Standard-Mud — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$59

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

15.3%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$133

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-11

last 06-06 10:02

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 10% $-59

Politics

1% 0% $-0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 22 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (22) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 12?	3	$20	1,304	1,304	+0	Yes	$-4	05-11 19:57
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 12?	2	$12	143	143	+0	No	+$2	05-11 20:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	3	$11	145	45	+100	Up	$-11	05-12 05:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3PM ET	2	$10	5,500	0	+5,500	Up	$-10	05-11 20:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	3	$8	16	6	+10	Down	$-2	05-12 05:32
Will the price of Solana be above $110 on May 12?	2	$7	747	747	+0	No	$-3	05-11 20:31
btc updown 5m 1780739700	2	$7	124	0	+124	open	—	06-06 09:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	1	$7	29	0	+29	Down	$-7	05-11 20:36
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 11?	1	$6	319	0	+319	No	$-6	05-11 14:45
btc updown 5m 1780740000	1	$6	200	0	+200	open	—	06-06 10:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	2	$6	9	9	+0	Up	+$4	05-12 05:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	1	$5	500	0	+500	Up	$-5	05-11 20:04
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 11?	1	$5	2,212	0	+2,212	No	$-5	05-11 14:57
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 11?	1	$4	4,000	0	+4,000	No	$-4	05-11 14:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	3	$3	6	2	+4	Up	$-1	05-12 05:36
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 11?	1	$3	3,000	0	+3,000	Yes	$-3	05-11 15:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	1	$2	9	0	+9	Up	$-2	05-11 20:34
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 12?	2	$2	8	8	+0	Yes	$-0	05-12 05:35
Will Trump speak to Xi Jinping in May?	2	$2	200	200	+0	Yes	$-0	05-11 20:20
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 12?	2	$2	100	100	+0	No	$-0	05-12 05:35
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 11?	2	$1	14	14	+0	Down	$-1	05-11 15:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	1	$1	100	0	+100	Down	$-1	05-11 20:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	1	$1	100	0	+100	Up	$-1	05-11 20:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	1	$1	25	0	+25	Up	$-1	05-12 05:24

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-06 10:02:22	btc updown 5m 1780740000	Up	BUY	200	3¢	$6	0x5ce386…
06-06 09:58:51	btc updown 5m 1780739700	Down	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0x76431e…
06-06 09:56:27	btc updown 5m 1780739700	Down	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0xcaf819…
05-12 05:36:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Down	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x6a205f…
05-12 05:35:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	SELL	2	62¢	$1	0xa95e1a…
05-12 05:35:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x79d6c7…
05-12 05:35:08	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 12?	No	SELL	8	10¢	$1	0xa23975…
05-12 05:35:05	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 12?	Yes	SELL	100	1¢	$1	0x24b6e6…
05-12 05:32:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Up	BUY	10	31¢	$3	0x024567…
05-12 05:31:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	SELL	6	54¢	$3	0xa948a5…
05-12 05:30:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0x5309a7…
05-12 05:29:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x4bfe2f…
05-12 05:29:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Down	SELL	45	1¢	$0	0x64a8c3…
05-12 05:26:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	45	22¢	$10	0xed49c0…
05-12 05:24:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Down	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xf0e52d…
05-12 05:19:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Down	SELL	9	54¢	$5	0x876a72…
05-12 05:18:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Down	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x0b9836…
05-12 05:17:56	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 12?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xc66d42…
05-12 05:16:49	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 12?	No	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x8db1f6…
05-11 20:36:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	29	23¢	$7	0xb358b9…
05-11 20:34:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	9	23¢	$2	0xa37cfc…
05-11 20:31:48	Will the price of Solana be above $110 on May 12?	Yes	SELL	747	0¢	$2	0x2bfe7b…
05-11 20:29:49	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 12?	Yes	SELL	143	5¢	$7	0xcdacfd…
05-11 20:24:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x080211…
05-11 20:20:44	Will Trump speak to Xi Jinping in May?	No	SELL	200	0¢	$1	0xde5339…
05-11 20:10:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xd9f398…
05-11 20:04:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x7833a7…
05-11 20:01:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3PM ET	Down	BUY	5,000	0¢	$5	0x25d36b…
05-11 19:58:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3PM ET	Down	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0xbbed49…
05-11 19:57:09	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 12?	No	SELL	1,304	1¢	$8	0x36692b…
05-11 16:53:53	Will the price of Solana be above $110 on May 12?	Yes	BUY	747	1¢	$5	0x70a99c…
05-11 16:52:50	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 12?	No	BUY	912	1¢	$7	0xc26185…
05-11 16:14:33	Will Trump speak to Xi Jinping in May?	No	BUY	200	0¢	$1	0xeff60b…
05-11 16:12:20	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 12?	No	BUY	392	1¢	$5	0x74bf03…
05-11 16:11:17	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 12?	Yes	BUY	143	3¢	$5	0x89af9a…
05-11 15:11:27	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 11?	Up	SELL	14	3¢	$0	0xeadea6…
05-11 15:10:37	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 11?	No	BUY	3,000	0¢	$3	0xc6244b…
05-11 14:57:19	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 11?	Yes	BUY	2,212	0¢	$5	0xf489b7…
05-11 14:56:05	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 11?	Up	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x501127…
05-11 14:45:35	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 11?	Yes	BUY	319	2¢	$6	0xbc26bd…
05-11 14:44:29	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 11?	Yes	BUY	4,000	0¢	$4	0x423d68…