Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$10

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

54.6%

Resolved

118

Trades

128

lifetime

Volume

$185

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-08-04

last 10-29 04:01

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 48 days

Categories

Other

77% 58% +$10

Politics

21% 47% -$4

Tech

3% 75% +$5

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

55 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	Yes		+1	$1	98¢	$1	+$0	10-22 12:19
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?	Yes		+4	$1	2¢	$0	-$1	10-27 19:47

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Trump say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" during RNC Convention?	2	$5	11	+11	Yes	-$1	09-09 16:57
us x iran effective ceasefire by september 7	1	$2	5	+5	Yes	-$2	09-07 12:49
Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $397.50 Week of September 21 2026?	1	$2	3	+3	No	+$1	09-21 23:16
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,400 Week of September 21 2026?	1	$2	5	+5	No	+$3	09-21 15:13
Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (HIGH) $75 Week of September 21 2026?	1	$2	6	+6	No	-$2	09-20 22:16
will trump say radical left during rnc convention september 10	1	$2	3	+3	Yes	+$1	09-10 18:10
wti closes above 96 on september 9 2026	1	$2	10	+10	Yes	+$8	09-09 08:47
Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $180 Week of September 14 2026?	1	$2	4	+4	Yes	+$1	09-13 21:46
spx up or down on september 16 2026	1	$2	6	+6	Down	+$3	09-16 09:27
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?	1	$2	4	+4	Yes	+$1	09-10 09:25
spx up or down on september 23 2026	1	$2	4	+4	Down	-$2	09-23 07:26
Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $324 Week of September 14 2026?	1	$2	6	+6	No	-$2	09-15 23:30
Will Trump say "Economy" or "Economic" during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival?	1	$2	3	+3	No	+$1	09-24 03:26
Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $210 Week of September 21 2026?	1	$2	5	+5	No	-$2	09-21 07:03
us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	1	$2	9	+9	Yes	-$2	08-05 00:08
will abnb reach 170 by september 7 2026 from september 10	1	$2	4	+4	Yes	-$2	09-11 03:58
will ewy reach 185 by september 14 2026	1	$2	4	+4	No	+$2	09-17 23:26
Will Trump say "Afford" or "Affordable" or "Affordability" during RNC Convention?	1	$2	7	+7	No	-$2	09-10 01:25
Will John Ternus say "Hardware" during his Apple Keynote?	1	$2	4	+4	No	-$2	09-09 16:53
will xagusd reach 72 in august 2026	1	$2	5	+5	No	+$2	08-23 16:54
saudi oil pipeline east west restarts by september 22	1	$2	6	+6	No	-$2	09-17 05:28
Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $64 Week of September 14 2026?	1	$2	4	+4	Yes	+$1	09-14 05:47
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $204 Week of September 14 2026?	1	$2	3	+3	No	+$1	09-16 00:36
will hood reach 117 50 by september 14 2026	1	$2	3	+3	Yes	+$1	09-15 01:48
Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $340 Week of September 21 2026?	1	$2	10	+10	Yes	+$8	09-21 15:04
laptop airdrop by september 9	1	$2	11	+11	Yes	-$2	09-08 14:21
Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?	1	$2	4	+4	Yes	+$1	08-05 16:41
will tsla reach 330 by august 3 2026	1	$2	10	+10	Yes	-$2	08-04 08:04
us x iran effective ceasefire by september 11	1	$2	5	+5	Yes	-$2	09-03 14:57
us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	1	$2	8	+8	No	+$6	08-08 13:15

