Front-Toast — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$366

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

72.8%

Resolved

1,795

Trades

3,978

lifetime

Volume

$20.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-31

last 11-02 14:19

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 44 days

Categories

Crypto

88% 61% -$225

Other

10% 72% -$137

Tech

1% 100% +$1

Politics

1% 0% -$6

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

32 active days in 12wk • peak 814 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (26) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026?	7	$142	129	128	+1	Yes	-$6	10-03 12:30
Will the median home value in the Chicago Metro be between $303,000 and $308,000 on December 31?	7	$88	200	200	+0	open	—	10-07 06:44
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	2	$84	100	100	+0	open	—	10-02 18:21
Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.25% before 2027?	2	$64	50	50	+0	open	—	10-03 06:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	9	$60	110	0	+110	Up	+$5	10-09 22:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	9	$59	98	0	+98	Down	+$2	10-09 23:14
BNB Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-29 09:00 UTC	1	$58	66	0	+66	Down	-$58	10-29 09:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	6	$57	63	0	+63	Down	+$7	10-09 23:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	1	$48	51	0	+51	Up	-$48	10-30 03:49
Solana Up or Down - October 29, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	1	$48	50	0	+50	Up	+$2	10-30 03:44
Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	1	$47	49	0	+49	Up	+$2	10-29 23:34
BNB Up or Down - October 29, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	1	$47	47	0	+47	Up	+$1	10-29 23:14
Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 29, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	2	$46	48	0	+48	Down	+$2	10-29 22:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	1	$46	47	0	+47	Up	+$1	10-29 22:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	1	$46	47	0	+47	Up	+$1	10-29 17:29
Will Seoul have less than 20mm of precipitation in October?	2	$46	100	100	+0	No	-$6	10-05 11:49
BNB Up or Down - October 29, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	1	$46	47	0	+47	Up	+$1	10-29 17:00
XRP Up or Down - October 29, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	1	$45	46	0	+46	Down	+$1	10-29 15:24
Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 29, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	1	$45	45	0	+45	Up	+$0	10-29 13:29
XRP Up or Down - October 29, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	1	$45	46	0	+46	Up	+$1	10-29 15:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	1	$45	45	0	+45	Up	+$1	10-29 16:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	1	$44	46	0	+46	Up	+$1	10-29 12:19
Will the Reserve Bank of India increase the policy repo rate by 25 bps at the December meeting?	3	$43	40	40	+0	open	—	10-05 00:54
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-11 12:30 UTC	7	$43	93	0	+93	Up	-$43	10-11 12:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	1	$42	43	0	+43	Down	+$1	10-29 08:29
Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	1	$42	42	0	+42	Down	+$0	10-27 21:58
Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	1	$42	43	0	+43	Up	+$1	10-27 22:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	1	$41	42	0	+42	Down	+$1	10-29 07:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	1	$41	44	0	+44	Up	+$3	10-29 07:59
XRP Up or Down - October 29, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	3	$41	42	0	+42	Down	+$1	10-29 08:49

