Bustling-Coffin — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$55

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

52.1%

Resolved

Trades

158

lifetime

Volume

$15.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$100

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-31

last 08-09 00:11

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

80% 50% $-44

Politics

15% 100% +$14

Crypto

4% 0% $-25

Tech

1% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

27 active days in 12wk • peak 30 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	8	$4.1K	3,333	3,333	+0	open	—	06-30 18:25
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 7 20260625174256255	2	$1.9K	1,096	1,096	+0	open	—	06-28 02:12
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	13	$1.8K	11,211	2,485	+8,726	open	—	08-09 00:11
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	4	$1.8K	2,153	2,153	+0	open	—	07-26 13:31
us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	2	$972	600	600	+0	open	—	07-23 08:54
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	1	$890	0	1,000	-1,000	open	—	06-08 14:13
will wti reach 85 in july 2026 from july 27	2	$793	1,066	418	+648	open	—	07-29 08:46
bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by july 31	7	$445	13,322	13,322	+0	open	—	07-28 10:20
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	2	$329	700	700	+0	open	—	07-26 10:39
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner	11	$308	299	299	+0	Spirit	$-51	05-10 10:51
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	4	$234	204	204	+0	open	—	03-23 11:33
iran military action against a gulf state on july 30 20260708212322955	5	$221	302	231	+71	open	—	07-30 00:38
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	2	$214	120	120	+0	No	+$14	04-30 15:56
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	2	$201	116	116	+0	open	—	04-24 19:08
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	2	$200	143	143	+0	open	—	04-28 14:05
will the next claude opus model be released by july 24 2026 231 543	4	$171	262	0	+262	open	—	07-24 13:31
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Spirit (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage	2	$147	92	92	+0	Spirit	+$7	05-10 09:28
cs2 nip k271 2026 07 18	2	$121	208	208	+0	open	—	07-18 14:55
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	2	$115	83	83	+0	open	—	05-10 08:35
btc updown 5m 1783254300	2	$105	99	99	+0	open	—	07-05 12:26
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	1	$90	300	0	+300	open	—	08-05 13:47
btc updown 5m 1783152300	3	$70	74	74	+0	open	—	07-04 08:08
btc updown 5m 1784543400	7	$58	430	0	+430	open	—	07-20 10:33
will iran be said on the first joe rogan experience episode of the week march 15	2	$57	35	35	+0	open	—	03-09 03:54
btc updown 5m 1783246500	17	$52	150	150	+0	open	—	07-05 10:17
will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	2	$46	30	30	+0	open	—	03-07 00:24
btc updown 5m 1783246200	3	$45	124	124	+0	open	—	07-05 10:14
btc updown 5m 1783254600	1	$33	100	0	+100	open	—	07-05 12:32
btc updown 5m 1783254000	1	$30	300	0	+300	open	—	07-05 12:22
btc updown 5m 1783245300	2	$30	442	0	+442	open	—	07-05 09:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-09 00:11:21	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	BUY	400	8¢	$32	0xe98898…
08-05 23:59:44	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	BUY	3,000	15¢	$447	0x1e51de…
08-05 21:48:59	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	SELL	2,420	13¢	$315	0xe7e2bb…
08-05 13:47:06	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	BUY	300	30¢	$90	0xce8423…
08-04 09:40:42	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	BUY	12	14¢	$2	0xc56bad…
08-04 09:40:32	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	BUY	10	14¢	$1	0xf11297…
08-04 09:40:23	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	BUY	10	14¢	$1	0xe99cc4…
