?	9	$56	46	46	+0	Yes	+$35	06-19 21:45
GTA 6 launch postponed again?	7	$55	215	108	+108	open	—	08-10 09:29
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 16°C on June 3?	23	$50	470	92	+378	No	-$26	06-03 07:05
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on June 2?	11	$49	40	40	+0	No	+$31	06-02 13:27
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 10?	4	$43	171	0	+171	No	-$43	06-09 21:18
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 9?	2	$41	35	35	+0	Yes	+$29	06-10 00:33
Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?	8	$40	3,202	0	+3,202	No	-$40	08-10 14:32
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C on June 5?	11	$37	137	0	+137	No	-$37	06-05 06:21
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?	7	$37	20	20	+0	Yes	+$3	06-26 15:36
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on June 3?	6	$36	310	0	+310	No	-$36	06-03 04:00
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on June 3?	21	$36	1,500	0	+1,500	No	-$36	06-03 02:32
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?	12	$33	347	277	+69	No	+$10	06-26 12:26
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 10?	7	$33	140	0	+140	Yes	+$107	06-10 01:24
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 18?	6	$30	97	0	+97	No	-$30	06-17 06:49
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 38°C on June 4?	12	$29	540	0	+540	No	-$29	06-03 18:56
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 25 to June 27, 2026?	9	$29	247	147	+100	No	+$3	06-27 00:18
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on June 17?	12	$28	155	0	+155	No	-$28	06-16 16:37
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on June 24?	8	$28	140	0	+140	No	-$18	06-24 07:06

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-10 14:32:34	Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?	Yes	BUY	900	1¢	$5	0xb662ef…
08-10 11:46:42	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on August 11?	No	SELL	0	79¢	$0	0xf3baac…
08-10 11:46:18	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on August 11?	Yes	SELL	0	20¢	$0	0xfebb6e…
08-10 11:45:15	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on August 11?	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x43b17f…
08-10 10:32:30	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 25°C on August 11?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x80a0f7…
08-10 10:29:24	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 25°C on August 11?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x46761e…
08-10 10:27:27	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 25°C on August 11?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x7696e9…
08-10 10:25:13	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 25°C on August 11?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x9f965d…
08-10 10:16:30	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 25°C on August 11?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x62d79d…
08-10 10:13:55	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 25°C on August 11?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x4f0255…
08-10 10:10:15	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 25°C on August 11?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x0a32d0…
08-10 10:05:43	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 25°C on August 11?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x9152f1…
08-10 10:04:16	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 24°C on August 11?	Yes	SELL	0	5¢	$0	0x3ac6ac…
08-10 10:02:55	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 24°C on August 11?	Yes	SELL	0	5¢	$0	0x3e2abb…
08-10 10:01:40	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 24°C on August 11?	Yes	SELL	0	5¢	$0	0x38b366…
08-10 09:53:04	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 24°C on August 11?	Yes	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0x70a5d0…
08-10 09:45:48	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 25°C on August 11?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x7b0989…
08-10 09:40:49	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 24°C on August 11?	Yes	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0x019a37…
08-10 09:32:27	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 94-95°F on August 10?	Yes	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0xfce50c…
08-10 09:29:39	GTA 6 launch postponed again?	Yes	SELL	108	10¢	$11	0xeb2288…
08-10 02:57:33	Will James Fishback at least 30% of votes in the Florida Republican Governor primary?	Yes	BUY	45	1¢	$1	0xfa4ece…
08-10 02:57:33	Will James Fishback win 25–30% of votes in the Florida Republican Governor primary?	Yes	BUY	48	1¢	$1	0x888720…
08-07 14:11:10	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	6¢	$2	0x1f2c24…
08-06 12:09:09	Will Zelenskyy post 100-119 posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0xc8626b…
08-06 11:31:14	Will Zelenskyy post 100-119 posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	3¢	$0	0x296d18…
08-06 11:31:12	Will Zelenskyy post 100-119 posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	27	3¢	$1	0x669626…
08-06 01:22:21	Will James Fishback win 20–25% of votes in the Florida Republican Governor primary?	Yes	BUY	11	3¢	$0	0x665d58…
08-05 19:17:47	Will Zelenskyy post 100-119 posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	3¢	$0	0xf634cd…
08-05 17:58:42	Will Zelenskyy post 40-59 posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x404e71…
08-05 16:20:29	Will Zelenskyy post 40-59 posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xfcb6cf…
08-05 16:20:29	Will Zelenskyy post 100-119 posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0x7f0c95…
08-05 07:59:42	Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?	Yes	BUY	400	2¢	$8	0x87217a…
08-05 05:05:17	Will Zelenskyy post 120-139 posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	1¢	$0	0x0bb30a…
08-05 04:12:54	Will Zelenskyy post 120-139 posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0x34c784…
08-05 04:11:09	Will Zelenskyy post 120-139 posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	31	1¢	$0	0xc5827f…
08-05 04:05:50	Will James Fishback win 25–30% of votes in the Florida Republican Governor primary?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x9e2259…
08-04 21:32:18	Will Zelenskyy post 120-139 posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0xfd824e…
08-04 16:25:06	Will Zelenskyy post 20-39 posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0x501c82…
08-04 14:27:45	Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?	Yes	BUY	490	1¢	$7	0xb2bc98…
08-04 14:25:38	Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?	Yes	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0xcb1b7e…
08-04 14:20:59	Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?	Yes	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0x7fc031…
08-04 14:20:57	Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?	Yes	BUY	4	1¢	$0	0x7a2fbf…
08-04 13:58:33	Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?	Yes	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0x7d1341…