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-02 14:19:40	BNB Up or Down - November 2, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	BUY	22	99¢	$22	0x82517c…
11-02 14:19:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	BUY	31	96¢	$29	0x23630c…
11-02 13:04:43	XRP Up or Down - November 2, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xad9907…
11-02 12:59:52	Ethereum Up or Down - November 2, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	29	99¢	$29	0x5fe1cc…
11-02 12:49:57	Solana Up or Down - November 2, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	30	97¢	$29	0xe01e84…
11-02 12:24:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	BUY	29	98¢	$29	0xb86dfe…
11-02 11:59:46	Solana Up or Down - November 2, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	22	99¢	$22	0xe2e512…
11-02 11:59:34	Hyperliquid Up or Down - November 2, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	29	98¢	$29	0xe54783…
11-02 11:39:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	29	98¢	$28	0x93c820…
11-02 11:09:07	Solana Up or Down - November 2, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xca7e3a…
11-02 11:09:07	Solana Up or Down - November 2, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0x2753bb…
11-02 10:44:42	XRP Up or Down - November 2, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	28	98¢	$28	0x5b5342…
11-02 10:29:33	Ethereum Up or Down - November 2, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	28	99¢	$28	0x4f6149…
11-02 10:24:49	Hyperliquid Up or Down - November 2, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	BUY	28	99¢	$28	0xc4beeb…
11-02 09:44:37	Dogecoin Up or Down - November 2, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0xc33ae9…
11-02 09:44:36	Dogecoin Up or Down - November 2, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0x423122…
11-02 09:24:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	28	97¢	$27	0xc58fff…
11-02 09:19:36	Hyperliquid Up or Down - November 2, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	BUY	28	99¢	$27	0xe8029b…
11-02 09:04:07	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-11-02 09:00 UTC	Up	BUY	30	93¢	$27	0xc4f3ce…
11-02 08:14:37	XRP Up or Down - November 2, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	27	99¢	$27	0x9bf1a7…
11-02 08:04:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	BUY	28	97¢	$27	0x8c48e1…
11-02 07:44:33	XRP Up or Down - November 2, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xba559e…
11-02 06:59:03	Ethereum Up or Down - November 2, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	27	98¢	$26	0xf31187…
11-02 06:54:04	Solana Up or Down - November 2, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Down	BUY	28	96¢	$26	0x0944f7…
11-02 06:19:54	Hyperliquid Up or Down - November 2, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	BUY	27	99¢	$27	0xc1ae2f…
11-02 05:59:36	XRP Up or Down - November 2, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	26	99¢	$26	0xa336ba…
11-02 05:39:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Down	BUY	27	96¢	$25	0x5826e7…
11-02 05:29:46	Ethereum Up or Down - November 2, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	26	99¢	$26	0x3cf044…
11-02 05:09:45	Dogecoin Up or Down - November 2, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Up	BUY	26	99¢	$26	0x2a1c0a…
11-02 05:04:16	Solana Up or Down - November 2, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x9408fe…
11-02 04:59:37	Hyperliquid Up or Down - November 1, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	26	99¢	$26	0xad65a2…
11-02 04:49:45	BNB Up or Down - November 1, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Down	BUY	19	99¢	$19	0x80354b…
11-02 04:49:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Up	BUY	26	98¢	$25	0xbba590…
11-02 04:39:04	XRP Up or Down - November 1, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Down	BUY	16	98¢	$16	0xa80c6f…
11-02 04:39:04	XRP Up or Down - November 1, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x712f0a…
11-02 04:29:46	BNB Up or Down - November 1, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	19	99¢	$19	0x3ce54c…
11-02 04:29:34	XRP Up or Down - November 1, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	26	99¢	$26	0x68328e…
11-02 04:14:43	Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	25	98¢	$25	0x28520c…
11-02 03:59:09	Solana Up or Down - November 1, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	18	97¢	$17	0x971495…
11-02 03:59:03	XRP Up or Down - November 1, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x2224d1…
11-02 03:54:15	Solana Up or Down - November 1, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Down	BUY	19	98¢	$19	0xe6a6f7…
11-02 03:54:15	XRP Up or Down - November 1, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Down	BUY	25	98¢	$24	0x6c3da5…
11-02 03:19:37	Dogecoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0xcacb6c…
11-02 03:14:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	26	96¢	$24	0xc52e7e…
11-02 03:09:36	Hyperliquid Up or Down - November 1, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x0ccc07…
11-02 02:49:48	Hyperliquid Up or Down - November 1, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x44f8d1…
11-02 02:44:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	25	97¢	$24	0x0c051e…
11-02 00:39:39	XRP Up or Down - November 1, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xc2b3b0…
11-02 00:34:12	Hyperliquid Up or Down - November 1, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xbb4770…
