Delightful-Wrinkle — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$51.1K

Unrealized P&L

-$3.96K

Hit rate

78.2%

Resolved

Trades

549

lifetime

Volume

$114.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$209

Open exposure

$1.01K

1 position

First seen

2026-05-13

last 10-16 01:18

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 29 days

Categories

Politics

64% 61% +$39,663

Other

34% 75% +$10,519

Crypto

2% 50% +$872

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

31 active days in 12wk • peak 31 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Yes		+31,547	$4,968	3¢	$1.0K	-$3,959	09-24 15:27

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	53	$15.7K	16,433	16,496	-62	No	+$11,140	05-15 17:03
Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	24	$12.6K	12,633	13,844	-1,210	No	+$10,817	05-15 17:04
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	11	$8.7K	61,547	30,000	+31,547	open	—	09-24 15:27
Will Maura Sullivan be the Democratic nominee for NH-01?	9	$6.7K	6,011	6,011	+0	No	+$4,575	09-09 01:53
Will Stefany Shaheen be the Democratic nominee for NH-01?	13	$6.3K	5,681	5,681	+0	Yes	+$4,380	09-09 01:44
Will Darline Graham Nordone win the SC Republican Senate special primary runoff by less than 5%?	18	$5.6K	14,399	0	+14,399	Yes	+$8,781	08-26 01:58
Will Darline Graham Nordone win the SC Republican Senate special primary runoff by 5–10%?	3	$4.9K	9,765	0	+9,765	No	+$4,897	08-26 01:59
Will Trump attend his son's wedding?	29	$4.5K	6,987	0	+6,987	No	+$2,474	05-22 04:30
U.S. strike on Nigeria by June 30, 2026?	22	$3.9K	9,308	0	+9,308	Yes	-$3,883	05-16 09:17
Will Trump praise Xi Jinping in August?	19	$3.7K	11,551	10,000	+1,551	Yes	-$1,171	08-29 22:59
Will Dan Green be the Republican nominee for FL-09?	6	$3.1K	6,370	0	+6,370	Yes	+$3,252	08-18 23:16
Will Trump say "250" or "250th" during events in Rockland County?	20	$2.9K	2,926	2,488	+438	No	-$966	05-22 21:46
Will Trump and Xi handshake last 15 seconds or longer during the day of their next meeting in 2026?	24	$2.9K	2,124	2,124	+0	No	+$965	05-14 03:09
Will Trump say "Ammunition" this week?	6	$2.7K	10,864	0	+10,864	No	-$2,701	10-12 20:00
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	7	$2.6K	2,567	2,567	+0	No	+$2,512	05-15 17:04
Will Jorge Martinez be the Republican nominee for FL-09?	2	$2.3K	3,000	0	+3,000	No	+$693	08-18 02:57
will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 15 20260807213124704	2	$2.0K	1,799	1,799	+0	Yes	+$1,617	08-12 22:09
laptop fdv above 1b one day after launch	3	$1.7K	2,000	2,000	+0	No	+$660	09-09 23:05
Will Kevin Steele be the FL-14 Republican nominee?	7	$1.4K	4,826	0	+4,826	No	-$1,419	08-18 22:28
Will Trump say "Dumbocrat" during Bret Baier interview?	13	$1.2K	8,272	0	+8,272	Yes	-$1,219	05-16 19:55
Will Bernard Taylor be the FL-21 Democratic nominee?	2	$1.2K	2,330	0	+2,330	No	+$849	08-18 23:24
Will the Trump and Xi handshake last 6–10 seconds during their summit?	7	$1.1K	5,625	0	+5,625	No	-$1,092	09-24 15:21
Will Trump say "Shanghai" during events with Xi Jinping?	4	$778	638	300	+338	No	+$107	05-15 04:58
Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?	3	$746	1,782	120	+1,662	No	+$1,125	05-15 05:56
will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 14 20260807213124703	5	$745	718	718	+0	Yes	+$689	08-12 22:09
nato x russia military clash by august 31 2026	1	$719	2,130	0	+2,130	No	-$719	08-20 23:00
Will Trump say "Turkey" or "Turkiye" in May?	3	$698	814	0	+814	Yes	+$116	05-21 20:10
Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?	12	$682	3,234	0	+3,234	No	+$2,552	05-14 03:44
Will Trump say "God" 5+ times during Coast Guard event?	5	$630	665	0	+665	Yes	+$35	05-20 16:44
Will Eric Trump post about $LAPTOP by September 30?	39	$597	12,069	0	+12,069	No	-$597	09-26 09:53

