Grubby-Replication — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$51

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

86.6%

Resolved

399

Trades

723

lifetime

Volume

$1.47K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-25

last 06-16 23:08

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 65 days

Categories

Crypto

82% 74% -$6

Other

18% 42% +$57

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-16).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 73°F or below on April 29?	4	$26	35	35	+0	No	+$23	04-29 05:12
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on May 27?	2	$18	20	20	+0	No	+$9	05-27 20:52
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 84-85°F on June 3?	2	$16	15	15	+0	Yes	+$10	06-03 17:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-03 12:40 UTC	2	$12	9	9	+0	Down	+$4	03-03 12:41
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 86-87°F on April 30?	4	$12	45	45	+0	No	+$8	04-30 13:36
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 84-85°F on May 23?	6	$11	21	19	+2	No	+$4	05-23 16:52
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 86-87°F on June 3?	7	$10	20	20	+0	No	+$4	06-03 16:01
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-03 12:45 UTC	3	$10	20	0	+20	Up	+$0	03-03 12:45
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on April 29?	3	$9	67	67	+0	No	+$6	04-29 14:18
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 88-89°F on April 30?	16	$8	204	204	+0	Yes	+$6	04-30 17:21
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-10 11:40 UTC	1	$8	8	0	+8	Down	+$0	03-10 11:45
Solana Up or Down - May 21, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	2	$8	5	5	+0	Up	+$1	05-22 02:19
Solana Up or Down - May 22, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	3	$7	5	5	-0	Up	+$2	05-22 11:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-04 23:15 UTC	4	$7	8	8	+0	Up	$0	03-04 23:19
Germany vs. Curaçao: 1st Half O/U 2.5	1	$7	20	0	+20	Over	+$13	06-14 16:54
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on May 30?	6	$7	40	30	+10	No	+$2	05-30 18:57
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-04 13:55 UTC	4	$7	7	7	+0	Up	+$1	03-04 13:57
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-10 00:00 UTC	1	$7	7	0	+7	Up	+$0	03-10 00:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-09 16:50 UTC	2	$7	7	0	+7	Down	+$0	03-09 16:55
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-10 01:35 UTC	1	$7	7	0	+7	Down	+$0	03-10 01:39
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 80-81°F on May 23?	2	$7	15	15	+0	No	+$1	05-23 14:02
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-04 14:20 UTC	2	$6	10	0	+10	Down	-$2	03-04 14:24
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on June 3?	4	$6	20	20	+0	No	-$1	06-03 17:08
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-10 01:30 UTC	1	$6	7	0	+7	Down	-$6	03-10 01:34
fifwc esp cvi 2026 06 15 first half total 2pt5	1	$6	20	0	+20	Under	-$6	06-15 15:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	3	$6	5	5	+0	Down	+$4	05-20 03:49
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on May 17?	11	$5	100	100	+0	No	+$3	05-17 19:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	2	$5	5	5	+0	Up	+$3	05-20 03:09
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on May 16?	6	$5	20	20	+0	No	+$1	05-16 15:11
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-05 12:40 UTC	1	$5	5	0	+5	Up	+$0	03-05 12:44

