Realized P&L
+$76
Unrealized P&L
+$10
Hit rate
91.6%
Resolved
801
Trades
1,344
lifetime
Volume
$12.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$9
Open exposure
$158
20 positions
First seen
2026-03-14
last 11-14 08:41
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 80 days
Categories
Other
83% 86% +$113
Crypto
15% 78% -$41
Politics
1% 25% +$3
Tech
1% 33% -$2
Pop-Culture
0% 0% $0
Sports
0% 50% +$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
65 active days in 12wk • peak 105 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 5°C on November 14? Yes +61 $54 97¢ $59 +$5 11-14 00:07
Will GPT Astra 6.1+ be released between November 9 and November 15, 2026? No +12 $6 97¢ $12 +$6 11-08 20:15
Will the next Gemini Flash-Lite model (3.6+) be released on November 26, 2026? No +10 $9 96¢ $10 +$1 11-12 04:05
Will GPT Astra 6.1+ be released on November 17, 2026? No +10 $9 86¢ $9 $0 11-12 22:00
Will GPT Astra 6.1+ be released on November 19, 2026? No +10 $9 65¢ $7 -$2 11-11 22:30
Will Anthropic be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of November 2026? No +7 $6 89¢ $6 +$0 11-08 13:42
Will the next Grok model (4.8+) be released on November 26, 2026? No +6 $5 92¢ $6 +$0 11-08 20:15
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on November 14? Yes +5 $5 99¢ $5 +$0 11-14 07:01
Will Moonshot be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of November 2026? No +6 $4 80¢ $5 +$1 11-10 04:06
Will GPT Astra 6.1+ be released between November 16 and November 22, 2026? No +10 $9 47¢ $5 -$4 11-08 20:15
Will Tencent be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of November 2026? No +5 $4 93¢ $5 +$0 11-08 14:48
Will OpenAI have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of November 2026? No +5 $4 92¢ $5 +$0 11-08 13:42
Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of November 2026? No +5 $4 90¢ $4 +$0 11-08 13:42
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? No +5 $4 90¢ $4 +$1 11-08 13:42
Will Google be the second-best AI lab at the end of November 2026? No +5 $4 86¢ $4 +$0 11-08 13:42
Will Google be the second-best AI Agent Lab at the end of November 2026? Yes +8 $4 49¢ $4 +$0 11-11 16:21
Will Google be the third-best AI Agent Lab at the end of November 2026? No +6 $4 58¢ $3 $0 11-09 23:12
Will OpenAI be the second-best AI Agent Lab at the end of November 2026? No +5 $3 64¢ $3 $0 11-09 23:12
Will OpenAI be the third-best AI Agent Lab at the end of November 2026? Yes +5 $2 40¢ $2 +$0 11-09 23:12
Will any other model be the best AI model on November 23, 2026? Yes +5 $1 34¢ $2 +$1 11-14 04:37