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-16 01:18:46	Will the Tesla Roadster's 0-60 time be less than 1 second?	Yes	BUY	86	87¢	$75	0xb12132…
10-16 01:18:43	Will the Tesla Roadster's 0-60 time be less than 1 second?	Yes	BUY	25	87¢	$22	0xb03698…
10-12 20:00:26	Will Trump say "Ammunition" this week?	Yes	BUY	1,012	22¢	$224	0xc2e5b1…
10-12 18:29:29	Will Trump say "Ammunition" this week?	Yes	BUY	455	21¢	$98	0x5c5456…
10-12 17:43:35	Will Trump say "Ammunition" this week?	Yes	BUY	773	28¢	$215	0xb67661…
10-12 17:40:17	Will Trump say "Ammunition" this week?	Yes	BUY	1,290	27¢	$347	0x6e53fe…
10-12 17:32:14	Will Trump say "Ammunition" this week?	Yes	BUY	5,000	25¢	$1,250	0x2a088c…
10-12 17:32:08	Will Trump say "Ammunition" this week?	Yes	BUY	2,334	24¢	$569	0xf77b1d…
09-28 18:30:11	US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10,000	1¢	$90	0x18bf3d…
09-28 18:29:54	US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xfa48e6…
09-28 18:29:50	US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10,623	1¢	$82	0x02abbd…
09-26 20:48:56	Will Josh Hawley vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act?	Yes	SELL	1,396	14¢	$201	0x8b3699…
09-26 09:53:11	Will Eric Trump post about $LAPTOP by September 30?	Yes	BUY	109	4¢	$4	0xdc76c2…
09-26 09:53:11	Will Eric Trump post about $LAPTOP by September 30?	Yes	BUY	20	3¢	$1	0x5f51eb…
09-26 09:53:08	Will Eric Trump post about $LAPTOP by September 30?	Yes	BUY	100	4¢	$4	0xc16d52…
09-25 15:00:45	Will Eric Trump post about $LAPTOP by September 30?	Yes	BUY	291	4¢	$11	0xef44e3…
09-25 15:00:06	Will Eric Trump post about $LAPTOP by September 30?	Yes	BUY	16	4¢	$1	0x48315f…
09-25 14:59:50	Will Eric Trump post about $LAPTOP by September 30?	Yes	BUY	123	4¢	$5	0x253c85…
09-25 14:50:05	Will Eric Trump post about $LAPTOP by September 30?	Yes	BUY	200	4¢	$8	0xb066ea…
09-24 23:49:11	Will Jensen Huang attend the White House state dinner for Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	216	100¢	$216	0x788c1e…
09-24 23:49:00	Will Tim Cook attend the White House state dinner for Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	137	100¢	$136	0xffff03…
09-24 23:48:45	Will Elon Musk attend the White House state dinner for Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	264	100¢	$264	0x01c485…
09-24 20:10:32	Will Eric Trump post about $LAPTOP by September 30?	Yes	BUY	100	4¢	$4	0x53e6d7…
09-24 20:10:32	Will Eric Trump post about $LAPTOP by September 30?	Yes	BUY	407	4¢	$16	0x365cb6…
09-24 20:10:32	Will Eric Trump post about $LAPTOP by September 30?	Yes	BUY	40	4¢	$2	0x265565…
09-24 15:27:38	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	30,000	6¢	$1,862	0x98b161…
09-24 15:21:35	Will the Trump and Xi handshake last 6–10 seconds during their summit?	Yes	BUY	13	15¢	$2	0xd30a83…
09-24 15:20:47	Will the Trump and Xi handshake last 6–10 seconds during their summit?	Yes	BUY	30	15¢	$4	0x40c42d…
09-24 15:20:45	Will the Trump and Xi handshake last 6–10 seconds during their summit?	Yes	BUY	10	15¢	$2	0xee7c98…
09-24 15:20:45	Will the Trump and Xi handshake last 6–10 seconds during their summit?	Yes	BUY	10	15¢	$2	0xd48330…
09-24 15:20:45	Will the Trump and Xi handshake last 6–10 seconds during their summit?	Yes	BUY	8	15¢	$1	0xae43b1…
09-24 00:36:26	Will Rand Paul vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act?	Yes	SELL	1,461	11¢	$161	0x301917…
09-23 22:12:52	Will the Trump and Xi handshake last 10–15 seconds during their summit?	Yes	BUY	521	8¢	$43	0x8b13fe…
09-23 22:02:40	Will the Trump and Xi handshake last 2–6 seconds during their summit?	Yes	BUY	173	16¢	$27	0xa23382…
