Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$105

Unrealized P&L

-$5

Hit rate

54.9%

Resolved

175

Trades

343

lifetime

Volume

$3.20K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$43

1 position

First seen

2026-08-11

last 11-09 20:48

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 45 days

Categories

Other

80% 44% -$139

Sports

12% 50% +$21

Crypto

6% 66% +$12

Politics

3% 38% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

42 active days in 12wk • peak 24 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Kai Cenat finish his GTA marathon by November 11, 7:59 AM ET?	No		+69	$47	62¢	$43	-$5	11-09 20:48

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Lacy and Marlon have fewer than 100 Fortnite deaths during the marathon?	8	$156	301	301	+0	Yes	-$2	09-04 19:31
Will Kai Cenat finish his GTA marathon by November 14?	4	$109	97	97	+0	open	—	11-09 17:56
jynxzi vs speed who wins in fifa	7	$102	81	81	+0	Speed	$0	08-25 19:15
Will Vitality Win the PGL Masters Bucharest 2026?	5	$102	171	98	+73	No	-$18	10-30 13:50
jynxzi vs speed who wins in fortnite	5	$83	54	54	+0	Speed	+$3	08-25 18:56
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from August 28 to September 4, 2026?	2	$81	44	44	+0	No	+$6	09-04 16:37
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 25 to September 1, 2026?	4	$77	48	48	+0	Yes	+$17	09-01 15:38
Valorant: Eternal Fire vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - Project Blender Phase 2 Group B	2	$77	49	49	+0	Eternal Fire	+$22	10-22 14:00
Valorant: 100 Thieves vs G2 Esports (BO3) - VCT Champions Playoffs	4	$76	89	74	+15	100 Thieves	+$31	10-16 13:09
lacy and marlon beat gaming challenge by september 5 2026 1159 pm et	5	$70	116	53	+63	No	+$14	09-04 21:37
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 5 to September 7, 2026?	1	$67	111	0	+111	No	-$67	09-06 10:01
jynxzi vs speed gaming challenge winner	2	$64	81	81	+0	Speed	+$18	08-25 21:32
Will Lacy and Marlon have between 50 and 99 Warzone deaths during the marathon?	5	$60	78	54	+24	Yes	-$10	09-04 22:22
Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get 55 million or more views in week 1?	4	$60	59	39	+21	No	+$17	10-15 21:55
UFC 333: Alexander Volkov vs. Rizvan Kuniev (Heavyweight, Main Card)	2	$54	35	35	+0	Alexander Volkov	+$15	10-24 19:04
Will Kai Cenat finish his GTA marathon by November 11, 7:59 AM ET?	3	$47	69	0	+69	open	—	11-09 20:48
lacy and marlon beat gaming challenge by september 6 2026 1159 pm et	3	$46	46	46	+0	Yes	+$6	09-04 19:56
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	2	$45	30	30	+0	Yes	+$15	10-27 15:57
UFC 333: Grant Dawson vs. Nurullo Aliev (Lightweight, Prelims)	3	$44	29	29	+0	Grant Dawson	+$14	10-24 17:13
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-20?	2	$44	90	23	+66	No	-$26	10-20 20:22
cs2 eac fnc 2026 09 23 game2	2	$44	34	34	+0	fnatic	+$8	09-23 15:16
UFC 333: Merab Dvalishvili vs. Petr Yan (Bantamweight, Main Card)	3	$44	50	32	+19	Petr Yan	+$4	10-24 20:22
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	3	$40	98	60	+38	No	-$7	10-30 14:00
Will Jack Doherty post again on X by October 31?	2	$38	31	31	+0	No	+$18	10-22 11:24
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	2	$37	32	32	+0	Yes	-$3	10-28 06:17
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 28 to September 4, 2026?	5	$36	84	0	+84	No	-$36	09-03 19:42
Canza FDV above $150M one day after launch?	2	$35	30	30	+0	open	—	10-30 13:59
Will Jynxzi beat the Elden Ring DLC by October 25?	2	$32	48	48	+0	Yes	-$8	10-23 14:13
UFC 333: Abubakar Vagaev vs. Jacob Malkoun (Middleweight, Early Prelims)	2	$31	25	25	+0	Abubakar Vagaev	+$1	10-24 15:29
will jynxzi reach unreal rank in fortnite by october 23 2026	3	$30	59	38	+21	Yes	+$21	10-16 09:33

