Royal-Mercury — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$14

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

98.7%

Resolved

1,912

Trades

2,979

lifetime

Volume

$15.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-14

last 08-10 10:21

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 116 days

Categories

Other

100% 98% +$14

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 19 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
highest temperature in shenzhen on april 18 2026 27c	4	$214	108	108	+0	No	+$1	04-18 05:17
highest temperature in shenzhen on april 22 2026 29c	5	$198	100	100	+0	No	+$2	04-22 05:22
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on April 27?	3	$196	100	100	+0	No	+$3	04-27 03:21
highest temperature in shenzhen on april 22 2026 28c	4	$135	68	68	+0	No	+$1	04-22 03:11
highest temperature in shenzhen on april 24 2026 20c	3	$119	100	20	+80	No	+$1	04-23 16:56
highest temperature in shenzhen on april 17 2026 27c	3	$109	55	55	+0	No	+$1	04-17 02:42
highest temperature in shenzhen on april 20 2026 28c	2	$99	50	50	+0	No	+$0	04-20 02:28
highest temperature in shenzhen on april 20 2026 29c	3	$99	50	50	+0	No	+$0	04-20 05:13
highest temperature in shenzhen on april 21 2026 28c	2	$99	50	50	+0	No	+$0	04-21 03:14
highest temperature in shenzhen on april 17 2026 28c	2	$98	50	50	+0	No	+$2	04-17 02:42
highest temperature in shenzhen on april 23 2026 26c	2	$97	50	50	+0	No	+$2	04-23 01:51
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on May 8?	2	$97	100	0	+100	No	+$3	05-08 06:02
highest temperature in shenzhen on april 23 2026 27c	2	$94	50	50	+0	No	+$6	04-23 01:51
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 26°C on May 1?	2	$53	55	0	+55	No	+$2	05-01 03:02
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on May 8?	1	$50	50	0	+50	No	+$0	05-08 03:02
highest temperature in shenzhen on april 18 2026 29c	1	$50	50	0	+50	No	+$0	04-18 07:08
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 25°C on May 1?	1	$49	50	0	+50	No	+$1	05-01 02:02
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 24°C on May 4?	1	$48	50	0	+50	No	+$2	05-04 02:02
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 26°C on June 18?	5	$24	25	0	+25	Yes	-$24	06-18 03:03
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 26°C on April 25?	4	$22	22	0	+22	No	+$0	04-25 07:12
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 17°C on June 8?	2	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	06-07 16:46
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 24°C on June 28?	3	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	06-27 16:36
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 25°C on July 2?	2	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	07-01 16:27
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 26°C or below on June 21?	2	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	06-20 16:30
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 24°C or below on June 7?	2	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	06-06 16:45
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 32°C or below on July 10?	2	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	07-09 21:11
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 32°C on July 17?	2	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	07-16 17:05
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 22°C on June 26?	2	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	06-25 16:34
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 26°C or below on June 3?	2	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	06-03 07:28
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 26°C on May 22?	2	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	05-21 16:06

