Pink-Assumption — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$6

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

77.6%

Resolved

Trades

765

lifetime

Volume

$3.58K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-06

last 06-29 16:11

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 7 days

Categories

Crypto

49% — —

Other

47% 71% $-6

Sports

3% — —

Politics

1% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

52 active days in 12wk • peak 10 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
cs2 fnc ice 2026 02 26	4	$21	13	13	+0	open	—	02-26 18:11
cs2 ast sparta 2026 02 25	2	$21	11	11	+0	open	—	02-25 21:25
cs2 vit g2 2026 02 14	6	$11	6	6	+0	open	—	02-14 19:03
bitcoin up or down february 15 8am et	2	$11	6	6	+0	open	—	02-15 14:12
ethereum up or down february 28 4pm et	2	$11	6	6	+0	open	—	02-28 22:41
cs2 mouz prv 2026 02 14 game2	2	$11	6	6	+0	open	—	02-14 14:04
val t1 rrq1 2026 02 14	2	$11	6	6	+0	open	—	02-14 14:04
dota2 og liquid 2026 02 14	3	$11	6	6	+0	open	—	02-14 19:03
bitcoin above 72k on february 15	2	$11	6	6	+0	open	—	02-15 16:17
will the price of bitcoin be between 72000 74000 on february 15	2	$11	6	6	+0	open	—	02-15 16:17
will the price of bitcoin be between 66000 68000 on february 26	2	$11	6	6	+0	open	—	02-26 18:11
elon musk of tweets february 6 february 13 400 419	2	$11	6	6	+0	open	—	02-13 21:09
cs2 furia fal2 2026 02 16	2	$11	6	6	+0	open	—	02-16 22:00
bitcoin above 68k on february 17	2	$11	6	6	+0	open	—	02-17 18:45
will the price of bitcoin be between 64000 66000 on february 17	2	$11	6	6	+0	open	—	02-17 18:45
dota2 liquid tundra 2026 02 28 game1	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	02-28 20:32
dota2 yb1 mouz 2026 03 23 game1	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	03-23 15:50
lal get vil 2026 02 15 draw	2	$10	6	6	+0	open	—	02-14 19:03
lal get vil 2026 02 15 get	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	02-14 19:03
cs2 fal2 faze 2026 02 15	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	02-15 14:12
cs2 furia b8 2026 02 14 game2	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	02-14 20:39
will crime 101 opening weekend box office be between 14m and 17m	2	$10	6	6	+0	open	—	02-16 22:00
will the price of bitcoin be between 66000 68000 on february 15	2	$10	6	6	+0	open	—	02-15 16:17
cs2 g2 hero 2026 02 17	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	02-17 18:45
will the price of bitcoin be between 68000 70000 on february 17	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	02-17 18:45
will the price of bitcoin be between 68000 70000 on february 26	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	02-26 18:11
bitcoin above 68k on february 15	2	$10	6	6	+0	open	—	02-15 16:17
bitcoin up or down february 28 4pm et	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	02-28 22:41
bitcoin up or down march 23 2026 10am et	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	03-23 15:50
ethereum above 1900 on february 26	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	02-25 21:34