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-09 20:48:43	Will Kai Cenat finish his GTA marathon by November 11, 7:59 AM ET?	No	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0xf4abe6…
11-09 20:48:36	Will Kai Cenat finish his GTA marathon by November 11, 7:59 AM ET?	No	BUY	16	64¢	$10	0x8a8413…
11-09 19:14:52	Will Kai Cenat finish his GTA marathon by November 11, 2:59 PM ET?	No	SELL	41	35¢	$14	0x37c9fb…
11-09 18:08:07	Will Kai Cenat finish his GTA marathon by November 11, 7:59 AM ET?	No	BUY	48	71¢	$34	0xe73b7c…
11-09 17:59:58	Will Kai Cenat finish his GTA marathon by November 11, 2:59 PM ET?	No	BUY	41	37¢	$15	0x8a6cbf…
11-09 17:56:33	Will Kai Cenat finish his GTA marathon by November 14?	Yes	SELL	52	97¢	$50	0x54b65c…
11-06 15:44:58	Will Kai Cenat finish his GTA marathon by November 14?	Yes	BUY	52	67¢	$35	0x368f62…
11-06 07:05:55	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	31	48¢	$15	0x516563…
11-06 06:59:33	Will Kai Cenat finish his GTA marathon by November 14?	No	SELL	45	31¢	$14	0x1e4a55…
11-05 20:35:49	Will Kai Cenat finish his GTA marathon by November 14?	No	BUY	45	22¢	$10	0x697918…
11-01 21:44:49	Valorant: Gentle Mates GC vs KRÜ Blaze (BO5) - VCT Game Changers Championship Playoffs	Gentle Mates GC	BUY	43	55¢	$24	0x891872…
10-30 14:00:04	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	38	23¢	$9	0xeac2e3…
10-30 13:59:00	Canza FDV above $150M one day after launch?	No	SELL	30	51¢	$15	0xecd6b3…
10-30 13:50:19	Will Vitality Win the PGL Masters Bucharest 2026?	Yes	BUY	73	41¢	$30	0xc2c8a7…
10-30 13:48:54	Will Vitality Win the PGL Masters Bucharest 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	43¢	$22	0x6b3851…
10-30 11:58:16	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	60	27¢	$16	0x58cad2…
10-30 08:00:31	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	60	25¢	$15	0x34630c…
10-28 18:40:46	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0x87c3d2…
10-28 18:40:43	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	32	31¢	$10	0x373832…
10-28 17:28:01	Counter-Strike: GamersLab Esports vs BOJONG (BO1) - ESEA Advanced Europe Regular Season	GamersLab Esports	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x428a90…
10-28 17:07:17	Valorant: MIBR GC vs SK Nebula - Map 1 Winner	SK Nebula	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x13b395…
10-28 14:23:02	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x044a05…
10-28 14:22:46	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xece959…
10-28 13:34:14	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	46	33¢	$15	0xb16343…
10-28 13:34:11	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0xe66299…
10-28 12:36:14	Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Nemiga (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	TheMongolz	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0x4dbab7…
10-28 06:17:04	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	32	53¢	$17	0x096fb9…
10-27 20:10:09	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	32	63¢	$20	0xb92783…
10-27 18:56:23	Valorant: MIBR GC vs Gentle Mates GC - Map 2 Winner	MIBR GC	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x160a9b…
10-27 15:57:41	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	SELL	30	99¢	$30	0xc7cc6a…
10-26 20:03:33	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	50¢	$15	0x59a6ca…
10-26 17:57:12	Valorant: SK Nebula vs FENNEL Female - Map 1 Winner	FENNEL Female	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0xa79c9a…
10-26 16:54:06	Will Spirit Win the PGL Masters Bucharest 2026?	Yes	BUY	45	22¢	$10	0xb2f6c4…
10-25 19:23:21	Will Iran target Iraq by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0x54cfad…
10-25 18:10:35	Valorant: Gen.G GC vs FENNEL Female - Map 1 Winner	FENNEL Female	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x753850…
10-25 12:42:29	Valorant: BBL Esports vs Fire Flux Esports (BO5) - Monsters Reloaded Playoffs	BBL Esports	BUY	10	41¢	$4	0xe0db00…
10-25 12:30:17	Valorant: BBL Esports vs Fire Flux Esports (BO5) - Monsters Reloaded Playoffs	BBL Esports	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0x1a0de1…
