Realized P&L
+$118
Unrealized P&L
-$2
Hit rate
91.8%
Resolved
773
Trades
1,292
lifetime
Volume
$11.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$9
Open exposure
$174
21 positions
First seen
2026-03-14
last 11-12 08:30
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 78 days
Categories
Other
82% 86% +$156
Crypto
16% 78% -$41
Politics
1% 25% +$3
Tech
1% 33% -$2
Pop-Culture
0% 0% $0
Sports
0% 50% +$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
65 active days in 12wk • peak 105 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 29°C on November 12? Yes +65 $59 98¢ $64 +$5 11-12 08:30
Will GPT Astra 6.1+ be released between November 9 and November 15, 2026? No +12 $6 88¢ $11 +$5 11-08 20:15
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 54-55°F on November 12? No +10 $10 99¢ $10 +$0 11-12 04:00
Will the highest temperature in London be 7°C on November 12? No +10 $10 96¢ $10 +$0 11-11 23:00
Will the next Gemini Flash-Lite model (3.6+) be released on November 26, 2026? No +10 $9 92¢ $9 +$0 11-12 04:05
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 10°C on November 12? No +8 $8 100¢ $8 +$0 11-12 09:10
Will GPT Astra 6.1+ be released on November 19, 2026? No +10 $9 67¢ $7 -$2 11-11 22:30
Will Anthropic be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of November 2026? No +7 $6 91¢ $6 +$1 11-08 13:42
Will the next Grok model (4.8+) be released on November 26, 2026? No +6 $5 92¢ $6 +$0 11-08 20:15
Will Moonshot be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of November 2026? No +6 $4 84¢ $5 +$1 11-10 04:06
Will GPT Astra 6.1+ be released between November 16 and November 22, 2026? No +10 $9 46¢ $5 -$4 11-08 20:15
Will OpenAI have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of November 2026? No +5 $4 91¢ $5 +$0 11-08 13:42
Will Tencent be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of November 2026? No +5 $4 90¢ $4 +$0 11-08 14:48
Will Google be the second-best AI lab at the end of November 2026? No +5 $4 85¢ $4 +$0 11-08 13:42
Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of November 2026? No +5 $4 84¢ $4 $0 11-08 13:42
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? No +5 $4 81¢ $4 +$0 11-08 13:42
Will Google be the second-best AI Agent Lab at the end of November 2026? Yes +8 $4 47¢ $4 $0 11-11 16:21
Will Google be the third-best AI Agent Lab at the end of November 2026? No +6 $4 57¢ $3 $0 11-09 23:12
Will OpenAI be the second-best AI Agent Lab at the end of November 2026? No +5 $3 57¢ $3 $0 11-09 23:12
Will OpenAI be the third-best AI Agent Lab at the end of November 2026? Yes +5 $2 40¢ $2 +$0 11-09 23:12
Will the lowest temperature in Helsinki be 3°C on November 12? No +14 $10 12¢ $2 -$8 11-11 21:22