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 04:01:35	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 3, 2026?	No	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x9eeb44…
10-28 20:01:19	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $52 in October?	No	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x974c56…
10-28 11:58:31	Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $64 Week of October 26 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xc5d264…
10-28 03:57:41	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 28?	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x27fba8…
10-27 19:47:20	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xc7257e…
10-27 11:46:11	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 27?	Up	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x168848…
10-27 03:32:30	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 27?	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x4611b0…
10-26 00:09:06	Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 36M tonnes at end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x394b4e…
10-25 16:08:56	US Gov confirms PHP2Shell exploited by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x234e28…
10-25 06:34:57	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 29?	No	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xc5ff19…
10-25 06:34:27	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 29?	Yes	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x2df917…
10-24 00:06:24	Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by October 29, 2026?	No	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xc0897c…
10-23 12:54:56	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 23?	Down	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x68402e…
10-23 04:38:59	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 29, 2026?	No	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x1ee231…
10-22 20:24:30	Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by October 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xc7f20d…
10-22 12:19:45	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	Yes	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xcae3d1…
10-21 19:37:02	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $367.50 Week of October 19 2026?	No	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x28b9e4…
10-21 11:20:47	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 21?	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xc795f4…
10-21 03:16:17	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 21?	Up	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0xe7b99d…
10-20 15:38:54	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $770 on October 20?	No	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x28c3d9…
10-20 07:37:52	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 20?	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x6823d1…
10-19 23:37:36	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $780 Week of October 19 2026?	No	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x1eda2c…
10-19 15:37:18	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 25?	No	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x59e602…
10-19 06:58:45	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $397.50 Week of October 19 2026?	No	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x6c757b…
10-18 22:58:11	Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $352 Week of October 19 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x4a1891…
10-18 13:10:53	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 23?	Yes	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x85d122…
10-18 12:08:41	Will United Airlines (UAL) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x14c074…
10-17 22:42:08	Will Ally (ALLY) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x8035f4…
10-17 04:23:41	next fable model 5pt2 released by october 22 2026	No	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x7c23d1…
10-16 12:42:48	spy up or down on october 16 2026	Up	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x650634…
10-16 04:35:55	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 21, 2026?	No	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xef6858…
10-15 19:00:56	Will the Tesla Roadster fly for 1s+?	Yes	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x607608…
10-15 10:47:43	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $770 on October 15?	No	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xfbbba3…
10-15 02:37:05	meta headcount above in q3 68000	Yes	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x7f7fde…
10-14 18:35:46	will rklb reach 62 by october 12 2026	No	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x0c1c09…
10-14 09:50:20	spx up or down on october 14 2026	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xad4139…
10-14 01:34:46	will mu dip to 930 by october 12 2026 from october 13	Yes	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x44487c…
10-13 16:01:48	xauusd up or down on october 13 2026	Down	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x3f1cc4…
10-13 07:05:26	spy up or down on october 13 2026	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x663366…
10-12 23:01:51	will meta dip to 730 by october 12 2026	Yes	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0xb0cdc9…
10-12 15:01:17	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 16?	Yes	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xa55469…
10-12 06:58:01	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 Week of October 12 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x31734d…
10-11 22:57:32	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $785 Week of October 12 2026?	No	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x6a9ee1…
10-11 14:31:28	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 17, 2026?	No	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x6a5598…
10-11 08:30:42	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x4a9a99…
10-10 21:49:12	Will Bank of America (BAC) Q3 provision for credit losses be above $1.5B?	No	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0xbadea1…
10-10 13:45:24	Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026?	No	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x7d10e2…
10-09 12:02:22	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $780 on October 9?	No	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0xf30ef5…
10-09 03:58:58	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 9?	Up	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x12ed81…
10-08 19:53:36	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026?	No	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0xd69bfa…