10-25 07:52:56	Valorant: Dragon Ranger Gaming vs Nova Esports (BO5) - VCT Threshold China Week 1	Dragon Ranger Gaming	BUY	28	43¢	$12	0xf17a2b…
10-24 21:55:12	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	35	40¢	$14	0x719dc3…
10-24 20:38:48	Will Vitality Win the PGL Masters Bucharest 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	40¢	$20	0xd433c9…
10-24 20:38:03	UFC 333: Alexander Volkanovski vs. Movsar Evloev (Featherweight, Main Card)	Alexander Volkanovski	BUY	51	49¢	$25	0x8f385a…
10-24 20:22:38	UFC 333: Merab Dvalishvili vs. Petr Yan (Bantamweight, Main Card)	Merab Dvalishvili	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0x137c3d…
10-24 20:21:56	UFC 333: Merab Dvalishvili vs. Petr Yan (Bantamweight, Main Card)	Petr Yan	SELL	32	75¢	$24	0x748e09…
10-24 20:00:00	UFC 333: Merab Dvalishvili vs. Petr Yan (Bantamweight, Main Card)	Petr Yan	BUY	32	47¢	$15	0x77d998…
10-24 19:25:51	UFC 333: Ramazan Temirov vs. Lone'er Kavanagh (Flyweight, Main Card)	Lone'er Kavanagh	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x2004fa…
10-24 19:04:47	UFC 333: Alexander Volkov vs. Rizvan Kuniev (Heavyweight, Main Card)	Alexander Volkov	SELL	35	99¢	$34	0x0697d3…
10-24 18:30:18	UFC 333: Alexander Volkov vs. Rizvan Kuniev (Heavyweight, Main Card)	Alexander Volkov	BUY	35	56¢	$19	0xade4ec…
10-24 18:29:41	Will Vitality Win the PGL Masters Bucharest 2026?	Yes	SELL	48	43¢	$20	0xe8bd5d…
10-24 17:58:53	O/U 2.5 Rounds	Over	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0xb6332b…
10-24 17:55:26	UFC 333: Aaron Pico vs. Losene Keita (Featherweight, Prelims)	Losene Keita	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0xdb7c34…
10-24 17:13:35	UFC 333: Grant Dawson vs. Nurullo Aliev (Lightweight, Prelims)	Grant Dawson	SELL	29	100¢	$29	0x659884…
10-24 16:46:08	UFC 333: Abus Magomedov vs. Cam Rowston (Middleweight, Prelims)	Cam Rowston	BUY	20	48¢	$10	0x14746a…
10-24 15:57:09	UFC 333: Grant Dawson vs. Nurullo Aliev (Lightweight, Prelims)	Grant Dawson	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xccd92f…
10-24 15:45:06	UFC 333: Grant Dawson vs. Nurullo Aliev (Lightweight, Prelims)	Grant Dawson	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0xa51d33…
10-24 15:29:54	UFC 333: Abubakar Vagaev vs. Jacob Malkoun (Middleweight, Early Prelims)	Abubakar Vagaev	SELL	25	65¢	$16	0xb85fd1…
10-24 15:17:05	UFC 333: Abubakar Vagaev vs. Jacob Malkoun (Middleweight, Early Prelims)	Abubakar Vagaev	BUY	25	60¢	$15	0xdd6cec…
10-24 14:44:24	UFC 333: Daniel Santos vs. Bolaji Oki (Featherweight, Early Prelims)	Daniel Santos	SELL	20	51¢	$10	0x0f7afe…
10-24 14:40:59	UFC 333: Daniel Santos vs. Bolaji Oki (Featherweight, Early Prelims)	Daniel Santos	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x24f212…
10-24 14:31:47	Fight to Go the Distance?	Yes	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0xdfe0b8…
10-24 13:21:56	Valorant: FUT Esports vs Fire Flux Esports (BO3) - Monsters Reloaded Playoffs	FUT Esports	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x868c74…
10-24 13:05:47	Valorant: CGN Esports vs Eintracht Frankfurt (BO3) - Project Blender Phase 2 Playoffs	Eintracht Frankfurt	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x80f250…
10-24 12:49:11	UFC 333: Daniel Santos vs. Bolaji Oki (Featherweight, Early Prelims)	Bolaji Oki	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0xc2292e…
10-23 18:19:23	Valorant: Team Liquid Brazil vs Gentle Mates GC (BO3) - VCT Game Changers Championship Playoffs	Gentle Mates GC	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0x37c38c…
10-23 15:41:14	Will Jynxzi beat the Elden Ring DLC by October 23?	No	BUY	15	32¢	$5	0x250926…
10-23 14:13:20	Will Jynxzi beat the Elden Ring DLC by October 25?	No	SELL	48	25¢	$12	0x17aa46…
10-22 17:39:29	Will Jynxzi beat the Elden Ring DLC by October 24?	Yes	SELL	19	39¢	$7	0x3977f8…
10-22 17:39:21	Will Jynxzi beat the Elden Ring DLC by October 25?	No	BUY	48	42¢	$20	0x43c86d…
10-22 14:00:06	Valorant: Blezz vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - Project Blender Phase 2 Group B	Blezz	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x6258cf…