08-04 09:22:32	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	BUY	188	14¢	$26	0xdd317c…
07-31 08:14:06	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	BUY	55	7¢	$4	0x817475…
07-31 08:13:45	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	BUY	745	7¢	$52	0xdb4c51…
07-31 01:06:44	will trump say iran or israel 10 times during cabinet meeting 20260727172357439	Yes	BUY	30	71¢	$21	0x3657a6…
07-30 00:38:17	iran military action against a gulf state on july 30 20260708212322955	No	BUY	51	76¢	$39	0x52453e…
07-30 00:37:47	iran military action against a gulf state on july 30 20260708212322955	No	BUY	20	75¢	$15	0x7ce0b7…
07-30 00:37:36	iran military action against a gulf state on july 30 20260708212322955	Yes	SELL	21	24¢	$5	0x88a1cf…
07-30 00:37:27	iran military action against a gulf state on july 30 20260708212322955	Yes	SELL	210	24¢	$51	0x6ca502…
07-29 23:53:15	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	BUY	1,400	9¢	$126	0x19c9d8…
07-29 21:54:50	iran military action against a gulf state on july 30 20260708212322955	Yes	BUY	231	48¢	$112	0xaaf0bd…
07-29 08:46:38	will wti reach 85 in july 2026 from july 27	No	BUY	1,066	57¢	$606	0xd3df58…
07-29 08:45:17	will wti reach 85 in july 2026 from july 27	Yes	SELL	418	45¢	$186	0x2c6f9a…
07-28 10:39:56	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	BUY	5,326	13¢	$692	0x2a4107…
07-28 10:20:28	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by july 31	Yes	SELL	9,254	0¢	$38	0x8d3458…
07-27 12:23:58	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by july 31	Yes	BUY	9,254	1¢	$54	0xdf923a…
07-27 11:13:16	btc updown 5m 1785150600	Up	SELL	128	3¢	$4	0xb213e3…
07-27 11:13:00	btc updown 5m 1785150600	Up	SELL	3	8¢	$0	0x8c3949…
07-27 11:12:58	btc updown 5m 1785150600	Up	SELL	8	8¢	$1	0xd1f9ae…
07-27 11:12:58	btc updown 5m 1785150600	Up	SELL	10	8¢	$1	0x8c2ead…
07-27 11:12:43	btc updown 5m 1785150600	Up	BUY	150	5¢	$8	0x62c834…
07-26 13:31:43	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	SELL	2,153	42¢	$904	0x89e47f…
07-26 10:42:24	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	SELL	65	83¢	$54	0xf79f29…
07-26 10:39:04	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	700	19¢	$133	0xefc88e…
07-25 09:03:15	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	700	28¢	$196	0x283391…
07-24 13:31:01	will the next claude opus model be released by july 24 2026 231 543	No	BUY	47	65¢	$30	0x66dc8f…
07-24 13:08:25	will the next claude opus model be released by july 24 2026 231 543	No	BUY	42	65¢	$27	0xadba5f…
07-24 12:59:21	will the next claude opus model be released by july 24 2026 231 543	No	BUY	11	65¢	$7	0x4d67db…
07-24 12:56:54	will the next claude opus model be released by july 24 2026 231 543	No	BUY	162	65¢	$106	0xa5565a…
07-24 01:31:27	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by july 31	Yes	SELL	4,068	3¢	$110	0xa41e8e…
07-24 00:42:42	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by july 31	Yes	BUY	575	3¢	$20	0x2bc817…
07-23 09:28:46	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by july 31	Yes	BUY	2,484	7¢	$166	0x6c143b…
07-23 09:23:52	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by july 31	Yes	BUY	10	6¢	$1	0xa94353…
07-23 09:22:10	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by july 31	Yes	BUY	1,000	6¢	$58	0x750353…
07-23 08:54:16	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	SELL	600	84¢	$504	0x12b343…
07-20 10:33:18	btc updown 5m 1784543400	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x7ba218…
07-20 10:32:33	btc updown 5m 1784543400	Up	BUY	100	6¢	$6	0xc50782…
07-20 10:31:15	btc updown 5m 1784543400	Up	BUY	32	22¢	$7	0xb0fbf9…
07-20 10:31:15	btc updown 5m 1784543400	Up	BUY	63	22¢	$14	0x691301…
07-20 10:31:13	btc updown 5m 1784543400	Up	BUY	50	22¢	$11	0xa1f547…
07-20 10:31:13	btc updown 5m 1784543400	Up	BUY	80	22¢	$18	0x9da91e…