09-23 21:55:40	Will Eric Trump post about $LAPTOP by September 30?	Yes	BUY	186	5¢	$9	0xf8f20b…
09-23 21:55:40	Will Eric Trump post about $LAPTOP by September 30?	Yes	BUY	186	5¢	$9	0xeceb43…
09-23 21:55:17	Will the Trump and Xi handshake last 2–6 seconds during their summit?	Yes	BUY	94	5¢	$5	0x2a3159…
09-23 21:55:04	Will Eric Trump post about $LAPTOP by September 30?	Yes	BUY	2	5¢	$0	0x9166fe…
09-23 21:55:04	Will Eric Trump post about $LAPTOP by September 30?	Yes	BUY	50	5¢	$2	0x70a8a3…
09-23 21:55:02	Will Eric Trump post about $LAPTOP by September 30?	Yes	BUY	4	5¢	$0	0x5145b0…
09-23 21:55:02	Will Eric Trump post about $LAPTOP by September 30?	Yes	BUY	31	5¢	$1	0x0e42d3…
09-23 21:55:01	Will Eric Trump post about $LAPTOP by September 30?	Yes	BUY	870	5¢	$41	0x6d59b9…
09-23 21:35:35	Will the Trump and Xi handshake last 2–6 seconds during their summit?	Yes	BUY	141	5¢	$7	0xe35921…
09-23 21:21:47	Will the Trump and Xi handshake last 15 seconds or longer during their summit?	No	BUY	634	59¢	$373	0xb6d4e1…
09-23 21:20:19	Will the Trump and Xi handshake last 6–10 seconds during their summit?	Yes	BUY	990	22¢	$214	0xddb82a…
09-23 21:13:22	Will the Trump and Xi handshake last 2–6 seconds during their summit?	Yes	BUY	984	6¢	$59	0x0a7fab…
09-23 19:30:02	Will the Trump and Xi handshake last 6–10 seconds during their summit?	Yes	BUY	4,564	19¢	$867	0x50cf7f…
09-22 09:14:21	Will Eric Trump post about $LAPTOP by September 30?	Yes	BUY	47	6¢	$3	0xb19ef7…
09-22 09:12:06	Will Eric Trump post about $LAPTOP by September 30?	Yes	BUY	372	6¢	$22	0xa182b6…
09-22 09:12:06	Will Eric Trump post about $LAPTOP by September 30?	Yes	BUY	1	6¢	$0	0x0eb282…
09-21 14:59:55	Will Eric Trump post about $LAPTOP by September 30?	Yes	BUY	36	6¢	$2	0xf66baa…
09-20 09:47:46	Will Eric Trump post about $LAPTOP by September 30?	Yes	BUY	50	6¢	$3	0x2a7099…
09-20 08:13:21	Will Eric Trump post about $LAPTOP by September 30?	Yes	BUY	49	6¢	$3	0x230a7a…
09-19 21:57:27	Will Eric Trump post about $LAPTOP by September 30?	Yes	BUY	2	6¢	$0	0x594776…
09-18 08:21:55	Will Eric Trump post about $LAPTOP by September 30?	Yes	BUY	100	6¢	$6	0x019ff1…
09-17 21:58:39	Will Eric Trump post about $LAPTOP by September 30?	Yes	BUY	50	6¢	$3	0xafe029…
09-15 21:11:49	Will Eric Trump post about $LAPTOP by September 30?	Yes	BUY	210	6¢	$12	0xef8389…
09-15 21:09:27	Will Eric Trump post about $LAPTOP by September 30?	Yes	BUY	162	2¢	$4	0x616e9a…
09-15 19:27:27	Will Rand Paul vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act?	Yes	BUY	505	10¢	$50	0x0daa98…
09-15 19:27:06	Will Rand Paul vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act?	Yes	BUY	956	9¢	$86	0xa94b69…
09-15 18:55:49	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	30,000	5¢	$1,500	0x080594…
09-15 14:54:10	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	8,685	11¢	$955	0x4c4c6d…
09-15 14:52:07	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	11¢	$0	0xbd57b7…
09-15 14:49:42	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	0	11¢	$0	0xb8762d…
09-15 14:48:48	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	241	11¢	$27	0xca2202…
09-15 14:48:48	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,010	11¢	$111	0x9ff311…
09-15 14:48:27	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	11¢	$6	0x83bf93…
09-15 14:48:18	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	11¢	$1	0x78f17f…
09-15 05:54:03	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	7,899	19¢	$1,501	0xae3686…
09-15 04:13:21	Will Josh Hawley vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act?	Yes	BUY	1,396	11¢	$158	0x939e7e…