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-29 16:11:28	dota2 4iki aion 2026 06 29 game2	4ikibamboni	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0xffeb3f…
06-28 17:34:29	btc updown 5m 1782667800	Up	BUY	8	56¢	$4	0x3d8c5b…
06-28 16:49:47	dota2 ngx yes 2026 06 28	Nigma Galaxy	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x4286a7…
06-28 13:03:13	dota2 vp huliga 2026 06 28 game2	HULIGANI	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x21ea6f…
06-28 12:34:43	btc updown 5m 1782649800	Up	BUY	2	76¢	$1	0x8ea1c7…
06-28 12:34:43	btc updown 5m 1782649800	Up	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0x190eaf…
06-28 09:24:46	btc updown 5m 1782638400	Down	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x533730…
06-27 17:44:25	dota2 pr1 yes 2026 06 27	Yellow Submarine	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x5320c2…
06-27 14:39:10	btc updown 5m 1782570900	Down	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x033c32…
06-27 06:04:32	btc updown 5m 1782540000	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x1f6a81…
06-26 17:29:07	dota2 pr1 bald 2026 06 26 game2	Power Rangers	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x26bb75…
06-26 15:21:29	dota2 yes modus 2026 06 26	Yellow Submarine	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x5c7c8d…
06-26 13:36:58	dota2 yes modus 2026 06 26 game1	Yellow Submarine	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x4c3826…
06-26 09:54:34	btc updown 5m 1782467400	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xef0dad…
06-25 15:50:08	dota2 vp vsn2 2026 06 25	TEAM VISION	BUY	3	89¢	$3	0x251b59…
06-25 15:50:08	dota2 vp vsn2 2026 06 25	TEAM VISION	BUY	3	89¢	$2	0x0bb17d…
06-25 14:31:10	dota2 ts8 ngx 2026 06 25	Team Spirit	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0xf7e1d4…
06-25 14:24:47	btc updown 5m 1782397200	Up	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x445c29…
06-24 18:45:22	dota2 pr1 vsn2 2026 06 24 game handicap home 1pt5	TEAM VISION	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0xf38146…
06-24 18:45:20	dota2 pr1 vsn2 2026 06 24 game2	TEAM VISION	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x11c778…
06-24 17:49:44	btc updown 5m 1782323100	Down	BUY	7	5¢	$0	0x02d9aa…
06-24 17:34:38	btc updown 5m 1782322200	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x40f286…
06-24 17:23:49	btc updown 5m 1782321600	Down	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x3869d6…
06-24 16:29:34	btc updown 5m 1782318300	Down	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0xd70ef8…
06-24 15:26:28	dota2 yes vp 2026 06 24 game2	Virtus.pro	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0xa88da1…
06-24 15:10:16	btc updown 15m 1782313200	Down	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xfdfebd…
06-24 13:49:23	btc updown 5m 1782308700	Down	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0x0b45dc…
06-24 08:54:08	btc updown 5m 1782291000	Up	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x915148…
06-23 16:22:32	dota2 ts8 enjoy 2026 06 23 game2	Team Spirit	BUY	4	85¢	$3	0xf31330…
06-23 14:38:46	btc updown 5m 1782225300	Up	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0xddf5b5…
06-23 14:03:26	dota2 re modus 2026 06 23	MODUS	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x47f08c…
06-23 13:55:40	bitcoin up or down june 23 2026 9am et	Up	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x13cb11…
06-23 13:28:49	btc updown 5m 1782221100	Down	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0xd5cc5d…
06-23 05:02:37	dota2 rnx grind 2026 06 23 game1	Grind Back	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x4170c1…
06-22 15:56:31	dota2 xctn grind 2026 06 22 game2	Grind Back	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x711b7e…
06-22 15:06:16	btc updown 4h 1782129600	Up	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0xf6f4cd…
06-22 14:45:11	dota2 pr1 l1ga 2026 06 22 game1	L1ga Team	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x672d4b…
06-22 12:32:17	dota2 vp ic 2026 06 22 game2	Virtus.pro	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0xbfd006…
06-22 10:15:10	dota2 rnx og 2026 06 22 game1	OG	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x14de52…
06-22 08:49:55	dota2 mouz yes 2026 06 22 game1	MOUZ	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0xb59da9…
06-22 05:41:29	dota2 xctn mental 2026 06 21	Execration	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0xd2fdb1…
06-22 04:16:32	dota2 xctn mental 2026 06 21 game2	Mentality Monster	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x44123a…
06-21 17:59:53	bitcoin up or down june 21 2026 1pm et	Up	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0xdccf2f…
06-21 11:53:50	dota2 enjoy bald 2026 06 21 game2	Enjoy	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0xe164f0…
06-21 11:29:43	btc updown 15m 1782040500	Down	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xd96abc…
06-05 02:56:55	xrp above 1pt1 on june 5 2026	Yes	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x6e4978…
06-04 18:55:33	dota2 lgd ty 2026 06 04	Team Yandex	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0x6eec50…
06-04 13:26:58	dota2 flc liquid 2026 06 04 game1	Team Falcons	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x32c1af…
06-04 07:09:39	btc updown 5m 1780556700	Down	BUY	6	68¢	$4	0x5acb70…
06-02 19:48:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xe961ec…
06-01 16:14:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	16¢	$1	0xea3dfd…
05-30 13:32:34	Another GTA VI trailer released by May 31?	No	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x51ad83…
05-29 14:25:18	Dota 2: Aurora vs Xtreme Gaming (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage	Aurora	BUY	11	86¢	$9	0xe7e15a…
05-28 17:37:51	Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs GLYPH (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage	Xtreme Gaming	BUY	12	86¢	$10	0xb02711…