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-16 23:08:19	fifwc arg alg 2026 06 16 first half total 2pt5	Over	BUY	20	12¢	$2	0x655ac3…
06-15 15:00:49	fifwc esp cvi 2026 06 15 first half total 2pt5	Over	BUY	20	29¢	$6	0x049a8f…
06-14 17:06:28	Curaçao to score first vs. Germany?	Yes	BUY	10	9¢	$1	0x35c2ec…
06-14 16:54:39	Germany vs. Curaçao: 1st Half O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	20	35¢	$7	0xd82989…
06-05 06:39:57	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on June 5?	Yes	BUY	4	7¢	$0	0x4e9f15…
06-05 04:45:48	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on June 5?	Yes	BUY	19	8¢	$2	0xa605ce…
06-05 04:30:06	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on June 5?	Yes	BUY	11	7¢	$1	0x2c205e…
06-05 04:14:46	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 94-95°F on June 5?	Yes	BUY	48	3¢	$1	0x2b697f…
06-05 04:14:40	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on June 5?	Yes	BUY	1	8¢	$0	0xd9a536…
06-05 04:14:30	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 94-95°F on June 5?	Yes	BUY	2	3¢	$0	0xe15f4f…
06-05 04:11:48	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on June 5?	Yes	BUY	5	7¢	$0	0x376114…
06-05 03:58:55	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 92-93°F on June 5?	Yes	BUY	1	20¢	$0	0xb591a9…
06-05 03:58:54	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 92-93°F on June 5?	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x2c83eb…
06-05 03:57:40	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 92-93°F on June 5?	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x3a2943…
06-05 03:57:27	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 92-93°F on June 5?	Yes	BUY	4	20¢	$1	0x06d5ac…
06-05 03:32:48	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 82-83°F on June 5?	Yes	BUY	10	15¢	$2	0xb298c2…
06-03 17:19:55	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 84-85°F on June 3?	Yes	SELL	15	86¢	$13	0x1602ad…
06-03 17:08:34	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on June 3?	Yes	SELL	5	13¢	$1	0x127b9f…
06-03 17:07:21	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on June 3?	Yes	SELL	5	13¢	$1	0x94e08f…
06-03 17:06:16	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on June 3?	Yes	SELL	9	13¢	$1	0x7cf99e…
06-03 16:01:37	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 86-87°F on June 3?	Yes	SELL	20	35¢	$7	0x926712…
06-03 08:17:43	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on June 3?	Yes	BUY	20	17¢	$3	0x565520…
06-03 06:00:19	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 92-93°F on June 3?	Yes	BUY	1	15¢	$0	0xe464dc…
06-03 06:00:19	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 92-93°F on June 3?	Yes	BUY	1	15¢	$0	0x93c103…
06-03 06:00:19	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 92-93°F on June 3?	Yes	BUY	1	15¢	$0	0x46b2cc…
06-03 06:00:19	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 92-93°F on June 3?	Yes	BUY	6	15¢	$1	0x3b7ab9…
06-03 05:02:48	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 92-93°F on June 3?	Yes	BUY	6	15¢	$1	0x6bb421…
06-03 05:00:42	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 84-85°F on June 3?	Yes	BUY	15	21¢	$3	0xc02387…
06-03 05:00:12	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 86-87°F on June 3?	Yes	BUY	1	17¢	$0	0xa70d01…
06-03 05:00:12	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 86-87°F on June 3?	Yes	BUY	1	17¢	$0	0x8c0e19…
06-03 05:00:12	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 86-87°F on June 3?	Yes	BUY	2	17¢	$0	0x7f77b9…
06-03 05:00:12	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 86-87°F on June 3?	Yes	BUY	1	17¢	$0	0x6c34f3…
06-03 05:00:12	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 86-87°F on June 3?	Yes	BUY	8	17¢	$1	0x63805f…
06-03 05:00:12	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 86-87°F on June 3?	Yes	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x0645c3…
06-03 05:00:01	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 92-93°F on June 3?	Yes	BUY	4	15¢	$1	0x943ec3…
06-03 04:16:58	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 92-93°F on June 3?	Yes	BUY	1	15¢	$0	0x88ad18…
05-31 13:53:26	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on May 31?	Yes	BUY	4	8¢	$0	0x10f99d…
05-31 13:32:31	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on May 31?	Yes	BUY	1	8¢	$0	0x80cc7e…
05-31 09:13:12	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on May 31?	Yes	BUY	1	8¢	$0	0x58ad7a…
05-31 08:58:54	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on May 31?	Yes	BUY	24	8¢	$2	0xd8a60b…
05-30 18:57:15	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on May 30?	Yes	SELL	20	15¢	$3	0x69aff7…
05-30 18:38:10	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on May 30?	Yes	SELL	5	15¢	$1	0x3c972d…
05-30 18:37:49	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on May 30?	Yes	SELL	4	15¢	$1	0xe172bf…
05-30 07:18:23	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 80-81°F on May 30?	Yes	BUY	3	10¢	$0	0x816446…
05-30 05:06:24	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 80-81°F on May 30?	Yes	BUY	2	12¢	$0	0x9155a5…
05-30 05:06:08	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 80-81°F on May 30?	Yes	BUY	5	12¢	$1	0xcf7ed7…
05-30 05:04:43	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 80-81°F on May 30?	Yes	BUY	2	12¢	$0	0xed889f…
05-30 05:04:43	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 80-81°F on May 30?	Yes	BUY	1	12¢	$0	0x3d0343…
05-30 04:59:28	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on May 30?	Yes	BUY	6	6¢	$0	0x74d355…
05-30 04:40:16	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on May 30?	Yes	BUY	14	6¢	$1	0xff4cd0…
05-30 04:25:34	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on May 30?	Yes	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0x4ec322…