10-22 14:00:02	Valorant: Eternal Fire vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - Project Blender Phase 2 Group B	Eternal Fire	SELL	49	100¢	$49	0xc400d8…
10-22 11:25:23	Valorant: Eternal Fire vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - Project Blender Phase 2 Group B	Eternal Fire	BUY	49	56¢	$28	0x9562a2…
10-22 11:24:54	Will Jack Doherty post again on X by October 31?	No	SELL	31	88¢	$28	0xe35a67…
10-21 19:53:11	Valorant: Eternal Fire vs Blezz (BO3) - Project Blender Phase 2 Group B	Blezz	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0x243e8f…
10-21 19:51:33	Valorant: Team George vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - Project Blender Phase 2 Group B	Team George	SELL	15	18¢	$3	0x657813…
10-21 19:49:03	Will Trump say "Hell" 15+ times during his Midterm Rally in South Carolina?	No	BUY	35	57¢	$20	0xb9c2ca…
10-21 19:45:41	Valorant: Team George vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - Project Blender Phase 2 Group B	Team George	BUY	15	20¢	$3	0x76ade3…
10-21 19:37:29	Will Jynxzi beat the Elden Ring DLC by October 24?	Yes	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x88e3f8…
10-21 15:38:30	Valorant: CGN Esports vs Joblife (BO3) - Project Blender Phase 2 Group A	Joblife	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0x169d0b…
10-20 20:54:45	Canza FDV above $150M one day after launch?	No	BUY	30	67¢	$20	0x8ebd80…
10-20 20:48:45	Will Vitality Win the PGL Masters Bucharest 2026?	Yes	BUY	48	21¢	$10	0xaf37a7…
10-20 20:45:41	Will Trump say "Hell" 15+ times during his Midterm Rally in North Carolina?	No	BUY	42	48¢	$20	0x9369ee…
10-20 20:22:32	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-20?	Yes	SELL	23	39¢	$9	0x64224b…
10-20 18:06:41	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-20?	Yes	BUY	90	39¢	$35	0xc4c8d9…
10-18 09:39:09	Valorant: LOUD vs Team Vitality - Map 4 Winner	Team Vitality	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x4d38b5…
10-18 09:33:50	Valorant: LOUD vs Team Vitality - Map 4 Winner	Team Vitality	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0x85cd62…
10-18 09:18:45	Valorant: LOUD vs Team Vitality - Map 3 Winner	LOUD	SELL	21	92¢	$19	0x97047f…
10-18 09:00:51	Valorant: LOUD vs Team Vitality - Map 3 Winner	LOUD	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x92d847…
10-18 09:00:24	Valorant: LOUD vs Team Vitality - Map 3 Winner	LOUD	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x1f8c71…
10-18 07:39:11	Valorant: LOUD vs Team Vitality - Map 2 Winner	Team Vitality	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xa8b7f6…
10-18 07:23:59	Valorant: LOUD vs Team Vitality - Map 1 Winner	LOUD	SELL	7	58¢	$4	0xbe21fc…
10-18 06:57:33	Valorant: LOUD vs Team Vitality - Map 1 Winner	LOUD	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0x55fabc…
10-18 06:55:27	Valorant: LOUD vs Team Vitality - Map 1 Winner	LOUD	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0x203277…
10-17 16:40:18	val loud vit 2026 10 18	Team Vitality	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0xb4a497…
10-17 16:40:11	val loud vit 2026 10 18 game2	Team Vitality	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x494faa…
10-17 10:28:44	val vit 100t1 2026 10 17	100 Thieves	BUY	24	41¢	$10	0xe0560c…
10-16 16:54:34	val vit 100t1 2026 10 17 map handicap home 1pt5	100 Thieves	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0x16c798…
10-16 13:09:04	Valorant: 100 Thieves vs G2 Esports (BO3) - VCT Champions Playoffs	100 Thieves	SELL	5	73¢	$4	0xa6516a…
10-16 12:17:52	Valorant: 100 Thieves vs G2 Esports (BO3) - VCT Champions Playoffs	100 Thieves	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x9e4a92…
10-16 12:05:15	Valorant: 100 Thieves vs G2 Esports (BO3) - VCT Champions Playoffs	G2 Esports	SELL	69	61¢	$42	0x6b35bd…
10-16 09:45:30	Valorant: 100 Thieves vs G2 Esports (BO3) - VCT Champions Playoffs	G2 Esports	BUY	69	36¢	$25	0x035872…
10-16 09:33:54	will jynxzi reach unreal rank in fortnite by october 23 2026	Yes	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0xd1fa29…