05-24 13:13:19	Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Aurora (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs	Aurora	BUY	5	69¢	$4	0x13e0b7…
05-22 15:41:22	Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs PlayTime - Game 1 Winner	BetBoom Team	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x34a77c…
05-19 15:35:46	Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Liquid (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs	PARIVISION	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x8eacf2…
05-19 15:34:26	Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winner	PARIVISION	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x2f427f…
05-18 13:44:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x8fd127…
05-18 10:36:30	Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs PlayTime (BO1) - DreamLeague Group B	PlayTime	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0xaa05a0…
05-17 14:50:37	Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 1 Winner	BetBoom Team	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x3d74f6…
05-17 13:52:01	Games Total: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0x0343a5…
05-17 12:56:33	Dota 2: Aurora vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - DreamLeague Group A	Aurora	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x57c3bf…
05-17 11:20:23	Dota 2: Team Spirit vs ex-HEROIC (BO3) - DreamLeague Group A	Team Spirit	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x4310fe…
05-16 19:21:32	Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 1 Winner	Xtreme Gaming	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0xca04a1…
05-16 13:16:25	Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - DreamLeague Group B	Tundra Esports	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0xba38c9…
05-16 11:00:27	Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs BetBoom Team - Game 1 Winner	Tundra Esports	BUY	5	83¢	$5	0xc2630b…
05-15 21:02:24	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x2f6b17…
05-15 17:39:29	Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winner	Team Spirit	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x55b9fd…
05-13 11:20:17	Dota 2: ex-HEROIC vs GamerLegion - Game 1 Winner	ex-HEROIC	BUY	5	86¢	$5	0x5db8bc…
05-11 22:16:44	Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs Passion UA (+1.5)	Natus Vincere	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0x14dfa7…
05-10 14:22:39	Dota 2: PlayTime vs Yellow Submarine - Game 2 Winner	PlayTime	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x3d6e8f…
05-09 12:05:24	Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs K27 (+1.5)	Team Falcons	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0xb18071…
05-05 20:36:58	Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs L1ga Team - Game 2 Winner	L1ga Team	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xbd497e…
05-05 14:47:12	Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs REKONIX - Game 2 Winner	REKONIX	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xb2cb72…
05-04 15:55:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11AM ET	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x2ec12d…
05-02 19:03:04	Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs FaZe (+1.5)	Natus Vincere	BUY	13	78¢	$10	0x08a6c0…
05-01 16:29:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0x5c5d5c…
05-01 04:01:28	QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?	No	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x26b5d9…
04-30 03:11:02	Will Bryan Johnson have sex again this month?	No	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0xcf1aa2…
04-29 19:56:38	Will gas hit (High) $4.25 by April 30?	Yes	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0xccfd26…
04-28 06:37:20	Will "Running Point: Season 2" be the top US Netflix show this week?	No	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xbfe041…
04-27 19:41:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 3PM ET	Down	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x7c6eb0…
04-27 06:29:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0xd0df3a…
04-26 17:15:22	Will "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 90m and 95m?	No	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0xcb5409…
04-26 14:09:00	Will "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 100m?	No	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x4542c2…
04-25 13:11:56	Dota 2: Aurora vs BetBoom Team - Game 1 Winner	Aurora	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0x0ba22a…
04-25 03:13:36	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C or higher on April 25?	Yes	BUY	3	85¢	$2	0xcbede1…
04-25 03:13:36	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C or higher on April 25?	Yes	BUY	3	85¢	$3	0x081392…
04-24 12:53:00	dota2 flc ts8 2026 04 24	Team Falcons	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0x8753ba…
04-24 11:30:36	dota2 flc ts8 2026 04 24 game1	Team Falcons	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xa0f3b9…
04-23 21:28:18	highest temperature in hong kong on april 24 2026 22c	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x50b49a…
04-23 12:34:42	dota2 aur1 heroic 2026 04 23	Aurora	BUY	11	80¢	$9	0x5677f1…
04-22 10:26:16	dota2 sar1 mouz 2026 04 22 game1	South America Rejects	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x1e2c81…
04-22 06:09:56	highest temperature in hong kong on april 22 2026 28c	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xdd92ac…
04-21 14:55:32	bitcoin up or down april 21 2026 10am et	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x8b1023…
04-21 14:55:32	bitcoin up or down april 21 2026 10am et	Up	BUY	0	93¢	$0	0x6dc44e…
04-20 18:01:10	dota2 aur1 pari 2026 04 20 game2	PARIVISION	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xe56e47…
04-20 17:49:02	dota2 mouz tundra 2026 04 20 game1	MOUZ	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x10c8b7…
04-20 14:01:50	dota2 bb4 flc 2026 04 20 game2	BetBoom Team	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xdba7db…