05-30 04:25:34	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on May 30?	Yes	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0x3ee79e…
05-28 19:38:48	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on May 28?	Yes	SELL	10	28¢	$3	0x55df2a…
05-28 16:59:31	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on May 28?	Yes	SELL	14	10¢	$1	0x6bdcb8…
05-28 16:57:48	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 74-75°F on May 28?	Yes	SELL	20	14¢	$3	0x69e912…
05-28 07:56:54	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on May 28?	Yes	BUY	1	18¢	$0	0xe657b1…
05-28 07:56:54	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on May 28?	Yes	BUY	1	18¢	$0	0x9754a2…
05-28 07:50:36	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on May 28?	Yes	BUY	8	18¢	$1	0xc56f74…
05-28 06:05:03	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on May 28?	Yes	BUY	14	13¢	$2	0xb67a37…
05-28 06:04:56	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on May 28?	Yes	BUY	0	13¢	$0	0xe6d038…
05-28 03:29:30	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on May 28?	Yes	BUY	7	26¢	$2	0xe45efe…
05-28 02:44:53	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 74-75°F on May 28?	Yes	BUY	3	8¢	$0	0x5967c0…
05-28 02:44:32	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 74-75°F on May 28?	Yes	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0xce274f…
05-28 02:44:32	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 74-75°F on May 28?	Yes	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0x7f4117…
05-28 02:44:30	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 74-75°F on May 28?	Yes	BUY	2	8¢	$0	0xecd331…
05-28 02:43:48	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 74-75°F on May 28?	Yes	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0x067d9f…
05-27 20:54:34	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on May 27?	Yes	BUY	8	4¢	$0	0xdd9cf1…
05-27 20:52:03	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on May 27?	Yes	SELL	20	69¢	$14	0xb5f8b0…
05-27 05:02:07	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on May 27?	Yes	BUY	20	22¢	$4	0x2d77e7…
05-27 04:26:27	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on May 27?	Yes	BUY	3	23¢	$1	0x4767ec…
05-24 02:14:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xeef336…
05-23 16:55:26	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 82-83°F on May 23?	Yes	SELL	2	39¢	$1	0x78f1d0…
05-23 16:52:29	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 84-85°F on May 23?	Yes	SELL	3	39¢	$1	0xe11934…
05-23 16:39:02	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 84-85°F on May 23?	Yes	SELL	3	39¢	$1	0x375c75…
05-23 16:35:34	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 84-85°F on May 23?	Yes	SELL	14	39¢	$5	0xb9bf85…
05-23 14:02:11	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 80-81°F on May 23?	Yes	SELL	15	24¢	$4	0x2da675…
05-23 08:54:13	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 74-75°F on May 23?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xe19480…
05-23 08:31:28	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 68-69°F on May 23?	Yes	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0x40eae0…
05-23 08:11:41	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 68-69°F on May 23?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x8a8a68…
05-23 08:11:39	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 68-69°F on May 23?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x115ddf…
05-23 08:11:36	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 68-69°F on May 23?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xcb88d6…
05-23 08:11:34	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 68-69°F on May 23?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xe6a8cf…
05-23 07:41:42	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 80-81°F on May 23?	Yes	BUY	15	20¢	$3	0x44c02b…
05-23 06:03:19	Will the highest temperature in Austin be 88°F or higher on May 23?	Yes	BUY	6	6¢	$0	0x3341fc…
05-23 06:00:05	Will the highest temperature in Austin be 88°F or higher on May 23?	Yes	BUY	4	6¢	$0	0xdc5db8…
05-23 06:00:03	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 68-69°F on May 23?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xa99a2e…
05-23 05:54:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x321d07…
05-23 05:48:13	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 72-73°F on May 23?	Yes	BUY	20	8¢	$2	0xa2cb1b…
05-23 05:44:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x5e6dce…
05-23 05:39:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xe3e824…
05-23 05:08:08	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 84-85°F on May 23?	Yes	BUY	11	17¢	$2	0xa68a38…
05-23 02:16:42	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 84-85°F on May 23?	Yes	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x02cf8d…
05-23 02:04:57	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 84-85°F on May 23?	Yes	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x00d980…
05-23 01:59:56	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 82-83°F on May 23?	Yes	BUY	6	25¢	$2	0x39f8c6…
05-22 11:59:10	Solana Up or Down - May 22, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x8426f7…
05-22 11:59:08	Solana Up or Down - May 22, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	SELL	0	95¢	$0	0x1129bb…
05-22 11:56:57	Solana Up or Down - May 22, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x79de69…
05-22 03:34:47	Solana Up or Down - May 21, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Down	BUY	4	1¢	$0	0xb310bc…
05-22 03:34:47	Solana Up or Down - May 21, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Down	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x2d1aed…
05-22 03:03:24	Solana Up or Down - May 21, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Down	BUY	1	20¢	$0	0x1ea9c7…