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-10 10:21:07	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 27°C on August 10?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x241051…
08-10 01:48:51	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on August 10?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x299485…
08-10 01:06:31	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on August 10?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x62f85a…
08-10 00:06:24	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C or below on August 10?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x97adce…
08-09 23:18:22	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on August 10?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x734e31…
08-09 23:04:22	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on August 10?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x9be53d…
08-09 23:04:21	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on August 10?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xb63293…
08-09 22:24:55	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on August 10?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xdc8ee5…
08-09 22:15:16	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on August 10?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x6fe49b…
08-09 16:07:34	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on August 10?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x34d543…
08-09 16:02:30	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on August 10?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x9fe169…
08-09 16:02:25	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on August 10?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x80d0b1…
08-09 10:54:42	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 28°C on August 9?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x86362c…
08-09 09:52:45	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 27°C on August 9?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x5b522e…
08-09 08:10:19	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 26°C or below on August 9?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x97cc3c…
08-09 08:10:19	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 26°C or below on August 9?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x1f4b5c…
08-09 07:15:40	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on August 9?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x1863c0…
08-09 07:10:51	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C on August 9?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xd7abee…
08-09 06:23:19	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C on August 9?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xeab9c1…
08-09 03:26:00	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on August 9?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x9a5b28…
08-09 02:05:22	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on August 9?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xeed49c…
08-09 02:04:52	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on August 9?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x96bce6…
08-09 02:04:46	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 30°C on August 9?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x62a820…
08-08 22:05:18	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 11°C on August 9?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x8b1e16…
08-08 22:05:15	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 11°C on August 9?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xe73705…
08-08 16:05:25	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on August 9?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xea62d8…
08-08 16:05:25	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on August 9?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x02f35f…
08-08 16:05:22	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on August 9?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x28d9bf…
08-08 16:05:21	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on August 9?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xd3c4a5…
08-08 04:52:19	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on August 8?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x614e91…
08-08 04:15:22	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on August 8?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xb9895e…
08-08 04:10:22	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on August 8?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xa77487…
08-08 03:15:58	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on August 8?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x51046d…
08-08 03:15:58	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on August 8?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x4cb005…
08-08 02:05:52	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 32°C on August 8?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x05e28b…
08-08 00:04:28	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 32°C on August 8?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x02ff96…
08-08 00:04:25	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 32°C on August 8?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x4ef9ca…
08-07 22:34:37	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 28°C on August 8?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x2434f7…
08-07 17:03:10	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C on August 8?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x9a97d1…
08-07 16:58:57	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on August 7?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xfdb5b9…
08-07 16:23:04	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C on August 8?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x1203fc…
08-07 16:09:21	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C on August 8?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x4f6937…
08-07 16:09:18	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C on August 8?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xb6f034…
08-07 16:07:01	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on August 8?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xdf7344…
08-07 16:07:00	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on August 8?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x78ad23…
08-07 16:05:40	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on August 8?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xdb554b…
08-07 16:05:40	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on August 8?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xcab04e…
08-07 14:56:16	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 29°C on August 7?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x6eca04…
08-07 14:04:39	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on August 7?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x8b73ff…
08-07 02:17:03	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on August 7?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xbb5b79…
08-07 02:17:03	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on August 7?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x103e2d…
08-07 02:04:43	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on August 7?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x9be538…
08-07 02:04:42	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on August 7?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xfac7da…
08-06 23:05:48	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on August 7?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x9ac20b…
08-06 23:05:48	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on August 7?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x5e8d64…
08-06 23:04:47	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on August 7?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xbbe2b8…
08-06 23:04:45	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on August 7?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x512604…
08-06 22:38:11	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 7°C or below on August 7?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xc68536…
08-06 22:37:14	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 9°C on August 7?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xa62562…
08-06 22:36:09	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 8°C on August 7?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x52c990…
08-06 22:02:20	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 22°C or below on August 7?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xa746f3…
08-06 22:02:18	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 22°C or below on August 7?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x7778b3…
08-06 19:01:33	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 28°C or below on August 7?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x39dd55…
08-06 19:01:32	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 28°C or below on August 7?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x4e0e7e…
08-06 17:59:12	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C or below on August 7?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x09ea38…
08-06 15:23:32	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on August 6?	No	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0xfb4162…
08-06 15:08:27	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on August 6?	No	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x7d3780…
08-06 13:05:20	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 15°C on August 6?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x150a2f…
08-06 04:39:36	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 35°C on August 6?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x66760f…
08-06 02:47:57	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on August 6?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xaf24cc…
08-06 02:16:26	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on August 6?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x79730e…
08-06 02:11:26	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on August 6?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x3617d1…
08-06 01:42:14	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on August 6?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xa06099…
08-06 01:03:56	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C on August 5?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x041a0b…
08-05 23:19:47	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 9°C on August 6?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x13e7ce…
08-05 23:09:29	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C on August 6?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xc8bf07…
08-05 22:14:56	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 35°C on August 5?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xa0deff…
08-05 22:05:14	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 11°C or below on August 6?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x7c42f3…
08-05 22:05:12	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 11°C or below on August 6?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x91ecfe…
08-05 22:05:11	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 12°C on August 6?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x324b9e…
08-05 18:32:29	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 24°C on August 6?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xa44b6a…
08-05 18:32:26	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 26°C on August 6?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xc49f87…
08-05 18:32:24	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 24°C on August 6?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x3ed977…
08-05 18:32:23	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 26°C on August 6?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x424689…
08-05 18:08:50	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 26°C on August 6?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x71ccb3…
08-05 16:20:03	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on August 6?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x12be8d…
08-05 16:06:35	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on August 6?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xf2a87f…
08-05 16:06:30	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on August 6?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x5f7073…
08-05 04:31:24	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on August 5?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xe3f3a3…
08-05 03:32:47	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 27°C on August 5?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xde6906…
08-05 03:10:06	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on August 5?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xfe0e59…
08-05 03:10:06	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on August 5?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xe751b9…
08-05 02:11:05	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on August 5?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x8e2734…
08-05 02:11:03	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on August 5?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x4d40b0…
08-05 02:05:44	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 27°C or below on August 5?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xa928a5…
08-05 01:06:32	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on August 5?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x210de0…
08-05 00:28:30	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 8°C on August 5?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x90210e…
08-04 22:21:53	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on August 5?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x376942…
08-04 22:15:39	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 7°C on August 5?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xc26550…
08-04 22:15:15	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on August 5?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xe97486…