11-02 00:24:46	Hyperliquid Up or Down - November 1, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Up	BUY	24	99¢	$24	0x8e8aad…
11-01 23:24:49	XRP Up or Down - November 1, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	BUY	24	99¢	$24	0x0be1d0…
11-01 22:49:37	Dogecoin Up or Down - November 1, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x5af88f…
11-01 22:39:45	Hyperliquid Up or Down - November 1, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	24	99¢	$24	0xc17a90…
11-01 22:39:30	Dogecoin Up or Down - November 1, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xc9670d…
11-01 22:14:36	XRP Up or Down - November 1, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	24	99¢	$24	0x30e07b…
11-01 21:59:07	XRP Up or Down - November 1, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	21	92¢	$20	0xd5b954…
11-01 21:59:04	Dogecoin Up or Down - November 1, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	18	98¢	$18	0xd2a645…
11-01 21:49:55	BNB Up or Down - November 1, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	BUY	21	99¢	$21	0xe79c40…
11-01 21:49:40	XRP Up or Down - November 1, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x7035b2…
11-01 21:39:10	XRP Up or Down - November 1, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	25	94¢	$24	0x37364a…
11-01 21:29:58	Dogecoin Up or Down - November 1, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	24	97¢	$23	0xff959f…
11-01 21:04:34	XRP Up or Down - November 1, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x92f998…
11-01 20:59:39	XRP Up or Down - November 1, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	0	99¢	$0	0x932aed…
11-01 20:44:36	Dogecoin Up or Down - November 1, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xf8cf84…
11-01 20:44:33	XRP Up or Down - November 1, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	24	99¢	$24	0x656df0…
11-01 19:59:03	Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	24	98¢	$24	0xf8357f…
11-01 19:54:54	Dogecoin Up or Down - November 1, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0xbebaf8…
11-01 19:54:36	XRP Up or Down - November 1, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	23	99¢	$23	0xb4e4f3…
11-01 19:39:48	Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x97b6e7…
11-01 19:39:46	Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xfab5c7…
11-01 19:39:33	XRP Up or Down - November 1, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0xa17753…
11-01 19:39:31	XRP Up or Down - November 1, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xbf897b…
11-01 19:04:51	Hyperliquid Up or Down - November 1, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	23	99¢	$23	0x67e26b…
11-01 18:59:40	XRP Up or Down - November 1, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	23	99¢	$23	0x96e51a…
11-01 18:44:52	Dogecoin Up or Down - November 1, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	17	99¢	$17	0xf60556…
11-01 18:44:52	BNB Up or Down - November 1, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	23	99¢	$23	0xba5404…
11-01 18:34:18	Hyperliquid Up or Down - November 1, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x716740…
11-01 18:14:51	Dogecoin Up or Down - November 1, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	21	99¢	$21	0x27e711…
11-01 18:14:49	Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xd4de92…
11-01 18:14:40	XRP Up or Down - November 1, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xa0e99a…
11-01 17:39:21	XRP Up or Down - November 1, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	BUY	23	97¢	$23	0x627278…
11-01 16:59:40	Dogecoin Up or Down - November 1, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	22	99¢	$22	0xf8b4dc…
11-01 16:59:13	Hyperliquid Up or Down - November 1, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xeca113…
11-01 16:49:57	Dogecoin Up or Down - November 1, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	23	99¢	$23	0x539177…
11-01 16:44:49	BNB Up or Down - November 1, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	23	99¢	$23	0x8eee56…
11-01 16:24:33	Hyperliquid Up or Down - November 1, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	0	99¢	$0	0xfda8ef…
11-01 15:39:25	Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	23	97¢	$23	0x44603a…
11-01 15:29:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	17	99¢	$17	0x89dc43…
11-01 15:29:09	Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	23	97¢	$23	0xb0a2b2…
11-01 15:14:51	XRP Up or Down - November 1, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x3dd776…
11-01 15:14:40	XRP Up or Down - November 1, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	23	99¢	$23	0x903c46…
11-01 14:59:43	Dogecoin Up or Down - November 1, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	23	99¢	$23	0xd90e00…
11-01 14:49:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	23	97¢	$23	0xaa625c…
11-01 14:29:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	23	95¢	$22	0x2d2bf3…
11-01 14:24:54	XRP Up or Down - November 1, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	22	99¢	$22	0xfd6cbc…
11-01 14:14:34	Hyperliquid Up or Down - November 1, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	22	99¢	$22	0xbc896f…
11-01 13:54:34	XRP Up or Down - November 1, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x8dc656…
11-01 13:49:04	XRP Up or Down - November 1, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	BUY	23	94¢	$22	0x2ff741…
11-01 13:29:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	22	98¢	$22	0x730634…
11-01 11:44:55	Dogecoin Up or Down - November 1, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	21	98¢	$21	0x927594…