09-15 03:46:49	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	13,648	20¢	$2,730	0x4ed2a0…
09-10 17:35:45	Will JD Vance say "American Dream" during RNC Convention?	Yes	BUY	158	61¢	$97	0x818bbd…
09-10 17:12:30	Will Trump say "My Father" during RNC Convention?	No	BUY	50	75¢	$38	0x26c1c3…
09-10 17:10:55	Will Trump say "My Father" during RNC Convention?	No	BUY	148	74¢	$110	0x45d6cb…
09-10 04:48:30	Will Eric Trump post about $LAPTOP by September 30?	Yes	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0x531738…
09-10 03:53:19	laptop fdv above 750m one day after launch	No	BUY	405	56¢	$225	0xdbe538…
09-10 03:53:07	laptop fdv above 750m one day after launch	No	BUY	20	53¢	$11	0x84580a…
09-10 03:28:06	will laptop dip to 0pt10 by september 30 2026	Yes	BUY	371	27¢	$100	0x8924a5…
09-10 03:23:51	laptop fdv above 2b one day after launch	Yes	BUY	563	6¢	$31	0x065f28…
09-10 03:20:58	laptop fdv above 750m one day after launch	No	BUY	450	59¢	$266	0xec29bc…
09-10 03:20:03	laptop fdv above 750m one day after launch	No	BUY	20	57¢	$11	0xd579b3…
09-10 00:17:36	Will Aaron Guckian win the 2026 Rhode Island Governor Republican primary election?	Yes	BUY	15	14¢	$2	0x5e2e8f…
09-10 00:17:21	Will Elaine Pelino win the 2026 Rhode Island Governor Republican primary election?	No	BUY	297	15¢	$43	0xd8e71f…
09-10 00:17:16	Will Elaine Pelino win the 2026 Rhode Island Governor Republican primary election?	No	BUY	368	15¢	$54	0x302bd0…
09-10 00:13:49	Will Elaine Pelino win the 2026 Rhode Island Governor Republican primary election?	No	BUY	400	11¢	$44	0xe05103…
09-10 00:13:10	Will Elaine Pelino win the 2026 Rhode Island Governor Republican primary election?	No	BUY	230	11¢	$25	0x73c13b…
09-10 00:13:07	Will Elaine Pelino win the 2026 Rhode Island Governor Republican primary election?	No	BUY	455	10¢	$48	0x50900f…
09-10 00:13:01	Will Aaron Guckian win the 2026 Rhode Island Governor Republican primary election?	Yes	BUY	236	11¢	$26	0x42e97d…
09-10 00:12:19	Will Elaine Pelino win the 2026 Rhode Island Governor Republican primary election?	No	BUY	280	11¢	$30	0x14a3b4…
09-10 00:12:12	Will Elaine Pelino win the 2026 Rhode Island Governor Republican primary election?	No	BUY	284	10¢	$30	0x4154f9…
09-10 00:12:04	Will Aaron Guckian win the 2026 Rhode Island Governor Republican primary election?	Yes	BUY	208	11¢	$23	0x511ea3…
09-10 00:11:58	Will Aaron Guckian win the 2026 Rhode Island Governor Republican primary election?	Yes	BUY	6	11¢	$1	0xf34cab…
09-10 00:11:58	Will Aaron Guckian win the 2026 Rhode Island Governor Republican primary election?	Yes	BUY	28	11¢	$3	0xd84151…
09-10 00:11:57	Will Aaron Guckian win the 2026 Rhode Island Governor Republican primary election?	Yes	BUY	5	11¢	$1	0xd7327d…
09-10 00:11:57	Will Aaron Guckian win the 2026 Rhode Island Governor Republican primary election?	Yes	BUY	85	10¢	$9	0x94429c…
09-10 00:11:57	Will Aaron Guckian win the 2026 Rhode Island Governor Republican primary election?	Yes	BUY	50	11¢	$5	0x931a0b…
09-10 00:11:57	Will Aaron Guckian win the 2026 Rhode Island Governor Republican primary election?	Yes	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x86342b…
09-10 00:11:57	Will Aaron Guckian win the 2026 Rhode Island Governor Republican primary election?	Yes	BUY	5	11¢	$1	0x75bff1…
09-10 00:11:57	Will Aaron Guckian win the 2026 Rhode Island Governor Republican primary election?	Yes	BUY	5	11¢	$1	0x606fc9…
09-10 00:11:57	Will Aaron Guckian win the 2026 Rhode Island Governor Republican primary election?	Yes	BUY	86	11¢	$9	0x4e5de6…