07-20 10:31:13	btc updown 5m 1784543400	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x2d6aee…
07-18 14:55:15	cs2 nip k271 2026 07 18	K27	SELL	208	34¢	$71	0x385072…
07-18 14:54:25	cs2 nip k271 2026 07 18	K27	BUY	208	24¢	$50	0x2be269…
07-16 23:38:59	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	600	78¢	$468	0x36e32c…
07-14 14:07:38	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	450	45¢	$202	0x600762…
07-11 06:33:44	btc updown 5m 1783751400	Down	SELL	28	32¢	$9	0x54499d…
07-11 06:33:10	btc updown 5m 1783751400	Down	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0x62f979…
07-10 13:59:31	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	1,700	38¢	$646	0xac5429…
07-07 12:33:07	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	65	77¢	$50	0xa0233b…
07-06 13:21:02	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x11ce31…
07-05 12:32:20	btc updown 5m 1783254600	Up	BUY	100	33¢	$33	0xed9df5…
07-05 12:26:25	btc updown 5m 1783254300	Up	SELL	99	55¢	$55	0xa0067c…
07-05 12:26:13	btc updown 5m 1783254300	Up	BUY	99	50¢	$50	0xde7b48…
07-05 12:22:41	btc updown 5m 1783254000	Down	BUY	300	10¢	$30	0x37332c…
07-05 10:28:13	btc updown 5m 1783247100	Up	BUY	250	6¢	$14	0xc96982…
07-05 10:24:29	btc updown 5m 1783246800	Down	BUY	250	2¢	$5	0xe82b96…
07-05 10:21:52	btc updown 5m 1783246800	Down	BUY	100	19¢	$19	0xf409b2…
07-05 10:17:29	btc updown 5m 1783246500	Up	SELL	5	23¢	$1	0xbeb796…
07-05 10:17:29	btc updown 5m 1783246500	Up	SELL	50	23¢	$12	0x569fa8…
07-05 10:17:29	btc updown 5m 1783246500	Up	SELL	5	23¢	$1	0x314afc…
07-05 10:17:29	btc updown 5m 1783246500	Up	SELL	45	23¢	$10	0x08a009…
07-05 10:17:28	btc updown 5m 1783246500	Up	SELL	45	23¢	$10	0x7026c8…
07-05 10:16:29	btc updown 5m 1783246500	Up	BUY	50	12¢	$6	0xfb791c…
07-05 10:16:29	btc updown 5m 1783246500	Up	BUY	3	12¢	$0	0xef2801…
07-05 10:16:29	btc updown 5m 1783246500	Up	BUY	5	12¢	$1	0xecbf37…
07-05 10:16:29	btc updown 5m 1783246500	Up	BUY	2	12¢	$0	0xe545b8…
07-05 10:16:29	btc updown 5m 1783246500	Up	BUY	14	12¢	$2	0xd90126…
07-05 10:16:29	btc updown 5m 1783246500	Up	BUY	16	12¢	$2	0xd680c0…
07-05 10:16:29	btc updown 5m 1783246500	Up	BUY	16	12¢	$2	0xb3e9b6…
07-05 10:16:29	btc updown 5m 1783246500	Up	BUY	5	12¢	$1	0x80b6d6…
07-05 10:16:29	btc updown 5m 1783246500	Up	BUY	1	12¢	$0	0x7f7380…
07-05 10:16:29	btc updown 5m 1783246500	Up	BUY	27	12¢	$3	0x15ccbe…
07-05 10:16:28	btc updown 5m 1783246500	Up	BUY	5	12¢	$1	0xfcc4a3…
07-05 10:16:28	btc updown 5m 1783246500	Up	BUY	5	12¢	$1	0x3eb1a4…
07-05 10:14:11	btc updown 5m 1783246200	Down	SELL	124	20¢	$25	0x0a7881…
07-05 10:11:52	btc updown 5m 1783246200	Down	BUY	45	11¢	$5	0x76d4c1…
07-05 10:11:28	btc updown 5m 1783246200	Down	BUY	78	20¢	$16	0x951132…
07-05 09:59:29	btc updown 5m 1783245300	Down	BUY	250	2¢	$5	0x93bcfd…
07-05 09:57:10	btc updown 5m 1783245300	Down	BUY	192	13¢	$25	0xc57307…
07-05 09:38:50	btc updown 5m 1783244100	Up	BUY	125	4¢	$5	0x31c42f…
07-04 08:08:25	btc updown 5m 1783152300	Down	SELL	0	55¢	$0	0xb01bc2…
07-04 08:07:41	btc updown 5m 1783152300	Down	SELL	74	61¢	$45	0xf97eb6…
07-04 08:07:25	btc updown 5m 1783152300	Down	BUY	74	34¢	$25	0x7dfdc1…
07-04 08:04:38	btc updown 5m 1783152000	Up	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0xc8fd76…
07-04 08:03:19	btc updown 5m 1783152000	Up	SELL	16	6¢	$1	0x3aeaff…
07-04 08:03:07	btc updown 5m 1783152000	Up	SELL	56	8¢	$4	0xaad8b1…
07-04 08:02:59	btc updown 5m 1783152000	Up	BUY	71	7¢	$5	0xac4370…
07-04 04:18:49	btc updown 5m 1783138500	Up	BUY	1,135	2¢	$25	0xdb01ca…
07-04 04:08:19	btc updown 5m 1783137900	Down	BUY	83	6¢	$5	0x141c67…
06-30 18:25:14	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	183	67¢	$123	0x11649e…
06-30 16:28:35	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	500	67¢	$335	0xdc9e5c…
06-30 16:27:59	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	231	67¢	$155	0x95edcb…
06-30 16:21:41	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	648	67¢	$434	0x8ec0a5…