08-04 13:31:51	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0x23f06e…
08-04 13:15:50	Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?	Yes	BUY	1,402	1¢	$20	0x091043…
06-28 16:13:37	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	147	1¢	$2	0x1bafe7…
06-28 14:21:40	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on June 30?	Yes	BUY	15	7¢	$1	0x011757…
06-28 13:55:19	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 27 to June 29, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	41¢	$4	0x54b967…
06-28 13:53:10	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 27 to June 29, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	41¢	$4	0x9cab4c…
06-28 13:35:55	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on June 30?	Yes	BUY	5	7¢	$0	0xc98e29…
06-28 13:35:55	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 30?	Yes	BUY	10	11¢	$1	0xb229b8…
06-28 05:44:35	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 27 to June 29, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	9¢	$4	0xbc1bdb…
06-27 19:46:07	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 27 to June 29, 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	3¢	$1	0x253758…
06-27 16:21:40	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 27 to June 29, 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	17¢	$8	0xd9966c…
06-27 13:56:10	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 27 to June 29, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	8¢	$4	0x872f09…
06-27 00:18:55	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 25 to June 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	4¢	$2	0xa0a6c0…
06-26 23:37:08	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 25 to June 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	7¢	$4	0x829ca3…
06-26 21:57:01	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 25 to June 27, 2026?	Yes	SELL	99	7¢	$7	0x12ed79…
06-26 21:38:56	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 25 to June 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	111	4¢	$4	0xd6bbd9…
06-26 19:13:28	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from June 27 to June 29, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	0¢	$0	0x4355a6…
06-26 19:06:41	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from June 27 to June 29, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0x785950…
06-26 19:06:26	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from June 27 to June 29, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	0¢	$0	0x7918a9…
06-26 19:05:44	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from June 27 to June 29, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0x35c4f7…
06-26 18:39:41	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 25 to June 27, 2026?	Yes	SELL	25	19¢	$5	0xaf42c1…
06-26 18:28:14	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 25 to June 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	171	1¢	$1	0x169c49…
06-26 17:28:29	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 25 to June 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xd11e6a…
06-26 16:59:56	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 25 to June 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	14¢	$7	0x42ee37…
06-26 16:53:37	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 25 to June 27, 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	14¢	$1	0x435a4c…
06-26 16:44:34	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 25 to June 27, 2026?	Yes	SELL	14	14¢	$2	0x794d9d…
06-26 16:09:56	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 25 to June 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	20¢	$0	0x8ea13c…
06-26 16:04:19	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 25 to June 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	35	20¢	$7	0x91a21e…
06-26 15:36:43	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xff2439…
06-26 15:32:38	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x02483c…
06-26 15:32:02	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	3¢	$1	0x2b900b…
06-26 15:31:41	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x24a5a2…
06-26 15:29:59	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 27 to June 29, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	6¢	$3	0x008902…
06-26 15:28:01	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 26?	Yes	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x7adc9f…
06-26 15:21:23	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 25 to June 27, 2026?	Yes	SELL	25	10¢	$2	0x06a68f…
06-26 14:57:40	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 25 to June 27, 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	8¢	$4	0x833d1e…
06-26 14:34:59	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from June 27 to June 29, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x9fc27b…
06-26 14:03:58	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 25 to June 27, 2026?	Yes	SELL	25	9¢	$2	0xc28e8b…
06-26 14:01:01	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0xcf4a1a…
06-26 12:26:38	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	10¢	$1	0x65a0d6…
06-26 12:22:43	will speed not stream 20260625191836838	Yes	BUY	5	9¢	$0	0x3585cb…
06-26 12:22:13	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?	Yes	SELL	18	10¢	$2	0x8f66c4…
06-26 12:12:50	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0x17ec93…
06-26 12:06:43	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from June 25 to June 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x271df3…
06-26 12:06:31	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from June 25 to June 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0xfcac6d…
06-26 09:58:29	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0x047cb9…
06-26 08:14:08	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0x884911…
06-26 08:13:22	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0x209aed…
06-26 07:32:52	will speed not stream 20260625191836838	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x97cfa4…
06-26 07:26:22	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from June 25 to June 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	140	1¢	$2	0x2b3f48…
06-26 07:25:52	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 25 to June 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	147	5¢	$7	0x1a1651…
06-26 07:22:25	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?	Yes	SELL	157	8¢	$13	0x0a0194…
06-26 05:14:25	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 27?	Yes	BUY	13	11¢	$1	0x95cd85…
06-26 04:03:52	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	203	2¢	$3	0xa0cb9f…
06-26 02:30:17	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 27?	Yes	BUY	7	11¢	$1	0x27dbe8…
06-26 02:21:53	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 27?	Yes	BUY	10	8¢	$1	0x2c1a1f…
06-26 01:12:44	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 27?	Yes	BUY	0	9¢	$0	0x6ff580…