10-08 06:26:07	Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (LOW) $70 Week of October 5 2026?	No	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x46efd5…
10-07 22:22:12	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,050 Week of October 5 2026?	No	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x67cb71…
10-07 11:56:55	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 7?	Down	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x084b42…
10-07 03:51:29	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x2522a4…
10-06 19:50:57	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $780 on October 6?	Yes	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xd28a42…
10-06 11:46:40	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $770 Week of October 5 2026?	No	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xad2332…
10-06 03:38:46	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x62dc1f…
10-05 15:08:46	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $397.50 Week of October 5 2026?	No	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x4a7b84…
10-05 00:54:46	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $240 Week of October 5 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xba46a8…
10-02 14:12:20	Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on October 2?	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x232ed7…
10-02 06:04:59	spx up or down on october 2 2026	Up	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x990924…
10-01 12:18:15	Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on October 1?	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xb8d83f…
10-01 04:11:23	trump names ai czar by october 4 2026 20260928	No	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x655ea8…
09-30 18:53:09	Will OpenAI resume US ChatGPT Pro signups by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x6b9656…
09-30 10:07:47	will spy dip to 755 by september 28 2026	Yes	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xd44be2…
09-30 00:26:03	will xagusd reach 63 by september 28 2026	Yes	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xe75467…
09-29 16:25:38	Will Russia enter Mykolaivka by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x4bfa4c…
09-29 08:24:41	will ewy reach 190 by september 28 2026	Yes	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xabaf60…
09-29 00:21:50	will xagusd reach 62 by september 28 2026	Yes	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xa9aa53…
09-28 15:35:17	spy closes above 765 on september 28 2026	Yes	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x004133…
09-28 05:47:15	will rklb dip to 70 by september 28 2026	No	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x270ec5…
09-27 21:46:33	will spy reach 780 by september 28 2026	Yes	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x3c4a58…
09-27 12:11:27	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $525 in September?	Yes	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xc22c79…
09-27 02:52:42	pakistan military action against afghanistan by september 30 2026 20260925	No	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0xee50de…
09-26 08:11:14	saudi oil pipeline east west restarts by september 30	No	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0xbc59c4…
09-25 21:09:14	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $390 in September?	No	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0xadcc21…
09-25 20:54:15	will ewy dip to 182 in september 2026 from september 25	No	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xef3e0c…
09-25 12:49:33	trump renames ai by september 30	No	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x1724d4…
09-25 04:22:51	will aapl reach 340 by september 21 2026 from september 23	Yes	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x434330…
09-24 19:38:42	Will Costco say "Dividend" during earnings call?	No	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x9fcdde…
09-24 19:30:56	Will Costco say "Dividend" during earnings call?	Yes	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x52c17f…
09-24 11:28:09	will trump say ballroom during xi jinpings state arrival	No	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x5ed4ea…
09-24 03:26:40	Will Trump say "Economy" or "Economic" during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival?	No	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0x2fe7cb…
09-23 07:26:07	spx up or down on september 23 2026	Up	BUY	4	60¢	$2	0xdc4d93…
09-21 23:16:42	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $397.50 Week of September 21 2026?	No	BUY	3	80¢	$2	0x68ff4c…
09-21 15:13:42	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,400 Week of September 21 2026?	No	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x42e2f5…
09-21 15:04:37	Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $340 Week of September 21 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	23¢	$2	0x37d887…
09-21 07:03:26	Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $210 Week of September 21 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0xc26b15…
09-20 22:16:20	Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (HIGH) $75 Week of September 21 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	37¢	$2	0xb21a5d…
09-19 07:28:33	trump x greenland deal signed by september 23	Yes	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0xf49171…
09-17 23:26:22	will ewy reach 185 by september 14 2026	No	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0x34af66…
09-17 05:28:33	saudi oil pipeline east west restarts by september 22	Yes	BUY	6	37¢	$2	0x3519b5…
09-16 09:27:57	spx up or down on september 16 2026	Down	BUY	6	40¢	$2	0x6a0c08…
09-16 00:36:03	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $204 Week of September 14 2026?	No	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0xd0c638…
09-15 23:30:49	Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $324 Week of September 14 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0x7be28e…
09-15 01:48:06	will hood reach 117 50 by september 14 2026	Yes	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0x6fb9a5…
09-14 05:47:25	Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $64 Week of September 14 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	65¢	$2	0x306e83…
09-13 21:46:57	Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $180 Week of September 14 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	64¢	$2	0xa3bae9…
09-13 04:15:00	Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 14?	No	BUY	3	72¢	$2	0x21a2ea…
09-11 03:58:54	will abnb reach 170 by september 7 2026 from september 10	No	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0x6b44d6…