Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.15K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

55.3%

Resolved

2,659

Trades

4,667

lifetime

Volume

$19.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-02

last 10-31 03:15

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 58 days

Categories

Crypto

84% 55% -$618

Other

16% 60% -$600

Politics

1% 12% +$63

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

28 active days in 12wk • peak 524 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Grüne win the third-most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?	3	$757	904	136	+769	No	-$643	09-20 17:34
Will SPD win less than 10% of all valid second votes?	3	$515	318	318	+0	No	+$115	09-20 16:22
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-06 22:45 UTC	12	$313	656	0	+656	Down	-$7	04-06 22:45
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-07 01:30 UTC	12	$291	596	0	+596	Down	+$5	04-07 01:30
Will Grüne win between 17% and 20% of all valid second votes?	4	$256	168	168	+0	No	+$58	09-20 16:22
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-06 23:15 UTC	24	$235	500	0	+500	Down	+$55	04-06 23:16
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?	3	$230	149	149	+0	Yes	+$11	09-20 16:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-07 01:45 UTC	28	$218	449	0	+449	Down	+$7	04-07 01:45
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-06 23:00 UTC	22	$218	464	0	+464	Down	+$42	04-06 23:01
Will over 55 Senators vote for the Clarity Act?	2	$204	113	113	+0	open	—	09-20 16:03
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-07 02:15 UTC	15	$198	422	0	+422	Up	-$148	04-07 02:16
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-18 00:00 UTC	117	$178	434	0	+434	Up	-$18	04-18 00:14
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-07 02:00 UTC	16	$174	371	0	+371	Down	+$84	04-07 02:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	12	$148	300	0	+300	Up	+$2	09-07 16:53
Will the Fed Hike–Hike–Pause in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?	3	$145	76	76	+0	No	-$1	10-04 01:38
Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?	2	$124	76	76	+0	open	—	09-06 00:17
Will the Fed Pause–Hike–Pause in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?	2	$115	61	61	+0	No	-$1	09-06 00:18
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?	2	$110	76	76	+0	No	-$1	09-06 00:18
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-12 23:05 UTC	34	$106	200	0	+200	Down	-$106	04-12 23:06
Will Linke win between 11% and 14% of all valid second votes?	3	$102	526	526	+0	No	-$98	09-20 16:19
Will AfD win the third-most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?	2	$100	216	0	+216	Yes	-$100	09-20 17:49
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-16 07:00 UTC	2	$83	100	0	+100	Up	-$33	04-16 07:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-16 07:00 UTC	2	$76	100	0	+100	Up	-$26	04-16 07:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	13	$75	150	0	+150	Down	-$25	09-07 21:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	16	$66	150	0	+150	Down	-$16	09-07 21:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	9	$62	150	0	+150	Up	+$37	09-07 21:19
Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Election: Grüne Over/Under 5%?	8	$58	235	57	+178	Over	-$40	09-05 12:02
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-06 22:30 UTC	10	$54	112	0	+112	Down	+$1	04-06 22:30
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-19 15:30 UTC	13	$52	200	0	+200	Down	-$52	08-19 15:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	6	$51	100	0	+100	Down	-$1	09-07 20:40

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-31 03:15:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x1bdc38…
10-31 02:25:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0xa7a388…
10-31 01:25:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0x65b9e9…
10-31 01:06:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0x5ffd2a…
10-31 01:05:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0x512c05…
10-31 00:50:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0x76756c…
10-31 00:42:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0xffb3c7…
10-31 00:42:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	0	41¢	$0	0x75e682…
10-31 00:42:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x3e98df…
10-31 00:12:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0x188371…
10-31 00:05:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0xa04044…
10-31 00:05:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x12f78a…
10-31 00:00:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0xa74e26…
10-31 00:00:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x4c3cd2…
10-30 23:05:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0x1f0f6c…
10-30 22:00:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0xe6652f…
10-30 21:56:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0xbd6496…
10-30 21:50:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0x50d434…
10-30 21:44:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x4e3b21…
10-30 21:40:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x4aacdb…
10-30 21:37:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0x4169fc…
10-30 21:12:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xb05fc5…
10-30 21:10:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x7ccce1…
10-30 21:10:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xaa4f01…
10-30 21:10:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x8a148a…
10-30 21:05:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0x31efb7…
10-30 20:58:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0x3d14c1…
10-30 20:55:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0xf20a22…
10-30 20:53:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x99f344…
10-30 20:40:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0x19eed8…
10-30 20:31:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0xb85a1b…
10-30 20:31:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0x742fae…
10-30 20:25:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0x907265…
10-30 20:25:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x1127ab…
10-30 20:15:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0xf8321f…
10-30 20:11:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0xe979eb…
10-30 20:10:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x7998b9…
10-30 20:07:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x14344d…
10-30 20:06:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0xd808b6…
10-30 20:05:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x49d223…
10-30 20:01:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	1	39¢	$1	0x403b5a…
10-30 20:00:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0x3bfcee…
10-30 20:00:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x92437b…
10-30 20:00:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	4	43¢	$2	0x31dc99…
10-30 20:00:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0xd80f60…
10-30 20:00:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0xa8e4b4…
10-30 19:59:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x79690c…
10-30 19:59:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0x6a0fd4…
10-30 19:57:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0xa1b948…
10-30 19:56:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0xd192b0…
10-30 19:55:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0xa88b12…
10-30 19:55:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0x59ea02…
10-30 19:53:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0x917309…
10-30 19:50:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0x5a4135…
10-30 19:45:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0xf2e0e9…
10-30 19:45:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0xb6dddc…
10-30 19:45:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x831a40…
10-30 19:41:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0x82e47d…
10-30 19:41:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	77¢	$1	0xabeca4…
10-30 19:41:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0x92bfea…
10-30 19:40:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0xb91e74…
10-30 19:40:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0xeee53a…
10-30 19:36:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0xf5631b…
10-30 19:35:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0x21d530…
10-30 19:35:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	3	84¢	$2	0xcd657f…
10-30 19:35:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x3e234a…
10-30 19:31:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0x5e983c…
10-30 19:31:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x31e811…
10-30 19:30:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0x71d5a3…
10-30 19:30:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	4	32¢	$1	0xd840eb…
10-30 19:30:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x5bd918…
10-30 19:26:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0x23086b…
10-30 19:25:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0xc729fd…
10-30 19:22:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0xba5f92…
10-30 19:22:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x909850…
10-30 19:21:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0x8c98c8…
10-30 19:21:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x37bcbc…
10-30 19:20:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x4c7852…
10-30 19:17:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x73eb23…
10-30 19:17:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x94d434…
10-30 19:16:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0x6f43cf…
10-30 19:15:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xd29a9b…
10-30 19:15:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x2f704c…
10-30 19:11:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0x7c089c…
10-30 19:11:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x2cde74…
10-30 19:10:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x36a4fd…
10-30 19:10:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0x9d6dcd…
10-30 19:09:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0xb16fcc…
10-30 19:07:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x678dd6…
10-30 19:07:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	72¢	$1	0xef49d3…
10-30 19:07:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	3	72¢	$2	0x9c1073…
10-30 19:06:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x7ff242…
10-30 19:06:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0x5efaec…
10-30 19:06:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0x437b18…
10-30 19:06:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xe46b0a…
10-30 19:00:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0x8374a0…
10-30 19:00:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xc44ccd…
10-30 19:00:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0xd59d9b…
10-30 19:00:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x37b8bf…
10-30 19:00:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0xddc2c7…