Realized P&L
+$110
Unrealized P&L
+$9
Hit rate
91.6%
Resolved
769
Trades
1,279
lifetime
Volume
$11.0K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$9
Open exposure
$166
16 positions
First seen
2026-03-14
last 11-11 21:22
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 77 days
Categories
Other
81% 86% +$147
Crypto
16% 78% -$41
Politics
1% 25% +$3
Tech
1% 33% -$2
Pop-Culture
0% 0% $0
Sports
0% 50% +$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
64 active days in 12wk • peak 105 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the highest temperature in London be 10°C on November 11? Yes +64 $58 100¢ $64 +$6 11-11 10:58
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 13°C on November 11? Yes +38 $36 99¢ $38 +$1 11-11 17:54
Will GPT Astra 6.1+ be released between November 9 and November 15, 2026? No +12 $6 73¢ $9 +$3 11-08 20:15
Will GPT Astra 6.1+ be released between November 16 and November 22, 2026? No +10 $9 65¢ $7 -$2 11-08 20:15
Will Anthropic be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of November 2026? No +7 $6 85¢ $6 +$0 11-08 13:42
Will the next Grok model (4.8+) be released on November 26, 2026? No +6 $5 92¢ $6 +$0 11-08 20:15
Will Tencent be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of November 2026? No +5 $4 96¢ $5 +$0 11-08 14:48
Will Moonshot be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of November 2026? No +6 $4 80¢ $5 +$1 11-10 04:06
Will OpenAI have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of November 2026? No +5 $4 92¢ $5 +$0 11-08 13:42
Will Google be the second-best AI lab at the end of November 2026? No +5 $4 85¢ $4 +$0 11-08 13:42
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? No +5 $4 80¢ $4 +$0 11-08 13:42
Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of November 2026? No +5 $4 78¢ $4 $0 11-08 13:42
Will Google be the second-best AI Agent Lab at the end of November 2026? Yes +8 $4 46¢ $4 $0 11-11 16:21
Will Google be the third-best AI Agent Lab at the end of November 2026? No +6 $4 57¢ $3 $0 11-09 23:12
Will OpenAI be the second-best AI Agent Lab at the end of November 2026? No +5 $3 57¢ $3 $0 11-09 23:12
Will OpenAI be the third-best AI Agent Lab at the end of November 2026? Yes +5 $2 40¢ $2 +$0 11-09 23:12